Potential Ticketmaster Draw Issues
Comments
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PJNB said:You are the one that came up with a scenario of 1/64 odds not him lol. Moving goal posts and others piling on is fun to watch.I’m curious if Mr. David is willing to give the lottery wiki page a try, or are we going to be discussing next whether or not the PJ ticket lottery is not a lottery.0
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mookieblalock said:Were equating getting 4 GA tickets to winning the state lottery now?0
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PJNB said:You are the one that came up with a scenario of 1/64 odds not him lol. Moving goal posts and others piling on is fun to watch.0
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bootleg said:Here’s another oddity to throw into the mix. I got the exact same seats for Seattle N1 and N2. P2 level. With all the combinations of fans who won at various levels what are the chances of that?
-mookieblalock & BF25394 (probably)"A smart monkey doesn't monkey around with another monkey's monkey" - Darwin's Theory0 -
bootleg said:Here is what was close to the final odds in 2020 on getting GA/reserved
Toronto: 32/99
Ottawa: 56/99
Quebec City: 79/99
Hamilton: 40/99
Baltimore: 14/65
NYC: 9/57
Nashville: 21/99
St Louis: 22/99
OKC: 63/99
Denver: 21/99
Glendale: 36/99
San Diego: 34/99
LA: 28/99; 26/99
Oak: 30/99; 37/99
Slightly different system since it allowed for priority, but could be used to get an idea at least. And based on the results we know that this years odds would likely be even less because there were people getting shut out of Cali shows when before there was almost 100% chance of getting reserved tix. There are more NE shows this yea but my guess is Baltimore,NYC,Philly GA prob still finished somewhere in the 8-10% chance of GA each range.Thanks for sharing. 9/57 seems very high (too good) for NY from experience, reading the boards in the past and how some members claim to never have won msg in decades.0 -
NewfieintheUSA said:Wow, almost impossible
I gather speed from you fucking with me.0 -
Lerxst1992 said:Thanks for sharing. 9/57 seems very high (too good) for NY from experience, reading the boards in the past and how some members claim to never have won msg in decades.
What made sense for back then was TM did odds for first priority alone.0 -
BF25394 said:The odds of drawing the same seats for two different shows are exactly the same as the odds of drawing one set of seats for one show and a specific set of different seats for another show. Almost impossible, yes, but given the large sample size we're dealing with here, it will happen to someone.0
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NewfieintheUSA said:Yes I know how probabilities work.I gather speed from you fucking with me.0
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NewfieintheUSA said:Yes I know how probabilities work.0
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mookieblalock said:Let’s go back to the zapruder film, eh the p1 and ga/p1 are two categories doubling our chances.If TM did the draw this way, It is completely wrong based on the ten club info page. If TM gave p1 and ga two separate chances to win p1, they did the draw wrong and they did not follow PJs rules
Ten club rules,
In most venues, Ten Club reserved seated tickets will be available in two price levels. You can request both tiers to increase your chance of getting tickets.
Both tiers specifically means two reserved seated price levels, p one and p two. Request BOTH tiers to increase your chances. There is no mention of standing tickets in the rules. Including the ga/p1 category would be three categories and would violate the use of the word BOTH.0 -
NewfieintheUSA said:Yes I know how probabilities work."A smart monkey doesn't monkey around with another monkey's monkey" - Darwin's Theory0
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BF25394 said:But do you know how they work in the imperial system?0
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darwinstheory said:What is the probability that you really do? 😁0
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mookieblalock said:You think hitting GA x 4 has the same odds of winning the state lotto.
not even close, state lottery odds are much worse0 -
NewfieintheUSA said:Man I hate the imperial system, I've lived in the US for 25 years and I still hate it so much.I gather speed from you fucking with me.0
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Get_Right said:
not even close, state lottery odds are much worse0 -
NewfieintheUSA said:I agree with that0
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mookieblalock said:Of course you do.0
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NewfieintheUSA said:Yes because it's factual
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