Lottery

Kristiewithak

PJNB said:

Vedd Hedd said:

Wow, Wrigley night 1 already at 76%.    

Lol. Not gonna lie..i know it's early but a bit stressy. Currently trying to determine if I'd be totally insane to drive to Chicago see PJ drive back to il then back to iowa to catch a plane to Baltimore on the 21st...yep..i said that outloud and it does sound insane...:(

Jbarker

"our pain is self chosen..."

I wish i had a real-time graph for this years lotto odds.

varty yo

Now if we get our "reserved" seats when will we see an actual ticket to know where we sit?

holo92

In July when TC sends out the tickets via smartphone...

sloanedone

e360727 said:

While I was fortunate enough to be in GA for both Wrigley 1 & 2 in 2016, I have no idea how many people the pit held....1,500 / 2,500 / 5,000.  Does anyone know what the GA-only attendance was for those shows?  I assume no changes will be made for the 2018 shows.  

Let's say I get there late and I'm at the very side of the GA pit, so way stage left...do you think that's better than a high seniority reserve seat (133)?

#420Dabz

Good Evening family ,
Does anyone know how to understand the odds tool? The higher the percent means ?? Good chance or less of a chance. For instance
Chicago #1 GA is at 55% and night 2 is at 73%

PJNB

#420Dabz said:

Good Evening family ,
Does anyone know how to understand the odds tool? If the percentage is 99% is that a slim or greater chance?? Plz someone help 

99% is better. Copy and pasted from an earlier post

Lets say there are 10000 GA tickets available. That means since they are sold in pairs only 5000 people can get this as a win. The way they do the draw is they start with 1 city. Lets say Seattle. Lets also say 7500 people put in for GA Night 1 making the odds 5000/7500 = 66.6% which is what we would see on the odds page. Of those 7500 people that put in for it, 4500 put it in as their first pick, 2000 as a second pick, and 1000 as a third. First picks are drawn. Since there is 5000 people that can win tickets and only 4500 people put it in as a first pick they all won their GA picks. So there odds where not 66% but in fact 100%. Now there are 500 spots left so the draw carries over to second priorities. 500/2000 = 25% chance of winning. Once the second draw ends and 500 people get selected it does not carry over to the third round since there are no tickets left to draw for making there true odds 0%.

GA is always done first. Now we do reserved. You now have to factor in all of the people that won GA as there first picks and are now ineligible for the reserved draw making your reserved odds even better then shown.  Also you put it in the first couple picks instead of 3rd and 4th with GA in front of it you are going to be pretty much guaranteed to win your reserved since you are going to be among the first people drawn. It is a gamble to GA first usually but with 10 club securing more seats then ever it may be worth the gamble this time around. Just watch the reserved odds and if they drop a lot(I do not expect this to happen) and you just want to get in the building and not worry about ticketmaster put them up front.

jeffbr

#420Dabz said:

Good Evening family ,
Does anyone know how to understand the odds tool? If the percentage is 99% is that a slim or greater chance?? Plz someone help 

99% chance of getting your request filled - means you can plan on it for now, but watch the odds after the weekend, as they will likely be drastically different. Watch them again right before the draw when people are making last minute changes.

#420Dabz

Thank you PJNB
Thank you Jeffbr
Im gonna be watching close eye. 
Im thinking about entering the last day so i can know my chances of winning
What do yall think 
My ten club # is 6××,××× and want to attend both nights in Chicago
Night one 1st pick GA
Night 1 2nd pick Reserved
Night 2 1st pick Reserved
Night 2 2nd pick GA 
I need some help i need suggestions lol im so nervous and hyped up bout these shows man

RansomPTD

I’m going to put in for Wrigley Night 1 Reserved as my first choice and Wrigley Night 1GA as my second choice and Boston Night 1 Reserved as my third choice. Do you think the odds are in my favor to score tickets to both of these shows?  Thanks

sanangelohorn

#420Dabz said:

Thank you PJNB
Thank you Jeffbr
Im gonna be watching close eye. 
Im thinking about entering the last day so i can know my chances of winning
What do yall think 
My ten club # is 6××,××× and want to attend both nights in Chicago
Night one 1st pick GA
Night 1 2nd pick Reserved
Night 2 1st pick Reserved
Night 2 2nd pick GA 
I need some help i need suggestions lol im so nervous and hyped up bout these shows man

I’m wanting both Chicago as well, I did my pics differently, so I’m wanting to see what others say to your idea. I’m in the 666xxx range....

jdopj

RansomPTD said:

I’m going to put in for Wrigley Night 1 Reserved as my first choice and Wrigley Night 1GA as my second choice and Boston Night 1 Reserved as my third choice. Do you think the odds are in my favor to score tickets to both of these shows?  Thanks

Honestly I think you have very little chance of Wrigley GA with the second pick
Do u want GA? If not dump it. If so, flop your first and second picks.
If your goal is to go to both shows no matter what I would go
1. Fenway 1 res
2. Wrigley 1 res

PJNB

I would do 2 GA's then reserved for now. Night 1 first. If you are not comfortable with reserved % when it starts to drop flip reserved first. I am of the belief that I need to be in the building and do not trust verified fan or ticketmaster to get me there. 10 club is the way to go even if you are in the upper balcony imo. 

ND260106

Entered Fenway 2 as #1 and Fenway 1 as #2. Coming all the way from Aus so praying for some luck

PJNB

ND260106 said:

Entered Fenway 2 as #1 and Fenway 1 as #2. Coming all the way from Aus so praying for some luck

Up to you and you may get both anyway but night 1 will be the harder show to get when it all shakes out. Good luck!

JojoRice

Seattle 2 GA starting to decline a bit. 

The fact that Reserved seating percentages haven’t moved at all across the board is a great thing. 10C really did go above and beyond in getting more seats for us. 

JojoRice

Wrigley night 1 Reserved just took a hit.  97% now

Lerxst1992

MSG down to 7%. time machine

Thecrownofthorns

JojoRice said:

Wrigley night 1 Reserved just took a hit.  97% now

Down to 92% now.  let's see how the weekend treats it.

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Reserved seats are still going to be a pretty sure bet in ALL locations.

10C must have A LOT of seats for member here......remember, "most, if not all, ticket requests will be granted."

PJNB

If all ticket demand is not met I really hope they do not keep the worse of these seats in the lottery and instead scale it back where they automatically keep the better seats of the bunch. 

MayDay10

rvapete

My sister's uncle's cousin's nephew twice removed runs the food truck Eddie gets post surfing spam sandwiches from in Hawaii.  He says avoid the 8/10 Seattle show at all costs as they are playing Hovercraft's Experiment Below in its entirety with synthetic rain for effect...  

amethgr8

Eddie don't eat spam

lolobugg

rvapete said:

My sister's uncle's cousin's nephew twice removed runs the food truck Eddie gets post surfing spam sandwiches from in Hawaii.  He says avoid the 8/10 Seattle show at all costs as they are playing Hovercraft's Experiment Below in its entirety with synthetic rain for effect...  

I prefer Akathisia . so yep. not going.

RoleModelsinBlood31

rvapete said:

My sister's uncle's cousin's nephew twice removed runs the food truck Eddie gets post surfing spam sandwiches from in Hawaii.  He says avoid the 8/10 Seattle show at all costs as they are playing Hovercraft's Experiment Below in its entirety with synthetic rain for effect...  

I’m going just for the synthetic rain then

PJNB

Boston night 1 making a move!

trent909

Now are the odds going down for Boston N1 because people are choosing it with their 2nd, 3rd and 4th choices?  The people that have it as their first choice should feel confident if the percentages stay in the 90's right?

PJNB

trent909 said:

Now are the odds going down for Boston N1 because people are choosing it with their 2nd, 3rd and 4th choices?  The people that have it as their first choice should feel confident if the percentages stay in the 90's right?

yup. I would feel great if it was a first or second. Hoping it makes it past round 2.

ski-bum

They are predicting earthquakes and tsunami in Boston the early part of September.
I recommend avoiding the area at all cost.