Problem is every 4 years people that don't usually follow statistics and polls, and the such, find time to actually pay attention to them - or be spoon fed dumb sensational articles.
I'm assuming the recent 538 article regarding the latest Quinnipiac poll has been read/referenced?
Problem is every 4 years people that don't usually follow statistics and polls, and the such, find time to actually pay attention to them - or be spoon fed dumb sensational articles.
I'm assuming the recent 538 article regarding the latest Quinnipiac poll has been read/referenced?
yes....he factors in all polls and their previous accuracy. His formula is a blend of many factors that seem to be extremely accurate.
Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago 2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy 2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE) 2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston 2020: Oakland, Oakland:2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana 2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville 2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
Extremely accurate of what exactly. Every single day these "polls" go up and down. They mean absolutely nothing. They are used to manipulate, and cause nothing but drama and create news stories. That mean absolutely nothing.
Extremely accurate of what exactly. Every single day these "polls" go up and down. They mean absolutely nothing. They are used to manipulate, and cause nothing but drama and create news stories. That mean absolutely nothing.
Accurate enough for Silver to have correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in 2008 and 50 out of 50 states in 2012.
Google him...learn something
Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago 2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy 2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE) 2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston 2020: Oakland, Oakland:2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana 2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville 2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
Extremely accurate of what exactly. Every single day these "polls" go up and down. They mean absolutely nothing. They are used to manipulate, and cause nothing but drama and create news stories. That mean absolutely nothing.
Accurate enough for Silver to have correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in 2008 and 50 out of 50 states in 2012.
Google him...learn something
Predict what?? Polls vary every single day, and you're gonna say that they're accurate? of what? someone's opinion, hmmm.
And, they are most definitely used to sway voters. There is no denying that.
Nate Silver out-forecast almost everyone last time. I'm keeping an eye on him and his analysis again this time. Secretary Clinton took a hit but I think she'll rebound because she has the policies.
Extremely accurate of what exactly. Every single day these "polls" go up and down. They mean absolutely nothing. They are used to manipulate, and cause nothing but drama and create news stories. That mean absolutely nothing.
Accurate enough for Silver to have correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in 2008 and 50 out of 50 states in 2012.
Google him...learn something
Predict what?? Polls vary every single day, and you're gonna say that they're accurate? of what? someone's opinion, hmmm.
And, they are most definitely used to sway voters. There is no denying that.
Depending on how you look at them yes the polls are accurate. Some polls are consistently wrong....Silver's model accounts for that. I don't understand why this is so hard for you to understand. I'm not going to lay out a dissertation of his model....google it
Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago 2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy 2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE) 2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston 2020: Oakland, Oakland:2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana 2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville 2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
These people do nothing but watch the polls like you and I do. We waste our time looking for someone else's analysis when we can easily do it ourselves just look at the polls!
The thing is though the Polls themselves. They are used to manipulate voter behavior, that is a fact, I have a media marketing degree. don't buy into it, vote your values and not what the media tells you to. See past the bullshit.
Nate Silver out-forecast almost everyone last time. I'm keeping an eye on him and his analysis again this time. Secretary Clinton took a hit but I think she'll rebound because she has the policies.
Nate Silver out-forecast almost everyone last time. I'm keeping an eye on him and his analysis again this time. Secretary Clinton took a hit but I think she'll rebound because she has the policies.
Nate Silver out-forecast almost everyone last time. I'm keeping an eye on him and his analysis again this time. Secretary Clinton took a hit but I think she'll rebound because she has the policies.
Nate Silver out-forecast almost everyone last time. I'm keeping an eye on him and his analysis again this time. Secretary Clinton took a hit but I think she'll rebound because she has the policies.
Nate Silver out-forecast almost everyone last time. I'm keeping an eye on him and his analysis again this time. Secretary Clinton took a hit but I think she'll rebound because she has the policies.
Nate Silver out-forecast almost everyone last time. I'm keeping an eye on him and his analysis again this time. Secretary Clinton took a hit but I think she'll rebound because she has the policies.
Extremely accurate of what exactly. Every single day these "polls" go up and down. They mean absolutely nothing. They are used to manipulate, and cause nothing but drama and create news stories. That mean absolutely nothing.
Accurate enough for Silver to have correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in 2008 and 50 out of 50 states in 2012.
Google him...learn something
Predict what?? Polls vary every single day, and you're gonna say that they're accurate? of what? someone's opinion, hmmm.
And, they are most definitely used to sway voters. There is no denying that.
Nate Silver out-forecast almost everyone last time. I'm keeping an eye on him and his analysis again this time. Secretary Clinton took a hit but I think she'll rebound because she has the policies.
Nate Silver out-forecast almost everyone last time. I'm keeping an eye on him and his analysis again this time. Secretary Clinton took a hit but I think she'll rebound because she has the policies.
Extremely accurate of what exactly. Every single day these "polls" go up and down. They mean absolutely nothing. They are used to manipulate, and cause nothing but drama and create news stories. That mean absolutely nothing.
Accurate enough for Silver to have correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in 2008 and 50 out of 50 states in 2012.
Google him...learn something
Predict what?? Polls vary every single day, and you're gonna say that they're accurate? of what? someone's opinion, hmmm.
And, they are most definitely used to sway voters. There is no denying that.
Nate Silver out-forecast almost everyone last time. I'm keeping an eye on him and his analysis again this time. Secretary Clinton took a hit but I think she'll rebound because she has the policies.
All of this is done to create drama. Nothing else.
So if it's all baloney, and used to create drama, you should be able to predict the results of all 50 states too right?
If you think that's something worthy of admiration, go for it. Obviously he's not perfect just like our idols aren't either. Try to look beyond the math and who can predict what, and think for yourself and not what the media wants you to think with polls.
96 Randall's Island II
98 CAA
00 Virginia Beach;Camden I; Jones Beach III
05 Borgata Night I; Wachovia Center
06 Letterman Show; Webcast (guy in blue shirt), Camden I; DC
08 Camden I; Camden II; DC
09 Phillie III
10 MSG II
13 Wrigley Field
16 Phillie II
Nate Silver out-forecast almost everyone last time. I'm keeping an eye on him and his analysis again this time. Secretary Clinton took a hit but I think she'll rebound because she has the policies.
Yes it is opinion, but boy does it represent a ton of Sanders supporters.
Yep, my Facebook feed is most definitely filled with Stein support in place of the pervious Bernie support. There is plenty of Hillary resentment in that crowd that feels that their hard work and support was sabotaged by the Democratic Party.
Yes it is opinion, but boy does it represent a ton of Sanders supporters.
Yep, my Facebook feed is most definitely filled with Stein support in place of the pervious Bernie support. There is plenty of Hillary resentment in that crowd that feels that their hard work and support was sabotaged by the Democratic Party.
Their hard work is admirable, but it lost out to the mainstream candidate. It's that simple. Just because you lose, doesn't mean you got screwed. It's a terrible mentality to carry around.
Yes it is opinion, but boy does it represent a ton of Sanders supporters.
Yep, my Facebook feed is most definitely filled with Stein support in place of the pervious Bernie support. There is plenty of Hillary resentment in that crowd that feels that their hard work and support was sabotaged by the Democratic Party.
Their hard work is admirable, but it lost out to the mainstream candidate. It's that simple. Just because you lose, doesn't mean you got screwed. It's a terrible mentality to carry around.
Hillary blew it with Sanders supporters, she's actually the big loser here due to the sheer number of Bernie supporters she wants and needs desperately.
Yes it is opinion, but boy does it represent a ton of Sanders supporters.
Yep, my Facebook feed is most definitely filled with Stein support in place of the pervious Bernie support. There is plenty of Hillary resentment in that crowd that feels that their hard work and support was sabotaged by the Democratic Party.
Their hard work is admirable, but it lost out to the mainstream candidate. It's that simple. Just because you lose, doesn't mean you got screwed. It's a terrible mentality to carry around.
Yeah, keep preaching that to them, I'm sure they will change their mind and become Hillary lovers. Will you hold true to that statement if Trump wins?
Yes it is opinion, but boy does it represent a ton of Sanders supporters.
Yep, my Facebook feed is most definitely filled with Stein support in place of the pervious Bernie support. There is plenty of Hillary resentment in that crowd that feels that their hard work and support was sabotaged by the Democratic Party.
Their hard work is admirable, but it lost out to the mainstream candidate. It's that simple. Just because you lose, doesn't mean you got screwed. It's a terrible mentality to carry around.
Hillary blew it with Sanders supporters, she's actually the big loser here due to the sheer number of Bernie supporters she wants and needs desperately.
Who cares. Many of these supporters would have voted third party anyway if Sanders hadn't co-opted the Democratic party just to get media attention. If he hadn't run as a Democrat, a vast majority of his supporters wouldn't even know who or what he is, and now the active ones who were far left and would have voted Stein anyway will just go back home. The rest will either lose interest or vote for Hillary.
It's still going to come down to Clinton v Trump. If Sanders' supporters are so butt hurt that they won't vote for Clinton to help her defeat Trump then I kind of hope he wins to teach them a lesson.
There is only one enemy here....that's the racist right wing republican party of which there is only one candidate.
Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago 2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy 2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE) 2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston 2020: Oakland, Oakland:2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana 2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville 2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
Yes it is opinion, but boy does it represent a ton of Sanders supporters.
Yep, my Facebook feed is most definitely filled with Stein support in place of the pervious Bernie support. There is plenty of Hillary resentment in that crowd that feels that their hard work and support was sabotaged by the Democratic Party.
Their hard work is admirable, but it lost out to the mainstream candidate. It's that simple. Just because you lose, doesn't mean you got screwed. It's a terrible mentality to carry around.
Yeah, keep preaching that to them, I'm sure they will change their mind and become Hillary lovers. Will you hold true to that statement if Trump wins?
It's not my objective or role to convince our resident Sander's supporters. But I also don't like victim mentalities too, which seems to be prevalent in this crowd.
Yes it is opinion, but boy does it represent a ton of Sanders supporters.
Yep, my Facebook feed is most definitely filled with Stein support in place of the pervious Bernie support. There is plenty of Hillary resentment in that crowd that feels that their hard work and support was sabotaged by the Democratic Party.
Their hard work is admirable, but it lost out to the mainstream candidate. It's that simple. Just because you lose, doesn't mean you got screwed. It's a terrible mentality to carry around.
Hillary blew it with Sanders supporters, she's actually the big loser here due to the sheer number of Bernie supporters she wants and needs desperately.
What did HRC do that blew it? She moved on minimum wage, education and TPP. Sounds like she adjusted her platform to accommodate.
Comments
I'm assuming the recent 538 article regarding the latest Quinnipiac poll has been read/referenced?
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
Google him...learn something
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
And, they are most definitely used to sway voters. There is no denying that.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
The thing is though the Polls themselves. They are used to manipulate voter behavior, that is a fact, I have a media marketing degree. don't buy into it, vote your values and not what the media tells you to. See past the bullshit.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
We live in an insane world.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Forecast has been adjusted and can be adjusted in either direction as the days and months move on. It is early.
98 CAA
00 Virginia Beach;Camden I; Jones Beach III
05 Borgata Night I; Wachovia Center
06 Letterman Show; Webcast (guy in blue shirt), Camden I; DC
08 Camden I; Camden II; DC
09 Phillie III
10 MSG II
13 Wrigley Field
16 Phillie II
Well, well, well. They are tied. Oh, the drama!!!
http://observer.com/2016/07/clinton-endorsement-backfires-as-sanders-supporters-look-to-jill-stein/
Yes it is opinion, but boy does it represent a ton of Sanders supporters.
There is only one enemy here....that's the racist right wing republican party of which there is only one candidate.
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana