2024 US Election - Predictions

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  • bootlegger10bootlegger10 Posts: 16,025
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.
  • brianluxbrianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 42,287
    brianlux said:
    harris wins in a blowout. i have never been more confident in my life.

    My biggest wish. 
    did you see trump's empty ass rallies the last few days. he should have been reserving high school gymnasiums because he can't fill mid sized arenas anymore. tired old schtick.

    as i said before. you can't be angry forever, and his anger and campaign ran out of gas.

    Yes, good points.   In other words, the old orange air bag has run out of hot air?  Sounds about right,  lol. 


    "Pretty cookies, heart squares all around, yeah!"
    -Eddie Vedder, "Smile"

    "Try to not spook the horse."
    -Neil Young













  • Spiritual_ChaosSpiritual_Chaos Posts: 30,564
    edited November 5
    JesseMcK said:
    My guess is:
    - The Selzer poll doesn't mean KH is going to win IA, but it probably does mean she's in better shape in MI, WI, PA, and carries all three
    - The dink running for Gov., in NC drags Trump down and KH takes NC too
    Selzer herself say that the result in that poll doesn’t have to be indicitive of other states. But because of circumstances (the abortion band) being very local to just Iowa. 
    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • Spiritual_ChaosSpiritual_Chaos Posts: 30,564
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets
    Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo
    you sound nervous. get your shots in while you can.
    Care to put some real skin in the game??? If that dipshit Commila wins I go away for a year, if The Orangeman wins you go away for a year…
    I already know the answer since it’s obvious you don’t have much going on in your world other then this forum and you can’t be that confident…L
    Ill take that bet?

     (If it excludes having to ask things related to an upcoming Pearl Jam tour in the ”The Porch” section (like for example ”how does this new fanclub ticket lottery system work?”) 
    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • brianluxbrianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 42,287
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    "Pretty cookies, heart squares all around, yeah!"
    -Eddie Vedder, "Smile"

    "Try to not spook the horse."
    -Neil Young













  • Halifax2TheMaxHalifax2TheMax Posts: 39,313
    brianlux said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Unless you might consider Hawaii a foreign country because of it’s indigenous population?
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

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  • brianluxbrianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 42,287
    brianlux said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Unless you might consider Hawaii a foreign country because of it’s indigenous population?

    Sadly, today Hawaii is only 10.3% indigenous Native Hawaii or other Pacific Islanders, 21.8% if you include mixed race. 
    "Pretty cookies, heart squares all around, yeah!"
    -Eddie Vedder, "Smile"

    "Try to not spook the horse."
    -Neil Young













  • Halifax2TheMaxHalifax2TheMax Posts: 39,313
    brianlux said:
    brianlux said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Unless you might consider Hawaii a foreign country because of it’s indigenous population?

    Sadly, today Hawaii is only 10.3% indigenous Native Hawaii or other Pacific Islanders, 21.8% if you include mixed race. 
    Unfortunately, for some, that’s what you call a foreign country.

    If Crawford Notch, NH is any indication, we might be in for a long, four years as they broke 3-3 Harris-POOTWH.
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

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  • F Me In The BrainF Me In The Brain this knows everybody from other commets Posts: 31,377
    brianlux said:
    brianlux said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Unless you might consider Hawaii a foreign country because of it’s indigenous population?

    Sadly, today Hawaii is only 10.3% indigenous Native Hawaii or other Pacific Islanders, 21.8% if you include mixed race. 
    Unfortunately, for some, that’s what you call a foreign country.

    If Crawford Notch, NH is any indication, we might be in for a long, four years as they broke 3-3 Harris-POOTWH.
    Doesn't the town mascot have the tie breaker?
    That goat loves her some Kamala!
    The love he receives is the love that is saved
  • njhaley1njhaley1 Valley of the Sun Posts: 827
    edited November 5
    brianlux said:
    brianlux said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Unless you might consider Hawaii a foreign country because of it’s indigenous population?

    Sadly, today Hawaii is only 10.3% indigenous Native Hawaii or other Pacific Islanders, 21.8% if you include mixed race. 
    Unfortunately, for some, that’s what you call a foreign country.

    If Crawford Notch, NH is any indication, we might be in for a long, four years as they broke 3-3 Harris-POOTWH.
    Dixville Notch, and apparently there were 4 Republicans and 2 independents, so...

    E: yes, in 2020 5 votes went to Biden, but apparently these 6 aren't all the same who voted in 2020. 

    Also, all 6 voted for Nikki Haley in the primary. 
    Post edited by njhaley1 on
  • MayDay10MayDay10 Posts: 11,738
    I have no idea what the results will be.  Polls seem super tight.  

    My gut says trump is going to win.
  • JesseMcKJesseMcK Maine Posts: 65
    JesseMcK said:
    My guess is:
    - The Selzer poll doesn't mean KH is going to win IA, but it probably does mean she's in better shape in MI, WI, PA, and carries all three
    - The dink running for Gov., in NC drags Trump down and KH takes NC too
    Selzer herself say that the result in that poll doesn’t have to be indicitive of other states. But because of circumstances (the abortion band) being very local to just Iowa. 
    If her poll is to be taken at face value (which I'm not, I don't think KH is going to win IA) then it's an indicator of a larger national polling error.
  • bootlegger10bootlegger10 Posts: 16,025
    brianlux said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Although I would love to retire to Europe (which could be a ticking time bomb), I am just referring to my trip to New Zealand to see Pearl Jam on Friday.  Funny timing.

    i do hope the Republican Party can reform to less crazy.  Maybe even add a few other viable parties to break up this two party crap.
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 20,645
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.
    I was just thinking this morning about the Romney/Ryan ticket. Oh to have a fucking semi normal nominee again
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • mickeyratmickeyrat Posts: 39,237
    got ourselves a line this time. 25 or so outside. prob close to same inside to check in give or take. couldnt say yet after check in.
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 20,645
    mickeyrat said:
    got ourselves a line this time. 25 or so outside. prob close to same inside to check in give or take. couldnt say yet after check in.
    I forgot that there is a polling place right next to my house. Not mine for some reason...mine is a mile away.

    There was no one in line outside and no foot traffic other than one guy I saw walking in. Weird. Of course I'm in Red Meat, IN.
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • mickeyratmickeyrat Posts: 39,237
    mickeyrat said:
    got ourselves a line this time. 25 or so outside. prob close to same inside to check in give or take. couldnt say yet after check in.
    I forgot that there is a polling place right next to my house. Not mine for some reason...mine is a mile away.

    There was no one in line outside and no foot traffic other than one guy I saw walking in. Weird. Of course I'm in Red Meat, IN.
    approx 60 or so after check in. 12 machines here.

    no issues with voters. one woman had a medical issue. was taken out on stretcher. dont think she voted yet. appeared like a poll worker was addressing the non-vote after check in.

    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • tbergstbergs Posts: 9,876
    MayDay10 said:
    I have no idea what the results will be.  Polls seem super tight.  

    My gut says trump is going to win.
    I think the opposite, polls are close, but i think the result will be a landslide against Trump even if he only loses some states by 10 - 20 thousand votes. Fuck that guy to the end of the earth. Time to disappear to Florida.
    It's a hopeless situation...
  • The JugglerThe Juggler Posts: 49,032
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets
    Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo
    you sound nervous. get your shots in while you can.
    Care to put some real skin in the game??? If that dipshit Commila wins I go away for a year, if The Orangeman wins you go away for a year…
    I already know the answer since it’s obvious you don’t have much going on in your world other then this forum and you can’t be that confident…L
    Seems like ol' linda here is contemplating leaving the country if Harris wins..
    www.myspace.com
  • cincybearcatcincybearcat Posts: 16,488
    I predict that despite each side saying it would be the last election if they lost that we will have another fair/safe presidential election in 2028. 
    hippiemom = goodness
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,303
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets
    Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo
    you sound nervous. get your shots in while you can.
    Care to put some real skin in the game??? If that dipshit Commila wins I go away for a year, if The Orangeman wins you go away for a year…
    I already know the answer since it’s obvious you don’t have much going on in your world other then this forum and you can’t be that confident…L
    i have never been more confident in my life. 

    however, i tried to make this bet a few elections ago, got reported, and got a warning, so i am not going to take you up on it this time.

    see you back on here crying about voter fraud in a few days, mkay?

    mahalo
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • cincybearcatcincybearcat Posts: 16,488
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.
    I was just thinking this morning about the Romney/Ryan ticket. Oh to have a fucking semi normal nominee again
    Mitt would have made that map bleed red.... I hope after trump, we can stop vilifying political opponents to the level that we used to...but I think it is here to stay for a while.
    hippiemom = goodness
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,206
    edited November 5
    What worries me is that (swedish) betting places has Harris at 2.30 and Trump at 1.70
    I would not put much stock in any of the betting markets
    Have you ever heard the saying FOLLOW THE $$$$??? Probably not since it’s obvious many of y’all don’t have much of it…. Sleep well, Mahalo
    you sound nervous. get your shots in while you can.
    Care to put some real skin in the game??? If that dipshit Commila wins I go away for a year, if The Orangeman wins you go away for a year…
    I already know the answer since it’s obvious you don’t have much going on in your world other then this forum and you can’t be that confident…L
    Seems like ol' linda here is contemplating leaving the country if Harris wins..
    Lindas gonna hit up Bondi and hit the akaw pockets with the bros. No cap. no kook. mahalo
  • SVRDhand13SVRDhand13 Posts: 26,310
    I predict that despite each side saying it would be the last election if they lost that we will have another fair/safe presidential election in 2028. 
    If elections are continued to be treated as rigged when Trump loses, that rhetoric will lead to violence between the elections, not necessarily during the election. 
    severed hand thirteen
    2006: Gorge 7/23 2008: Hartford 6/27 Beacon 7/1 2009: Spectrum 10/30-31
    2010: Newark 5/18 MSG 5/20-21 2011: PJ20 9/3-4 2012: Made In America 9/2
    2013: Brooklyn 10/18-19 Philly 10/21-22 Hartford 10/25 2014: ACL10/12
    2015: NYC 9/23 2016: Tampa 4/11 Philly 4/28-29 MSG 5/1-2 Fenway 8/5+8/7
    2017: RRHoF 4/7   2018: Fenway 9/2+9/4   2021: Sea Hear Now 9/18 
    2022: MSG 9/11  2024: MSG 9/3-4 Philly 9/7+9/9 Fenway 9/15+9/17
    2025: Pittsburgh 5/16+5/18
  • OnWis97OnWis97 St. Paul, MN Posts: 5,194
    I predict that despite each side saying it would be the last election if they lost that we will have another fair/safe presidential election in 2028. 
    I don't agree. JD Vance was all about "the Steal" and I think he certifies 2028 for himself regardless of the votes. There'll be an election but it will be for show.
    1995 Milwaukee     1998 Alpine, Alpine     2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston     2004 Boston, Boston     2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty)     2011 Alpine, Alpine     
    2013 Wrigley     2014 St. Paul     2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley     2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley     2021 Asbury Park     2022 St Louis     2023 Austin, Austin
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 20,645
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.
    I was just thinking this morning about the Romney/Ryan ticket. Oh to have a fucking semi normal nominee again
    Mitt would have made that map bleed red.... I hope after trump, we can stop vilifying political opponents to the level that we used to...but I think it is here to stay for a while.
    Maybe...I'm not sure he would be able to rally the racist/hilljack vote that trump is a master at motivating.
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  • OnWis97OnWis97 St. Paul, MN Posts: 5,194
    I tend to think Mitt would win easily under these exact circumstances. He lost to Obama because Obama had that rare personality that brought people out. Trump is going to win because of the number of generally conservative people that vote republican and would still vote for Mitt. There'd be far less awesome merch but I tend to think the merch-owners would vote for him in large numbers. Plus, consider that Biden, about whom nobody was excited, probably won because some of the middle were sick of Trump. That would go away and Harris would lose voters.

    1984 (one state and DC for Mondale) probably cannot happen because we're not white enough. But I think Mitt might win with a margin closer to, say, Clinton's margin in 1996.
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  • tbergstbergs Posts: 9,876
    OnWis97 said:
    I tend to think Mitt would win easily under these exact circumstances. He lost to Obama because Obama had that rare personality that brought people out. Trump is going to win because of the number of generally conservative people that vote republican and would still vote for Mitt. There'd be far less awesome merch but I tend to think the merch-owners would vote for him in large numbers. Plus, consider that Biden, about whom nobody was excited, probably won because some of the middle were sick of Trump. That would go away and Harris would lose voters.

    1984 (one state and DC for Mondale) probably cannot happen because we're not white enough. But I think Mitt might win with a margin closer to, say, Clinton's margin in 1996.
    I get it, but your constant doom and gloom that Trump will win gets tiring. Prepare yourself for a Trump loss. It can happen. 😉 
    It's a hopeless situation...
  • brianluxbrianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 42,287
    brianlux said:
    Regardless of who wins, I am leaving the country on Wednesday.  

    Kamala will win.  Crazy that it is this close and how the far right has destroyed the party.  Mitt Romney could have easily beat Kamala, but someone like that won’t beat Trump because of the far right buffoons.

    If you go, I'll say "Good luck and bon voyage."  On the other hand, if you stay, why not become active in the Republican party and be a part of a movement that is sorely needed to make that party viable again?  And remember, these things go in cycles.  I really doubt the far right will not dominate the Republican party forever.  Maybe consider being a part of the change.
    And I'm not saying that being an ex-patriot is a horrible things. I know or have known a number of ex-pats and some seem happy, and others not much.   Really, unless you're really wealthy or well connected, it kind of a crap shoot.  I don't have the stats, but it seems to me the majority of ex-pats end up returning.  Seems like a lot of trouble for what could turn out to be a money drain and for an extended leave.
    Although I would love to retire to Europe (which could be a ticking time bomb), I am just referring to my trip to New Zealand to see Pearl Jam on Friday.  Funny timing.

    i do hope the Republican Party can reform to less crazy.  Maybe even add a few other viable parties to break up this two party crap.

    NZ!  Wow, cool.  Have a great time.  Going there is on my wife's "bucket list".  (Not me, I don't fly.)
    Yeah, would be great to see the Republican party again instead of the MAGA Party it has become.  Third parties have never done well in the U.S., but who knows what the future will bring.
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  • cincybearcatcincybearcat Posts: 16,488
    I also predict that these forums will continue to be filled more and more with the far left and far right who defend everything their team does and denounces as pure evil everything the other team does. 
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