2024 US Election - Predictions

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Comments

  • Gern Blansten
    Gern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 22,260
    pjl44 said:
    Did I miss a Harris speech tonight or was one not given?
    Tonight? She's supposed to speak this morning I believe 
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • Gern Blansten
    Gern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 22,260
    Just think for a minute.  If the dems wouldn’t have cheated in 2020, Trump would only have 2 months left to be President.  Now he’ll be in the Oval till 2029.  How does that feel?
    Trump won fair and square this year

    its amazing you won’t allow yourself to face reality and say Biden won fair and square in 2020.
    Yeah and let's remember there was no concession speech from trump in 2020 and the traitor didn't even attend the inauguration like every non baby president 
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • tbergs
    tbergs Posts: 10,425
    pjl44 said:
    tbergs said:
    pjl44 said:
    Harris was a bad candidate but they were kinda stuck. Running a bad campaign to boot only exacerbated the problem.
    Yeah, blame the female minority candidate who has no corruption in her past and was more experienced. The issue isn't with her or her campaign, it's with the archaic patriarchy mindset of a vast majority of people in this country. Remove the ages, names, gender and race of each candidate and stack their merits side by side and tell me she's a bad candidate. That's fucking ridiculous and you are part of the problem, whether you like it or not. She can't win for the same reason Pete will never be able to win. We've proven only straight white men can control enough of the electorate. I applaud democrats for pushing aside gender as an obstacle to the presidency, but unfortunately this country still isn't ready for a woman to lead.
    Noted straight white man Barack Obama 
    Yes, my bad. It's primarily a gender issue at this point, but racism is still a factor. I don't know that Obama could beat Trump at this point in time either. 4 years from now, i think people will really try/want Trump gone, but who knows what his plans will be. His health will be so bad that I expect Vance to be really stepping up for his run.
    It's a hopeless situation...
  • Spiritual_Chaos
    Spiritual_Chaos Posts: 31,490
    edited November 2024
    tbergs said:
    pjl44 said:
    tbergs said:
    pjl44 said:
    Harris was a bad candidate but they were kinda stuck. Running a bad campaign to boot only exacerbated the problem.
    Yeah, blame the female minority candidate who has no corruption in her past and was more experienced. The issue isn't with her or her campaign, it's with the archaic patriarchy mindset of a vast majority of people in this country. Remove the ages, names, gender and race of each candidate and stack their merits side by side and tell me she's a bad candidate. That's fucking ridiculous and you are part of the problem, whether you like it or not. She can't win for the same reason Pete will never be able to win. We've proven only straight white men can control enough of the electorate. I applaud democrats for pushing aside gender as an obstacle to the presidency, but unfortunately this country still isn't ready for a woman to lead.
    Noted straight white man Barack Obama 
    Yes, my bad. It's primarily a gender issue at this point, but racism is still a factor. I don't know that Obama could beat Trump at this point in time either. 4 years from now, i think people will really try/want Trump gone, but who knows what his plans will be. His health will be so bad that I expect Vance to be really stepping up for his run.
    I believe Vance is an empty vessel and is easily twisted. But if not, he did say Trump was a danger and a nazi once - so he might reign it in. Chances are he tries to be Trump 2.0 and go all in on the populist "grift" to get the cult followers ofc. 

    In America the official declaration now is that Climate Change isn't real, and more oil is a great solution. Haha. What a country.
    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • Hoagie Breath
    Hoagie Breath Philly Yo Posts: 119

    '92 Philly 04.10
    '94 Boston 04.10 
    '95 DC 01.15 
    '96 Columbia 09.24, NYC 09.29, Hartford 10.02
    '98 DC 06.14, Camden 08.28, Camden 08.29, E. Rutherford 09.08, NYC 09.10, NYC 09.11, Hartford 09.13, Columbia 09.18
    '00 Camden 09.01, Camden 09.02, Columbia 09.04
    '03 Philly 04.23, Camden 07.05, Camden 07.06, NYC 07.09, Hershey 07.12, Holmdel 07.14
    '04 Reading 10.01, DC 10.11
    '05 Atlantic City 09.30, Atlantic City 10.01, Philly 10.03, Chicago 10.05
    '06 NYC 05.05, Camden 05.27, Camden 05.28, DC 05.30, E. Rutherford 06.03
    '08 Camden 06.19, Camden 06.20, DC 06.22, NYC 06.24, NYC 06.25
    '09 Philly 10.27, Philly 10.28, Philly 10.30, Philly 10.31
    '10 Hartford 05.15, Newark 05.18, NYC 05.20, NYC 05.21
    '12 Philly 09.02
    '13 Philly 10.21, Philly 10.22
    '16 Philly 04.28, Philly 04.29
    '18 Boston 09.02
    '21 Asbury Park 09.18
    '22 Camden 09.14
    '24 Philly 09.07  Philly 09.09  Baltimore 09.12
  • PJ_Soul
    PJ_Soul Vancouver, BC Posts: 50,704
    edited November 2024
    Just think for a minute.  If the dems wouldn’t have cheated in 2020, Trump would only have 2 months left to be President.  Now he’ll be in the Oval till 2029.  How does that feel?

    I am not sure he'll live that long tbh. Heil president Vance, lol.
    With all its sham, drudgery, and broken dreams, it is still a beautiful world. Be careful. Strive to be happy. ~ Desiderata
  • Poncier
    Poncier Posts: 17,894
    MayDay10 said:
    It's a majority, decisive win.  I don't agree with the choice, but it's tough to say it's "wrong".

    Just have to see if trump delivers on these promises of cheap gas, cheap groceries, lower taxes, peace, and all that.  


    Has Russia pulled out of Ukraine yet?
    He did say he'd end that war in 24 hours after being elected, as President-elect, not even having to wait until taking the oath. Clock is ticking.
    This weekend we rock Portland
  • Weston1283
    Weston1283 Fredericksburg, VA Posts: 5,019
    Biden has to be laughing his ass off right now. 
    Him going full anti-Harris over the last 4-6 weeks has been truly mesmerizing to watch
    2010: Cleveland
    2012: Atlanta
    2013: London ONT / Wrigley Field / Pittsburgh / Buffalo / San Diego / Los Angeles I / Los Angeles II
    2014: Cincinnati / St. Louis / Tulsa / Lincoln / Detroit / Denver
    2015: New York City
    2016: Ft. Lauderdale / Miami / Jacksonville / Greenville / Hampton / Columbia / Lexington / Philly II / New York City II / Toronto II / Bonnaroo / Telluride / Fenway I / Wrigley I / Wrigley - II / TOTD - Philadelphia, San Francisco
    2017: Ohana Fest (EV)
    2018: Amsterdam I / Amsterdam II / Seattle I / Seattle II / Boston I / Boston II
    2021: Asbury Park / Ohana Encore 1 / Ohana Encore 2
    2022: Phoenix / LA I / LA II / Quebec City / Ottawa / New York City / Camden / Nashville / St. Louis / Denver
    2023: St. Paul II
    2024: Las Vegas I / Las Vegas II / New York City I / New York City II / Philly I / Philly II / Baltimore
  • bootlegger10
    bootlegger10 Posts: 16,260
    PJ_Soul said:
    Just think for a minute.  If the dems wouldn’t have cheated in 2020, Trump would only have 2 months left to be President.  Now he’ll be in the Oval till 2029.  How does that feel?

    I am not sure he'll live that long tbh. Heil president Vance, lol.
    I know.  Insane.
  • g under p said:
    I'm having breakfast here here in Palm Brach right next Mar Lago. I was expecting tons MAGAs celebrating but I can only see one...it could be news crew though.
    I'm not surprised in anyway. I told family and friends do not be surprised if he wins. He has campaigned against two women and has won them both. 🇺🇸 America is just NOT ready for a woman to become president. 
    I hope he will fight for the the entire country not just his side. I seriously doubt he will unfortunately 😔. 

    ✌️
    Or maybe the majority of Americans, by the looks of it, are fed up with the way the left was going?

    Lets see if he can do some good with his promises.
  • OnWis97
    OnWis97 St. Paul, MN Posts: 5,610
    I Dei feel like I’ve been cheated out of an epic Elon Musk hissy fit.
    1995 Milwaukee     1998 Alpine, Alpine     2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston     2004 Boston, Boston     2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty)     2011 Alpine, Alpine     
    2013 Wrigley     2014 St. Paul     2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley     2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley     2021 Asbury Park     2022 St Louis     2023 Austin, Austin
    2024 Napa, Wrigley, Wrigley
  • Gern Blansten
    Gern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 22,260
    Just think for a minute.  If the dems wouldn’t have cheated in 2020, Trump would only have 2 months left to be President.  Now he’ll be in the Oval till 2029.  How does that feel?
    lol...so why didn't they cheat this time? Why give up the oval? Why give up the senate? 

    Comments like this are laughable. I needed that.
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • cincybearcat
    cincybearcat Posts: 16,841
    g under p said:
    I'm having breakfast here here in Palm Brach right next Mar Lago. I was expecting tons MAGAs celebrating but I can only see one...it could be news crew though.
    I'm not surprised in anyway. I told family and friends do not be surprised if he wins. He has campaigned against two women and has won them both. 🇺🇸 America is just NOT ready for a woman to become president. 
    I hope he will fight for the the entire country not just his side. I seriously doubt he will unfortunately 😔. 

    ✌️
    Or maybe the majority of Americans, by the looks of it, are fed up with the way the left was going?

    Lets see if he can do some good with his promises.
    Except we already have the data on him...trump promises?  Please.

    I can't wait for more trump tax breaks too...the ones where my family is upper middle class and ended up playing more in taxes.  Can't wait.
    hippiemom = goodness
  • Gern Blansten
    Gern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 22,260
    g under p said:
    I'm having breakfast here here in Palm Brach right next Mar Lago. I was expecting tons MAGAs celebrating but I can only see one...it could be news crew though.
    I'm not surprised in anyway. I told family and friends do not be surprised if he wins. He has campaigned against two women and has won them both. 🇺🇸 America is just NOT ready for a woman to become president. 
    I hope he will fight for the the entire country not just his side. I seriously doubt he will unfortunately 😔. 

    ✌️
    Or maybe the majority of Americans, by the looks of it, are fed up with the way the left was going?

    Lets see if he can do some good with his promises.
    Except we already have the data on him...trump promises?  Please.

    I can't wait for more trump tax breaks too...the ones where my family is upper middle class and ended up playing more in taxes.  Can't wait.
    I can't wait for him to fuck up heathcare. If we're lucky he won't do anything...even though he said he would give us a "beautiful plan" over and over again.
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • Biden has to be laughing his ass off right now. 
    Him going full anti-Harris over the last 4-6 weeks has been truly mesmerizing to watch

    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • Gern Blansten
    Gern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 22,260
    edited November 2024
    Interesting that the state polls were actually pretty accurate. That Selzer poll in IA being the giant fuck up. Totally ruined her track record.

    And the 538 model was right on. They changed it to 50/49 Harris yesterday morning but it had trump as the favorite for quite some time prior to that.


    Post edited by Gern Blansten on
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • Bentleyspop
    Bentleyspop Craft Beer Brewery, Colorado Posts: 11,462
    When people ask "how did this happen?". Tell them it was men.
    White, older, "christian" men who never attended college.
    They see themselves in his hatred.

    And yes clearly white women and latinos are part of the equation but his overwhelming support came from white men. 

    They should all be ashamed for supporting so much fear, hatred, ignorance, and lies.
  • Just think for a minute.  If the dems wouldn’t have cheated in 2020, Trump would only have 2 months left to be President.  Now he’ll be in the Oval till 2029.  How does that feel?
    Trump won fair and square this year

    its amazing you won’t allow yourself to face reality and say Biden won fair and square in 2020.
    Maybe he didn’t and the Covid election was rigged. 
    And maybe you’re a Russian bot. I don’t have proof, but many people are saying this.
  • pjl44
    pjl44 Posts: 10,546
    tbergs said:
    pjl44 said:
    tbergs said:
    pjl44 said:
    Harris was a bad candidate but they were kinda stuck. Running a bad campaign to boot only exacerbated the problem.
    Yeah, blame the female minority candidate who has no corruption in her past and was more experienced. The issue isn't with her or her campaign, it's with the archaic patriarchy mindset of a vast majority of people in this country. Remove the ages, names, gender and race of each candidate and stack their merits side by side and tell me she's a bad candidate. That's fucking ridiculous and you are part of the problem, whether you like it or not. She can't win for the same reason Pete will never be able to win. We've proven only straight white men can control enough of the electorate. I applaud democrats for pushing aside gender as an obstacle to the presidency, but unfortunately this country still isn't ready for a woman to lead.
    Noted straight white man Barack Obama 
    Yes, my bad. It's primarily a gender issue at this point, but racism is still a factor. I don't know that Obama could beat Trump at this point in time either. 4 years from now, i think people will really try/want Trump gone, but who knows what his plans will be. His health will be so bad that I expect Vance to be really stepping up for his run.
    Obama would have absolutely mopped the floor with Trump if he had been able to run again
  • pjl44
    pjl44 Posts: 10,546
    When people ask "how did this happen?". Tell them it was men.
    White, older, "christian" men who never attended college.
    They see themselves in his hatred.

    And yes clearly white women and latinos are part of the equation but his overwhelming support came from white men. 

    They should all be ashamed for supporting so much fear, hatred, ignorance, and lies.
    This is not at all borne out in the exit polling and would qualify as disinformation