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178101213

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  • PJNB said:
    Vedd Hedd said:
    Wow, Wrigley night 1 already at 76%.    

    Lol. Not gonna lie..i know it's early but a bit stressy. Currently trying to determine if I'd be totally insane to drive to Chicago see PJ drive back to il then back to iowa to catch a plane to Baltimore on the 21st...yep..i said that outloud and it does sound insane...:(
  • Jbarker
    Jbarker Alberta Posts: 560

    "our pain is self chosen..."

    I wish i had a real-time graph for this years lotto odds.

  • varty yo
    varty yo Posts: 105
    Now if we get our "reserved" seats when will we see an actual ticket to know where we sit?
  • holo92
    holo92 Posts: 188
    In July when TC sends out the tickets via smartphone...
    06/15/92, 08/14/95, 11/03/96, 09/11/98, 06/11/00, 06/23/00, 06/25/00, 06/18/03, 06/21/03, 09/28/04,
    09/02/05, 09/04/05, 09/05/05, 09/16/06, 09/17/06, 09/19/06, 09/22/06, 09/23/06, 06/12/07, 06/18/07,
    06/21/07, 06/23/07, 06/24/08, 06/25/08, 08/15/09, 08/18/09, 06/30/10, 09/03/11, 09/04/11, 07/02/12,
    07/04/12, 07/07/12, 06/16/14, 06/17/14, 06/26/14, 08/05/16, 08/07/16, 07/01/18, 07/03/18, 07/05/18,
    09/02/18, 09/04/18, 06/21/22, 06/28/22, 07/14/22
  • e360727 said:
    While I was fortunate enough to be in GA for both Wrigley 1 & 2 in 2016, I have no idea how many people the pit held....1,500 / 2,500 / 5,000.  Does anyone know what the GA-only attendance was for those shows?  I assume no changes will be made for the 2018 shows.  
    Let's say I get there late and I'm at the very side of the GA pit, so way stage left...do you think that's better than a high seniority reserve seat (133)?
  • #420Dabz
    #420Dabz uSATx Posts: 33
    edited February 2018
    Good Evening family ,
    Does anyone know how to understand the odds tool? The higher the percent means ?? Good chance or less of a chance. For instance
    Chicago #1 GA is at 55% and night 2 is at 73%
    Post edited by #420Dabz on
  • PJNB
    PJNB Posts: 13,890
    #420Dabz said:
    Good Evening family ,
    Does anyone know how to understand the odds tool? If the percentage is 99% is that a slim or greater chance?? Plz someone help 
    99% is better. Copy and pasted from an earlier post

    Lets say there are 10000 GA tickets available. That means since they are sold in pairs only 5000 people can get this as a win. The way they do the draw is they start with 1 city. Lets say Seattle. Lets also say 7500 people put in for GA Night 1 making the odds 5000/7500 = 66.6% which is what we would see on the odds page. Of those 7500 people that put in for it, 4500 put it in as their first pick, 2000 as a second pick, and 1000 as a third. First picks are drawn. Since there is 5000 people that can win tickets and only 4500 people put it in as a first pick they all won their GA picks. So there odds where not 66% but in fact 100%. Now there are 500 spots left so the draw carries over to second priorities. 500/2000 = 25% chance of winning. Once the second draw ends and 500 people get selected it does not carry over to the third round since there are no tickets left to draw for making there true odds 0%.

    GA is always done first. Now we do reserved. You now have to factor in all of the people that won GA as there first picks and are now ineligible for the reserved draw making your reserved odds even better then shown.  Also you put it in the first couple picks instead of 3rd and 4th with GA in front of it you are going to be pretty much guaranteed to win your reserved since you are going to be among the first people drawn. It is a gamble to GA first usually but with 10 club securing more seats then ever it may be worth the gamble this time around. Just watch the reserved odds and if they drop a lot(I do not expect this to happen) and you just want to get in the building and not worry about ticketmaster put them up front.

  • jeffbr
    jeffbr Seattle Posts: 7,177
    #420Dabz said:
    Good Evening family ,
    Does anyone know how to understand the odds tool? If the percentage is 99% is that a slim or greater chance?? Plz someone help 
    99% chance of getting your request filled - means you can plan on it for now, but watch the odds after the weekend, as they will likely be drastically different. Watch them again right before the draw when people are making last minute changes.
    "I'll use the magic word - let's just shut the fuck up, please." EV, 04/13/08
  • #420Dabz
    #420Dabz uSATx Posts: 33
    edited February 2018
    Thank you PJNB
    Thank you Jeffbr
    Im gonna be watching close eye. 
    Im thinking about entering the last day so i can know my chances of winning
    What do yall think 
    My ten club # is 6××,××× and want to attend both nights in Chicago
    Night one 1st pick GA
    Night 1 2nd pick Reserved
    Night 2 1st pick Reserved
    Night 2 2nd pick GA 
    I need some help i need suggestions lol im so nervous and hyped up bout these shows man
    Post edited by #420Dabz on
  • I’m going to put in for Wrigley Night 1 Reserved as my first choice and Wrigley Night 1GA as my second choice and Boston Night 1 Reserved as my third choice. Do you think the odds are in my favor to score tickets to both of these shows?  Thanks
  • #420Dabz said:
    Thank you PJNB
    Thank you Jeffbr
    Im gonna be watching close eye. 
    Im thinking about entering the last day so i can know my chances of winning
    What do yall think 
    My ten club # is 6××,××× and want to attend both nights in Chicago
    Night one 1st pick GA
    Night 1 2nd pick Reserved
    Night 2 1st pick Reserved
    Night 2 2nd pick GA 
    I need some help i need suggestions lol im so nervous and hyped up bout these shows man
    I’m wanting both Chicago as well, I did my pics differently, so I’m wanting to see what others say to your idea. I’m in the 666xxx range....
  • jdopj
    jdopj Posts: 775
    RansomPTD said:
    I’m going to put in for Wrigley Night 1 Reserved as my first choice and Wrigley Night 1GA as my second choice and Boston Night 1 Reserved as my third choice. Do you think the odds are in my favor to score tickets to both of these shows?  Thanks
    Honestly I think you have very little chance of Wrigley GA with the second pick
    Do u want GA? If not dump it. If so, flop your first and second picks.
    If your goal is to go to both shows no matter what I would go
    1. Fenway 1 res
    2. Wrigley 1 res
  • PJNB
    PJNB Posts: 13,890
    I would do 2 GA's then reserved for now. Night 1 first. If you are not comfortable with reserved % when it starts to drop flip reserved first. I am of the belief that I need to be in the building and do not trust verified fan or ticketmaster to get me there. 10 club is the way to go even if you are in the upper balcony imo. 
  • ND260106
    ND260106 Posts: 101
    Entered Fenway 2 as #1 and Fenway 1 as #2. Coming all the way from Aus so praying for some luck :)
    PJ
    2006 - Melbourne - Nov. 16
    2009 - Melbourne - Nov. 20
    2013 - LA Nov. 24 / Oakland - Nov. 26 / Portland Nov. 29 / Vancouver Dec. 4
    2014 - Melbourne - Jan. 24
    2018 - Boston - Sep. 2 / Boston Sep. 4
    EV
    2011 - Melbourne - Mar. 24
    2014 - Melbourne - Feb. 16 / Melbourne - Feb. 18
    TOTD
    2016 - Seattle - Nov. 21 / Seattle Nov. 22
  • PJNB
    PJNB Posts: 13,890
    ND260106 said:
    Entered Fenway 2 as #1 and Fenway 1 as #2. Coming all the way from Aus so praying for some luck :)
    Up to you and you may get both anyway but night 1 will be the harder show to get when it all shakes out. Good luck!
  • JojoRice
    JojoRice Kennesaw, GA Posts: 4,555
    Seattle 2 GA starting to decline a bit. 

    The fact that Reserved seating percentages haven’t moved at all across the board is a great thing. 10C really did go above and beyond in getting more seats for us. 
    "I got memories, I got shit"
  • JojoRice
    JojoRice Kennesaw, GA Posts: 4,555
    Wrigley night 1 Reserved just took a hit.  97% now
    "I got memories, I got shit"
  • Lerxst1992
    Lerxst1992 Posts: 8,710
    MSG down to 7%. time machine
  • JojoRice said:
    Wrigley night 1 Reserved just took a hit.  97% now
    Down to 92% now.  let's see how the weekend treats it.
  • front spacer
    front spacer Earth Posts: 3,249
    edited February 2018
    Reserved seats are still going to be a pretty sure bet in ALL locations.

    10C must have A LOT of seats for member here......remember, "most, if not all, ticket requests will be granted."
    Post edited by front spacer on
    Indy - 08.17.98
    Indy - 08.18.00
    Indy - 06.22.03
    Indy - 05.07.10
    EV StL - 07.01.11
    Alpine Valley - 09.03.11, 09.04.11 (PJ20)
    ATL - 09.22.12 (Music Midtown Festival)
    EV Jax - 11.24.12
    Chicago - 07.19.13
    Pittsburgh - 10.11.13
    Moline - 10.17.14 (The No Code Show)
    Milwaukee - 10.20.14 (The Yield Show)
    FtL - 04.08.16
    Miami - 04.09.16
    Tampa - 04.11.16
    Lexington - 04.26.16
    Chicago - 08.20.16, 08.22.16
    Chicago - 08.18.18, 08.20.18
    Boston - 09.02.18, 09.04.18