If Biden wins convincingly and the dems take back the senate....he's losing a lot of his clout. You're going to hear the Republicans go back to their post Romney loss playbook and figure out how they can actually grow their party as opposed to just playing to a 30% moronic base.
yep...and I can't wait for the dems to use McConnell's words against him...today he said something like "we had an election where the GOP was put in charge and we are carrying out our duties".
The Dems can plaster that quote all over the place when the supreme court gets expanded
Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago 2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy 2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE) 2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston 2020: Oakland, Oakland:2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana 2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville 2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
If Biden wins convincingly and the dems take back the senate....he's losing a lot of his clout. You're going to hear the Republicans go back to their post Romney loss playbook and figure out how they can actually grow their party as opposed to just playing to a 30% moronic base.
I dont think the Republicans have much of a choice. This is why they tread so carefully and kiss his ass. Trump says the word, and a primary challenger pops up with extreme right Qanon views.
I really believe that they *want* to... however, through all their kvetching through Obama's 8 years and discrediting of the media, making up false realities, etc. Birtherism, Obama is a Muslim, Socialism, etc... Hell, Ill go back to 2004 and the lead-up to Bush vs Kerry and all the Swift boat ad nonsense. It has created a mess.
They created this Frankenstein Trump monster and now he is stomping around and destroying the lab.
These people are conditioned to believe that anyone who trump deems is 'deep state' is inherently bad. Anyone with government experience who wont kiss Trump's ass is going to feel the wrath of his mob and be primaried. The Republicans are going to need to continue to pretend to support this or their party will be split in half and thus unable to control anything as a majority on the national level.
I was just listening to some of tRump's speech in Lansing....amazing how he just yammers on about how far ahead he is. You would think his message would be that it is close and "get out and vote" instead of gloating that he is ahead in states that he clearly trails in.
I had that on the TV in the background. As soon as I heard the crowd start chanting - "We love you" - and the smug look on his face, I had to turn it off. It was making my blood pressure rise.
His mission: accomplished - another lib OWNED!
"A smart monkey doesn't monkey around with another monkey's monkey" - Darwin's Theory
interesting article but it’s putting a chill in my burgeoning optimism. According to article, Biden’s chances drop about 60% if he loses PA and he is only up 5% there (which 538 and RCP both dropped 1.5% in the last week,almost 25% of Bidens PA lead). Just does not have the feel of a nearly 90% race, but I am done questioning that.
On the optimistic side, nearly 70 million have voted and about 25% who did not vote in 2016. That has to be a good sign for Biden.
interesting article but it’s putting a chill in my burgeoning optimism. According to article, Biden’s chances drop about 60% if he loses PA and he is only up 5% there (which 538 and RCP both dropped 1.5% in the last week,almost 25% of Bidens PA lead). Just does not have the feel of a nearly 90% race, but I am done questioning that.
On the optimistic side, nearly 70 million have voted and about 25% who did not vote in 2016. That has to be a good sign for Biden.
Considering Democratic leaners are less likely to vote AND Trump disparages voting by mail, this would be a very good sign. Where did you get that info on the 25%?
interesting article but it’s putting a chill in my burgeoning optimism. According to article, Biden’s chances drop about 60% if he loses PA and he is only up 5% there (which 538 and RCP both dropped 1.5% in the last week,almost 25% of Bidens PA lead). Just does not have the feel of a nearly 90% race, but I am done questioning that.
On the optimistic side, nearly 70 million have voted and about 25% who did not vote in 2016. That has to be a good sign for Biden.
Considering Democratic leaners are less likely to vote AND Trump disparages voting by mail, this would be a very good sign. Where did you get that info on the 25%?
I failed to mention that was for N.C. Very important state but could be a good news.
” A surge in coronavirus cases has damaged President Donald Trump's re-election campaign in Wisconsin, with growing criticism of his work on the pandemic and preference for former Vice President Joe Biden to handle it. Biden holds a slighter advantage in Michigan, with sizable leads among women, moderates and independents in ABC News/Washington Post polls in both states.
Biden leads Trump by 57-40% among likely voters in Wisconsin, a state that's now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53% increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations and a 112% jump in deaths. That compares with a closer 52-46% in mid-September.
” A surge in coronavirus cases has damaged President Donald Trump's re-election campaign in Wisconsin, with growing criticism of his work on the pandemic and preference for former Vice President Joe Biden to handle it. Biden holds a slighter advantage in Michigan, with sizable leads among women, moderates and independents in ABC News/Washington Post polls in both states.
Biden leads Trump by 57-40% among likely voters in Wisconsin, a state that's now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53% increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations and a 112% jump in deaths. That compares with a closer 52-46% in mid-September.
112% jump in deaths. Rounding the corner folks, rounding the corner.
” A surge in coronavirus cases has damaged President Donald Trump's re-election campaign in Wisconsin, with growing criticism of his work on the pandemic and preference for former Vice President Joe Biden to handle it. Biden holds a slighter advantage in Michigan, with sizable leads among women, moderates and independents in ABC News/Washington Post polls in both states.
Biden leads Trump by 57-40% among likely voters in Wisconsin, a state that's now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53% increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations and a 112% jump in deaths. That compares with a closer 52-46% in mid-September.
112% jump in deaths. Rounding the corner folks, rounding the corner.
” A surge in coronavirus cases has damaged President Donald Trump's re-election campaign in Wisconsin, with growing criticism of his work on the pandemic and preference for former Vice President Joe Biden to handle it. Biden holds a slighter advantage in Michigan, with sizable leads among women, moderates and independents in ABC News/Washington Post polls in both states.
Biden leads Trump by 57-40% among likely voters in Wisconsin, a state that's now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53% increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations and a 112% jump in deaths. That compares with a closer 52-46% in mid-September.
112% jump in deaths. Rounding the corner folks, rounding the corner.
Can someone get in touch with W and see if he still has that “Mission Accomplished” banner?
1995 Milwaukee 1998 Alpine, Alpine 2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston 2004 Boston, Boston 2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty) 2011 Alpine, Alpine 2013 Wrigley 2014 St. Paul 2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley 2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley 2021 Asbury Park 2022 St Louis 2023 Austin, Austin
interesting article but it’s putting a chill in my burgeoning optimism. According to article, Biden’s chances drop about 60% if he loses PA and he is only up 5% there (which 538 and RCP both dropped 1.5% in the last week,almost 25% of Bidens PA lead). Just does not have the feel of a nearly 90% race, but I am done questioning that.
On the optimistic side, nearly 70 million have voted and about 25% who did not vote in 2016. That has to be a good sign for Biden.
Considering Democratic leaners are less likely to vote AND Trump disparages voting by mail, this would be a very good sign. Where did you get that info on the 25%?
I failed to mention that was for N.C. Very important state but could be a good news.
Texas youth vote up 600%, which is important because overall Texas vote is already almost 90% of 2016 total, so,it’s a big sample.
” A surge in coronavirus cases has damaged President Donald Trump's re-election campaign in Wisconsin, with growing criticism of his work on the pandemic and preference for former Vice President Joe Biden to handle it. Biden holds a slighter advantage in Michigan, with sizable leads among women, moderates and independents in ABC News/Washington Post polls in both states.
Biden leads Trump by 57-40% among likely voters in Wisconsin, a state that's now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53% increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations and a 112% jump in deaths. That compares with a closer 52-46% in mid-September.
112% jump in deaths. Rounding the corner folks, rounding the corner.
” A surge in coronavirus cases has damaged President Donald Trump's re-election campaign in Wisconsin, with growing criticism of his work on the pandemic and preference for former Vice President Joe Biden to handle it. Biden holds a slighter advantage in Michigan, with sizable leads among women, moderates and independents in ABC News/Washington Post polls in both states.
Biden leads Trump by 57-40% among likely voters in Wisconsin, a state that's now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53% increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations and a 112% jump in deaths. That compares with a closer 52-46% in mid-September.
112% jump in deaths. Rounding the corner folks, rounding the corner.
I really don't think he wants to be re-elected. Not that he would ever admit that, but he can kill 2 birds with 1 stone by continuing to make these outrageous claims because his base of supporters believe this BS so they stick with him while he knows any rational person with a pulse will vote his ass out for his stupidity.
interesting article but it’s putting a chill in my burgeoning optimism. According to article, Biden’s chances drop about 60% if he loses PA and he is only up 5% there (which 538 and RCP both dropped 1.5% in the last week,almost 25% of Bidens PA lead). Just does not have the feel of a nearly 90% race, but I am done questioning that.
On the optimistic side, nearly 70 million have voted and about 25% who did not vote in 2016. That has to be a good sign for Biden.
Considering Democratic leaners are less likely to vote AND Trump disparages voting by mail, this would be a very good sign. Where did you get that info on the 25%?
I failed to mention that was for N.C. Very important state but could be a good news.
Texas youth vote up 600%, which is important because overall Texas vote is already almost 90% of 2016 total, so,it’s a big sample.
Nate Silver has alluded to it.... but it is equally as just possible that there is a 'magic bump' in Biden's turnout as there was for Trump's. IMO, common sense tells me that is more likely. I truly think Trump had his large pocket of motivated voters. VERY motivated, and they turned out in 2016 in very high percentages, which tipped the polls off. Polls have adjusted to that turnout. Trump has not earned any significant voter bloc, and if anything has sloughed off voters. Now, Trump's base has gone from VERY motivated to INSANELY motivated, but their vote still counts the same. We just have to see childish parades, floatillas, and giant flags on pickup trucks. But roughly its the same number.
I do think there is a wave of voters in support of Biden (probably moreso a rejection of Trump) that could be under the radar and unprecedented.
interesting article but it’s putting a chill in my burgeoning optimism. According to article, Biden’s chances drop about 60% if he loses PA and he is only up 5% there (which 538 and RCP both dropped 1.5% in the last week,almost 25% of Bidens PA lead). Just does not have the feel of a nearly 90% race, but I am done questioning that.
On the optimistic side, nearly 70 million have voted and about 25% who did not vote in 2016. That has to be a good sign for Biden.
Considering Democratic leaners are less likely to vote AND Trump disparages voting by mail, this would be a very good sign. Where did you get that info on the 25%?
I failed to mention that was for N.C. Very important state but could be a good news.
Texas youth vote up 600%, which is important because overall Texas vote is already almost 90% of 2016 total, so,it’s a big sample.
Nate Silver has alluded to it.... but it is equally as just possible that there is a 'magic bump' in Biden's turnout as there was for Trump's. IMO, common sense tells me that is more likely. I truly think Trump had his large pocket of motivated voters. VERY motivated, and they turned out in 2016 in very high percentages, which tipped the polls off. Polls have adjusted to that turnout. Trump has not earned any significant voter bloc, and if anything has sloughed off voters. Now, Trump's base has gone from VERY motivated to INSANELY motivated, but their vote still counts the same. We just have to see childish parades, floatillas, and giant flags on pickup trucks. But roughly its the same number.
I do think there is a wave of voters in support of Biden (probably moreso a rejection of Trump) that could be under the radar and unprecedented.
Absolutely. I feel like it's a near majority the people voting for Biden are doing it more in support of ousting Trump than for their full support and admiration of Joseph Biden.
Yeah, but he'd be the youngest of the 78's. He's actually healthier than 20 year olds, people have told me.
I also believe that he and McConnell will never die.
Mitch looks like he won't make Thanksgiving...
Imagine if that was true. Spending his last days owning the libs and working towards a one-party system. I don’t quite understand what makes him tick.
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I also believe that he and McConnell will never die.
The Dems can plaster that quote all over the place when the supreme court gets expanded
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
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2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
I really believe that they *want* to... however, through all their kvetching through Obama's 8 years and discrediting of the media, making up false realities, etc. Birtherism, Obama is a Muslim, Socialism, etc... Hell, Ill go back to 2004 and the lead-up to Bush vs Kerry and all the Swift boat ad nonsense. It has created a mess.
They created this Frankenstein Trump monster and now he is stomping around and destroying the lab.
These people are conditioned to believe that anyone who trump deems is 'deep state' is inherently bad. Anyone with government experience who wont kiss Trump's ass is going to feel the wrath of his mob and be primaried. The Republicans are going to need to continue to pretend to support this or their party will be split in half and thus unable to control anything as a majority on the national level.
This is good: https://www.ft.com/content/affe91ca-c1a9-41b2-8592-9ba9580eb130
If that link doesn't work, then it works through a tweet link:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-joe-biden-toast-if-he-loses-pennsylvania/
interesting article but it’s putting a chill in my burgeoning optimism. According to article, Biden’s chances drop about 60% if he loses PA and he is only up 5% there (which 538 and RCP both dropped 1.5% in the last week,almost 25% of Bidens PA lead). Just does not have the feel of a nearly 90% race, but I am done questioning that.
canary in a coal mine? Hopefully.
....
” A surge in coronavirus cases has damaged President Donald Trump's re-election campaign in Wisconsin, with growing criticism of his work on the pandemic and preference for former Vice President Joe Biden to handle it. Biden holds a slighter advantage in Michigan, with sizable leads among women, moderates and independents in ABC News/Washington Post polls in both states.
Biden leads Trump by 57-40% among likely voters in Wisconsin, a state that's now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53% increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations and a 112% jump in deaths. That compares with a closer 52-46% in mid-September.
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Get yourself informed already.
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another canary in a coal mine?
https://www.ksat.com/vote-2020/2020/10/27/the-youth-vote-in-texas-is-up-by-more-than-600-from-last-presidential-election/
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I do think there is a wave of voters in support of Biden (probably moreso a rejection of Trump) that could be under the radar and unprecedented.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/523076-democrats-see-signs-of-hidden-biden-voters-flipping-from-gop
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