2024 US Election - Predictions

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Comments

  • bootlegger10
    bootlegger10 Posts: 16,260
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.
  • brianlux
    brianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 43,664
    gimmesometruth27 said:
    brianlux said:
    gimmesometruth27 said:
    harris wins in a blowout. i have never been more confident in my life.

    My biggest wish. 
    did you see trump's empty ass rallies the last few days. he should have been reserving high school gymnasiums because he can't fill mid sized arenas anymore. tired old schtick.

    as i said before. you can't be angry forever, and his anger and campaign ran out of gas.

    Yes, good points.   In other words, the old orange air bag has run out of hot air?  Sounds about right,  lol. 


    "It's a sad and beautiful world"
    -Roberto Benigni

  • Spiritual_Chaos
    Spiritual_Chaos Posts: 31,494
    edited November 2024
    JesseMcK said:
    My guess is:
    - The Selzer poll doesn't mean KH is going to win IA, but it probably does mean she's in better shape in MI, WI, PA, and carries all three
    - The dink running for Gov., in NC drags Trump down and KH takes NC too
    Selzer herself say that the result in that poll doesn’t have to be indicitive of other states. But because of circumstances (the abortion band) being very local to just Iowa. 
    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • Spiritual_Chaos
    Spiritual_Chaos Posts: 31,494
    lindamarie73 said:
    gimmesometruth27 said:
    lindamarie73 said:
    The Juggler said:
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets
    Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo
    you sound nervous. get your shots in while you can.
    Care to put some real skin in the game??? If that dipshit Commila wins I go away for a year, if The Orangeman wins you go away for a year…
    I already know the answer since it’s obvious you don’t have much going on in your world other then this forum and you can’t be that confident…L
    Ill take that bet?

     (If it excludes having to ask things related to an upcoming Pearl Jam tour in the ”The Porch” section (like for example ”how does this new fanclub ticket lottery system work?”) 
    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • brianlux
    brianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 43,664
    bootlegger10 said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    "It's a sad and beautiful world"
    -Roberto Benigni

  • Halifax2TheMax
    Halifax2TheMax Posts: 42,391
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Unless you might consider Hawaii a foreign country because of it’s indigenous population?
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

    Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.

    Brilliantati©
  • brianlux
    brianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 43,664
    Halifax2TheMax said:
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Unless you might consider Hawaii a foreign country because of it’s indigenous population?

    Sadly, today Hawaii is only 10.3% indigenous Native Hawaii or other Pacific Islanders, 21.8% if you include mixed race. 
    "It's a sad and beautiful world"
    -Roberto Benigni

  • Halifax2TheMax
    Halifax2TheMax Posts: 42,391
    brianlux said:
    Halifax2TheMax said:
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Unless you might consider Hawaii a foreign country because of it’s indigenous population?

    Sadly, today Hawaii is only 10.3% indigenous Native Hawaii or other Pacific Islanders, 21.8% if you include mixed race. 
    Unfortunately, for some, that’s what you call a foreign country.

    If Crawford Notch, NH is any indication, we might be in for a long, four years as they broke 3-3 Harris-POOTWH.
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

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  • F Me In The Brain
    F Me In The Brain this knows everybody from other commets Posts: 31,831
    Halifax2TheMax said:
    brianlux said:
    Halifax2TheMax said:
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Unless you might consider Hawaii a foreign country because of it’s indigenous population?

    Sadly, today Hawaii is only 10.3% indigenous Native Hawaii or other Pacific Islanders, 21.8% if you include mixed race. 
    Unfortunately, for some, that’s what you call a foreign country.

    If Crawford Notch, NH is any indication, we might be in for a long, four years as they broke 3-3 Harris-POOTWH.
    Doesn't the town mascot have the tie breaker?
    That goat loves her some Kamala!
    The love he receives is the love that is saved
  • njhaley1
    njhaley1 Valley of the Sun Posts: 878
    edited November 2024
    Halifax2TheMax said:
    brianlux said:
    Halifax2TheMax said:
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Unless you might consider Hawaii a foreign country because of it’s indigenous population?

    Sadly, today Hawaii is only 10.3% indigenous Native Hawaii or other Pacific Islanders, 21.8% if you include mixed race. 
    Unfortunately, for some, that’s what you call a foreign country.

    If Crawford Notch, NH is any indication, we might be in for a long, four years as they broke 3-3 Harris-POOTWH.
    Dixville Notch, and apparently there were 4 Republicans and 2 independents, so...

    E: yes, in 2020 5 votes went to Biden, but apparently these 6 aren't all the same who voted in 2020. 

    Also, all 6 voted for Nikki Haley in the primary. 
    Post edited by njhaley1 on
  • MayDay10
    MayDay10 Posts: 11,856
    I have no idea what the results will be.  Polls seem super tight.  

    My gut says trump is going to win.
  • JesseMcK
    JesseMcK Maine Posts: 67
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    JesseMcK said:
    My guess is:
    - The Selzer poll doesn't mean KH is going to win IA, but it probably does mean she's in better shape in MI, WI, PA, and carries all three
    - The dink running for Gov., in NC drags Trump down and KH takes NC too
    Selzer herself say that the result in that poll doesn’t have to be indicitive of other states. But because of circumstances (the abortion band) being very local to just Iowa. 
    If her poll is to be taken at face value (which I'm not, I don't think KH is going to win IA) then it's an indicator of a larger national polling error.
    https://www.jessemckinnell.com/
  • bootlegger10
    bootlegger10 Posts: 16,260
    brianlux said:
    bootlegger10 said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Although I would love to retire to Europe (which could be a ticking time bomb), I am just referring to my trip to New Zealand to see Pearl Jam on Friday.  Funny timing.

    i do hope the Republican Party can reform to less crazy.  Maybe even add a few other viable parties to break up this two party crap.
  • Gern Blansten
    Gern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 22,267
    bootlegger10 said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.
    I was just thinking this morning about the Romney/Ryan ticket. Oh to have a fucking semi normal nominee again
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • mickeyrat
    mickeyrat Posts: 44,551
    got ourselves a line this time. 25 or so outside. prob close to same inside to check in give or take. couldnt say yet after check in.
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • Gern Blansten
    Gern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 22,267
    mickeyrat said:
    got ourselves a line this time. 25 or so outside. prob close to same inside to check in give or take. couldnt say yet after check in.
    I forgot that there is a polling place right next to my house. Not mine for some reason...mine is a mile away.

    There was no one in line outside and no foot traffic other than one guy I saw walking in. Weird. Of course I'm in Red Meat, IN.
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • mickeyrat
    mickeyrat Posts: 44,551
    Gern Blansten said:
    mickeyrat said:
    got ourselves a line this time. 25 or so outside. prob close to same inside to check in give or take. couldnt say yet after check in.
    I forgot that there is a polling place right next to my house. Not mine for some reason...mine is a mile away.

    There was no one in line outside and no foot traffic other than one guy I saw walking in. Weird. Of course I'm in Red Meat, IN.
    approx 60 or so after check in. 12 machines here.

    no issues with voters. one woman had a medical issue. was taken out on stretcher. dont think she voted yet. appeared like a poll worker was addressing the non-vote after check in.

    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • tbergs
    tbergs Posts: 10,426
    MayDay10 said:
    I have no idea what the results will be.  Polls seem super tight.  

    My gut says trump is going to win.
    I think the opposite, polls are close, but i think the result will be a landslide against Trump even if he only loses some states by 10 - 20 thousand votes. Fuck that guy to the end of the earth. Time to disappear to Florida.
    It's a hopeless situation...
  • The Juggler
    The Juggler Posts: 49,598
    lindamarie73 said:
    gimmesometruth27 said:
    lindamarie73 said:
    The Juggler said:
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets
    Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo
    you sound nervous. get your shots in while you can.
    Care to put some real skin in the game??? If that dipshit Commila wins I go away for a year, if The Orangeman wins you go away for a year…
    I already know the answer since it’s obvious you don’t have much going on in your world other then this forum and you can’t be that confident…L
    Seems like ol' linda here is contemplating leaving the country if Harris wins..
    www.myspace.com
  • cincybearcat
    cincybearcat Posts: 16,847
    I predict that despite each side saying it would be the last election if they lost that we will have another fair/safe presidential election in 2028. 
    hippiemom = goodness

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