2024 US Election - Predictions

gimmesometruth27

lindamarie73 said:

gimmesometruth27 said:

lindamarie73 said:

The Juggler said:

Spiritual_Chaos said:

What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70

I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets

Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo

you sound nervous. get your shots in while you can.

Care to put some real skin in the game??? If that dipshit Commila wins I go away for a year, if The Orangeman wins you go away for a year…
I already know the answer since it’s obvious you don’t have much going on in your world other then this forum and you can’t be that confident…L

i have never been more confident in my life. 

however, i tried to make this bet a few elections ago, got reported, and got a warning, so i am not going to take you up on it this time.

see you back on here crying about voter fraud in a few days, mkay?

mahalo

cincybearcat

Gern Blansten said:

bootlegger10 said:

Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

I was just thinking this morning about the Romney/Ryan ticket. Oh to have a fucking semi normal nominee again

Mitt would have made that map bleed red.... I hope after trump, we can stop vilifying political opponents to the level that we used to...but I think it is here to stay for a while.

Tim Simmons

The Juggler said:

lindamarie73 said:

gimmesometruth27 said:

lindamarie73 said:

The Juggler said:

Spiritual_Chaos said:

What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70

I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets

Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo

you sound nervous. get your shots in while you can.

Care to put some real skin in the game??? If that dipshit Commila wins I go away for a year, if The Orangeman wins you go away for a year…
I already know the answer since it’s obvious you don’t have much going on in your world other then this forum and you can’t be that confident…L

Seems like ol' linda here is contemplating leaving the country if Harris wins..

Lindas gonna hit up Bondi and hit the akaw pockets with the bros. No cap. no kook. mahalo

SVRDhand13

cincybearcat said:

I predict that despite each side saying it would be the last election if they lost that we will have another fair/safe presidential election in 2028. 

If elections are continued to be treated as rigged when Trump loses, that rhetoric will lead to violence between the elections, not necessarily during the election. 

OnWis97

cincybearcat said:

I predict that despite each side saying it would be the last election if they lost that we will have another fair/safe presidential election in 2028. 

I don't agree. JD Vance was all about "the Steal" and I think he certifies 2028 for himself regardless of the votes. There'll be an election but it will be for show.

Gern Blansten

cincybearcat said:

Gern Blansten said:

bootlegger10 said:

Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

I was just thinking this morning about the Romney/Ryan ticket. Oh to have a fucking semi normal nominee again

Mitt would have made that map bleed red.... I hope after trump, we can stop vilifying political opponents to the level that we used to...but I think it is here to stay for a while.

Maybe...I'm not sure he would be able to rally the racist/hilljack vote that trump is a master at motivating.

OnWis97

I tend to think Mitt would win easily under these exact circumstances. He lost to Obama because Obama had that rare personality that brought people out. Trump is going to win because of the number of generally conservative people that vote republican and would still vote for Mitt. There'd be far less awesome merch but I tend to think the merch-owners would vote for him in large numbers. Plus, consider that Biden, about whom nobody was excited, probably won because some of the middle were sick of Trump. That would go away and Harris would lose voters.

1984 (one state and DC for Mondale) probably cannot happen because we're not white enough. But I think Mitt might win with a margin closer to, say, Clinton's margin in 1996.

tbergs

OnWis97 said:

I tend to think Mitt would win easily under these exact circumstances. He lost to Obama because Obama had that rare personality that brought people out. Trump is going to win because of the number of generally conservative people that vote republican and would still vote for Mitt. There'd be far less awesome merch but I tend to think the merch-owners would vote for him in large numbers. Plus, consider that Biden, about whom nobody was excited, probably won because some of the middle were sick of Trump. That would go away and Harris would lose voters.

1984 (one state and DC for Mondale) probably cannot happen because we're not white enough. But I think Mitt might win with a margin closer to, say, Clinton's margin in 1996.

I get it, but your constant doom and gloom that Trump will win gets tiring. Prepare yourself for a Trump loss. It can happen. 😉 

brianlux

bootlegger10 said:

brianlux said:

bootlegger10 said:

Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.

And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.

Although I would love to retire to Europe (which could be a ticking time bomb), I am just referring to my trip to New Zealand to see Pearl Jam on Friday.  Funny timing.

i do hope the Republican Party can reform to less crazy.  Maybe even add a few other viable parties to break up this two party crap.

NZ!  Wow, cool.  Have a great time.  Going there is on my wife's "bucket list".  (Not me, I don't fly.)

Yeah, would be great to see the Republican party again instead of the MAGA Party it has become.  Third parties have never done well in the U.S., but who knows what the future will bring.

cincybearcat

I also predict that these forums will continue to be filled more and more with the far left and far right who defend everything their team does and denounces as pure evil everything the other team does. 

OnWis97

tbergs said:

OnWis97 said:

I tend to think Mitt would win easily under these exact circumstances. He lost to Obama because Obama had that rare personality that brought people out. Trump is going to win because of the number of generally conservative people that vote republican and would still vote for Mitt. There'd be far less awesome merch but I tend to think the merch-owners would vote for him in large numbers. Plus, consider that Biden, about whom nobody was excited, probably won because some of the middle were sick of Trump. That would go away and Harris would lose voters.

1984 (one state and DC for Mondale) probably cannot happen because we're not white enough. But I think Mitt might win with a margin closer to, say, Clinton's margin in 1996.

I get it, but your constant doom and gloom that Trump will win gets tiring. Prepare yourself for a Trump loss. It can happen. 😉 

And I was soooo close to saying "Trump has a chance to win" instead of "Trump is going to win." I am what I am, though.

Tim Simmons

cincybearcat said:

I also predict that these forums will continue to be filled more and more with the far left and far right who defend everything their team does and denounces as pure evil everything the other team does. 

theres very few vocal Far Left here if any at all. "far left" sure, but Left of center is basically 95% of the voices here that I've seen this cycle.

Tim Simmons

I'd also say once Trump is gone and the GOP starts to lean traditional in order to win back the middle voters, you'll get less "pure evil" general accusations and just the normal 'morally evil' accusations. 

tbergs

Tim Simmons said:

cincybearcat said:

I also predict that these forums will continue to be filled more and more with the far left and far right who defend everything their team does and denounces as pure evil everything the other team does. 

theres very few vocal Far Left here if any at all. "far left" sure, but Left of center is basically 95% of the voices here that I've seen this cycle.

Yeah, far left is a stretch. If far left means just pointing to Trump when a dem issue comes up, then I could see that point, but encouraging or supporting outright lies and misinformation is not happening. We're just socialists, not communists 😉.

The Juggler

tbergs said:

Tim Simmons said:

cincybearcat said:

I also predict that these forums will continue to be filled more and more with the far left and far right who defend everything their team does and denounces as pure evil everything the other team does. 

theres very few vocal Far Left here if any at all. "far left" sure, but Left of center is basically 95% of the voices here that I've seen this cycle.

Yeah, far left is a stretch. If far left means just pointing to Trump when a dem issue comes up, then I could see that point, but encouraging or supporting outright lies and misinformation is not happening. We're just socialists, not communists 😉.

I'm a former republican who once voted libertarian for president. 

lol

OnWis97

Tim Simmons said:

I'd also say once Trump is gone and the GOP starts to lean traditional in order to win back the middle voters, you'll get less "pure evil" general accusations and just the normal 'morally evil' accusations. 

That would be awesome but there's so much outrage in the places they get their "information." That seems like a slow path at best.

lindamarie73

Spiritual_Chaos said:

lindamarie73 said:

gimmesometruth27 said:

lindamarie73 said:

The Juggler said:

Spiritual_Chaos said:

What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70

I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets

Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo

you sound nervous. get your shots in while you can.

Care to put some real skin in the game??? If that dipshit Commila wins I go away for a year, if The Orangeman wins you go away for a year…
I already know the answer since it’s obvious you don’t have much going on in your world other then this forum and you can’t be that confident…L

Ill take that bet?

 (If it excludes having to ask things related to an upcoming Pearl Jam tour in the ”The Porch” section (like for example ”how does this new fanclub ticket lottery system work?”) 

No deal, you don’t need this forum for self worth and are reasonable…

lindamarie73

bootlegger10 said:

brianlux said:

bootlegger10 said:

Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.

And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.

Although I would love to retire to Europe (which could be a ticking time bomb), I am just referring to my trip to New Zealand to see Pearl Jam on Friday.  Funny timing.

i do hope the Republican Party can reform to less crazy.  Maybe even add a few other viable parties to break up this two party crap.

Good on ya, see ya out there on the 10th in NZ.   Keep an eye out for a small blond w/ a guy 6’6 most likely wearing his Cubs hat he always wears at PJ shows.  Safe travels, it’s gonna be awesome few weeks down under….hope you surf!! 

brianlux

Don't you just love how the "talk about the subject, not each other" works here?

lindamarie73

gimmesometruth27 said:

lindamarie73 said:

gimmesometruth27 said:

lindamarie73 said:

The Juggler said:

Spiritual_Chaos said:

What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70

I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets

Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo

you sound nervous. get your shots in while you can.

Care to put some real skin in the game??? If that dipshit Commila wins I go away for a year, if The Orangeman wins you go away for a year…
I already know the answer since it’s obvious you don’t have much going on in your world other then this forum and you can’t be that confident…L

i have never been more confident in my life. 

however, i tried to make this bet a few elections ago, got reported, and got a warning, so i am not going to take you up on it this time.

see you back on here crying about voter fraud in a few days, mkay?

mahalo

Really?? Reported 4 that?? The suppression of stuff has no boundaries apparently.  Oh well, Good luck w/ everything.  Aloha