Sea. Hear. Now Festival 2020 Update

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Comments

  • Luckytwn1Luckytwn1 Posts: 513
    blaine said:
    As of now there's five large scale festivals scheduled to take place in September across the US, not including Sea.Hear.Now. One would assume the music industry is preparing for full scale festivals this fall, considering all the recent announcements. GovBall, FireFly, Pilgrimage, Lost Lands, Del Fest amongst those and rumors of Bonnaroo as well happening.
    Oh, it is definite some states are going to allow events before others. That’s an issue in knowing how to proceed with tours. 

    The question is not what Tennessee will allow, it’s what NJ will allow in September. Obviously Coachella gave up on 2021. Perhaps in a state different from CA, they wouldn’t have yet. 
  • PJNBPJNB Posts: 13,434
    In 3 weeks 90% of the US adult population will be eligible to be vaccinated. Each state will have different roll outs time periods that will full fill all of the vaccination requests but as of right now the US is moving at lightning speed vaccinating everyone it looks like. 
  • josevolutionjosevolution Posts: 29,405
    I hope everyone that has tickets to this festival get to attend! I’m not holding tickets to any events for 2021..
    jesus greets me looks just like me ....
  • CO278952CO278952 Posts: 1,351
    PJNB said:
    April 6th anyone that is 16 or older can get a vaccine in NY. There is no reason by fall that these shows can not happen imo if the vaccines do what they are supposed to do and enough people get them. 
    Common sense virus is unfortunately difficult to spread. 
    4.17.94 Paramount 9.28.96 Randall's Island 8.25.00 Jones Beach 4.28.03 Spectrum 7.5.03 Camden 7.6.03 Camden 07.08.03 MSG 07.09.03 MSG 7.12.03 Hershey 7.14.03 Holmdel 6.12.08 Tampa 10.19.13 Brooklyn 4.11.16 Tampa 5.1.16 MSG 5.2.16 MSG 8.7.16 Fenway 9.2.18 Fenway 9.4.18 Fenway 9.11.22 MSG 9.16.22 Nashville 9.18.23 Austin 9.19.23 Austin 9.3.24 MSG 9.4.24 MSG Fenway 9.15.24 Fenway 9.17.24
  • Luckytwn1Luckytwn1 Posts: 513
    edited March 2021
    PJNB said:
    April 6th anyone that is 16 or older can get a vaccine in NY. There is no reason by fall that these shows can not happen imo if the vaccines do what they are supposed to do and enough people get them. 
    Of course, the reason is that anyone putting on a concert the size of Sea Hear Now can’t wait until mid-September to decide. There is a decision date well in advance of the actual concert dates where the decision will have to be made. So it could very well be that by September things are totally fine, let’s hope but the decision as to whether to proceed will be made well in advance of then. That’s what makes it so difficult, especially with a show sold with full capacity. 
    Post edited by Luckytwn1 on
  • PJNBPJNB Posts: 13,434
    edited March 2021
    CO278952 said:
    PJNB said:
    April 6th anyone that is 16 or older can get a vaccine in NY. There is no reason by fall that these shows can not happen imo if the vaccines do what they are supposed to do and enough people get them. 
    Common sense virus is unfortunately difficult to spread. 
    At this point I am not sure if this is a shot at me or in agreement. Hard to tell with people so divided but I get it either way. I am just itching to see shows pretty damn bad. I have followed the healthcare recommendations for over a year now and will continue doing so. Just do not see us doing any better than this and if people that want to be protected have been and with a vaccine that is as good as they are I am ready to see live shows again without hesitation. 



    image
    Post edited by PJNB on
  • mcgruff10mcgruff10 Posts: 28,463
    @PJNB Jeff are you going to this festival?
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
  • CO278952CO278952 Posts: 1,351
    PJNB said:
    CO278952 said:
    PJNB said:
    April 6th anyone that is 16 or older can get a vaccine in NY. There is no reason by fall that these shows can not happen imo if the vaccines do what they are supposed to do and enough people get them. 
    Common sense virus is unfortunately difficult to spread. 
    At this point I am not sure if this is a shot at me or in agreement. Hard to tell with people so divided but I get it either way. I am just itching to see shows pretty damn bad. I have followed the healthcare recommendations for over a year now and will continue doing so. Just do not see us doing any better than this and if people that want to be protected have been and with a vaccine that is as good as they are I am ready to see live shows again without hesitation. 



    image
    Sorry. 100% without a doubt in support of you and entirely ready to move on. It is complete common sense that dates should be announced for fall starting now. There is no reason for anyone to cower in fear any longer unless they wish to for their own reasons. Vaccination across the nation!
    4.17.94 Paramount 9.28.96 Randall's Island 8.25.00 Jones Beach 4.28.03 Spectrum 7.5.03 Camden 7.6.03 Camden 07.08.03 MSG 07.09.03 MSG 7.12.03 Hershey 7.14.03 Holmdel 6.12.08 Tampa 10.19.13 Brooklyn 4.11.16 Tampa 5.1.16 MSG 5.2.16 MSG 8.7.16 Fenway 9.2.18 Fenway 9.4.18 Fenway 9.11.22 MSG 9.16.22 Nashville 9.18.23 Austin 9.19.23 Austin 9.3.24 MSG 9.4.24 MSG Fenway 9.15.24 Fenway 9.17.24
  • on2legson2legs Posts: 15,093
    edited March 2021
    No one here is saying corners should be cut or safety should be compromised.  Not sure why  posting vaguely positive news triggers some people  🤷🏻‍♂️
    Post edited by on2legs on
    1996: Randall's Island 2  1998: East Rutherford | MSG 1 & 2  2000: Cincinnati | Columbus | Jones Beach 1, 2, & 3 | Boston 1 | Camden 1 & 2 2003: Philadelphia | Uniondale | MSG 1 & 2 | Holmdel  2005: Atlantic City 1  2006: Camden 1 | East Rutherford 1 & 2 2008: Camden 1 & 2 | MSG 1 & 2 | Newark (EV)  2009: Philadelphia 1, 2 & 4  2010: Newark | MSG 1 & 2  2011: Toronto 1  2013: Wrigley Field | Brooklyn 2 | Philadelphia 1 & 2 | Baltimore  2015: Central Park  2016: Philadelphia 1 & 2 | MSG 1 & 2 | Fenway Park 2 | MSG (TOTD)  2017: Brooklyn (RnR HOF)  2020: MSG | Asbury Park  2021: Asbury Park  2022: MSG | Camden | Nashville  2024: MSG 1 & 2 (#50) | Philadelphia 1 & 2 | Baltimore


  • PJNBPJNB Posts: 13,434
    mcgruff10 said:
    @PJNB Jeff are you going to this festival?
    Absolutely will make one of them depending on the dates. If Hyde Park is a double nighter on the weekend of Sep 3-5th and its a likely go I am booking that first. The other two do not work for me work wise but if SHN is the first show I will not miss it. Hope you get at least that festival this year man! 

  • PJNBPJNB Posts: 13,434
    CO278952 said:
    PJNB said:
    CO278952 said:
    PJNB said:
    April 6th anyone that is 16 or older can get a vaccine in NY. There is no reason by fall that these shows can not happen imo if the vaccines do what they are supposed to do and enough people get them. 
    Common sense virus is unfortunately difficult to spread. 
    At this point I am not sure if this is a shot at me or in agreement. Hard to tell with people so divided but I get it either way. I am just itching to see shows pretty damn bad. I have followed the healthcare recommendations for over a year now and will continue doing so. Just do not see us doing any better than this and if people that want to be protected have been and with a vaccine that is as good as they are I am ready to see live shows again without hesitation. 



    image
    Sorry. 100% without a doubt in support of you and entirely ready to move on. It is complete common sense that dates should be announced for fall starting now. There is no reason for anyone to cower in fear any longer unless they wish to for their own reasons. Vaccination across the nation!
    Gotcha and to be honest if you were thinking the other way I get it too. It has been a long year for us all. I just look forward to getting past it safely and if having outdoor shows first is the way to do it lets have a fun fall! 
  • CO278952CO278952 Posts: 1,351
    PJNB said:
    CO278952 said:
    PJNB said:
    CO278952 said:
    PJNB said:
    April 6th anyone that is 16 or older can get a vaccine in NY. There is no reason by fall that these shows can not happen imo if the vaccines do what they are supposed to do and enough people get them. 
    Common sense virus is unfortunately difficult to spread. 
    At this point I am not sure if this is a shot at me or in agreement. Hard to tell with people so divided but I get it either way. I am just itching to see shows pretty damn bad. I have followed the healthcare recommendations for over a year now and will continue doing so. Just do not see us doing any better than this and if people that want to be protected have been and with a vaccine that is as good as they are I am ready to see live shows again without hesitation. 



    image
    Sorry. 100% without a doubt in support of you and entirely ready to move on. It is complete common sense that dates should be announced for fall starting now. There is no reason for anyone to cower in fear any longer unless they wish to for their own reasons. Vaccination across the nation!
    Gotcha and to be honest if you were thinking the other way I get it too. It has been a long year for us all. I just look forward to getting past it safely and if having outdoor shows first is the way to do it lets have a fun fall! 
    I do think announcing fall dates and requiring proof of vaccination or a rapid test in advance is totally reasonable for this year and would only incentivize more people to get the shot. It’d also incentivize other artists to do the same resulting in even more people potentially getting vaccinated. If the goal is to slow the spread by getting more people shots, what better way than by promoting 20K people per city at a time to get it done. 
    4.17.94 Paramount 9.28.96 Randall's Island 8.25.00 Jones Beach 4.28.03 Spectrum 7.5.03 Camden 7.6.03 Camden 07.08.03 MSG 07.09.03 MSG 7.12.03 Hershey 7.14.03 Holmdel 6.12.08 Tampa 10.19.13 Brooklyn 4.11.16 Tampa 5.1.16 MSG 5.2.16 MSG 8.7.16 Fenway 9.2.18 Fenway 9.4.18 Fenway 9.11.22 MSG 9.16.22 Nashville 9.18.23 Austin 9.19.23 Austin 9.3.24 MSG 9.4.24 MSG Fenway 9.15.24 Fenway 9.17.24
  • Jearlpam0925Jearlpam0925 Posts: 17,033
    on2legs said:
    No one here is saying corners should be cut or safety should be compromised.  Not sure why  posting vaguely positive news triggers some people  🤷🏻‍♂️
    Exactly. For some reason following science, guidelines, data,, and safety is fear? 

    Just because the vaccination will be eligible to more people and expanded doesn't mean we'll get to promising numbers. We're already having a problem getting a ton of idiots vaxed due to hesitancy and being misinformed. Now, adding young people to the mix won't make those expectant vaxed numbers go up.

    As said above, we could very well be at 70, 80% immunity by then. But that's not how any of this works when it related to today. I can't see PJ being comfortable with where we might be by then. And I can't see how this thing happens without them.
  • on2legson2legs Posts: 15,093
    on2legs said:
    No one here is saying corners should be cut or safety should be compromised.  Not sure why  posting vaguely positive news triggers some people  🤷🏻‍♂️
    Exactly. For some reason following science, guidelines, data,, and safety is fear? 

    Just because the vaccination will be eligible to more people and expanded doesn't mean we'll get to promising numbers. We're already having a problem getting a ton of idiots vaxed due to hesitancy and being misinformed. Now, adding young people to the mix won't make those expectant vaxed numbers go up.

    As said above, we could very well be at 70, 80% immunity by then. But that's not how any of this works when it related to today. I can't see PJ being comfortable with where we might be by then. And I can't see how this thing happens without them.
    I’m not really in the speculating business.  I’m merely reporting actual news.  And there has been some positive news to report lately.  Not sure why that triggers some people? 🤷🏻‍♂️
    1996: Randall's Island 2  1998: East Rutherford | MSG 1 & 2  2000: Cincinnati | Columbus | Jones Beach 1, 2, & 3 | Boston 1 | Camden 1 & 2 2003: Philadelphia | Uniondale | MSG 1 & 2 | Holmdel  2005: Atlantic City 1  2006: Camden 1 | East Rutherford 1 & 2 2008: Camden 1 & 2 | MSG 1 & 2 | Newark (EV)  2009: Philadelphia 1, 2 & 4  2010: Newark | MSG 1 & 2  2011: Toronto 1  2013: Wrigley Field | Brooklyn 2 | Philadelphia 1 & 2 | Baltimore  2015: Central Park  2016: Philadelphia 1 & 2 | MSG 1 & 2 | Fenway Park 2 | MSG (TOTD)  2017: Brooklyn (RnR HOF)  2020: MSG | Asbury Park  2021: Asbury Park  2022: MSG | Camden | Nashville  2024: MSG 1 & 2 (#50) | Philadelphia 1 & 2 | Baltimore


  • PJNBPJNB Posts: 13,434
    on2legs said:
    No one here is saying corners should be cut or safety should be compromised.  Not sure why  posting vaguely positive news triggers some people  🤷🏻‍♂️
    Exactly. For some reason following science, guidelines, data,, and safety is fear? 

    Just because the vaccination will be eligible to more people and expanded doesn't mean we'll get to promising numbers. We're already having a problem getting a ton of idiots vaxed due to hesitancy and being misinformed. Now, adding young people to the mix won't make those expectant vaxed numbers go up.

    As said above, we could very well be at 70, 80% immunity by then. But that's not how any of this works when it related to today. I can't see PJ being comfortable with where we might be by then. And I can't see how this thing happens without them.
    The numbers for daily vaccinations in the US are outstanding right now and is likely to only get better unless something really fucked up happens to the supply which I do not foresee happening. With regards to the people that do not want to get vaccinated that is their choice. As I said in another thread there should be no scenario out there where everyone is vaccinated that wants to be and we still have restrictions in place due to antivaxxers and not being close to herd immunity. I get the frustration against them but protect yourself and your family and thats what matters most of course. The  efficacy and health numbers coming from these vaccines in the last couple of days and weeks from tests and trials has been nothing short of a miracle.  
  • Weston1283Weston1283 Posts: 4,846
    Its pretty clear to see that concerts in September and October will be able to happen based off of the rate which we are vaccinating (many states are already open or are about to open up vaccines to all people over age 16)

    The question here is more of a "will Pearl Jam be a part of the bands that tour in late 2021?'"

    With how close we are to the Europe tour without any sort of word from the band and as of now is still technically on, you have to think they are ok with playing shows as soon as our officials give us the green light.  
    2010: Cleveland
    2012: Atlanta
    2013: London ONT / Wrigley Field / Pittsburgh / Buffalo / San Diego / Los Angeles I / Los Angeles II
    2014: Cincinnati / St. Louis / Tulsa / Lincoln / Detroit / Denver
    2015: New York City
    2016: Ft. Lauderdale / Miami / Jacksonville / Greenville / Hampton / Columbia / Lexington / Philly II / New York City II / Toronto II / Bonnaroo / Telluride / Fenway I / Wrigley I / Wrigley - II / TOTD - Philadelphia, San Francisco
    2017: Ohana Fest (EV)
    2018: Amsterdam I / Amsterdam II / Seattle I / Seattle II / Boston I / Boston II
    2021: Asbury Park / Ohana Encore 1 / Ohana Encore 2
    2022: Phoenix / LA I / LA II / Quebec City / Ottawa / New York City / Camden / Nashville / St. Louis / Denver
    2023: St. Paul II
    2024: Las Vegas I / Las Vegas II / New York City I / New York City II / Philly I / Philly II / Baltimore
  • Jearlpam0925Jearlpam0925 Posts: 17,033
    No question. With all that said, people like to think we're already out of this when that is no where near the case. And in light of all that good news, numbers are trending back up again.
  • CO278952CO278952 Posts: 1,351
    No question. With all that said, people like to think we're already out of this when that is no where near the case. And in light of all that good news, numbers are trending back up again.
    We are getting out of it
    4.17.94 Paramount 9.28.96 Randall's Island 8.25.00 Jones Beach 4.28.03 Spectrum 7.5.03 Camden 7.6.03 Camden 07.08.03 MSG 07.09.03 MSG 7.12.03 Hershey 7.14.03 Holmdel 6.12.08 Tampa 10.19.13 Brooklyn 4.11.16 Tampa 5.1.16 MSG 5.2.16 MSG 8.7.16 Fenway 9.2.18 Fenway 9.4.18 Fenway 9.11.22 MSG 9.16.22 Nashville 9.18.23 Austin 9.19.23 Austin 9.3.24 MSG 9.4.24 MSG Fenway 9.15.24 Fenway 9.17.24
  • mcgruff10mcgruff10 Posts: 28,463
    PJNB said:
    mcgruff10 said:
    @PJNB Jeff are you going to this festival?
    Absolutely will make one of them depending on the dates. If Hyde Park is a double nighter on the weekend of Sep 3-5th and its a likely go I am booking that first. The other two do not work for me work wise but if SHN is the first show I will not miss it. Hope you get at least that festival this year man! 

    Awesome man!  Hope to see you and Jess in NJ!!!
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
  • RatherStarvedRatherStarved Posts: 4,999
    SHN is already booked and sold.  Of course it could be postponed or cancelled but it’s not like they are starting from scratch and deciding whether to book a date and put something on sale.  Based on last year they can probably make a decision in June, by which time it is expected that every adult in America who wants a vaccine will have one.  That will hopefully already have resulted in vastly diminished bad numbers and enable a decision to proceed, or at least not to cancel. Right now the numbers aren’t declining the way they need to, but hopefully a critical mass of vaccinations by June will have the desired effect.  
    PJ: 2013: London (ON); Buffalo; 2014: Cincinnati; 2016: Sunrise, Miami, Toronto 1-2, Wrigley 2; 2018: London (UK) 1, Milan, Padova, Sea 2, Wrigley 1-2, Fenway 1-2; 2021: SHN, Ohana, Ohana Encore 1-2; 2022: LA 1-2, Phx, Oak 1-2, Fresno, Copenhagen, Hyde Park 1-2; Quebec, Ottawa, Hamilton, Toronto; MSG, Camden, Nashville, Louisville, St. Louis, OKC; 2023: St. Paul 1-2, Chicago 1-2; Fort Worth 2; Austin 1-2; 2024:  Vancouver 1-2, LV 1-2, LA 1-2, Napa, Barcelona 1-2
     
    EV Solo: 2017 Louisville and Franklin, 2018 Ohana, 2019 Innings Fest, Berlin, Düsseldorf, Dublin and Ohana; 2021 Ohana Friday (from beach) and Saturday; 2022 Earthlings Newark; 2023 Innings Fest and Benoraya 1-2.

    Gutted:  London 2 2018, Sacramento 2022, Noblesville 2023
  • Jearlpam0925Jearlpam0925 Posts: 17,033
    CO278952 said:
    No question. With all that said, people like to think we're already out of this when that is no where near the case. And in light of all that good news, numbers are trending back up again.
    We are getting out of it
    I appreciate the sentiment.. But we are not out of it. And getting out of it doesn't mean going back to exactly the way things were before. Numbers are ticking up right now and you need herd immunity at a certain threshold to be "out of it."
  • Jearlpam0925Jearlpam0925 Posts: 17,033
    Also, it looks SHN decided in mid-to-late June to postpone last year, so we may not even know until then. Which is kinda crazy.
  • CO278952CO278952 Posts: 1,351
    CO278952 said:
    No question. With all that said, people like to think we're already out of this when that is no where near the case. And in light of all that good news, numbers are trending back up again.
    We are getting out of it
    I appreciate the sentiment.. But we are not out of it. And getting out of it doesn't mean going back to exactly the way things were before. Numbers are ticking up right now and you need herd immunity at a certain threshold to be "out of it."
    I am saying we are getting out of it. Not that we are out of it yet. Once everyone who wants one has been vaccinated it’s time to move on. 
    4.17.94 Paramount 9.28.96 Randall's Island 8.25.00 Jones Beach 4.28.03 Spectrum 7.5.03 Camden 7.6.03 Camden 07.08.03 MSG 07.09.03 MSG 7.12.03 Hershey 7.14.03 Holmdel 6.12.08 Tampa 10.19.13 Brooklyn 4.11.16 Tampa 5.1.16 MSG 5.2.16 MSG 8.7.16 Fenway 9.2.18 Fenway 9.4.18 Fenway 9.11.22 MSG 9.16.22 Nashville 9.18.23 Austin 9.19.23 Austin 9.3.24 MSG 9.4.24 MSG Fenway 9.15.24 Fenway 9.17.24
  • mcgruff10mcgruff10 Posts: 28,463
    CO278952 said:
    CO278952 said:
    No question. With all that said, people like to think we're already out of this when that is no where near the case. And in light of all that good news, numbers are trending back up again.
    We are getting out of it
    I appreciate the sentiment.. But we are not out of it. And getting out of it doesn't mean going back to exactly the way things were before. Numbers are ticking up right now and you need herd immunity at a certain threshold to be "out of it."
    I am saying we are getting out of it. Not that we are out of it yet. Once everyone who wants one has been vaccinated it’s time to move on. 
    Totally agree.   
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
  • Weston1283Weston1283 Posts: 4,846
    edited March 2021
    Also, it looks SHN decided in mid-to-late June to postpone last year, so we may not even know until then. Which is kinda crazy.
    Theres no reason to cancel it anytime before July or August.  The chances of it happening get better every day.  With the rate at which we are vaccinating, a small uptick in case numbers here and there is nothing to be concerned about.  Coronavirus is a part of our lives now and will be forever.  You will likely get a yearly COVID booster every year with your flu shot.  People will die of it this year, next year, the year after that, etc.  The goal is to minimize that as much as possible with vaccines and get it down to an "acceptable" level (not trying to sound morbid or sound insensitive by saying an acceptable level) but to where is really is similar to something like a seasonal flu.  That is the end game here, not elimination of the virus in whole.

    The EURO summer tour is a totally different story as many countries wont be vaccinated by June and the borders are going to be tough.  But a fall show in the US is completely on the table still.
    Post edited by Weston1283 on
    2010: Cleveland
    2012: Atlanta
    2013: London ONT / Wrigley Field / Pittsburgh / Buffalo / San Diego / Los Angeles I / Los Angeles II
    2014: Cincinnati / St. Louis / Tulsa / Lincoln / Detroit / Denver
    2015: New York City
    2016: Ft. Lauderdale / Miami / Jacksonville / Greenville / Hampton / Columbia / Lexington / Philly II / New York City II / Toronto II / Bonnaroo / Telluride / Fenway I / Wrigley I / Wrigley - II / TOTD - Philadelphia, San Francisco
    2017: Ohana Fest (EV)
    2018: Amsterdam I / Amsterdam II / Seattle I / Seattle II / Boston I / Boston II
    2021: Asbury Park / Ohana Encore 1 / Ohana Encore 2
    2022: Phoenix / LA I / LA II / Quebec City / Ottawa / New York City / Camden / Nashville / St. Louis / Denver
    2023: St. Paul II
    2024: Las Vegas I / Las Vegas II / New York City I / New York City II / Philly I / Philly II / Baltimore
  • RatherStarvedRatherStarved Posts: 4,999
    Herd immunity on any national or even regional scale is unlikely to be achieved in 2021.  There will be too many pockets of anti vaxxers etc.  If herd immunity is the standard we can shut down all these discussions now.  However I don’t think there has to be herd immunity to have a show that only vaccinated people can attend, for example. 
    PJ: 2013: London (ON); Buffalo; 2014: Cincinnati; 2016: Sunrise, Miami, Toronto 1-2, Wrigley 2; 2018: London (UK) 1, Milan, Padova, Sea 2, Wrigley 1-2, Fenway 1-2; 2021: SHN, Ohana, Ohana Encore 1-2; 2022: LA 1-2, Phx, Oak 1-2, Fresno, Copenhagen, Hyde Park 1-2; Quebec, Ottawa, Hamilton, Toronto; MSG, Camden, Nashville, Louisville, St. Louis, OKC; 2023: St. Paul 1-2, Chicago 1-2; Fort Worth 2; Austin 1-2; 2024:  Vancouver 1-2, LV 1-2, LA 1-2, Napa, Barcelona 1-2
     
    EV Solo: 2017 Louisville and Franklin, 2018 Ohana, 2019 Innings Fest, Berlin, Düsseldorf, Dublin and Ohana; 2021 Ohana Friday (from beach) and Saturday; 2022 Earthlings Newark; 2023 Innings Fest and Benoraya 1-2.

    Gutted:  London 2 2018, Sacramento 2022, Noblesville 2023
  • PJNBPJNB Posts: 13,434
    CO278952 said:
    No question. With all that said, people like to think we're already out of this when that is no where near the case. And in light of all that good news, numbers are trending back up again.
    We are getting out of it
    I appreciate the sentiment.. But we are not out of it. And getting out of it doesn't mean going back to exactly the way things were before. Numbers are ticking up right now and you need herd immunity at a certain threshold to be "out of it."
    I get that the fall seems fast with the numbers still where they are at. I also get that the challenge to get to herd immunity is going to be damn near impossible with the number of people that will choose to not be vaccinated. That said numbers today have nothing to do with the fall.  At some point we are not going to be talking about cases so much anymore and focusing on hospitalizations and deaths. Also I predict the media, especially the left leaning, to focus on the deaths and hospitalizations from those that were vaccinated and those that were not. That may sway some of the non vaccinated people to take the shot but aside from kids getting the vaccine there is a point coming fast this summer where we are going to be pretty much as good as it gets with regards to vaccinating.

    What would your reasoning be then to keep restrictions in place? If you do think they should still be in place what is the next step to get them lifted? 
  • Jearlpam0925Jearlpam0925 Posts: 17,033
    CO278952 said:
    CO278952 said:
    No question. With all that said, people like to think we're already out of this when that is no where near the case. And in light of all that good news, numbers are trending back up again.
    We are getting out of it
    I appreciate the sentiment.. But we are not out of it. And getting out of it doesn't mean going back to exactly the way things were before. Numbers are ticking up right now and you need herd immunity at a certain threshold to be "out of it."
    I am saying we are getting out of it. Not that we are out of it yet. Once everyone who wants one has been vaccinated it’s time to move on. 
    I mean that would be cool if that's how this all works, but unfortunately it's not. There's no "moving on". I mean, evidently, we will, because of course we're collectively too fucking stupid to learn anything from this. Just wake up, I'm vaxed, boop boop back to normal.

    Once we reach herd immunity then we can, sorta, maybe, "move on". Not when everyone who wanted a shot gets one - if that number is like 40%, 50%, 60% (I don't know, pick a number that's below herd immunity) of the population then we're most definitely not out of it.
  • Jearlpam0925Jearlpam0925 Posts: 17,033
    edited March 2021
    PJNB said:
    CO278952 said:
    No question. With all that said, people like to think we're already out of this when that is no where near the case. And in light of all that good news, numbers are trending back up again.
    We are getting out of it
    I appreciate the sentiment.. But we are not out of it. And getting out of it doesn't mean going back to exactly the way things were before. Numbers are ticking up right now and you need herd immunity at a certain threshold to be "out of it."
    I get that the fall seems fast with the numbers still where they are at. I also get that the challenge to get to herd immunity is going to be damn near impossible with the number of people that will choose to not be vaccinated. That said numbers today have nothing to do with the fall.  At some point we are not going to be talking about cases so much anymore and focusing on hospitalizations and deaths. Also I predict the media, especially the left leaning, to focus on the deaths and hospitalizations from those that were vaccinated and those that were not. That may sway some of the non vaccinated people to take the shot but aside from kids getting the vaccine there is a point coming fast this summer where we are going to be pretty much as good as it gets with regards to vaccinating.

    What would your reasoning be then to keep restrictions in place? If you do think they should still be in place what is the next step to get them lifted? 
    The reasoning would be the reasoning all along - science, not politicians. That's the fuck-all of all this. Depending on your perspective of this from a political standpoint you can argue for different reasoning behind this re: guidelines and the such. But from a scientific/public health standpoint If you're not hitting herd immunity you're not getting rid of the disease. If you don't get rid of the disease it is given room to "breathe" and mutate to something that possibly gets worse, more resistant to the vaccine. We are incredibly lucky that this thing apparently doesn't affect kids. What if, because we can't hit herd immunity, and I decide on an individual level that because I'm vaxed that I don't have to adhere to any social distancing protocols?  Then on and on we go. 

    But to specifically answer your question - they should be in place. They should be in place until from a public health standpoint you can say we've hit herd immunity.
    Post edited by Jearlpam0925 on
  • on2legson2legs Posts: 15,093
    CO278952 said:
    CO278952 said:
    No question. With all that said, people like to think we're already out of this when that is no where near the case. And in light of all that good news, numbers are trending back up again.
    We are getting out of it
    I appreciate the sentiment.. But we are not out of it. And getting out of it doesn't mean going back to exactly the way things were before. Numbers are ticking up right now and you need herd immunity at a certain threshold to be "out of it."
    I am saying we are getting out of it. Not that we are out of it yet. Once everyone who wants one has been vaccinated it’s time to move on. 
    I mean that would be cool if that's how this all works, but unfortunately it's not. There's no "moving on". I mean, evidently, we will, because of course we're collectively too fucking stupid to learn anything from this. Just wake up, I'm vaxed, boop boop back to normal.

    Once we reach herd immunity then we can, sorta, maybe, "move on". Not when everyone who wanted a shot gets one - if that number is like 40%, 50%, 60% (I don't know, pick a number that's below herd immunity) of the population then we're most definitely not out of it.
    Why is a positive attitude so triggering to you?
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