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2024 US Election - Predictions

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  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 20,645
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I wonder about the demographic of these betting places...seems to me to be mostly young white men
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • Spiritual_ChaosSpiritual_Chaos Posts: 30,564
    Gern Blansten said:
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I wonder about the demographic of these betting places...seems to me to be mostly young white men
    Yeah. I tried to will it into me exploiting that and CASHING OUT. We'll see.
    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • The JugglerThe Juggler Posts: 49,032
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets
    www.myspace.com
  • OnWis97OnWis97 St. Paul, MN Posts: 5,194
    There's something unsavory about gambling on elections. Then again, there's something unsavory about gambling in general.
    (Not that I'm against it but it's always funny to see someone lose their mind because a late TD caused a team to win by 19 instead of 26.)
    1995 Milwaukee     1998 Alpine, Alpine     2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston     2004 Boston, Boston     2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty)     2011 Alpine, Alpine     
    2013 Wrigley     2014 St. Paul     2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley     2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley     2021 Asbury Park     2022 St Louis     2023 Austin, Austin
  • Spiritual_ChaosSpiritual_Chaos Posts: 30,564
    edited November 4
    OnWis97 said:
    There's something unsavory about gambling on elections. Then again, there's something unsavory about gambling in general.
    (Not that I'm against it but it's always funny to see someone lose their mind because a late TD caused a team to win by 19 instead of 26.)
    Last time I bet on anything... was that Carrie Fisher would be the last one shown at the Academy Awards In Memorial-montage.

    I think I lost on some of the awards categories though that Oscar year. But still made some money because of Fisher (like 40 bucks.. haha)

    Only time I ever bet on anything. Until now. 
    Post edited by Spiritual_Chaos on
    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • OnWis97OnWis97 St. Paul, MN Posts: 5,194
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    OnWis97 said:
    There's something unsavory about gambling on elections. Then again, there's something unsavory about gambling in general.
    (Not that I'm against it but it's always funny to see someone lose their mind because a late TD caused a team to win by 19 instead of 26.)
    Last time I bet on anything... was that Carrie Fisher would be the last one shown at the Academy Awards In Memorial-montage.

    I think I lost on some of the awards categories though that Oscar year. But still made some money because of Fisher (like 40 bucks.. haha)
    Wow. You truly can bet on anything.

    My favorite is the Super Bowl coin flip. Which team wins the flip. Heads or tails. Probably weather the person calls heads or tails.
    1995 Milwaukee     1998 Alpine, Alpine     2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston     2004 Boston, Boston     2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty)     2011 Alpine, Alpine     
    2013 Wrigley     2014 St. Paul     2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley     2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley     2021 Asbury Park     2022 St Louis     2023 Austin, Austin
  • JesseMcKJesseMcK Maine Posts: 65
    My guess is:
    - The Selzer poll doesn't mean KH is going to win IA, but it probably does mean she's in better shape in MI, WI, PA, and carries all three
    - The dink running for Gov., in NC drags Trump down and KH takes NC too
    https://www.jessemckinnell.com/
  • OnWis97OnWis97 St. Paul, MN Posts: 5,194
    JesseMcK said:
    My guess is:
    - The Selzer poll doesn't mean KH is going to win IA, but it probably does mean she's in better shape in MI, WI, PA, and carries all three
    - The dink running for Gov., in NC drags Trump down and KH takes NC too
    That would be awesome. Not sure how he impacts the presidential race there. He might not hurt Trump, but he sure as hell doesn't help.
    1995 Milwaukee     1998 Alpine, Alpine     2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston     2004 Boston, Boston     2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty)     2011 Alpine, Alpine     
    2013 Wrigley     2014 St. Paul     2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley     2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley     2021 Asbury Park     2022 St Louis     2023 Austin, Austin
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 20,645
    JesseMcK said:
    My guess is:
    - The Selzer poll doesn't mean KH is going to win IA, but it probably does mean she's in better shape in MI, WI, PA, and carries all three
    - The dink running for Gov., in NC drags Trump down and KH takes NC too
    yeah if Harris is even close to trump in IA that will be very interesting
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • The JugglerThe Juggler Posts: 49,032
    edited November 4
    Gern Blansten said:
    JesseMcK said:
    My guess is:
    - The Selzer poll doesn't mean KH is going to win IA, but it probably does mean she's in better shape in MI, WI, PA, and carries all three
    - The dink running for Gov., in NC drags Trump down and KH takes NC too
    yeah if Harris is even close to trump in IA that will be very interesting
    I agree with all of this.


    www.myspace.com
  • Spiritual_ChaosSpiritual_Chaos Posts: 30,564
    SHould I stay up late tomorrow and watch the beginning of the election coverage. 
    Or go to sleep early and wake up at like 05:30 am to watch the end before work.
    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 20,645
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    SHould I stay up late tomorrow and watch the beginning of the election coverage. 
    Or go to sleep early and wake up at like 05:30 am to watch the end before work.
    I think we'll know tomorrow night honestly
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,206
    sleep early and wake up. Unless its a landslide, its gonna take away to tabulate all the votes.

  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,303
    Gern Blansten said:
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    SHould I stay up late tomorrow and watch the beginning of the election coverage. 
    Or go to sleep early and wake up at like 05:30 am to watch the end before work.
    I think we'll know tomorrow night honestly
    trump will claim it as soon as the west coast polls close. just watch.
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • Go BeaversGo Beavers Posts: 9,171
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    SHould I stay up late tomorrow and watch the beginning of the election coverage. 
    Or go to sleep early and wake up at like 05:30 am to watch the end before work.
    I would think 7:00 am your time will be the earliest it gets called. AZ and PA results come in slowly. 
  • The JugglerThe Juggler Posts: 49,032
    gimmesometruth27 said:
    Gern Blansten said:
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    SHould I stay up late tomorrow and watch the beginning of the election coverage. 
    Or go to sleep early and wake up at like 05:30 am to watch the end before work.
    I think we'll know tomorrow night honestly
    trump will claim it as soon as the west coast polls close. just watch.
    I think she'll win by enough where that strategy won't work as well as a lot of folks have feared. He'll still try though.
    www.myspace.com
  • JesseMcKJesseMcK Maine Posts: 65
    MI, PA, WI, AZ and NC all have D governors. KH will oversee the counting of the electorates. They passed legislation making it harder for idiots in the house to drag their feet or reject electors. Trump will trick some idiots into making a big deal about something, but it's much harder for him to make an actual mess of things this time around.
    https://www.jessemckinnell.com/
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,206
    gimmesometruth27 said:
    Gern Blansten said:
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    SHould I stay up late tomorrow and watch the beginning of the election coverage. 
    Or go to sleep early and wake up at like 05:30 am to watch the end before work.
    I think we'll know tomorrow night honestly
    trump will claim it as soon as the west coast polls close. just watch.
    No way.


    midwest for sure. Probably when polls close in the east 
  • lindamarie73lindamarie73 Posts: 446
    The Juggler said:
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets
    Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo
  • njhaley1njhaley1 Valley of the Sun Posts: 827
    Sick burn
  • Johnny AbruzzoJohnny Abruzzo Philly Posts: 11,714
    After waking up at 4:47 and dealing with all the sitches all day, and getting home about 10, I will fall asleep before the winner is announced.
    Spectrum 10/27/09; New Orleans JazzFest 5/1/10; Made in America 9/2/12; Phila, PA 10/21/13; Phila, PA 10/22/13; Baltimore Arena 10/27/13;
    Phila, PA 4/28/16; Phila, PA 4/29/16; Fenway Park 8/7/16; Fenway Park 9/2/18; Asbury Park 9/18/21; Camden 9/14/22;
    Las Vegas 5/16/24; Las Vegas 5/18/24; Phila, PA 9/7/24; Phila, PA 9/9/24; Baltimore Arena 9/12/24

    Tres Mtns - TLA 3/23/11; EV - Tower Theatre 6/25/11; Temple of the Dog - Tower Theatre 11/5/16
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,206
    No juice. 
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,206
    Johnny Abruzzo said:
    After waking up at 4:47 and dealing with all the sitches all day, and getting home about 10, I will fall asleep before the winner is announced.
    This is the way
  • njhaley1njhaley1 Valley of the Sun Posts: 827
    https://youtu.be/Z0GFRcFm-aY?feature=shared
  • darwinstheorydarwinstheory LaPorte, IN Posts: 6,618
    lindamarie73 said:
    The Juggler said:
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets
    Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo
    Thanks to Joe and ,LA I have more than I've ever had. Sign me up for for more ya angry person.
    "A smart monkey doesn't monkey around with another monkey's monkey" - Darwin's Theory
  • The JugglerThe Juggler Posts: 49,032
    lindamarie73 said:
    The Juggler said:
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets
    Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo

    www.myspace.com
  • brianluxbrianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 42,284
    gimmesometruth27 said:
    harris wins in a blowout. i have never been more confident in my life.

    My biggest wish. 
    "Pretty cookies, heart squares all around, yeah!"
    -Eddie Vedder, "Smile"

    "Try to not spook the horse."
    -Neil Young













  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,303
    lindamarie73 said:
    The Juggler said:
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets
    Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo
    you sound nervous. get your shots in while you can.
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,303
    brianlux said:
    gimmesometruth27 said:
    harris wins in a blowout. i have never been more confident in my life.

    My biggest wish. 
    did you see trump's empty ass rallies the last few days. he should have been reserving high school gymnasiums because he can't fill mid sized arenas anymore. tired old schtick.

    as i said before. you can't be angry forever, and his anger and campaign ran out of gas.
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • lindamarie73lindamarie73 Posts: 446
    gimmesometruth27 said:
    lindamarie73 said:
    The Juggler said:
    Spiritual_Chaos said:
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets
    Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo
    you sound nervous. get your shots in while you can.
    Care to put some real skin in the game??? If that dipshit Commila wins I go away for a year, if The Orangeman wins you go away for a year…
    I already know the answer since it’s obvious you don’t have much going on in your world other then this forum and you can’t be that confident…L
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