Ukraine

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  • brianluxbrianlux Posts: 42,038
    i want ukraine to get some licks in. look at that convoy. we need to give them some a-10s and let them go to work on that convoy.

    Same here but the sooner the better.  The latest from The Guardian:
    Concern is mounting over the movements of a huge column of Russian military vehicles outside Kyiv. While a US defence official suggested it appeared to have “stalled”, there was also speculation that an estimated 15,000 troops attached to it may be regrouping and waiting for logistical supplies before an assault on Kyiv.


    “The fear of death follows from the fear of life. A man [or woman] who lives fully is prepared to die at any time.”
    Variously credited to Mark Twain or Edward Abbey.













  • mace1229mace1229 Posts: 9,367
    edited March 2022
    I understand the fear of escalating this into a nuclear war. But at the same time I’d hate to do nothing and watch tens, maybe even hundreds of thousands Ukrainians get killed only to see Putin not stop and invade another country and go to war anyway. I’m sure we can do some serious damage to that convoy with some drone strikes.
  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,675
    mace1229 said:
    I understand the fear of escalating this into a nuclear war. But at the same time I’d hate to do nothing and watch tens, maybe even hundreds of thousands Ukrainians get killed only to see Putin not stop and invade another country and go to war anyway. I’m sure we can do some serious damage to that convoy with some drone strikes.
    Moldova would be next
  • brianluxbrianlux Posts: 42,038
    mace1229 said:
    I understand the fear of escalating this into a nuclear war. But at the same time I’d hate to do nothing and watch tens, maybe even hundreds of thousands Ukrainians get killed only to see Putin not stop and invade another country and go to war anyway. I’m sure we can do some serious damage to that convoy with some drone strikes.

    It's a tempting thought, of course.  But the risk of starting something even more disastrous than what is happening in Ukraine is too great- a classic "cutting off your nose to spite you face" situation.  I think we're doing the right thing at this point.
    But yeah, it's damn hard to sit back and watch what's going down over there. 
    “The fear of death follows from the fear of life. A man [or woman] who lives fully is prepared to die at any time.”
    Variously credited to Mark Twain or Edward Abbey.













  • mace1229mace1229 Posts: 9,367
    brianlux said:
    mace1229 said:
    I understand the fear of escalating this into a nuclear war. But at the same time I’d hate to do nothing and watch tens, maybe even hundreds of thousands Ukrainians get killed only to see Putin not stop and invade another country and go to war anyway. I’m sure we can do some serious damage to that convoy with some drone strikes.

    It's a tempting thought, of course.  But the risk of starting something even more disastrous than what is happening in Ukraine is too great- a classic "cutting off your nose to spite you face" situation.  I think we're doing the right thing at this point.
    But yeah, it's damn hard to sit back and watch what's going down over there. 
    I agree. Right now it’s right. It’s sad, basically sacrificing Ukraine for the rest of the world.
    But if Putin doesn’t stop with Ukraine, and I’m less convinced each day he will, and invades a NATO country and we go to war anyway, that’s going to be a tough pill to swallow.
  • mace1229mace1229 Posts: 9,367
    Sounds like Russia is attack nuclear power plants, that would be 10 times worse than Chernobyl. We might get that nuclear disaster without even going to war.
  • mickeyratmickeyrat Posts: 38,592
    theres.his buffer...
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  • brianluxbrianlux Posts: 42,038
    mace1229 said:
    brianlux said:
    mace1229 said:
    I understand the fear of escalating this into a nuclear war. But at the same time I’d hate to do nothing and watch tens, maybe even hundreds of thousands Ukrainians get killed only to see Putin not stop and invade another country and go to war anyway. I’m sure we can do some serious damage to that convoy with some drone strikes.

    It's a tempting thought, of course.  But the risk of starting something even more disastrous than what is happening in Ukraine is too great- a classic "cutting off your nose to spite you face" situation.  I think we're doing the right thing at this point.
    But yeah, it's damn hard to sit back and watch what's going down over there. 
    I agree. Right now it’s right. It’s sad, basically sacrificing Ukraine for the rest of the world.
    But if Putin doesn’t stop with Ukraine, and I’m less convinced each day he will, and invades a NATO country and we go to war anyway, that’s going to be a tough pill to swallow.
    That concern is addressed here in this recent NY Times article:

    Washington’s Newest Worry: The Dangers of Cornering Putin

    Surprised by the speed at which sanctions have been poured on Russia, Biden’s top aides suspect that Putin’s reaction will be to double down and lash out — and perhaps expand the war.

    WASHINGTON — Senior White House officials designing the strategy to confront Russia have begun quietly debating a new concern: that the avalanche of sanctions directed at Moscow, which have gained speed faster than they imagined, is cornering President Vladimir V. Putin and may prompt him to lash out, perhaps expanding the conflict beyond Ukraine.

    In Situation Room meetings in recent days, the issue has come up repeatedly, according to three officials. Mr. Putin’s tendency, American intelligence officials have told the White House and Congress, is to double down when he feels trapped by his own overreach. So they have described a series of possible reactions, ranging from indiscriminate shelling of Ukrainian cities to compensate for the early mistakes made by his invading force, to cyberattacks directed at the American financial system, to more nuclear threats and perhaps moves to take the war beyond Ukraine’s borders.

    The debate over Mr. Putin’s next moves is linked to an urgent re-examination by intelligence agencies of the Russian leader’s mental state, and whether his ambitions and appetite for risk have been altered by two years of Covid isolation.

    Those concerns accelerated after Mr. Putin’s order on Sunday to place the country’s strategic nuclear weapons on a “combat ready” alert to respond to the West’s “aggressive comments.” (In the ensuing days, however, national security officials say they have seen little evidence on the ground that Russia’s nuclear forces have actually moved to a different state of readiness.)

    It was a sign of the depth of American concern that Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III announced Wednesday that he was canceling a previously scheduled Minuteman nuclear missile test, to avoid escalating direct challenges to Moscow or giving Mr. Putin an excuse to once again invoke the power of the country’s nuclear arsenal.

    “We did not take this decision lightly, but instead, to demonstrate that we are a responsible nuclear power,” John F. Kirby, the Pentagon press secretary, said Wednesday. “We recognize at this moment of tension how critical it is that both the United States and Russia bear in mind the risk of miscalculation, and take steps to reduce those risks.”

    Nonetheless, Mr. Putin’s reaction to the initial wave of sanctions has provoked a range of concerns that one senior official called the “Cornered Putin Problem.” Those concerns center on a series of recent announcements: the pullout of oil companies like Exxon and Shell from developing Russia’s oil fields, the moves against Russia’s central bank that sent the ruble plunging, and Germany’s surprise announcement that it would drop its ban on sending lethal weapons to the Ukrainian forces and ramp up its defense spending.

    But beyond canceling the missile test, there is no evidence that the United States is considering steps to reduce tensions, and a senior official said there was no interest in backing off sanctions.

    “Quite the contrary,’’ said the official, who, like other American officials interviewed for this story, asked for anonymity to discuss the internal debates among Mr. Biden’s advisers.

    In fact, President Biden announced expanded sanctions on Thursday, aimed at Russia’s oligarch class. Many of those named — including Dmitry Peskov, Mr. Putin’s spokesman and one of his close advisers — rank among his most influential defenders and the beneficiaries of the system he has created.

    Mr. Biden, reading a prepared statement and taking no questions, said the sanctions have had “a profound impact already.”

    A few hours after he spoke, S&P dropped Russia’s credit rating to CCC-, the credit-rating agency said in a statement. That is far below the junk bond levels Russia was ranked at a few days after the invasion, and just two notches above a warning that the country was going into default.

    It suggested that Mr. Putin’s effort to “sanctions-proof” his economy had largely failed. And at least for now, there is no discernible off-ramp for the Russian leader short of declaring a cease-fire or pulling back his forces — steps he has so far shown no interest in taking.

    At a news briefing at the White House on Thursday afternoon, Jen Psaki, the press secretary, said that she knew of no efforts to show Mr. Putin a way out. “I think right in this moment, they are marching toward Kyiv with a convoy and continuing to take reportedly barbaric steps against the people of Ukraine. So now is not the moment where we are offering options for reducing sanctions.”

    Yet a senior State Department official, asked about the debates inside the administration on the risks ahead, said there were nuances in the administration’s approach that point to possible outs for the Russian leader.

    mace1229 said:
    Sounds like Russia is attack nuclear power plants, that would be 10 times worse than Chernobyl. We might get that nuclear disaster without even going to war.

    Yes, a huge concern.  This whole things is beyond stressful, even here from the relative safety of so far away.  But the effects could spread far and wide.  Hopefully level heads will somehow prevail. 





    “The fear of death follows from the fear of life. A man [or woman] who lives fully is prepared to die at any time.”
    Variously credited to Mark Twain or Edward Abbey.













  • SpunkieSpunkie Posts: 6,672
    edited March 2022
    ^ thanks for sharing a bit of the paywalled information Brian.

    I'm going to check out this documentary for as long as I can handle some man yakking at me... oh good... starts with female narration... maybe I'll get through a bit of it then.


    ^dramatic - found basic information here instead

    https://www.vox.com/2014/9/3/18088560/ukraine-everything-you-need-to-know
     
    Post edited by Spunkie on
  • mickeyratmickeyrat Posts: 38,592
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • brianluxbrianlux Posts: 42,038
    tish said:
    ^ thanks for sharing a bit of the paywalled information Brian.

    I'm going to check out this documentary for as long as I can handle some man yakking at me... oh good... starts with female narration... maybe I'll get through a bit of it then.


    ^dramatic - found basic information here instead

    https://www.vox.com/2014/9/3/18088560/ukraine-everything-you-need-to-know
     

    Happy to do so, Tish.  I finally went with a subscription to NY Times and although copy and pasting from them feels a bit like pirating or bootlegging (which I don't do), I think under extraordinary situations like these, the information needs to be available.

    My wife just saw a blurb on her phone about a nuclear power plant in Ukraine, the largest nuclear power plant in Europe, being hit with a rocket and on fire.  Her first reaction, naturally, was great concern.  The latest from The Guardian will ease some of that tension, at least for now:
    "The blaze, located in a training building on the perimeter of the site, started early on Friday morning and was extinguished by about 6.20am Ukraine time. Ukrainian authorities said that the site had been secured and the reactors were safe, and the IAEA said the fire had not affected “essential” equipment."



    “The fear of death follows from the fear of life. A man [or woman] who lives fully is prepared to die at any time.”
    Variously credited to Mark Twain or Edward Abbey.













  • lastexitlondonlastexitlondon Posts: 13,875
    This  shit is getting  too much.  That nuclear  plant is the  biggest in europe. Meanwhile on my tv  a childrens cancer hospital is trying  to treat children underground.  In our  last 3 years ive feared for my childrens lives more than i ever feared anything.  Its just too much.
    brixton 93
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    this song is meant to be called i got shit,itshould be called i got shit tickets-hartford 06 -
  • brianluxbrianlux Posts: 42,038
    This  shit is getting  too much.  That nuclear  plant is the  biggest in europe. Meanwhile on my tv  a childrens cancer hospital is trying  to treat children underground.  In our  last 3 years ive feared for my childrens lives more than i ever feared anything.  Its just too much.

    It's a rough time, Rob, for sure.
    Zelenskyy recently said Europe needs to step in and stop the Russian troops before they create a worse disaster.  Other world leaders are urging a cease fire but I kind of doubt Putin will listen.  I'm beginning to think Zelenskyy is right, but that's also a scary thought. 
    I've seen a lot of crazy shit happen in this world but this is over the top.  Somebody needs to do something.  It feels like the whole fucking world is creaming STOP!  How can one man create so much chaos?  It's beyond belief.

    “The fear of death follows from the fear of life. A man [or woman] who lives fully is prepared to die at any time.”
    Variously credited to Mark Twain or Edward Abbey.













  • PoncierPoncier Posts: 16,925
    Putin just proved he'll stop at nothing; nukes are definitely on the table. he's probably itching to use them.
    This weekend we rock Portland
  • Jearlpam0925Jearlpam0925 Posts: 17,038
    Poncier said:
    Putin just proved he'll stop at nothing; nukes are definitely on the table. he's probably itching to use them.
    Yup. He's going to pivot to any country not in NATO as well. He's humiliated, so naturally it's his time to have a tantrum. And that's probably mostly due to the fact that any result out of this otherwise is Russia getting pounded into the ground for the indefinite future economically.
  • dignindignin Posts: 9,336
    Poncier said:
    Putin just proved he'll stop at nothing; nukes are definitely on the table. he's probably itching to use them.
    I doubt he wants to die. So I really don't think he's itching to use Nukes.
  • dignin said:
    Poncier said:
    Putin just proved he'll stop at nothing; nukes are definitely on the table. he's probably itching to use them.
    I doubt he wants to die. So I really don't think he's itching to use Nukes.
    I agree. He's posturing, gambling on everyone else being too afraid to stop him. 
    new album "Cigarettes" out Spring 2025!

    www.headstonesband.com




  • HughFreakingDillonHughFreakingDillon Posts: 36,982
    edited March 2022
    In early January, Big Wreck recorded this haunting version of Sting's classic, "Russians". What was purely a topical situation at the time, has clearly now unfolded to be a volatile and terrifying situations for millions. We have decided to release this song, with 100% of all proceeds going to the UNHRC (A United Nations Refugee Aid Organization). This organization is working to provide support and aid to refugees currently fleeing the violent situation in Ukraine.

    https://bigwreckmusic.bandcamp.com/track/russians

    and you can set your price, if you wish to donate more than the minimum. 


    new album "Cigarettes" out Spring 2025!

    www.headstonesband.com




  • josevolutionjosevolution Posts: 29,538
    So when would the rest of the world react to mass casualties is there a number of threshold? 100k 250k 1million? Can the rest of the world really sit by and only impose sanctions? 
    jesus greets me looks just like me ....
  • lastexitlondonlastexitlondon Posts: 13,875
    Look if he is willing to bomb the biggest power plant in europe.  Then he will have no problem  using  a nuke. 
    brixton 93
    astoria 06
    albany 06
    hartford 06
    reading 06
    barcelona 06
    paris 06
    wembley 07
    dusseldorf 07
    nijmegen 07

    this song is meant to be called i got shit,itshould be called i got shit tickets-hartford 06 -
  • MayDay10MayDay10 Posts: 11,727
    Honestly not too sure what to think about the power plant 'attack'.  Who knows what exactly happened there.  I think Putin is an evil piece of shit and its hard giving him the benefit of the doubt, but Ukraine stands to gain a lot from this kind of outrage/fear.  No doubt Ukraine is also spreading a degree of misinformation.  I know Russia was quick in securing Chernobyl, for that very reason I believe.   
  • dignindignin Posts: 9,336
    In early January, Big Wreck recorded this haunting version of Sting's classic, "Russians". What was purely a topical situation at the time, has clearly now unfolded to be a volatile and terrifying situations for millions. We have decided to release this song, with 100% of all proceeds going to the UNHRC (A United Nations Refugee Aid Organization). This organization is working to provide support and aid to refugees currently fleeing the violent situation in Ukraine.

    https://bigwreckmusic.bandcamp.com/track/russians

    and you can set your price, if you wish to donate more than the minimum. 


    I loved Big Wreck back in the day.
  • dignindignin Posts: 9,336
    MayDay10 said:
    Honestly not too sure what to think about the power plant 'attack'.  Who knows what exactly happened there.  I think Putin is an evil piece of shit and its hard giving him the benefit of the doubt, but Ukraine stands to gain a lot from this kind of outrage/fear.  No doubt Ukraine is also spreading a degree of misinformation.  I know Russia was quick in securing Chernobyl, for that very reason I believe.   
    Yup, fog of war. We know nothing yet. 

    Most likely it's the army being careless. This Russian army seems to make a lot of mistakes.
  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,675
    If you're not living in Ukraine or Moldova, I would not let this war eat you alive with anxiety.  If you do, it's not about Putin, it's about your personal struggles and challenges.  Nuclear war is not imminent. 
  • MayDay10MayDay10 Posts: 11,727
    mrussel1 said:
    If you're not living in Ukraine or Moldova, I would not let this war eat you alive with anxiety.  If you do, it's not about Putin, it's about your personal struggles and challenges.  Nuclear war is not imminent. 
    I agree with this.

  • HobbesHobbes Posts: 6,423
    dignin said:
    MayDay10 said:
    Honestly not too sure what to think about the power plant 'attack'.  Who knows what exactly happened there.  I think Putin is an evil piece of shit and its hard giving him the benefit of the doubt, but Ukraine stands to gain a lot from this kind of outrage/fear.  No doubt Ukraine is also spreading a degree of misinformation.  I know Russia was quick in securing Chernobyl, for that very reason I believe.   
    Yup, fog of war. We know nothing yet. 

    Most likely it's the army being careless. This Russian army seems to make a lot of mistakes.
    Cry "Havoc!" and let slip the fog of war.
  • dignin said:
    In early January, Big Wreck recorded this haunting version of Sting's classic, "Russians". What was purely a topical situation at the time, has clearly now unfolded to be a volatile and terrifying situations for millions. We have decided to release this song, with 100% of all proceeds going to the UNHRC (A United Nations Refugee Aid Organization). This organization is working to provide support and aid to refugees currently fleeing the violent situation in Ukraine.

    https://bigwreckmusic.bandcamp.com/track/russians

    and you can set your price, if you wish to donate more than the minimum. 


    I loved Big Wreck back in the day.
    it's basically Ian Thornley and friends. check out Ian's solo record though (Secrets). If you like his more bluesy stuff. it's on vinyl on his website if you dig. 
    new album "Cigarettes" out Spring 2025!

    www.headstonesband.com




  • MayDay10MayDay10 Posts: 11,727
    Zalensky has reaffirmed a desire for talks directly with Putin and acknowledged he will need to make some concessions.  

    If this continues as-is, (even if Russia advances), Putin is going to have to realize his best course of action is at the diplomacy table at this point.  Pressure is mounting up against him domestically.  It will only increase with more time and blood.  He can still flaunt 'a win' at home.  An occupation per-se will be never-ending.

    As much as it sucks, I think NATO and the US will need to Summit with Putin as well in the aftermath.  
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Posts: 20,275
    I do kind of feel like it's time to push Putin back. Send bombers to Poland for a training exercise. Put troops on the border.


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