Shut out once again. Ten Club, I would like an explanation

1303133353639

Comments

  • Got BA for OKC. Only one I picked
    seen em at: 08/31/98 - Raleigh : 05/10/00 - Mnt Baker Theatre, Wa : 11/02/00 - PDX  : 11/05/00 & 11/06/00 - SEA : 4/3/03 - OKC : 10/03/04 - Grand Rapids : 05/03/10 - KC : 11/15/13 - Dallas : 11/16/13 - OKC  : 10/09/14 - Tulsa : 11/20/2016 - ToTD Seattle : 08/10/2018 - SEA : 09/20/2022 - OKC
  • OceansJennyOceansJenny Posts: 3,394
    benjs said:
    This isn't complicated, guys.

    Here's how I suspect they did it based on it being straightforward and aligning with everything they've shared about the process.

    1. Filter on just the applicants for the show being drawn, in first priority
    2. Pick a name. 
    3. Check their preference
    4a. If they requested GA, check if there are GA available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4b. If they requested Best Available, check if there are GA available. If not, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4c. If they requested Reserved, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    5. Once all entries have been processed to either win/loss within the priority, repeat the exercise with the next priority
    6. Once all entries for the show have been processed to either win/loss, move on to the next one (hence why the email alerts came one show at a time)

    Technically, once they knew a show was fully allocated, they could've also stopped lottery-ing for that show and send loss notices to everyone after too. 
    This is the winner. No more speculation. The end.
    DC '03 - Reading '04 - Philly '05 - Camden 1 '06 - DC '06 - E. Rutherford '06 - The Vic '07 - Lollapalooza '07 - DC '08 - EV DC 1 & 2 '08 (Met Ed!!) - EV Baltimore 1 & 2 '09 - EV NYC 1 '11 (Met Ed!) - Hartford '13 - GCF '15 - MSG 2 '16 - TOTD MSG '16 - Boston 1 & 2 '18 - SHN '21 - EV NYC 1 & 2 '22 - MSG '22
  • benjs said:
    This isn't complicated, guys.

    Here's how I suspect they did it based on it being straightforward and aligning with everything they've shared about the process.

    1. Filter on just the applicants for the show being drawn, in first priority
    2. Pick a name. 
    3. Check their preference
    4a. If they requested GA, check if there are GA available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4b. If they requested Best Available, check if there are GA available. If not, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4c. If they requested Reserved, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    5. Once all entries have been processed to either win/loss within the priority, repeat the exercise with the next priority
    6. Once all entries for the show have been processed to either win/loss, move on to the next one (hence why the email alerts came one show at a time)

    Technically, once they knew a show was fully allocated, they could've also stopped lottery-ing for that show and send loss notices to everyone after too. 
    This is the winner. No more speculation. The end.
    Agreed. 
  • KevinmanKevinman Posts: 1,909
    amethgr8 said:
    I believe there is only one hat/pool/bowl.  I know they put all GA ONLY & BA into the first drawing, past that, I don't know.

    I would like some input on how someone got their 6th pick over a BA shut out.  In this case I believe that they pulled the 6th priority name and didn't pull the BA name.  I would like other input on this situation
    If they put all GA & BA into 1st drawing....you are implying 2 “hats”?  

    The 6th priority is crazy....has that really happened over a 1st priority BA?  My guess would be the 1st priority had technical issues if so.
    I am lost, I'm no guide, but I'm by your side

    06.27.98  Alpine Valley
    10.08.00  Alpine Valley
    09.23.02  Chicago
    06.18.03  Chicago | 06.21.03  Alpine Valley
    10.03.04  Grand Rapids
    10.05.05  Chicago
    05.16.06  Chicago | 05.17.06  Chicago | 06.29.06  Milwaukee
    08.02.07  Chicago | 08.05.07  Chicago
    08.23.09  Chicago | 08.24.09  Chicago
    05.07.10  Noblesville | 05.09.10  Cleveland
    09.03.11  Alpine Valley | 09.04.11  Alpine Valley
    07.19.13  Chicago
    10.17.14  Moline
    08.20.16  Chicago
    08.18.18  Chicago
    09.18.22  St. Louis
    09.05.23 Chicago
  • PJammer4lifePJammer4life Los Angeles Posts: 2,645
    That would somewhat explain how people who put Reserved lost even at 99%. If GA was full, then the people who picked BA  would all switch to reserved and those numbers would dilute the reserved odds from 99%.
    Bridge Benefit 1994, San Francisco 1995, San Diego 1995 1 & 2, Missoula 1998, Los Angeles 2000, San Diego 2000, Eddie Vedder/Beck 2/26/2002, Santa Barbara 2003, Irvine 2003, San Diego 2003, Vancouver 2005, Gorge 2005, San Diego 2006, Los Angeles 2006 1 & 2, Santa Barbara 2006, Eddie Vedder 4/10/08, Eddie Vedder 4/12/08, Eddie Vedder 4/15/08, 7/12/2008, SF 8/28/09, LA 9/30/09, LA 10/1/09, LA 10/06/09, LA 10/07/09, San Diego 10/09/09, Eddie Vedder 7/6/2011, Eddie Vedder 7/8/2011, PJ20 9/3/2011, PJ20 9/4/2011, Vancouver 9/25/2011, San Diego 11/21/13, LA 11/24/13, Ohana 9/25/21, Ohana 9/26/21, Ohana 10/1/21, EV 2/17/22, LA Forum 5/6/22, LA Forum 5/7/22, EV 10/1/22, EV 9/30/23
  • Lerxst1992Lerxst1992 Posts: 6,534
    Kevinman said:
    ecdanc said:
    “ GA (General Admission) and Reserved (Seated) Ticket Options:
    There is a 2 ticket limit per show. Eligible members may submit a Ticket Request for both GA and Reserved tickets to any given show, but can only possibly be confirmed for one or the other. It is not possible to be confirmed for both GA and Reserved tickets for the same show. “

    Think for a second about the complexity of the two hat theory. Let’s say there are 2,000 GA winners and 1500 of them were BA applicants.

    theyd have to go thru the entire data base and scrub out those 1500 winners before doing the second hat draw. Think about how much time and work that adds to the process and how much that adds to the risk of error, by violating this basic rule

    “ It is not possible to be confirmed for both GA and Reserved tickets for the same show. “

    ”NOT POSSIBLE.” That is the absolute evidence. 




    they did the Balt draw in under three hours and there’s no way they scrubbed the data base and did a second hat draw, all within the time period we know the draw began and ended.
    I don't really want to get into an argument (anymore than I already am), but no....that doesn't say what you're claiming it says. 

    As for the rest, I'm no programmer, but I can't imagine it would be that hard to create a database that does what you describe. That's only conjecture, though. 
    I do write programs....and this one would be fairly easy.  It is not done manually(someone actually removing names from a database after selected).  People saying it’s over complicated to have multiple “hats” might not know how simple it really is to program this to run through 2-6 rounds of multiple hats.  Probably hit start, and it goes through picking and eliminating and is done in less than 1 minute.


    But do you use the programs? What coders love to say is easy just doesn’t work out that way in real life. We can run in this drawing on Microsoft 365 if you have any doubts.

    my point was, why add a layer of complexity, even if you believe you can 100% remove the risk of population error in one minute? What benefit does this create and why is the two hat theory not anywhere in the club literature?
  • Lerxst1992Lerxst1992 Posts: 6,534
    myoung321 said:
    Definitely not a “fair” process. When the odds are 99% for reserved tickets for most shows, and there are this many upset 10c members, it’s obvious they (Ticketmaster and 10c) messed up. What a shame. 
    Just because the odds were 99% when entered does not mean it stayed at 99% - a majority were much much lower as the lottery ended.

    3 hours before lottery ended MSG - TOR - BAL were like 60% Res & 10% GA 
    Not even close to true.

    Those look close to the reported odds at the end of the registration. Do you have evidence otherwise?
    He said the majority were much much lower.  The last posted photo right before the lotto closed showed the majority were still at 99%. I’m not going to look for the pic but someone can post it for you.


    the 99% were all RES shows “as the lottery ended”

    Every RES over 100 miles of the Atlantic was stated as 99% as of the last report.

    Where was it documented the majority of these shows odds dropped to a “much lower” amount?


  • KevinmanKevinman Posts: 1,909
    The future solution:  BA should be removed to clear up confusion.

    2 options:

    GA
    Res

    Enter for 1 or both(priority 1 and 2)

    1st draw:  Everyone with Priority 1 GA
    2nd draw:  Everyone with Priority 1 Res
    3rd draw if GA still has room and all Priority 1 GA got tix:  Anyone who has priority 2 GA that did not get 1st priority tix.
    4th draw if Res still has seats open and all Priority 1 Res got seats:  Everyone with priority 2 Res that didn’t get 1st priority tix.


    i was under impression this was how this drawing worked with BA=Ga 1st priority, Res 2nd Priority.

    Just how I thought it worked, not stating this is how it actually works.  Just my interpretation of the rules.

    I am lost, I'm no guide, but I'm by your side

    06.27.98  Alpine Valley
    10.08.00  Alpine Valley
    09.23.02  Chicago
    06.18.03  Chicago | 06.21.03  Alpine Valley
    10.03.04  Grand Rapids
    10.05.05  Chicago
    05.16.06  Chicago | 05.17.06  Chicago | 06.29.06  Milwaukee
    08.02.07  Chicago | 08.05.07  Chicago
    08.23.09  Chicago | 08.24.09  Chicago
    05.07.10  Noblesville | 05.09.10  Cleveland
    09.03.11  Alpine Valley | 09.04.11  Alpine Valley
    07.19.13  Chicago
    10.17.14  Moline
    08.20.16  Chicago
    08.18.18  Chicago
    09.18.22  St. Louis
    09.05.23 Chicago
  • PJNBPJNB Posts: 13,429
    pjl44 said:
    If it's the same process for the fall, I intend to put Best Available for any show(s) I want to go to with priorities that take stated odds into consideration and I will feel extremely comfortable about it.
    That is really the only way to go if you want to get in the building. Especially when we see how well this fan to face works.
  • Lerxst1992Lerxst1992 Posts: 6,534
    ecdanc said:
    Kevinman said:
    ecdanc said:
    “ GA (General Admission) and Reserved (Seated) Ticket Options:
    There is a 2 ticket limit per show. Eligible members may submit a Ticket Request for both GA and Reserved tickets to any given show, but can only possibly be confirmed for one or the other. It is not possible to be confirmed for both GA and Reserved tickets for the same show. “

    Think for a second about the complexity of the two hat theory. Let’s say there are 2,000 GA winners and 1500 of them were BA applicants.

    theyd have to go thru the entire data base and scrub out those 1500 winners before doing the second hat draw. Think about how much time and work that adds to the process and how much that adds to the risk of error, by violating this basic rule

    “ It is not possible to be confirmed for both GA and Reserved tickets for the same show. “

    ”NOT POSSIBLE.” That is the absolute evidence. 




    they did the Balt draw in under three hours and there’s no way they scrubbed the data base and did a second hat draw, all within the time period we know the draw began and ended.
    I don't really want to get into an argument (anymore than I already am), but no....that doesn't say what you're claiming it says. 

    As for the rest, I'm no programmer, but I can't imagine it would be that hard to create a database that does what you describe. That's only conjecture, though. 
    I do write programs....and this one would be fairly easy.  It is not done manually(someone actually removing names from a database after selected).  People saying it’s over complicated to have multiple “hats” might not know how simple it really is to program this to run through 2-6 rounds of multiple hats.  Probably hit start, and it goes through picking and eliminating and is done in less than 1 minute.
    Interesting. Thank you, Kevin. Do we have any mathematicians or statisticians here? I’m curious if/how odds would be affected for GA, reserved, and BA with one-hat vs. two-hats. 

    I was a Math major in college. It wouldn't make any difference odds wise either way. Look at it this way, if they drew in one big pool, anyone who has BA who gets picked while GA is available gets GA, same as if they drew GA first then reserved. The only difference is they start giving people who picked Reserved seats earlier. 

    I think they are saying the BA picks are getting the equivalent of double the picks... that there are separate draws for GA and RES and BA is in both. Although there is no evidence of that, and the rules state it is impossible to be picked twice for one show. To do that IMO they would have to remove every GA winner precisely, and be certain not to remove non winners from a hypothetical second RES draw 

    so they got a master coder to perfectly scrub the data after each category is picked, so they can tell us it is impossible to be picked twice
  • pjl44pjl44 Posts: 9,190
    Kevinman said:
    The future solution:  BA should be removed to clear up confusion.

    2 options:

    GA
    Res

    Enter for 1 or both(priority 1 and 2)

    1st draw:  Everyone with Priority 1 GA
    2nd draw:  Everyone with Priority 1 Res
    3rd draw if GA still has room and all Priority 1 GA got tix:  Anyone who has priority 2 GA that did not get 1st priority tix.
    4th draw if Res still has seats open and all Priority 1 Res got seats:  Everyone with priority 2 Res that didn’t get 1st priority tix.


    i was under impression this was how this drawing worked with BA=Ga 1st priority, Res 2nd Priority.

    Just how I thought it worked, not stating this is how it actually works.  Just my interpretation of the rules.

    No thanks. I far prefer Best Available to the old way.
  • KevinmanKevinman Posts: 1,909
    pjl44 said:
    Kevinman said:
    The future solution:  BA should be removed to clear up confusion.

    2 options:

    GA
    Res

    Enter for 1 or both(priority 1 and 2)

    1st draw:  Everyone with Priority 1 GA
    2nd draw:  Everyone with Priority 1 Res
    3rd draw if GA still has room and all Priority 1 GA got tix:  Anyone who has priority 2 GA that did not get 1st priority tix.
    4th draw if Res still has seats open and all Priority 1 Res got seats:  Everyone with priority 2 Res that didn’t get 1st priority tix.


    i was under impression this was how this drawing worked with BA=Ga 1st priority, Res 2nd Priority.

    Just how I thought it worked, not stating this is how it actually works.  Just my interpretation of the rules.

    No thanks. I far prefer Best Available to the old way.
    How’s BA work....haven’t seen a definite answer from 10C?
    I am lost, I'm no guide, but I'm by your side

    06.27.98  Alpine Valley
    10.08.00  Alpine Valley
    09.23.02  Chicago
    06.18.03  Chicago | 06.21.03  Alpine Valley
    10.03.04  Grand Rapids
    10.05.05  Chicago
    05.16.06  Chicago | 05.17.06  Chicago | 06.29.06  Milwaukee
    08.02.07  Chicago | 08.05.07  Chicago
    08.23.09  Chicago | 08.24.09  Chicago
    05.07.10  Noblesville | 05.09.10  Cleveland
    09.03.11  Alpine Valley | 09.04.11  Alpine Valley
    07.19.13  Chicago
    10.17.14  Moline
    08.20.16  Chicago
    08.18.18  Chicago
    09.18.22  St. Louis
    09.05.23 Chicago
  • pjl44 said:
    No thanks. I far prefer Best Available to the old way.
    You prefer what you think BA is supposed to be. Might not be what it is though.
  • pjl44pjl44 Posts: 9,190
    Yeah, I'm definitely getting on this merry-go-round again. Good luck everyone. After reading pages upon pages of results, I'm good with this system for the fall.
  • JF116983JF116983 Posts: 176
    I know technology pretty well and I would thing the programmers put in a flag so There is no scrub they need to do, a simple flag on all who won rounds would remove flagged accounts from lottery
  • KevinmanKevinman Posts: 1,909
    JF116983 said:
    I know technology pretty well and I would thing the programmers put in a flag so There is no scrub they need to do, a simple flag on all who won rounds would remove flagged accounts from lottery
    Yes
    I am lost, I'm no guide, but I'm by your side

    06.27.98  Alpine Valley
    10.08.00  Alpine Valley
    09.23.02  Chicago
    06.18.03  Chicago | 06.21.03  Alpine Valley
    10.03.04  Grand Rapids
    10.05.05  Chicago
    05.16.06  Chicago | 05.17.06  Chicago | 06.29.06  Milwaukee
    08.02.07  Chicago | 08.05.07  Chicago
    08.23.09  Chicago | 08.24.09  Chicago
    05.07.10  Noblesville | 05.09.10  Cleveland
    09.03.11  Alpine Valley | 09.04.11  Alpine Valley
    07.19.13  Chicago
    10.17.14  Moline
    08.20.16  Chicago
    08.18.18  Chicago
    09.18.22  St. Louis
    09.05.23 Chicago
  • ecdanc said:
    Kevinman said:
    ecdanc said:
    “ GA (General Admission) and Reserved (Seated) Ticket Options:
    There is a 2 ticket limit per show. Eligible members may submit a Ticket Request for both GA and Reserved tickets to any given show, but can only possibly be confirmed for one or the other. It is not possible to be confirmed for both GA and Reserved tickets for the same show. “

    Think for a second about the complexity of the two hat theory. Let’s say there are 2,000 GA winners and 1500 of them were BA applicants.

    theyd have to go thru the entire data base and scrub out those 1500 winners before doing the second hat draw. Think about how much time and work that adds to the process and how much that adds to the risk of error, by violating this basic rule

    “ It is not possible to be confirmed for both GA and Reserved tickets for the same show. “

    ”NOT POSSIBLE.” That is the absolute evidence. 




    they did the Balt draw in under three hours and there’s no way they scrubbed the data base and did a second hat draw, all within the time period we know the draw began and ended.
    I don't really want to get into an argument (anymore than I already am), but no....that doesn't say what you're claiming it says. 

    As for the rest, I'm no programmer, but I can't imagine it would be that hard to create a database that does what you describe. That's only conjecture, though. 
    I do write programs....and this one would be fairly easy.  It is not done manually(someone actually removing names from a database after selected).  People saying it’s over complicated to have multiple “hats” might not know how simple it really is to program this to run through 2-6 rounds of multiple hats.  Probably hit start, and it goes through picking and eliminating and is done in less than 1 minute.
    Interesting. Thank you, Kevin. Do we have any mathematicians or statisticians here? I’m curious if/how odds would be affected for GA, reserved, and BA with one-hat vs. two-hats. 

    I was a Math major in college. It wouldn't make any difference odds wise either way. Look at it this way, if they drew in one big pool, anyone who has BA who gets picked while GA is available gets GA, same as if they drew GA first then reserved. The only difference is they start giving people who picked Reserved seats earlier. 

    I think they are saying the BA picks are getting the equivalent of double the picks... that there are separate draws for GA and RES and BA is in both. Although there is no evidence of that, and the rules state it is impossible to be picked twice for one show. To do that IMO they would have to remove every GA winner precisely, and be certain not to remove non winners from a hypothetical second RES draw 

    so they got a master coder to perfectly scrub the data after each category is picked, so they can tell us it is impossible to be picked twice
    It's not that hard, when someone is picked, there is a field in the DB where you put their winning option, if that field is populated, they are no longer in the eligible pool. I work in IT, this is pretty common
  • KC2917KC2917 Posts: 872
    benjs said:
    This isn't complicated, guys.

    Here's how I suspect they did it based on it being straightforward and aligning with everything they've shared about the process.

    1. Filter on just the applicants for the show being drawn, in first priority
    2. Pick a name. 
    3. Check their preference
    4a. If they requested GA, check if there are GA available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4b. If they requested Best Available, check if there are GA available. If not, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4c. If they requested Reserved, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    5. Once all entries have been processed to either win/loss within the priority, repeat the exercise with the next priority
    6. Once all entries for the show have been processed to either win/loss, move on to the next one (hence why the email alerts came one show at a time)

    Technically, once they knew a show was fully allocated, they could've also stopped lottery-ing for that show and send loss notices to everyone after too. 
    This is the winner. No more speculation. The end.
    That doesn’t explain the people with first and second priority shows getting shut out while people with lower priorities for the same shows got selected. Speculation continues...
  • DempsDemps Posts: 102
    Sarava said:
    Sarava said:
    1st choice Toronto BA
    2nd Choice Hamilton BA

    Shut out
    Hmm, both are 99%. Did you get the email confirming your choices? Or are you sure your CC is good? this doesn't add up. Either way, that sucks and I'm sorry :(
    Got the confirmation email for both, read the email this morning that told me I was not selected.

    I'll still be at the shows somehow, just annoying that's all
    I would email them and ask nicely if there was a problem with your entry. The odds of missing 2 99%'s is astronomically low. I'm not sure they will respond much to being called out on the forum, though.
    Consider me an astronomical anomaly too then. 99% “best available” for both Baltimore & NY & got completely shut out. I get that they do what they can but every “improvement” over the past 10 years has consistently made it more & more difficult for me to secure tix through the 10C. It’s a bummer. 
    I suggest you step out on your porch...run away my son...see it all...oh see the world // I wait on the porch...hoping someday I'll be let in

    Springfield, MA 4/6/94 -- Boston, MA 4/11/94 -- Hartford, CT 10/2/96 -- Hartford, CT 9/13/98 -- Mansfield, MA 7/2/03 -- Reading, PA 10/1/04 -- Albany, NY 5/12/06 -- Milwaukee, WI 6/29/06 -- Mansfield, MA 6/30/08 -- Toronto, ON 9/21/09 -- Philadelphia, PA 10/31/09 -- Worcester, MA 10/16/13 -- Hartford, CT 10/25/13 -- New York, NY 9/26/15 -- New York, NY 5/2/16 -- Boston, MA 8/5/16 -- Boston, MA 8/7/16 -- Boston, MA 9/2/18 -- Boston, MA 9/4/18 -- London, UK 7/8/22 -- Hamilton, ON 9/6/22 -- Toronto, ON 9/8/22 -- New York, NY 9/11/22 -- Chicago, IL 9/5/23 -- Chicago, IL 9/7/23 -- New York, NY 9/3/24 -- Philadelphia, PA 9/7/24 -- Philadelphia, PA 9/9/24
  • cincybearcatcincybearcat Posts: 16,355
    Demps said:
    Sarava said:
    Sarava said:
    1st choice Toronto BA
    2nd Choice Hamilton BA

    Shut out
    Hmm, both are 99%. Did you get the email confirming your choices? Or are you sure your CC is good? this doesn't add up. Either way, that sucks and I'm sorry :(
    Got the confirmation email for both, read the email this morning that told me I was not selected.

    I'll still be at the shows somehow, just annoying that's all
    I would email them and ask nicely if there was a problem with your entry. The odds of missing 2 99%'s is astronomically low. I'm not sure they will respond much to being called out on the forum, though.
    Consider me an astronomical anomaly too then. 99% “best available” for both Baltimore & NY & got completely shut out. I get that they do what they can but every “improvement” over the past 10 years has consistently made it more & more difficult for me to secure tix through the 10C. It’s a bummer. 
    Neither of those shows were 99% when the lottery closed. Closer to 60%
    hippiemom = goodness
  • KC2917 said:
    benjs said:
    This isn't complicated, guys.

    Here's how I suspect they did it based on it being straightforward and aligning with everything they've shared about the process.

    1. Filter on just the applicants for the show being drawn, in first priority
    2. Pick a name. 
    3. Check their preference
    4a. If they requested GA, check if there are GA available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4b. If they requested Best Available, check if there are GA available. If not, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4c. If they requested Reserved, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    5. Once all entries have been processed to either win/loss within the priority, repeat the exercise with the next priority
    6. Once all entries for the show have been processed to either win/loss, move on to the next one (hence why the email alerts came one show at a time)

    Technically, once they knew a show was fully allocated, they could've also stopped lottery-ing for that show and send loss notices to everyone after too. 
    This is the winner. No more speculation. The end.
    That doesn’t explain the people with first and second priority shows getting shut out while people with lower priorities for the same shows got selected. Speculation continues...
    I agree, this is the mystery - how does someone with a second priority of a show get tickets and someone with first priority for that show get bonged? Both had reserved seats selected.
  • ecdanc said:
    Kevinman said:
    ecdanc said:
    “ GA (General Admission) and Reserved (Seated) Ticket Options:
    There is a 2 ticket limit per show. Eligible members may submit a Ticket Request for both GA and Reserved tickets to any given show, but can only possibly be confirmed for one or the other. It is not possible to be confirmed for both GA and Reserved tickets for the same show. “

    Think for a second about the complexity of the two hat theory. Let’s say there are 2,000 GA winners and 1500 of them were BA applicants.

    theyd have to go thru the entire data base and scrub out those 1500 winners before doing the second hat draw. Think about how much time and work that adds to the process and how much that adds to the risk of error, by violating this basic rule

    “ It is not possible to be confirmed for both GA and Reserved tickets for the same show. “

    ”NOT POSSIBLE.” That is the absolute evidence. 




    they did the Balt draw in under three hours and there’s no way they scrubbed the data base and did a second hat draw, all within the time period we know the draw began and ended.
    I don't really want to get into an argument (anymore than I already am), but no....that doesn't say what you're claiming it says. 

    As for the rest, I'm no programmer, but I can't imagine it would be that hard to create a database that does what you describe. That's only conjecture, though. 
    I do write programs....and this one would be fairly easy.  It is not done manually(someone actually removing names from a database after selected).  People saying it’s over complicated to have multiple “hats” might not know how simple it really is to program this to run through 2-6 rounds of multiple hats.  Probably hit start, and it goes through picking and eliminating and is done in less than 1 minute.
    Interesting. Thank you, Kevin. Do we have any mathematicians or statisticians here? I’m curious if/how odds would be affected for GA, reserved, and BA with one-hat vs. two-hats. 

    I was a Math major in college. It wouldn't make any difference odds wise either way. Look at it this way, if they drew in one big pool, anyone who has BA who gets picked while GA is available gets GA, same as if they drew GA first then reserved. The only difference is they start giving people who picked Reserved seats earlier. 

    I think they are saying the BA picks are getting the equivalent of double the picks... that there are separate draws for GA and RES and BA is in both. Although there is no evidence of that, and the rules state it is impossible to be picked twice for one show. To do that IMO they would have to remove every GA winner precisely, and be certain not to remove non winners from a hypothetical second RES draw 

    so they got a master coder to perfectly scrub the data after each category is picked, so they can tell us it is impossible to be picked twice

    Just to clarify, I am not saying BA picks ARE getting double the picks; I am saying they WOULD BE if the lottery were conducted the way some are perceiving it is (everyone in one group/hat). That is one of the reasons I do not believe it is being conducted the way some think it is. Additionally, there would be few if any BA denials for 99% shows. 
  • OceansJennyOceansJenny Posts: 3,394
    CaptainB said:
    KC2917 said:
    benjs said:
    This isn't complicated, guys.

    Here's how I suspect they did it based on it being straightforward and aligning with everything they've shared about the process.

    1. Filter on just the applicants for the show being drawn, in first priority
    2. Pick a name. 
    3. Check their preference
    4a. If they requested GA, check if there are GA available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4b. If they requested Best Available, check if there are GA available. If not, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4c. If they requested Reserved, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    5. Once all entries have been processed to either win/loss within the priority, repeat the exercise with the next priority
    6. Once all entries for the show have been processed to either win/loss, move on to the next one (hence why the email alerts came one show at a time)

    Technically, once they knew a show was fully allocated, they could've also stopped lottery-ing for that show and send loss notices to everyone after too. 
    This is the winner. No more speculation. The end.
    That doesn’t explain the people with first and second priority shows getting shut out while people with lower priorities for the same shows got selected. Speculation continues...
    I agree, this is the mystery - how does someone with a second priority of a show get tickets and someone with first priority for that show get bonged? Both had reserved seats selected.
    User error. We’ve already determined comprehension issues are widespread here.
    DC '03 - Reading '04 - Philly '05 - Camden 1 '06 - DC '06 - E. Rutherford '06 - The Vic '07 - Lollapalooza '07 - DC '08 - EV DC 1 & 2 '08 (Met Ed!!) - EV Baltimore 1 & 2 '09 - EV NYC 1 '11 (Met Ed!) - Hartford '13 - GCF '15 - MSG 2 '16 - TOTD MSG '16 - Boston 1 & 2 '18 - SHN '21 - EV NYC 1 & 2 '22 - MSG '22
  • pineapplesandwaves.pineapplesandwaves. Posts: 1,808
    edited January 2020

    Every name (based on city priority) should have an equal chance of being “drawn”, it’s just a matter of whether or not the seat you selected was still available when and if your name was drawn. BA should not have two shots at tickets.  We all have one name in the hat, so to speak.  

    There is a higher demand for GA tickets, with far less availability, so if you prefer GA but want to be in the building, you should have selected BA. If you preferred reserved, you should select reserved, because GA would be exhausted long before reserved, and GA wouldn’t have mattered to those fans. 

    Since we all should have had an equal chance of being “drawn”, I selected reserved for both Toronto (1st) and Ottawa (2nd), because that was my preference.  Fortunately, I won both. If I put BA and was drawn early, I would have received GA over someone who wanted GA. 

    Post edited by pineapplesandwaves. on
  • benjsbenjs Posts: 9,099
    KC2917 said:
    benjs said:
    This isn't complicated, guys.

    Here's how I suspect they did it based on it being straightforward and aligning with everything they've shared about the process.

    1. Filter on just the applicants for the show being drawn, in first priority
    2. Pick a name. 
    3. Check their preference
    4a. If they requested GA, check if there are GA available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4b. If they requested Best Available, check if there are GA available. If not, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4c. If they requested Reserved, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    5. Once all entries have been processed to either win/loss within the priority, repeat the exercise with the next priority
    6. Once all entries for the show have been processed to either win/loss, move on to the next one (hence why the email alerts came one show at a time)

    Technically, once they knew a show was fully allocated, they could've also stopped lottery-ing for that show and send loss notices to everyone after too. 
    This is the winner. No more speculation. The end.
    That doesn’t explain the people with first and second priority shows getting shut out while people with lower priorities for the same shows got selected. Speculation continues...
    For what it's worth, if we're down to three options - there's manipulation of the entries, there's a glitch in the system, there's a handful of people who didn't follow the steps properly, I know what I'm speculating based on six years in IT. 
    '05 - TO, '06 - TO 1, '08 - NYC 1 & 2, '09 - TO, Chi 1 & 2, '10 - Buffalo, NYC 1 & 2, '11 - TO 1 & 2, Hamilton, '13 - Buffalo, Brooklyn 1 & 2, '15 - Global Citizen, '16 - TO 1 & 2, Chi 2

    EV
    Toronto Film Festival 9/11/2007, '08 - Toronto 1 & 2, '09 - Albany 1, '11 - Chicago 1
  • OceansJennyOceansJenny Posts: 3,394
    benjs said:
    KC2917 said:
    benjs said:
    This isn't complicated, guys.

    Here's how I suspect they did it based on it being straightforward and aligning with everything they've shared about the process.

    1. Filter on just the applicants for the show being drawn, in first priority
    2. Pick a name. 
    3. Check their preference
    4a. If they requested GA, check if there are GA available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4b. If they requested Best Available, check if there are GA available. If not, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4c. If they requested Reserved, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    5. Once all entries have been processed to either win/loss within the priority, repeat the exercise with the next priority
    6. Once all entries for the show have been processed to either win/loss, move on to the next one (hence why the email alerts came one show at a time)

    Technically, once they knew a show was fully allocated, they could've also stopped lottery-ing for that show and send loss notices to everyone after too. 
    This is the winner. No more speculation. The end.
    That doesn’t explain the people with first and second priority shows getting shut out while people with lower priorities for the same shows got selected. Speculation continues...
    For what it's worth, if we're down to three options - there's manipulation of the entries, there's a glitch in the system, there's a handful of people who didn't follow the steps properly, I know what I'm speculating based on six years in IT. 
    Bingo.
    DC '03 - Reading '04 - Philly '05 - Camden 1 '06 - DC '06 - E. Rutherford '06 - The Vic '07 - Lollapalooza '07 - DC '08 - EV DC 1 & 2 '08 (Met Ed!!) - EV Baltimore 1 & 2 '09 - EV NYC 1 '11 (Met Ed!) - Hartford '13 - GCF '15 - MSG 2 '16 - TOTD MSG '16 - Boston 1 & 2 '18 - SHN '21 - EV NYC 1 & 2 '22 - MSG '22
  • RK50065RK50065 Posts: 897
    Kevinman said:
    pjl44 said:
    Kevinman said:
    The future solution:  BA should be removed to clear up confusion.

    2 options:

    GA
    Res

    Enter for 1 or both(priority 1 and 2)

    1st draw:  Everyone with Priority 1 GA
    2nd draw:  Everyone with Priority 1 Res
    3rd draw if GA still has room and all Priority 1 GA got tix:  Anyone who has priority 2 GA that did not get 1st priority tix.
    4th draw if Res still has seats open and all Priority 1 Res got seats:  Everyone with priority 2 Res that didn’t get 1st priority tix.


    i was under impression this was how this drawing worked with BA=Ga 1st priority, Res 2nd Priority.

    Just how I thought it worked, not stating this is how it actually works.  Just my interpretation of the rules.

    No thanks. I far prefer Best Available to the old way.
    How’s BA work....haven’t seen a definite answer from 10C?
    And you never will.
  • myoung321myoung321 Posts: 2,855
    benjs said:
    This isn't complicated, guys.

    Here's how I suspect they did it based on it being straightforward and aligning with everything they've shared about the process.

    1. Filter on just the applicants for the show being drawn, in first priority
    2. Pick a name. 
    3. Check their preference
    4a. If they requested GA, check if there are GA available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4b. If they requested Best Available, check if there are GA available. If not, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4c. If they requested Reserved, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    5. Once all entries have been processed to either win/loss within the priority, repeat the exercise with the next priority
    6. Once all entries for the show have been processed to either win/loss, move on to the next one (hence why the email alerts came one show at a time)

    Technically, once they knew a show was fully allocated, they could've also stopped lottery-ing for that show and send loss notices to everyone after too. 
    This is the winner. No more speculation. The end.
    One thing missed?

    Reserves seats location are still based on club seniority - So if choice is BA and no GA is available they go into pool of reserves, which is then picked in order? correct? 

    Seems the people that prefer reserves are the ones getting the short stick..  

    on a side note..(pun). I'd like to see 2 Reserve categories. Reserved Floor and Reserved Ring...  To me I'd rather have Reserved sides than Res floor any day.. Rather be back of GA than floor Reserves behind GA..
    "The heart and mind are the true lens of the camera." - Yusuf Karsh
     


  • RatherStarvedRatherStarved Posts: 4,907
    edited January 2020
    CaptainB said:
    KC2917 said:
    benjs said:
    This isn't complicated, guys.

    Here's how I suspect they did it based on it being straightforward and aligning with everything they've shared about the process.

    1. Filter on just the applicants for the show being drawn, in first priority
    2. Pick a name. 
    3. Check their preference
    4a. If they requested GA, check if there are GA available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4b. If they requested Best Available, check if there are GA available. If not, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    4c. If they requested Reserved, check if there are Reserved available. Deplete the inventory if necessary, and notify on win/loss.
    5. Once all entries have been processed to either win/loss within the priority, repeat the exercise with the next priority
    6. Once all entries for the show have been processed to either win/loss, move on to the next one (hence why the email alerts came one show at a time)

    Technically, once they knew a show was fully allocated, they could've also stopped lottery-ing for that show and send loss notices to everyone after too. 
    This is the winner. No more speculation. The end.
    That doesn’t explain the people with first and second priority shows getting shut out while people with lower priorities for the same shows got selected. Speculation continues...
    I agree, this is the mystery - how does someone with a second priority of a show get tickets and someone with first priority for that show get bonged? Both had reserved seats selected.
    The explanation by benjs makes sense and is probably how most people understood the draw would work.  I don’t think it could possibly be what actually took place though unless all the people who claim they lost on a higher priority than someone who won are lying or mistaken.  My sense is there are too many people in that situation to believe they’re all dishonest or incompetent.  There had to be a glitch.  

    And the glitch probably affected the odds that were displayed.


    Post edited by RatherStarved on
    PJ: 2013: London (ON); Buffalo; 2014: Cincinnati; 2016: Sunrise, Miami, Toronto 1-2, Wrigley 2; 2018: London (UK) 1, Milan, Padova, Sea 2, Wrigley 1-2, Fenway 1-2; 2021: SHN, Ohana, Ohana Encore 1-2; 2022: LA 1-2, Phx, Oak 1-2, Fresno, Copenhagen, Hyde Park 1-2; Quebec, Ottawa, Hamilton, Toronto; MSG, Camden, Nashville, Louisville, St. Louis, OKC; 2023: St. Paul 1-2, Chicago 1-2; Fort Worth 2; Austin 1-2; 2024:  Vancouver 1-2, LV 1-2, LA 1-2, Napa, Barcelona 1-2
     
    EV Solo: 2017 Louisville and Franklin, 2018 Ohana, 2019 Innings Fest, Berlin, Düsseldorf, Dublin and Ohana; 2021 Ohana Friday (from beach) and Saturday; 2022 Earthlings Newark; 2023 Innings Fest and Benoraya 1-2.

    Gutted:  London 2 2018, Sacramento 2022, Noblesville 2023
  • JimmyVJimmyV Posts: 19,128
    They gave us best available - an opportunity to not limit ourselves to either GA or reserved - and people still chose to limit themselves.
    ___________________________________________

    "...I changed by not changing at all..."
Sign In or Register to comment.