Former Vice President Joe Biden has built a five-point lead over President Donald Trump in Texas as unease over Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic mounts, a new Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler poll has found.
Biden had 46% support to Trump’s 41%. If the general election were held today, the outcome could depend on the 14% of voters who were undecided or named someone else.
The story behind Biden’s slight bulge is the softening of the Republican incumbent’s support among independents and “weak partisans,” said Kenneth Bryant Jr., a UT-Tyler political scientist who helped design the poll.
Former Vice President Joe Biden has built a five-point lead over President Donald Trump in Texas as unease over Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic mounts, a new Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler poll has found.
Biden had 46% support to Trump’s 41%. If the general election were held today, the outcome could depend on the 14% of voters who were undecided or named someone else.
The story behind Biden’s slight bulge is the softening of the Republican incumbent’s support among independents and “weak partisans,” said Kenneth Bryant Jr., a UT-Tyler political scientist who helped design the poll.
I could do without references to Biden’s “slight bulge”
I can't believe all the "Biden is a pedophile" shit I am seeing on tiktok, etc. People are fucking insane.
One of the best ways to troll Biden is on his creepiness. But you’d think that would be nullified by Trump’s Miss Teen USA shenanigans. Not to mention his crush on Ivanka.
1995 Milwaukee 1998 Alpine, Alpine 2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston 2004 Boston, Boston 2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty) 2011 Alpine, Alpine 2013 Wrigley 2014 St. Paul 2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley 2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley 2021 Asbury Park 2022 St Louis 2023 Austin, Austin
I can't believe all the "Biden is a pedophile" shit I am seeing on tiktok, etc. People are fucking insane.
Isnt Tiktok a chinese government site for teenagers?
It's actually pretty entertaining but as it has grown in popularity it has been taken over with political shit. Trump supporters seem to have the slight edge but there is a lot of Biden support on there as well.
Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago 2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy 2013: London ON, Chicago; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE) 2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston 2020: Oakland, Oakland:2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana 2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville 2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
Virginia Beach 2000; Pittsburgh 2000; Columbus 2003; D.C. 2003; Pittsburgh 2006; Virginia Beach 2008; Cleveland 2010; PJ20 2011; Pittsburgh 2013; Baltimore 2013; Charlottesville 2013; Charlotte 2013; Lincoln 2014; Moline 2014; St. Paul 2014; Greenville 2016; Hampton 2016; Lexington 2016; Wrigley 2016; Prague 2018; Krakow 2018; Berlin 2018; Fenway 2018; Camden 2022; St. Paul 2023
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Yeah I know, and I know the state is changing, but it feels like Arizona to me, a state where we think we can win every cycle but come up short. I do think we win Arizona, but also think we're still a cycle or two from Texas. I hope you're right.
It's easy to talk about Democrats fucking this up - and I do understand the concern - but the fact remains, no matter what the polls say right now, 63 million Republican voters are more likely to come home and vote for the GOP nominee than they are to do anything else.
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
We haven’t yet witnessed the Tejas repub boards of elections fully implement their voter suppression drive. No way Tejas goes blue.
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Yeah I know, and I know the state is changing, but it feels like Arizona to me, a state where we think we can win every cycle but come up short. I do think we win Arizona, but also think we're still a cycle or two from Texas. I hope you're right.
Well my prediction leans more on Trump himself than the Texas changing. Though I agree that both are a factor. Beto's narrow defeat to Cruz being a good indicator. So we have...
-A changing Texas as you pointed out.
-Trump only beat Hillary 52% to 43% in 2016. Romney beat Obama in 2012 57% to 41%.
-Residual distain for Trump for his disrespect towards the Bush family (even Barbara).
-The virus is getting out-of-control down there.
-I don't think they're fooled by Trump down there. They gave him a chance in 2016 because he was the Republican, but as a great Texas once said.....
Discrediting Fauci and retweeting Chuck Woolery can't be good for business. Can't be good for anything, really...
Very subtle Seinfeld reference?
1995 Milwaukee 1998 Alpine, Alpine 2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston 2004 Boston, Boston 2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty) 2011 Alpine, Alpine 2013 Wrigley 2014 St. Paul 2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley 2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley 2021 Asbury Park 2022 St Louis 2023 Austin, Austin
0
Options
The Juggler
Behind that bush over there. Posts: 47,334
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Yeah I know, and I know the state is changing, but it feels like Arizona to me, a state where we think we can win every cycle but come up short. I do think we win Arizona, but also think we're still a cycle or two from Texas. I hope you're right.
Well my prediction leans more on Trump himself than the Texas changing. Though I agree that both are a factor. Beto's narrow defeat to Cruz being a good indicator. So we have...
-A changing Texas as you pointed out.
-Trump only beat Hillary 52% to 43% in 2016. Romney beat Obama in 2012 57% to 41%.
-Residual distain for Trump for his disrespect towards the Bush family (even Barbara).
-The virus is getting out-of-control down there.
-I don't think they're fooled by Trump down there. They gave him a chance in 2016 because he was the Republican, but as a great Texas once said.....
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Yeah I know, and I know the state is changing, but it feels like Arizona to me, a state where we think we can win every cycle but come up short. I do think we win Arizona, but also think we're still a cycle or two from Texas. I hope you're right.
Well my prediction leans more on Trump himself than the Texas changing. Though I agree that both are a factor. Beto's narrow defeat to Cruz being a good indicator. So we have...
-A changing Texas as you pointed out.
-Trump only beat Hillary 52% to 43% in 2016. Romney beat Obama in 2012 57% to 41%.
-Residual distain for Trump for his disrespect towards the Bush family (even Barbara).
-The virus is getting out-of-control down there.
-I don't think they're fooled by Trump down there. They gave him a chance in 2016 because he was the Republican, but as a great Texas once said.....
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Yeah I know, and I know the state is changing, but it feels like Arizona to me, a state where we think we can win every cycle but come up short. I do think we win Arizona, but also think we're still a cycle or two from Texas. I hope you're right.
Well my prediction leans more on Trump himself than the Texas changing. Though I agree that both are a factor. Beto's narrow defeat to Cruz being a good indicator. So we have...
-A changing Texas as you pointed out.
-Trump only beat Hillary 52% to 43% in 2016. Romney beat Obama in 2012 57% to 41%.
-Residual distain for Trump for his disrespect towards the Bush family (even Barbara).
-The virus is getting out-of-control down there.
-I don't think they're fooled by Trump down there. They gave him a chance in 2016 because he was the Republican, but as a great Texas once said.....
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Yeah I know, and I know the state is changing, but it feels like Arizona to me, a state where we think we can win every cycle but come up short. I do think we win Arizona, but also think we're still a cycle or two from Texas. I hope you're right.
Well my prediction leans more on Trump himself than the Texas changing. Though I agree that both are a factor. Beto's narrow defeat to Cruz being a good indicator. So we have...
-A changing Texas as you pointed out.
-Trump only beat Hillary 52% to 43% in 2016. Romney beat Obama in 2012 57% to 41%.
-Residual distain for Trump for his disrespect towards the Bush family (even Barbara).
-The virus is getting out-of-control down there.
-I don't think they're fooled by Trump down there. They gave him a chance in 2016 because he was the Republican, but as a great Texas once said.....
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Yeah I know, and I know the state is changing, but it feels like Arizona to me, a state where we think we can win every cycle but come up short. I do think we win Arizona, but also think we're still a cycle or two from Texas. I hope you're right.
Well my prediction leans more on Trump himself than the Texas changing. Though I agree that both are a factor. Beto's narrow defeat to Cruz being a good indicator. So we have...
-A changing Texas as you pointed out.
-Trump only beat Hillary 52% to 43% in 2016. Romney beat Obama in 2012 57% to 41%.
-Residual distain for Trump for his disrespect towards the Bush family (even Barbara).
-The virus is getting out-of-control down there.
-I don't think they're fooled by Trump down there. They gave him a chance in 2016 because he was the Republican, but as a great Texas once said.....
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Yeah I know, and I know the state is changing, but it feels like Arizona to me, a state where we think we can win every cycle but come up short. I do think we win Arizona, but also think we're still a cycle or two from Texas. I hope you're right.
Well my prediction leans more on Trump himself than the Texas changing. Though I agree that both are a factor. Beto's narrow defeat to Cruz being a good indicator. So we have...
-A changing Texas as you pointed out.
-Trump only beat Hillary 52% to 43% in 2016. Romney beat Obama in 2012 57% to 41%.
-Residual distain for Trump for his disrespect towards the Bush family (even Barbara).
-The virus is getting out-of-control down there.
-I don't think they're fooled by Trump down there. They gave him a chance in 2016 because he was the Republican, but as a great Texas once said.....
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Yeah I know, and I know the state is changing, but it feels like Arizona to me, a state where we think we can win every cycle but come up short. I do think we win Arizona, but also think we're still a cycle or two from Texas. I hope you're right.
Well my prediction leans more on Trump himself than the Texas changing. Though I agree that both are a factor. Beto's narrow defeat to Cruz being a good indicator. So we have...
-A changing Texas as you pointed out.
-Trump only beat Hillary 52% to 43% in 2016. Romney beat Obama in 2012 57% to 41%.
-Residual distain for Trump for his disrespect towards the Bush family (even Barbara).
-The virus is getting out-of-control down there.
-I don't think they're fooled by Trump down there. They gave him a chance in 2016 because he was the Republican, but as a great Texas once said.....
I didn't realize the tRump/Clinton spread was only 9%....
And that’s with Hillary being as loathsome a Democrat you can put on a ballot in Texas, coupled with the “unknown” of what a Trump presidency would be. Now, with a more likable Biden on the ballot, and four years of “President” Trump, Texas is ready to flip.
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Yeah I know, and I know the state is changing, but it feels like Arizona to me, a state where we think we can win every cycle but come up short. I do think we win Arizona, but also think we're still a cycle or two from Texas. I hope you're right.
Well my prediction leans more on Trump himself than the Texas changing. Though I agree that both are a factor. Beto's narrow defeat to Cruz being a good indicator. So we have...
-A changing Texas as you pointed out.
-Trump only beat Hillary 52% to 43% in 2016. Romney beat Obama in 2012 57% to 41%.
-Residual distain for Trump for his disrespect towards the Bush family (even Barbara).
-The virus is getting out-of-control down there.
-I don't think they're fooled by Trump down there. They gave him a chance in 2016 because he was the Republican, but as a great Texas once said.....
Holy cow...I'm glad I bailed. Yeah, at a bare minimum I think it's probably gonna take at least a week to count all the mail-in votes. The only way we might have a decision early is a Biden landslide. No matter who loses, I expect that they and their surrogates will carry on that it has been stolen. It's gonna be soul-crushing and (at much lower stakes) this place will be insufferable.
0
Options
The Juggler
Behind that bush over there. Posts: 47,334
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Yeah I know, and I know the state is changing, but it feels like Arizona to me, a state where we think we can win every cycle but come up short. I do think we win Arizona, but also think we're still a cycle or two from Texas. I hope you're right.
Well my prediction leans more on Trump himself than the Texas changing. Though I agree that both are a factor. Beto's narrow defeat to Cruz being a good indicator. So we have...
-A changing Texas as you pointed out.
-Trump only beat Hillary 52% to 43% in 2016. Romney beat Obama in 2012 57% to 41%.
-Residual distain for Trump for his disrespect towards the Bush family (even Barbara).
-The virus is getting out-of-control down there.
-I don't think they're fooled by Trump down there. They gave him a chance in 2016 because he was the Republican, but as a great Texas once said.....
Holy cow...I'm glad I bailed. Yeah, at a bare minimum I think it's probably gonna take at least a week to count all the mail-in votes. The only way we might have a decision early is a Biden landslide. No matter who loses, I expect that they and their surrogates will carry on that it has been stolen. It's gonna be soul-crushing and (at much lower stakes) this place will be insufferable.
It’s a weird feeling. I’m simultaneously super anxiously looking forward and dreading it at the same time.
Before COVID, I was sure Trump would win reelection, handily. Now I'm not sure. Reports look great and all, but it's hard for me to believe a country that would elect Trump to begin with could straighten up so quickly. I'd really like to believe that Trump will lose, but I have a hard time not believing that Biden/Democrats won't fuck this up.
I think a horrible VP pick and/or bombing on the debate stage (like bad, to the point where he comes off as senile) are the only ways Biden can fuck this up. For an incumbent to have the numbers that Trump has is pretty telling. And as I've been saying since before the new year, I think Biden wins Texas.
You have been preaching Texas since the beginning. If you're right, I'm definitely sending you a bootleg or something as a congratulations for an excellent prediction.
Looking pretty good right now. And I can't fathom how Trump can improve, especially with Covid getting worse down there....
Yeah I know, and I know the state is changing, but it feels like Arizona to me, a state where we think we can win every cycle but come up short. I do think we win Arizona, but also think we're still a cycle or two from Texas. I hope you're right.
Well my prediction leans more on Trump himself than the Texas changing. Though I agree that both are a factor. Beto's narrow defeat to Cruz being a good indicator. So we have...
-A changing Texas as you pointed out.
-Trump only beat Hillary 52% to 43% in 2016. Romney beat Obama in 2012 57% to 41%.
-Residual distain for Trump for his disrespect towards the Bush family (even Barbara).
-The virus is getting out-of-control down there.
-I don't think they're fooled by Trump down there. They gave him a chance in 2016 because he was the Republican, but as a great Texas once said.....
Holy cow...I'm glad I bailed. Yeah, at a bare minimum I think it's probably gonna take at least a week to count all the mail-in votes. The only way we might have a decision early is a Biden landslide. No matter who loses, I expect that they and their surrogates will carry on that it has been stolen. It's gonna be soul-crushing and (at much lower stakes) this place will be insufferable.
It’s a weird feeling. I’m simultaneously super anxiously looking forward and dreading it at the same time.
I'm more the latter. I'd love to be wrong but I don't see a scenario where the loser graciously accepts defeat. I don't think there's going to be a coup or anything but I think a significant portion of the country is going to believe it was stolen regardless of who wins.
Comments
Former Vice President Joe Biden has built a five-point lead over President Donald Trump in Texas as unease over Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic mounts, a new Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler poll has found.
Biden had 46% support to Trump’s 41%. If the general election were held today, the outcome could depend on the 14% of voters who were undecided or named someone else.
Biden’s lead, which comes after he and Trump were tied 43%-43% in The News and UT-Tyler’s April survey, is significant, if barely: The poll, conducted June 29 through July 7, has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.24 percentage points.
The story behind Biden’s slight bulge is the softening of the Republican incumbent’s support among independents and “weak partisans,” said Kenneth Bryant Jr., a UT-Tyler political scientist who helped design the poll.
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Chicago; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
2013 Wrigley 2014 St. Paul 2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley 2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley 2021 Asbury Park 2022 St Louis 2023 Austin, Austin
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Chicago; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
Pearl Jam bootlegs:
http://wegotshit.blogspot.com
Pearl Jam bootlegs:
http://wegotshit.blogspot.com
"...I changed by not changing at all..."
Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.
Brilliantati©
-A changing Texas as you pointed out.
-Trump only beat Hillary 52% to 43% in 2016. Romney beat Obama in 2012 57% to 41%.
-Residual distain for Trump for his disrespect towards the Bush family (even Barbara).
-The virus is getting out-of-control down there.
-I don't think they're fooled by Trump down there. They gave him a chance in 2016 because he was the Republican, but as a great Texas once said.....
Well you know what he's trying to say!
Pearl Jam bootlegs:
http://wegotshit.blogspot.com
2013 Wrigley 2014 St. Paul 2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley 2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley 2021 Asbury Park 2022 St Louis 2023 Austin, Austin
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Chicago; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
I think that's gonna be a brutal day/week
https://www.vulture.com/2017/06/house-of-cards-2016-election-explained.html
Pearl Jam bootlegs:
http://wegotshit.blogspot.com