2024 US Election - Predictions

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  • Halifax2TheMaxHalifax2TheMax Posts: 39,319
    brianlux said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Although I would love to retire to Europe (which could be a ticking time bomb), I am just referring to my trip to New Zealand to see Pearl Jam on Friday.  Funny timing.

    i do hope the Republican Party can reform to less crazy.  Maybe even add a few other viable parties to break up this two party crap.
    Good on ya, see ya out there on the 10th in NZ.   Keep an eye out for a small blond w/ a guy 6’6 most likely wearing his Cubs hat he always wears at PJ shows.  Safe travels, it’s gonna be awesome few weeks down under….hope you surf!! 
    Make it easy for them, wear your MAGAT hats and flags like capes. Get tricked out. NZ loves POOTWH. Who knows? Maybe Eddie will call you up on stage for some ukulele songs? Mahalo.
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

    Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.

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  • Spiritual_ChaosSpiritual_Chaos Posts: 30,564
    Need fo go to bed. Hopefully wake up to good news
    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • bootlegger10bootlegger10 Posts: 16,025
    brianlux said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Although I would love to retire to Europe (which could be a ticking time bomb), I am just referring to my trip to New Zealand to see Pearl Jam on Friday.  Funny timing.

    i do hope the Republican Party can reform to less crazy.  Maybe even add a few other viable parties to break up this two party crap.
    Good on ya, see ya out there on the 10th in NZ.   Keep an eye out for a small blond w/ a guy 6’6 most likely wearing his Cubs hat he always wears at PJ shows.  Safe travels, it’s gonna be awesome few weeks down under….hope you surf!! 
    I've got 11 rounds of golf scheduled on the trip.  Will only be at the show on the 8th, and then one show each in Sydney and Melbourne.  Have a great time!
  • bootlegger10bootlegger10 Posts: 16,025
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  
  • brianluxbrianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 42,288
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  

    I don't think that's happened for most states for quite some time.
    It's pointless to worry this early in the game.  
    I hate it when I do something that is pointless. :weary:
    "Pretty cookies, heart squares all around, yeah!"
    -Eddie Vedder, "Smile"

    "Try to not spook the horse."
    -Neil Young













  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,805
    brianlux said:
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  

    I don't think that's happened for most states for quite some time.
    It's pointless to worry this early in the game.  
    I hate it when I do something that is pointless. :weary:
    Watching the flow of data, it seems just like 2020
  • njhaley1njhaley1 Valley of the Sun Posts: 827
    brianlux said:
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  

    I don't think that's happened for most states for quite some time.
    It's pointless to worry this early in the game.  
    I hate it when I do something that is pointless. :weary:
    More important is the reason it happens, and not comprehending why.
  • PoncierPoncier Posts: 17,053
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    This weekend we rock Portland
  • mcgruff10mcgruff10 New Jersey Posts: 28,610
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    What makes you think that?
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
  • brianluxbrianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 42,288
    mrussel1 said:
    brianlux said:
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  

    I don't think that's happened for most states for quite some time.
    It's pointless to worry this early in the game.  
    I hate it when I do something that is pointless. :weary:
    Watching the flow of data, it seems just like 2020

    I'm trying not to watch that data too often.  (I know, good luck with that, haha!)
    "Pretty cookies, heart squares all around, yeah!"
    -Eddie Vedder, "Smile"

    "Try to not spook the horse."
    -Neil Young













  • brianluxbrianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 42,288
    njhaley1 said:
    brianlux said:
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  

    I don't think that's happened for most states for quite some time.
    It's pointless to worry this early in the game.  
    I hate it when I do something that is pointless. :weary:
    More important is the reason it happens, and not comprehending why.

    Population?  Complexity of the world we live in?  Dunno.
    "Pretty cookies, heart squares all around, yeah!"
    -Eddie Vedder, "Smile"

    "Try to not spook the horse."
    -Neil Young













  • tbergstbergs Posts: 9,876
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    It was a pipe dream for states like OH, FL or IN to be blue. So far, everything looks as expected.
    It's a hopeless situation...
  • njhaley1njhaley1 Valley of the Sun Posts: 827
    brianlux said:
    njhaley1 said:
    brianlux said:
    If you are a state that can't report the results by midnight local time, you need to fix your system.  Period.  

    I don't think that's happened for most states for quite some time.
    It's pointless to worry this early in the game.  
    I hate it when I do something that is pointless. :weary:
    More important is the reason it happens, and not comprehending why.

    Population?  Complexity of the world we live in?  Dunno.
    State legislatures that make it harder.  
  • mcgruff10mcgruff10 New Jersey Posts: 28,610
    Georgia not looking good for Harris at the moment 
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
  • HughFreakingDillonHughFreakingDillon Winnipeg Posts: 37,338
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    insanely early to project that
    "Oh Canada...you're beautiful when you're drunk"
    -EV  8/14/93




  • PoncierPoncier Posts: 17,053
    mcgruff10 said:
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    What makes you think that?
    Harris badly underperforming in VA.
    Exit polls show most voters with unfavorable view of current administration. Sure sign of incumbent party going down.
    This thing is over.
    This weekend we rock Portland
  • IndifferenceIndifference Posts: 2,719
    Trump 297-241
    Not looking bad…

    SHOW COUNT: (164) 1990's=3, 2000's=53, 2010/20's=108, US=118, CAN=15, Europe=20 ,New Zealand=4, Australia=5
    Mexico=1, Colombia=1 



  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,805
    edited November 6
    Poncier said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    What makes you think that?
    Harris badly underperforming in VA.
    Exit polls show most voters with unfavorable view of current administration. Sure sign of incumbent party going down.
    This thing is over.
    No, I don't think so yet.  The vote % in Henrico, Alexandria, Fairfax are all still relatively low.  These are the strongholds and high population centers.  Biden was behind at this time in 2020 as well.  She isn't going to lose VA.  It's all about PA. 

    Also, Hampton Roads and the rest of the Tidewater is still very low.  That's actually higher population than NOVA. 
    Post edited by mrussel1 on
  • HughFreakingDillonHughFreakingDillon Winnipeg Posts: 37,338
    No one seems to recall the Penn vote is what got MAGA's all up in arms about "the steal". Trump blathered on and on about how it was impossible for him to be so far ahead at 9pm then later on in the night he was obliterated. 
    "Oh Canada...you're beautiful when you're drunk"
    -EV  8/14/93




  • PoncierPoncier Posts: 17,053
    mrussel1 said:
    Poncier said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    What makes you think that?
    Harris badly underperforming in VA.
    Exit polls show most voters with unfavorable view of current administration. Sure sign of incumbent party going down.
    This thing is over.
    No, I don't think so yet.  The vote % in Henrico, Alexandria, Fairfax are all still relatively low.  These are the strongholds and high population centers.  Biden was behind at this time in 2020 as well.  She isn't going to lose VA.  It's all about PA. 

    Also, Hampton Roads and the rest of the Tidewater is still very low.  That's actually higher population than NOVA. 
    Not saying she'll lose VA, but she's performing Hillary like numbers which is a very bad sign.
    This weekend we rock Portland
  • tbergstbergs Posts: 9,876
    Poncier said:
    mrussel1 said:
    Poncier said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    What makes you think that?
    Harris badly underperforming in VA.
    Exit polls show most voters with unfavorable view of current administration. Sure sign of incumbent party going down.
    This thing is over.
    No, I don't think so yet.  The vote % in Henrico, Alexandria, Fairfax are all still relatively low.  These are the strongholds and high population centers.  Biden was behind at this time in 2020 as well.  She isn't going to lose VA.  It's all about PA. 

    Also, Hampton Roads and the rest of the Tidewater is still very low.  That's actually higher population than NOVA. 
    Not saying she'll lose VA, but she's performing Hillary like numbers which is a very bad sign.
    That's because of her gender. She automatically loses votes Biden didn't have to worry about. Patriarchy is still ingrained in a lot of this country.
    It's a hopeless situation...
  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,805
    Poncier said:
    mrussel1 said:
    Poncier said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    What makes you think that?
    Harris badly underperforming in VA.
    Exit polls show most voters with unfavorable view of current administration. Sure sign of incumbent party going down.
    This thing is over.
    No, I don't think so yet.  The vote % in Henrico, Alexandria, Fairfax are all still relatively low.  These are the strongholds and high population centers.  Biden was behind at this time in 2020 as well.  She isn't going to lose VA.  It's all about PA. 

    Also, Hampton Roads and the rest of the Tidewater is still very low.  That's actually higher population than NOVA. 
    Not saying she'll lose VA, but she's performing Hillary like numbers which is a very bad sign.
    I mean I get the analogy, but she still only lost by a few thousand votes in a few states.  We are talking about fractions of a percentage.  And then Biden flipped that fraction to the other side.  So is VA a bellweather?  I don't know.  I guess we shall see.  
  • mcgruff10mcgruff10 New Jersey Posts: 28,610
    tbergs said:
    Poncier said:
    mrussel1 said:
    Poncier said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    What makes you think that?
    Harris badly underperforming in VA.
    Exit polls show most voters with unfavorable view of current administration. Sure sign of incumbent party going down.
    This thing is over.
    No, I don't think so yet.  The vote % in Henrico, Alexandria, Fairfax are all still relatively low.  These are the strongholds and high population centers.  Biden was behind at this time in 2020 as well.  She isn't going to lose VA.  It's all about PA. 

    Also, Hampton Roads and the rest of the Tidewater is still very low.  That's actually higher population than NOVA. 
    Not saying she'll lose VA, but she's performing Hillary like numbers which is a very bad sign.
    That's because of her gender. She automatically loses votes Biden didn't have to worry about. Patriarchy is still ingrained in a lot of this country.
    Totally agree.  Gender could be the biggest factor in this race.  Hopefully this isn’t 2016 all over again.   
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,805
    No one seems to recall the Penn vote is what got MAGA's all up in arms about "the steal". Trump blathered on and on about how it was impossible for him to be so far ahead at 9pm then later on in the night he was obliterated. 
    Right because of the way the mail in votes flowed.  But this time, R's voted more in mail-in.  So that actually makes me wonder if the assumptions across the board are correct.  Maybe Harris will have a lead going into the mail in, instead of being behind.  And is that good or bad?  That's the question.  
  • HughFreakingDillonHughFreakingDillon Winnipeg Posts: 37,338
    has Trump claimed victory yet? LOL
    "Oh Canada...you're beautiful when you're drunk"
    -EV  8/14/93




  • darwinstheorydarwinstheory LaPorte, IN Posts: 6,619
    mcgruff10 said:
    tbergs said:
    Poncier said:
    mrussel1 said:
    Poncier said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    Poncier said:
    Looks like our Orange Overlord will return.
    What makes you think that?
    Harris badly underperforming in VA.
    Exit polls show most voters with unfavorable view of current administration. Sure sign of incumbent party going down.
    This thing is over.
    No, I don't think so yet.  The vote % in Henrico, Alexandria, Fairfax are all still relatively low.  These are the strongholds and high population centers.  Biden was behind at this time in 2020 as well.  She isn't going to lose VA.  It's all about PA. 

    Also, Hampton Roads and the rest of the Tidewater is still very low.  That's actually higher population than NOVA. 
    Not saying she'll lose VA, but she's performing Hillary like numbers which is a very bad sign.
    That's because of her gender. She automatically loses votes Biden didn't have to worry about. Patriarchy is still ingrained in a lot of this country.
    Totally agree.  Gender could be the biggest factor in this race.  Hopefully this isn’t 2016 all over again.   
    I'm afraid it is brother. Yikes! 
    "A smart monkey doesn't monkey around with another monkey's monkey" - Darwin's Theory
  • MayDay10MayDay10 Posts: 11,738
    Pretty much going how I thought.


  • pjhawkspjhawks Posts: 12,566
    this feels like 2016.  wtf is wrong with this country?  
  • darwinstheorydarwinstheory LaPorte, IN Posts: 6,619
    has Trump claimed victory yet? LOL
    Some time back in April I think.
    "A smart monkey doesn't monkey around with another monkey's monkey" - Darwin's Theory
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,303
    as of 10 pm in 2020 trump had won the same states he has now and still did not win. it isn't over yet.
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
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