2024 US Election - Predictions

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  • Halifax2TheMax
    Halifax2TheMax Posts: 42,385
    lindamarie73 said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Although I would love to retire to Europe (which could be a ticking time bomb), I am just referring to my trip to New Zealand to see Pearl Jam on Friday.  Funny timing.

    i do hope the Republican Party can reform to less crazy.  Maybe even add a few other viable parties to break up this two party crap.
    Good on ya, see ya out there on the 10th in NZ.   Keep an eye out for a small blond w/ a guy 6’6 most likely wearing his Cubs hat he always wears at PJ shows.  Safe travels, it’s gonna be awesome few weeks down under….hope you surf!! 
    Make it easy for them, wear your MAGAT hats and flags like capes. Get tricked out. NZ loves POOTWH. Who knows? Maybe Eddie will call you up on stage for some ukulele songs? Mahalo.
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

    Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.

    Brilliantati©
  • Spiritual_Chaos
    Spiritual_Chaos Posts: 31,494
    Need fo go to bed. Hopefully wake up to good news
    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • bootlegger10
    bootlegger10 Posts: 16,260
    lindamarie73 said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Although I would love to retire to Europe (which could be a ticking time bomb), I am just referring to my trip to New Zealand to see Pearl Jam on Friday.  Funny timing.

    i do hope the Republican Party can reform to less crazy.  Maybe even add a few other viable parties to break up this two party crap.
    Good on ya, see ya out there on the 10th in NZ.   Keep an eye out for a small blond w/ a guy 6’6 most likely wearing his Cubs hat he always wears at PJ shows.  Safe travels, it’s gonna be awesome few weeks down under….hope you surf!! 
    I've got 11 rounds of golf scheduled on the trip.  Will only be at the show on the 8th, and then one show each in Sydney and Melbourne.  Have a great time!
  • bootlegger10
    bootlegger10 Posts: 16,260
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  
  • brianlux
    brianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 43,664
    bootlegger10 said:
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  

    I don't think that's happened for most states for quite some time.
    It's pointless to worry this early in the game.  
    I hate it when I do something that is pointless. :weary:
    "It's a sad and beautiful world"
    -Roberto Benigni

  • mrussel1
    mrussel1 Posts: 30,884
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  

    I don't think that's happened for most states for quite some time.
    It's pointless to worry this early in the game.  
    I hate it when I do something that is pointless. :weary:
    Watching the flow of data, it seems just like 2020
  • njhaley1
    njhaley1 Valley of the Sun Posts: 878
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  

    I don't think that's happened for most states for quite some time.
    It's pointless to worry this early in the game.  
    I hate it when I do something that is pointless. :weary:
    More important is the reason it happens, and not comprehending why.
  • Poncier
    Poncier Posts: 17,894
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    This weekend we rock Portland
  • mcgruff10
    mcgruff10 New Jersey Posts: 29,130
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    What makes you think that?
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
  • brianlux
    brianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 43,664
    mrussel1 said:
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  

    I don't think that's happened for most states for quite some time.
    It's pointless to worry this early in the game.  
    I hate it when I do something that is pointless. :weary:
    Watching the flow of data, it seems just like 2020

    I'm trying not to watch that data too often.  (I know, good luck with that, haha!)
    "It's a sad and beautiful world"
    -Roberto Benigni

  • brianlux
    brianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 43,664
    njhaley1 said:
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  

    I don't think that's happened for most states for quite some time.
    It's pointless to worry this early in the game.  
    I hate it when I do something that is pointless. :weary:
    More important is the reason it happens, and not comprehending why.

    Population?  Complexity of the world we live in?  Dunno.
    "It's a sad and beautiful world"
    -Roberto Benigni

  • tbergs
    tbergs Posts: 10,425
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    It was a pipe dream for states like OH, FL or IN to be blue. So far, everything looks as expected.
    It's a hopeless situation...
  • njhaley1
    njhaley1 Valley of the Sun Posts: 878
    brianlux said:
    njhaley1 said:
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  

    I don't think that's happened for most states for quite some time.
    It's pointless to worry this early in the game.  
    I hate it when I do something that is pointless. :weary:
    More important is the reason it happens, and not comprehending why.

    Population?  Complexity of the world we live in?  Dunno.
    State legislatures that make it harder.  
  • mcgruff10
    mcgruff10 New Jersey Posts: 29,130
    Georgia not looking good for Harris at the moment 
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
  • HughFreakingDillon
    HughFreakingDillon Winnipeg Posts: 39,537
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    insanely early to project that
    By The Time They Figure Out What Went Wrong, We'll Be Sitting On A Beach, Earning Twenty Percent.




  • Poncier
    Poncier Posts: 17,894
    mcgruff10 said:
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    What makes you think that?
    Harris badly underperforming in VA.
    Exit polls show most voters with unfavorable view of current administration. Sure sign of incumbent party going down.
    This thing is over.
    This weekend we rock Portland
  • Indifference
    Indifference Posts: 2,761
    Indifference said:
    Trump 297-241
    Not looking bad…

    SHOW COUNT: (170) 1990's=3, 2000's=53, 2010/20's=114, US=124, CAN=15, Europe=20 ,New Zealand=4, Australia=5
    Mexico=1, Colombia=1 



  • mrussel1
    mrussel1 Posts: 30,884
    edited November 2024
    Poncier said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    What makes you think that?
    Harris badly underperforming in VA.
    Exit polls show most voters with unfavorable view of current administration. Sure sign of incumbent party going down.
    This thing is over.
    No, I don't think so yet.  The vote % in Henrico, Alexandria, Fairfax are all still relatively low.  These are the strongholds and high population centers.  Biden was behind at this time in 2020 as well.  She isn't going to lose VA.  It's all about PA. 

    Also, Hampton Roads and the rest of the Tidewater is still very low.  That's actually higher population than NOVA. 
    Post edited by mrussel1 on
  • HughFreakingDillon
    HughFreakingDillon Winnipeg Posts: 39,537
    No one seems to recall the Penn vote is what got MAGA's all up in arms about "the steal". Trump blathered on and on about how it was impossible for him to be so far ahead at 9pm then later on in the night he was obliterated. 
    By The Time They Figure Out What Went Wrong, We'll Be Sitting On A Beach, Earning Twenty Percent.




  • Poncier
    Poncier Posts: 17,894
    mrussel1 said:
    Poncier said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    What makes you think that?
    Harris badly underperforming in VA.
    Exit polls show most voters with unfavorable view of current administration. Sure sign of incumbent party going down.
    This thing is over.
    No, I don't think so yet.  The vote % in Henrico, Alexandria, Fairfax are all still relatively low.  These are the strongholds and high population centers.  Biden was behind at this time in 2020 as well.  She isn't going to lose VA.  It's all about PA. 

    Also, Hampton Roads and the rest of the Tidewater is still very low.  That's actually higher population than NOVA. 
    Not saying she'll lose VA, but she's performing Hillary like numbers which is a very bad sign.
    This weekend we rock Portland

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