** KAMALA HARRIS FOR PRESIDENT -PART DEUX **

14950525455206

Comments

  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Posts: 20,103
    pjl44 said:


    53/47 Harris...I can live with that
    Sorry to tell you but National polls always lean Dem for whatever reason (probably b/c they're the ones that care more to participate). I think (didn't re-look it up), but Biden was ahead 8 points in polls and won by 4.  In addition. Dems need to win by more than 3 and probably be ahead by like 7 in polls to win b/c they have "wasted" votes in big cities (unless there's some unusual distribution). Winning NYC, Chitown and LA by 5 million each doesn't change the outcomes of those states, but makes the Nat'l overall skew.

    So, you really shouldn't be happy with 2.3. Trump wins easily if that's the actual polling at this time.
    That's not a poll. The 53% is a probability.
    Lol.  I know what a probability is.  But, that's a computer projection that's probably off b/c it based on history which elections even 40 years ago look different than today.

    It's the 2.3 poll lead you should be focusing on. Not some made up probability that is also basically a toss up. Toss ups tend to not go to incumbents. But, keep analyzing things the way most people do - with a confirmatory bias instead of parsing and identifying the most important information.

    National outcome means nothing. It's 50 separate elections.  And 3 States have huge cities that win those States and create large vote advantages that don't matter.
    You're going to grow more upset at the spread widens.
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Posts: 20,103


    Blue wall looking good...and hello NC
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
  • njhaley1njhaley1 Posts: 780
    I challenged her to a fight after lunch and she totally chickened out! 

    Gtfo of here with that stale, childish BS. Times they are a'changing, move out of the way or become part of the pavement. Sick and tired of being held back by relics. 
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,027
    By all accounts, 2024 is tracking close to 2020. It’s still close. But yeah, national polls are just a nice overview, it’s the state polling where the real info is gleaned. 

    Looking forward to next weeks, post DNC polls. 
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,027
    I think the panic coming off Trump, and GOP operatives is the biggest tell things are trending to loss. They must have bad internals. 
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,027
    Seems like people are getting tired of Trump and Harris seems fresh. That also doesn’t bode well for Trump

    https://news.gallup.com/poll/649127/democrats-give-harris-nearly-unanimous-positive-ratings.aspx
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,027
    Also, it can’t be stated enough, wow, JD Vance was such a whiff for Trump. 
  • njhaley1njhaley1 Posts: 780
    edited August 23
    Also, it can’t be stated enough, wow, JD Vance was such a whiff for Trump. 
    A guy like Trump needs a simp, someone who's easily manipulated, like a wind up toy. 

    That much should be obvious by now.

    "you guy got any of those frosted donuts?" 
  • tbergstbergs Posts: 9,781
    I like Harris and I also don't like some of the misleading statements she made in her speech last night about Trump. No need to exaggerate on some of the things he's said or possibly plans to do. I know that's what politicians do and it's still better than the blatant lies made by Trump every time he talks, but she doesn't need to follow that narrative either. 
    It's a hopeless situation...
  • njhaley1njhaley1 Posts: 780
    tbergs said:
    I like Harris and I also don't like some of the misleading statements she made in her speech last night about Trump. No need to exaggerate on some of the things he's said or possibly plans to do. I know that's what politicians do and it's still better than the blatant lies made by Trump every time he talks, but she doesn't need to follow that narrative either. 
    Which ones, specifically? Just curious - let's get them out in the open so we're all on the same page. 
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Posts: 20,103
    I think the panic coming off Trump, and GOP operatives is the biggest tell things are trending to loss. They must have bad internals. 
    Yeah they are panicking and I think that means trump will try to work his magic. Which means more insults and outrageous lies. Moreso than normal. For some reason he can't be normal...he thinks his tough guy routine is what the majority want even though it only riles up his maga base.
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Posts: 20,103
    njhaley1 said:
    Also, it can’t be stated enough, wow, JD Vance was such a whiff for Trump. 
    A guy like Trump needs a simp, someone who's easily manipulated, like a wind up toy. 

    That much should be obvious by now.

    "you guy got any of those frosted donuts?" 
    lol...

    Vance: hey how long have you worked here?
    Worker: fuck you
    Vance: great
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
  • tbergstbergs Posts: 9,781
    njhaley1 said:
    tbergs said:
    I like Harris and I also don't like some of the misleading statements she made in her speech last night about Trump. No need to exaggerate on some of the things he's said or possibly plans to do. I know that's what politicians do and it's still better than the blatant lies made by Trump every time he talks, but she doesn't need to follow that narrative either. 
    Which ones, specifically? Just curious - let's get them out in the open so we're all on the same page. 
    Easier to just share this fact checker about what she said. Again, not major, but when listening to her talk, I cringe at some of the statements made.

    https://wapo.st/46WxQwW

    It's a hopeless situation...
  • mickeyratmickeyrat Posts: 38,479
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • Johnny AbruzzoJohnny Abruzzo Posts: 11,589
    I’m  just here to say say: that was a fucking GRAND SLAM. 
    Spectrum 10/27/09; New Orleans JazzFest 5/1/10; Made in America 9/2/12; WF Center 10/21/13; WF Center 10/22/13; Baltimore 10/27/13;
    WF Center 4/28/16; WF Center 4/29/16; Fenway Park 8/7/16; Fenway Park 9/2/18; Asbury Park 9/18/21; Camden 9/14/22;
    Las Vegas 5/16/24; Las Vegas 5/18/24; WF Center 9/7/24; WF Center 9/9/24; Baltimore Arena 9/12/24

    Tres Mtns - TLA 3/23/11; EV - Tower Theatre 6/25/11; Temple of the Dog - Tower Theatre 11/5/16
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,027
    edited August 23
    I think the panic coming off Trump, and GOP operatives is the biggest tell things are trending to loss. They must have bad internals. 
    Yeah they are panicking and I think that means trump will try to work his magic. Which means more insults and outrageous lies. Moreso than normal. For some reason he can't be normal...he thinks his tough guy routine is what the majority want even though it only riles up his maga base.
    The difference is the flop sweat flailing of the past few weeks. There’s a desperation that hasn’t been there before. Worming out of this will be tougher than 2016. He’s a known quantity in terms of governance now. People are tired. 
    Post edited by Tim Simmons on
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Posts: 20,103
    I think the panic coming off Trump, and GOP operatives is the biggest tell things are trending to loss. They must have bad internals. 
    Yeah they are panicking and I think that means trump will try to work his magic. Which means more insults and outrageous lies. Moreso than normal. For some reason he can't be normal...he thinks his tough guy routine is what the majority want even though it only riles up his maga base.
    The difference is the flop sweat flailing of the past few weeks. There’s a desperation that hasn’t been there before. Wor,ing out of this will be tougher than 2016. He’s a known quantity in terms of governance now. People are tired. 
    yeah and I think his team thought they had it in the bag (and maybe they did) with Biden and now it has upended EVERYTHING
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
  • njhaley1njhaley1 Posts: 780
    tbergs said:
    njhaley1 said:
    tbergs said:
    I like Harris and I also don't like some of the misleading statements she made in her speech last night about Trump. No need to exaggerate on some of the things he's said or possibly plans to do. I know that's what politicians do and it's still better than the blatant lies made by Trump every time he talks, but she doesn't need to follow that narrative either. 
    Which ones, specifically? Just curious - let's get them out in the open so we're all on the same page. 
    Easier to just share this fact checker about what she said. Again, not major, but when listening to her talk, I cringe at some of the statements made.

    https://wapo.st/46WxQwW

    Appreciate it. That's an incredibly short list, all things considered, but it's easy to overlook them in the moment. The $5 trillion figure did seem inflated to me while watching. 
  • Spiritual_ChaosSpiritual_Chaos Posts: 30,493
    THE GREAT HANNIBAL LECTER
    "Mostly I think that people react sensitively because they know you’ve got a point"
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Posts: 20,103
    njhaley1 said:
    tbergs said:
    njhaley1 said:
    tbergs said:
    I like Harris and I also don't like some of the misleading statements she made in her speech last night about Trump. No need to exaggerate on some of the things he's said or possibly plans to do. I know that's what politicians do and it's still better than the blatant lies made by Trump every time he talks, but she doesn't need to follow that narrative either. 
    Which ones, specifically? Just curious - let's get them out in the open so we're all on the same page. 
    Easier to just share this fact checker about what she said. Again, not major, but when listening to her talk, I cringe at some of the statements made.

    https://wapo.st/46WxQwW

    Appreciate it. That's an incredibly short list, all things considered, but it's easy to overlook them in the moment. The $5 trillion figure did seem inflated to me while watching. 
    yes and dems tend to get more worked up over political speak when our candidate strays from absolute truth...and the media tends to get a lot pickier about small details like the cuts in medicare that the article discusses. They try to equate those things and fail to mention that trump is on video saying we have to cut medicare. 
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
  • Johnny AbruzzoJohnny Abruzzo Posts: 11,589
    Also, it can’t be stated enough, wow, JD Vance was such a whiff for Trump. 
    Major choke job. Just like Covid. Trump is such a choker. 
    Spectrum 10/27/09; New Orleans JazzFest 5/1/10; Made in America 9/2/12; WF Center 10/21/13; WF Center 10/22/13; Baltimore 10/27/13;
    WF Center 4/28/16; WF Center 4/29/16; Fenway Park 8/7/16; Fenway Park 9/2/18; Asbury Park 9/18/21; Camden 9/14/22;
    Las Vegas 5/16/24; Las Vegas 5/18/24; WF Center 9/7/24; WF Center 9/9/24; Baltimore Arena 9/12/24

    Tres Mtns - TLA 3/23/11; EV - Tower Theatre 6/25/11; Temple of the Dog - Tower Theatre 11/5/16
  • Halifax2TheMaxHalifax2TheMax Posts: 38,956
    mace1229 said:
    my question re: her name. What about mispronouncing her name inherently means you are being racist? I don't really get the connection between the 80's wrestler pronunciation and racism. 
    It just seems demeaning and disrespectful to me.

    The racism comes into play, I guess, because it's usually a white person being ignorant and not bothering to care enough about a brown person to learn their different sounding name.

    I know nothing about the wrestler. Sorry! 
    Thats a stretch. Mispronouncing doesn't always mean you done care.
    It happened many times 4 years ago. I remember seeing a clip of Tucker where he said it exactly how Clinton did the other night, and was immediately corrected. And I think he legitimately didn't do it on purpose, this was 4 years ago. (he may have done it on purpose since) Then it was a big deal, they were talking about it on The View and everywhere else. Then the next day Biden said it the same way, and no one says. word. It was just funny the different reactions.
    The thing was the reaction to being corrected was usually "okay, so what?" that the left would say is racist. But people on the left, such as Biden himself, would say it that way too and not get the same reaction or even corrected. So I always viewed the "so what?" responses were more to the condescending corrections than the pronunciation itself. People would imply it's demeaning like you said if you were on the right, and then just ignore it if you were on the left, which prompted the "I don't really care" attitudes."
    Link?
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

    Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.

    Brilliantati©
  • The JugglerThe Juggler Posts: 48,878
    edited August 23
    By all accounts, 2024 is tracking close to 2020. It’s still close. But yeah, national polls are just a nice overview, it’s the state polling where the real info is gleaned. 

    Looking forward to next weeks, post DNC polls. 
    Well this is true if you only look at it as a snap shot in time. You can also look at it and see how things have changed in the last 30 days and imagine that trajectory continuing post a successful convention and with the debates looming




    www.myspace.com
  • The JugglerThe Juggler Posts: 48,878
    mace1229 said:
    my question re: her name. What about mispronouncing her name inherently means you are being racist? I don't really get the connection between the 80's wrestler pronunciation and racism. 
    It just seems demeaning and disrespectful to me.

    The racism comes into play, I guess, because it's usually a white person being ignorant and not bothering to care enough about a brown person to learn their different sounding name.

    I know nothing about the wrestler. Sorry! 
    Thats a stretch. Mispronouncing doesn't always mean you done care.
    It happened many times 4 years ago. I remember seeing a clip of Tucker where he said it exactly how Clinton did the other night, and was immediately corrected. And I think he legitimately didn't do it on purpose, this was 4 years ago. (he may have done it on purpose since) Then it was a big deal, they were talking about it on The View and everywhere else. Then the next day Biden said it the same way, and no one says. word. It was just funny the different reactions.
    The thing was the reaction to being corrected was usually "okay, so what?" that the left would say is racist. But people on the left, such as Biden himself, would say it that way too and not get the same reaction or even corrected. So I always viewed the "so what?" responses were more to the condescending corrections than the pronunciation itself. People would imply it's demeaning like you said if you were on the right, and then just ignore it if you were on the left, which prompted the "I don't really care" attitudes."
    Link?
    This seems like another example of giving the benefit of the doubt to people who do not deserve it. After ten years, we should all know better.
    www.myspace.com
  • Halifax2TheMaxHalifax2TheMax Posts: 38,956
    mace1229 said:
    my question re: her name. What about mispronouncing her name inherently means you are being racist? I don't really get the connection between the 80's wrestler pronunciation and racism. 
    It just seems demeaning and disrespectful to me.

    The racism comes into play, I guess, because it's usually a white person being ignorant and not bothering to care enough about a brown person to learn their different sounding name.

    I know nothing about the wrestler. Sorry! 
    Thats a stretch. Mispronouncing doesn't always mean you done care.
    It happened many times 4 years ago. I remember seeing a clip of Tucker where he said it exactly how Clinton did the other night, and was immediately corrected. And I think he legitimately didn't do it on purpose, this was 4 years ago. (he may have done it on purpose since) Then it was a big deal, they were talking about it on The View and everywhere else. Then the next day Biden said it the same way, and no one says. word. It was just funny the different reactions.
    The thing was the reaction to being corrected was usually "okay, so what?" that the left would say is racist. But people on the left, such as Biden himself, would say it that way too and not get the same reaction or even corrected. So I always viewed the "so what?" responses were more to the condescending corrections than the pronunciation itself. People would imply it's demeaning like you said if you were on the right, and then just ignore it if you were on the left, which prompted the "I don't really care" attitudes."
    Link?
    This seems like another example of giving the benefit of the doubt to people who do not deserve it. After ten years, we should all know better.
    Some of us knew better in 2015 and yet, here we are.
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

    Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.

    Brilliantati©
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,027
    By all accounts, 2024 is tracking close to 2020. It’s still close. But yeah, national polls are just a nice overview, it’s the state polling where the real info is gleaned. 

    Looking forward to next weeks, post DNC polls. 
    Well this is true if you only look at it as a snap shot in time. You can also look at it and see how things have changed in the last 30 days and imagine that trajectory continuing post a successful convention and with the debates looming




    no doubt. This momentum is pretty real. This thing may open up over the next couple weeks. 

  • The JugglerThe Juggler Posts: 48,878
    By all accounts, 2024 is tracking close to 2020. It’s still close. But yeah, national polls are just a nice overview, it’s the state polling where the real info is gleaned. 

    Looking forward to next weeks, post DNC polls. 
    Well this is true if you only look at it as a snap shot in time. You can also look at it and see how things have changed in the last 30 days and imagine that trajectory continuing post a successful convention and with the debates looming




    no doubt. This momentum is pretty real. This thing may open up over the next couple weeks. 

    Yeah--I am excited for the debates
    www.myspace.com
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Posts: 20,103
    edited August 23
    By all accounts, 2024 is tracking close to 2020. It’s still close. But yeah, national polls are just a nice overview, it’s the state polling where the real info is gleaned. 

    Looking forward to next weeks, post DNC polls. 
    Well this is true if you only look at it as a snap shot in time. You can also look at it and see how things have changed in the last 30 days and imagine that trajectory continuing post a successful convention and with the debates looming




    no doubt. This momentum is pretty real. This thing may open up over the next couple weeks. 

    Yeah--I am excited for the debates
    If they do it right...and so far everything indicates they will...she will just hit him with everything. Her speech last night was the best I have seen from her. She is confident and pissed off and likely using Biden's poor performance as fuel to light this orange fuckface up.

    The goal should be to get him to insult her live...and she'll be ready for that.
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
  • josevolutionjosevolution Posts: 29,429
    By all accounts, 2024 is tracking close to 2020. It’s still close. But yeah, national polls are just a nice overview, it’s the state polling where the real info is gleaned. 

    Looking forward to next weeks, post DNC polls. 
    Well this is true if you only look at it as a snap shot in time. You can also look at it and see how things have changed in the last 30 days and imagine that trajectory continuing post a successful convention and with the debates looming




    no doubt. This momentum is pretty real. This thing may open up over the next couple weeks. 

    Do you think it’s true that she hasn’t topped of yet and that he has and still hasn’t reached bottom yet in other words he’s on the downward slope and she’s going upwards? I’m just trying to learn and understand as much as possible about polls? 
    jesus greets me looks just like me ....
  • Johnny AbruzzoJohnny Abruzzo Posts: 11,589
    By all accounts, 2024 is tracking close to 2020. It’s still close. But yeah, national polls are just a nice overview, it’s the state polling where the real info is gleaned. 

    Looking forward to next weeks, post DNC polls. 
    Well this is true if you only look at it as a snap shot in time. You can also look at it and see how things have changed in the last 30 days and imagine that trajectory continuing post a successful convention and with the debates looming




    no doubt. This momentum is pretty real. This thing may open up over the next couple weeks. 

    Yeah--I am excited for the debates
    If they do it right...and so far everything indicates they will...she will just hit him with everything. Her speech last night was the best I have seen from her. She is confident and pissed off and likely using Biden's poor performance as fuel to light this orange fuckface up.

    The goal should be to get him to insult her live...and she'll be ready for that.
    Honestly maybe the best speech I've ever seen. She introduced herself, hit all the right policy notes, dressed down her opponent, energized her base, grabbed patriotism from the party that doesn't deserve it, reached out to undecideds, all in 40 minutes. Killer!!!

    I think there's a decent chance Trump makes a very offensive insult in the debate. He is rattled and addled.
    Spectrum 10/27/09; New Orleans JazzFest 5/1/10; Made in America 9/2/12; WF Center 10/21/13; WF Center 10/22/13; Baltimore 10/27/13;
    WF Center 4/28/16; WF Center 4/29/16; Fenway Park 8/7/16; Fenway Park 9/2/18; Asbury Park 9/18/21; Camden 9/14/22;
    Las Vegas 5/16/24; Las Vegas 5/18/24; WF Center 9/7/24; WF Center 9/9/24; Baltimore Arena 9/12/24

    Tres Mtns - TLA 3/23/11; EV - Tower Theatre 6/25/11; Temple of the Dog - Tower Theatre 11/5/16
This discussion has been closed.