CNN and you liberal rag is done as the rest of your polling bullshit
CNN was very good at the coverage tonight until it was clear their message wasn't getting through to the blue. Polls? What are those? Flush.
polls have always meant nothing.
True. I mentioned long ago that the exact same thing happened in the last provincial elections in BC. All polls indicated a sure win with a comfortable margin for NDP right up until the polls closed, and then the Liberals won. I haven't trusted political polls since. I wonder if Nate Silver feels like a heel this morning?
Nate was the only one giving him a chance, and had repeatedly warned that Trump had a chance and that he was a few percentage points of polling error to win. For every 3 coin flips Trump could win, those are not bad odds.
I was just wondering because even at 6pm last night he had Clinton with a 78% chance of winning. Yes, that gives Trump a 22% chance... but come on. It was a serious failure of political polling, which he is supposed to specialize in. I bet this hurts his career.
The only person who saw it at 6pm was me.
Well I guess you're a genius, lol. I figured the swing states might pull it out.... Also, someone was trolling here and making fake announcements before I even got home. Silly me, I thought he wasn't lying, so thought things were going better than they really were before I even got home. I dunno, I think I figured it would be Trump for sure around 7pm Pacific. I watched a little longer after that and then turned it off in disgust. I woke up at 1am for some reason, and checked to see if maybe Clinton somehow eked out a win... obviously I had trouble getting back to sleep.
I saw it at 6pm Eastern! I am a genius! (A lucky one)
CNN and you liberal rag is done as the rest of your polling bullshit
CNN was very good at the coverage tonight until it was clear their message wasn't getting through to the blue. Polls? What are those? Flush.
polls have always meant nothing.
True. I mentioned long ago that the exact same thing happened in the last provincial elections in BC. All polls indicated a sure win with a comfortable margin for NDP right up until the polls closed, and then the Liberals won. I haven't trusted political polls since. I wonder if Nate Silver feels like a heel this morning?
Nate was the only one giving him a chance, and had repeatedly warned that Trump had a chance and that he was a few percentage points of polling error to win. For every 3 coin flips Trump could win, those are not bad odds.
I was just wondering because even at 6pm last night he had Clinton with a 78% chance of winning. Yes, that gives Trump a 22% chance... but come on. It was a serious failure of political polling, which he is supposed to specialize in. I bet this hurts his career.
He doesn't do the polling though...he just has a model that interprets the polling that is provided to him.
I say he did better than anyone else...he gave Trump a 30% chance when no other model that I saw did. I don't know where the 22% chance came from. Silver's model froze at midnight Monday since there were no more polls to update the model. It is still on his site showing the 30% chance for Trump.
Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago 2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy 2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE) 2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston 2020: Oakland, Oakland:2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana 2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville 2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
CNN and you liberal rag is done as the rest of your polling bullshit
CNN was very good at the coverage tonight until it was clear their message wasn't getting through to the blue. Polls? What are those? Flush.
polls have always meant nothing.
True. I mentioned long ago that the exact same thing happened in the last provincial elections in BC. All polls indicated a sure win with a comfortable margin for NDP right up until the polls closed, and then the Liberals won. I haven't trusted political polls since. I wonder if Nate Silver feels like a heel this morning?
Nate was the only one giving him a chance, and had repeatedly warned that Trump had a chance and that he was a few percentage points of polling error to win. For every 3 coin flips Trump could win, those are not bad odds.
I was just wondering because even at 6pm last night he had Clinton with a 78% chance of winning. Yes, that gives Trump a 22% chance... but come on. It was a serious failure of political polling, which he is supposed to specialize in. I bet this hurts his career.
He doesn't do the polling though...he just has a model that interprets the polling that is provided to him.
I say he did better than anyone else...he gave Trump a 30% chance when no other model that I saw did. I don't know where the 22% chance came from. Silver's model froze at midnight Monday since there were no more polls to update the model. It is still on his site showing the 30% chance for Trump.
Silver was bang on considering the numbers publicly available. He stressed in the days before that her electoral vote tally was not safe. If you look at the raw numbers it would not have taken much for a handfull of states to have gone the other way.
CNN and you liberal rag is done as the rest of your polling bullshit
CNN was very good at the coverage tonight until it was clear their message wasn't getting through to the blue. Polls? What are those? Flush.
polls have always meant nothing.
True. I mentioned long ago that the exact same thing happened in the last provincial elections in BC. All polls indicated a sure win with a comfortable margin for NDP right up until the polls closed, and then the Liberals won. I haven't trusted political polls since. I wonder if Nate Silver feels like a heel this morning?
Nate was the only one giving him a chance, and had repeatedly warned that Trump had a chance and that he was a few percentage points of polling error to win. For every 3 coin flips Trump could win, those are not bad odds.
I was just wondering because even at 6pm last night he had Clinton with a 78% chance of winning. Yes, that gives Trump a 22% chance... but come on. It was a serious failure of political polling, which he is supposed to specialize in. I bet this hurts his career.
He doesn't do the polling though...he just has a model that interprets the polling that is provided to him.
I say he did better than anyone else...he gave Trump a 30% chance when no other model that I saw did. I don't know where the 22% chance came from. Silver's model froze at midnight Monday since there were no more polls to update the model. It is still on his site showing the 30% chance for Trump.
Silver was bang on considering the numbers publicly available. He stressed in the days before that her electoral vote tally was not safe. If you look at the raw numbers it would not have taken much for a handfull of states to have gone the other way.
Yeah, next election he is still the guy that I will go to when looking for predictions.
CNN and you liberal rag is done as the rest of your polling bullshit
CNN was very good at the coverage tonight until it was clear their message wasn't getting through to the blue. Polls? What are those? Flush.
polls have always meant nothing.
True. I mentioned long ago that the exact same thing happened in the last provincial elections in BC. All polls indicated a sure win with a comfortable margin for NDP right up until the polls closed, and then the Liberals won. I haven't trusted political polls since. I wonder if Nate Silver feels like a heel this morning?
Nate was the only one giving him a chance, and had repeatedly warned that Trump had a chance and that he was a few percentage points of polling error to win. For every 3 coin flips Trump could win, those are not bad odds.
I was just wondering because even at 6pm last night he had Clinton with a 78% chance of winning. Yes, that gives Trump a 22% chance... but come on. It was a serious failure of political polling, which he is supposed to specialize in. I bet this hurts his career.
He doesn't do the polling though...he just has a model that interprets the polling that is provided to him.
I say he did better than anyone else...he gave Trump a 30% chance when no other model that I saw did. I don't know where the 22% chance came from. Silver's model froze at midnight Monday since there were no more polls to update the model. It is still on his site showing the 30% chance for Trump.
Right, interpreting poll results. FFS. All I am saying is that Nate Silver really hitched his name to all his reports, basically set himself up as THE go-to source, and damn, the results of this election probably won't be good for his career. He was speaking live on ABC when he said it was up to 78% (he was asked why it went up). I guess that was around 6pm PST, maybe even later. He looked pretty stressed out actually, ha.
With all its sham, drudgery, and broken dreams, it is still a beautiful world. Be careful. Strive to be happy. ~ Desiderata
Here is some fascinating statistics, published today by Politico. The punchline is that Trump would need to win 70% of white males in order to win the general election. But here's what's working against him: - No GOP candidate in the last half century has won more than 63% of white males - The turnout rate for white males is very high already, so not much 'enthusiasm' room to grow - Trump's favorable/unfavorable for Hispanics is -50%. That's astoundingly bad. Experts predict he might get 15% of the Hispanic vote. Bush peaked at 35%. Everyone else on the GOP has been much lower. Estimates are that Hispanic turnout will be 15% greater in '16 than in '12. So Trump's problem is exasperated even vs. Romney. - Asian-Americans are also similarly negative on him. - Romney only won 5% of the black vote in 2012. Don't think for a second that Obama is not going to savage Trump in the run up to the election. There is no way he will get the 12% Bush got. - Women are just as bad of a problem. Dems typically win 53% of the woman vote. He has to win 62% of all women + 70% of white men.
Hillary is a liar, a hag, and a crony capitalist that can't even keep her husband in her own bed.
Such a idiotic comment. Trump can't keep himself in his wife's bed. What happened to personal responsibility? Hilarious that Trump supporters try to hang Bill's infidelities around Hillary when he clearly cheated on Ivana at a minimum and probably Marla. And he bragged about sleeping with married women. I can't wait until they try that shit again in the general. He is a POS and a draft dodger. But you know that already.
It is not an idiotic comment. She will not be the next POTUS because she will forever be dogged with press questions about infidelity. Imagine Hillary addressing muslims?
She didn't cheat on her husband. Trump cheated on his wives. Democrats naturally attract 53-55% of women voters. Do you really think attacking Hillary by blaming her for Bill's infidelities is going to attract the 62% of women voters necessary for Trump to win the election? Basically, you are saying that this line of attack is going to turn a natural 5% deficit into a 12% positive. I'm sorry, that's fantasy land. It is an idiotic comment because it's a politically untenable attack for Trump to take.
97% of all statistics are made up, on the spot. Nice numbers Ace!
Hillary is a liar, a hag, and a crony capitalist that can't even keep her husband in her own bed.
Such a idiotic comment. Trump can't keep himself in his wife's bed. What happened to personal responsibility? Hilarious that Trump supporters try to hang Bill's infidelities around Hillary when he clearly cheated on Ivana at a minimum and probably Marla. And he bragged about sleeping with married women. I can't wait until they try that shit again in the general. He is a POS and a draft dodger. But you know that already.
It is not an idiotic comment. She will not be the next POTUS because she will forever be dogged with press questions about infidelity. Imagine Hillary addressing muslims?
She didn't cheat on her husband. Trump cheated on his wives. Democrats naturally attract 53-55% of women voters. Do you really think attacking Hillary by blaming her for Bill's infidelities is going to attract the 62% of women voters necessary for Trump to win the election? Basically, you are saying that this line of attack is going to turn a natural 5% deficit into a 12% positive. I'm sorry, that's fantasy land. It is an idiotic comment because it's a politically untenable attack for Trump to take.
97% of all statistics are made up, on the spot. Nice numbers Ace!
Look where that entitlement because of 30 years of public service (that resulted in $200 million in the bank) got the Dem party? She was selfish, but I understand the pressure to run when people gave her and her husband $200 million for influence.
That is funny though. Are there any other selfless jobs that will make me .2 billion dollars? I am going to check Monster.com
Look where that entitlement because of 30 years of public service (that resulted in $200 million in the bank) got the Dem party? She was selfish, but I understand the pressure to run when people gave her and her husband $200 million for influence.
Not for nothing, but if I spend 30 years dedicated to working for the same company, I would feel obligated to throw my hat in the ring when the old CEO decides to retire. That's not entitlement. That's being qualified for the job at hand.
Do you honestly believe Trump ran on some concrete ideology? You know, besides fear mongering....
So was Hillary just immensely selfish in forcing herself on the Democratic Party when she knew she was divisive and flawed candidate?
Or was the Democratic Party immensely selfish and flawed when pushing her as the candidate and pushing Sanders out? Sanders had a better chance of beating Trump and we knew it.
Comments
I say he did better than anyone else...he gave Trump a 30% chance when no other model that I saw did. I don't know where the 22% chance came from. Silver's model froze at midnight Monday since there were no more polls to update the model. It is still on his site showing the 30% chance for Trump.
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
He was speaking live on ABC when he said it was up to 78% (he was asked why it went up). I guess that was around 6pm PST, maybe even later. He looked pretty stressed out actually, ha.
Pearl Jam bootlegs:
http://wegotshit.blogspot.com
Pearl Jam bootlegs:
http://wegotshit.blogspot.com
Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.
Brilliantati©
You have absolutely no credibility here.
Pearl Jam bootlegs:
http://wegotshit.blogspot.com
Yep, guess I was wrong about that, just like everyone else pretty much. To say America is blindsided is an understatement.
The healing will begin when all sides work together.
Trump and Libs, together.
On the other hand, Trump is the walking manifestation of selfishness.
That is funny though. Are there any other selfless jobs that will make me .2 billion dollars? I am going to check Monster.com
Do you honestly believe Trump ran on some concrete ideology? You know, besides fear mongering....