***Spring 2020 Lottery Results***

DoDaFoo

RoleModelsinBlood31 said:

TLDR, is Oakland getting drawn today?!?

Yes

Poncier

chitty said:

Hamilton
GA
45xxx

no success. First time I’ve never got what I put in for 

With a member number that low why not put in for both so you be sure to get in the building, your reserved seats would have been great.

RoleModelsinBlood31

DoDaFoo said:

RoleModelsinBlood31 said:

TLDR, is Oakland getting drawn today?!?

Yes

Damn, thought they were going in order! Thanks!!

SVRDhand13

chitty said:

Hamilton
GA
45xxx

no success. First time I’ve never got what I put in for 

Why wouldn’t you just put best available with your low ten club number? 

amethgr8

Poncier said:

amethgr8 said:

edocon said:

amethgr8 said:

there is no impossible outcome with a lottery, nothing is guaranteed even at 99% odds, and I'm sure those odds went down just minutes before the closing.  1%=100 at 10,000 ticket allocation, if the odds went to 80 or 75% it would be even more.

I estimate the demand for any type of seating is more than the allocated seats available.  This is why I believe they do not go with everyone that put in for GA only or BA  as all the GA would be gone on the first draw.

all the winner emails went out which really gives people hope, but it takes time to go to the next draw and again until all the tickets are gone, then the non-winner emails go out.  people are understanably devastated as so much hype about 99% BA choice you will get tickets no matter what.

It is a lottery, 50/50 your name will be drawn for the seats you requested.

I'm not sure how you come to the conclusion there's a 50% chance your name gets drawn. It would seem if you have 99% chance of getting tickets than there's probably a better than 50% chance of you getting your name drawn?

just my opinion of the years of reading, participating and learning from the lottery system.

I don't believe the 99% possibility of ticket award is related to my estimate of 50% chance your name will be drawn at all.  I see it as IF your name is drawn from the hat, you have a 99% of winning tickets and 1% of not winning tickets.

So if there are 1000 names in a hat, what are the chances your name will be drawn?  I don't know statistics, so I think 50/50 that my name will be drawn.  

You answered it right there.
If the odds are at 99%, the odds of you getting selected are 99% assuming there are no issues with your submission, not 50%.

did you phrase this correctly?  the odds of getting TICKETS are 99%, we don't know the odds of actually being drawn because we do not know how many people put in.  To me the 99% indicates that the demand for tickets is more than the amount of tickets.

The "odds" shown should be used to give us an idea of the demand for any given show.  It's a lottery, some will get picked some will not.

lolobugg

JG108535 said:

Mikemzl91 said:

Can anyone confirm the opener?

Ex rhcp Josh Klinghoffer's new band Pluralone is listed on Baltimore TM. Must be the whole tour!!??

Interesting not "Evenings with" shows.
Just listened to Pluralone....very Smashing Pumpkinsesque

interesting. been a while since I have seen a PJ show with an opener.

Jimmydean55

Scored for Denver!!

Lerxst1992

amethgr8 said:

edocon said:

amethgr8 said:

there is no impossible outcome with a lottery, nothing is guaranteed even at 99% odds, and I'm sure those odds went down just minutes before the closing.  1%=100 at 10,000 ticket allocation, if the odds went to 80 or 75% it would be even more.

I estimate the demand for any type of seating is more than the allocated seats available.  This is why I believe they do not go with everyone that put in for GA only or BA  as all the GA would be gone on the first draw.

all the winner emails went out which really gives people hope, but it takes time to go to the next draw and again until all the tickets are gone, then the non-winner emails go out.  people are understanably devastated as so much hype about 99% BA choice you will get tickets no matter what.

It is a lottery, 50/50 your name will be drawn for the seats you requested.

I'm not sure how you come to the conclusion there's a 50% chance your name gets drawn. It would seem if you have 99% chance of getting tickets than there's probably a better than 50% chance of you getting your name drawn?

just my opinion of the years of reading, participating and learning from the lottery system.

I don't believe the 99% possibility of ticket award is related to my estimate of 50% chance your name will be drawn at all.  I see it as IF your name is drawn from the hat, you have a 99% of winning tickets and 1% of not winning tickets.

So if there are 1000 names in a hat, what are the chances your name will be drawn?  I don't know statistics, so I think 50/50 that my name will be drawn.  

Someone just now just below your comment won all 4 Canada shows. 

Please explain the statistical proof how this is possible when at least 2 fans have been denied "due to demand" with their top 2 priority picks?

How does 4th priority beat 2nd priority for BA?

chitownp76

Jimmydean55 said:

Scored for Denver!!

Congrats, did they text or email you or both?

PJNB

amethgr8 you are looking at this wrong. Lets end it here. 

99% indicates that there are more tickets then people looking for them hence the reason people think they are guaranteed tickets
98% or lower indicates that only that number of people who put in for tickets regardless off priority are getting tickets. 

If there are 100 tickets and the odds are 98% 2 people are missing out. 

The only real question anyone should have with a 99% odds is is it really 99% or is it still a placeholder for the 100%

Jimmydean55

chitownp76 said:

Jimmydean55 said:

Scored for Denver!!

Congrats, did they text or email you or both?

Just an email. 

Poncier

amethgr8 said:

Poncier said:

amethgr8 said:

edocon said:

amethgr8 said:

there is no impossible outcome with a lottery, nothing is guaranteed even at 99% odds, and I'm sure those odds went down just minutes before the closing.  1%=100 at 10,000 ticket allocation, if the odds went to 80 or 75% it would be even more.

I estimate the demand for any type of seating is more than the allocated seats available.  This is why I believe they do not go with everyone that put in for GA only or BA  as all the GA would be gone on the first draw.

all the winner emails went out which really gives people hope, but it takes time to go to the next draw and again until all the tickets are gone, then the non-winner emails go out.  people are understanably devastated as so much hype about 99% BA choice you will get tickets no matter what.

It is a lottery, 50/50 your name will be drawn for the seats you requested.

I'm not sure how you come to the conclusion there's a 50% chance your name gets drawn. It would seem if you have 99% chance of getting tickets than there's probably a better than 50% chance of you getting your name drawn?

just my opinion of the years of reading, participating and learning from the lottery system.

I don't believe the 99% possibility of ticket award is related to my estimate of 50% chance your name will be drawn at all.  I see it as IF your name is drawn from the hat, you have a 99% of winning tickets and 1% of not winning tickets.

So if there are 1000 names in a hat, what are the chances your name will be drawn?  I don't know statistics, so I think 50/50 that my name will be drawn.  

You answered it right there.
If the odds are at 99%, the odds of you getting selected are 99% assuming there are no issues with your submission, not 50%.

did you phrase this correctly?  the odds of getting TICKETS are 99%, we don't know the odds of actually being drawn because we do not know how many people put in.  To me the 99% indicates that the demand for tickets is more than the amount of tickets.

The "odds" shown should be used to give us an idea of the demand for any given show.  It's a lottery, some will get picked some will not.

To simplify: The odds are based on the number of entries received to date for that show's particular lottery. So if they are at 99%, then likely everyone who entered gets selected (the 99% is a default, though its possible that 1% of folks don't get picked.)
Generally if a show is showing 99% odds, it currently has less lottery requests than available tickets. 
The lottery part you mention of some getting drawn some not is base on the posted odd...so if they are 99% that's the chance you get drawn, if the show 50% then its a 50/50 chance

ajflicker

amethgr8 said:

Poncier said:

amethgr8 said:

edocon said:

amethgr8 said:

there is no impossible outcome with a lottery, nothing is guaranteed even at 99% odds, and I'm sure those odds went down just minutes before the closing.  1%=100 at 10,000 ticket allocation, if the odds went to 80 or 75% it would be even more.

I estimate the demand for any type of seating is more than the allocated seats available.  This is why I believe they do not go with everyone that put in for GA only or BA  as all the GA would be gone on the first draw.

all the winner emails went out which really gives people hope, but it takes time to go to the next draw and again until all the tickets are gone, then the non-winner emails go out.  people are understanably devastated as so much hype about 99% BA choice you will get tickets no matter what.

It is a lottery, 50/50 your name will be drawn for the seats you requested.

I'm not sure how you come to the conclusion there's a 50% chance your name gets drawn. It would seem if you have 99% chance of getting tickets than there's probably a better than 50% chance of you getting your name drawn?

just my opinion of the years of reading, participating and learning from the lottery system.

I don't believe the 99% possibility of ticket award is related to my estimate of 50% chance your name will be drawn at all.  I see it as IF your name is drawn from the hat, you have a 99% of winning tickets and 1% of not winning tickets.

So if there are 1000 names in a hat, what are the chances your name will be drawn?  I don't know statistics, so I think 50/50 that my name will be drawn.  

You answered it right there.
If the odds are at 99%, the odds of you getting selected are 99% assuming there are no issues with your submission, not 50%.

did you phrase this correctly?  the odds of getting TICKETS are 99%, we don't know the odds of actually being drawn because we do not know how many people put in.  To me the 99% indicates that the demand for tickets is more than the amount of tickets.

The "odds" shown should be used to give us an idea of the demand for any given show.  It's a lottery, some will get picked some will not.

The 99% means there is that chance of getting RS if you picked that or BA. From what I saw yesterday most people who picked RS or BA on their #1 got tix. I even got RS on my #2 pick. There seemed to be more tickets this tour.

gatorjam

The waiting drove me mad!! Waiting to hear on Denver.

tdawe

Poncier said:

Generally if a show is showing 99% odds, it currently has less lottery requests than available tickets. 

amethgr8

PJNB said:

amethgr8 you are looking at this wrong. Lets end it here. 

99% indicates that there are more tickets then people looking for them hence the reason people think they are guaranteed tickets
98% or lower indicates that only that number of people who put in for tickets regardless off priority are getting tickets. 

If there are 100 tickets and the odds are 98% 2 people are missing out. 

The only real question anyone should have with a 99% odds is is it really 99% or is it still a placeholder for the 100%

I see your point, but disagree.  I content there will always be more demand that available tickets.

MR242791

djbrothers said:

Doogie_711 said:

MR242791 said:

demetrios said:

All the best to those who entered for Denver, LA 1 & LA 2, Oakland 1 & Oakland 2 10club tickets. 

so I'm guessing that the lottery will be held today for these concerts.  cool.  i wanna book my hotels ASAP. lol

MR242791 said:

demetrios said:

All the best to those who entered for Denver, LA 1 & LA 2, Oakland 1 & Oakland 2 10club tickets. 

so I'm guessing that the lottery will be held today for these concerts.  cool.  i wanna book my hotels ASAP. lol

I would book them now with free cancellation as an option. I booked mine prior to even finding out if I got tickets.

I booked all of mine before the tour was even confirmed. Free cancellation (and faith in Dimi) for the win.

good idea.  thanks for the tip. 

Poncier

amethgr8 said:

PJNB said:

amethgr8 you are looking at this wrong. Lets end it here. 

99% indicates that there are more tickets then people looking for them hence the reason people think they are guaranteed tickets
98% or lower indicates that only that number of people who put in for tickets regardless off priority are getting tickets. 

If there are 100 tickets and the odds are 98% 2 people are missing out. 

The only real question anyone should have with a 99% odds is is it really 99% or is it still a placeholder for the 100%

I see your point, but disagree.  I content there will always be more demand that available tickets.

Not in every city, and especially not this tour as 10 club has negotiated more tickets with Ticketmaster.

MR242791

gotthebottle said:

huntersthompson said:

Doogie_711 said:

MR242791 said:

demetrios said:

All the best to those who entered for Denver, LA 1 & LA 2, Oakland 1 & Oakland 2 10club tickets. 

so I'm guessing that the lottery will be held today for these concerts.  cool.  i wanna book my hotels ASAP. lol

MR242791 said:

demetrios said:

All the best to those who entered for Denver, LA 1 & LA 2, Oakland 1 & Oakland 2 10club tickets. 

so I'm guessing that the lottery will be held today for these concerts.  cool.  i wanna book my hotels ASAP. lol

I would book them now with free cancellation as an option. I booked mine prior to even finding out if I got tickets.

Absolutely the only way to go....you wait for people to get confirmed tix and the prices will inflate immediately....Marriott has free cancellation up to 24 hours in advance.  

A lot of us booked hotels weeks ago when the dates were "guessed and confirmed" in the rumor thread. Booked refundable everything. Phoenix for example, hotels went up $200 closes to arena

Wow!  that's a big price increase

bjames

Denver is on.