LOTTERY DAY TWO RESULTS -- DENVER, LA (x2) , OAKLAND (x2)

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Comments

  • MickeyMouse
    MickeyMouse Posts: 1,057
    cannotstaylong said:
    Alpine Bound said:
    NewfieintheUSA said:
    Alpine Bound said:
    Between some friends and I, we won only 1 GA of 4 entries. All #1 priority.... 

    The odds were completely inaccurate thanks to "Best Available". There's no way for 10c to factor in those entries to GA or Reserved odds until the picks are completed. 
    Winning only 1 out of 4 GA entries between 4 friends in no ways says anything about odds being inaccurate. Which shows are you referring to?
    Based on these odds, historically speaking, GA as a Priority 1 has a high probablity of winning. Yes, I understand it's not a guarantee, but trends show truth.

    Shows were LA1 28%, LA2 26%, Oak1 23%, Oak 2 30%

    You can certainly debate this claim, because the 10c/TM doesnt give us enough info (odds are mostly meaningless unless broken down by priority). One thing that is not debateable, Best Avail for 99% should not be getting this many ppl denied.

    Clearly something is amiss...

    How do you look at those numbers and conclude that GA as a priority 1 has a high probability of winning? 
    My brain hurts reading this forum sometimes 
    Uniondale, NY 04/30/03 - Camden, NJ 07/05/03 - MSG 07/08/03 - Reading, PA 10/01/04 - Philly 10/03/05 - Ed Sullivan Theatre 05/04/06 - MSG 06/25/08 - MSG 05/21/10 - NYC (EV solo) 06/21/11 - Montreal 09/07/11 - Brooklyn 10/18/13 - Central Park 09/26/15 - Philly 04/29/16 - MSG 05/01/16 - MSG 05/02/16 - Fenway 08/05/16 - Fenway 09/02/18 - Fenway 09/04/18 
  • jefft
    jefft Posts: 678
    I'm really hoping that this is not totally finalized.  They said by Sunday, so I hope they can have a chance to go over everything for every show and people will potentially get more shows even if they were already emailed.
  • cannotstaylong
    cannotstaylong Posts: 668
    MickeyMouse said:
    cannotstaylong said:
    Alpine Bound said:
    NewfieintheUSA said:
    Alpine Bound said:
    Between some friends and I, we won only 1 GA of 4 entries. All #1 priority.... 

    The odds were completely inaccurate thanks to "Best Available". There's no way for 10c to factor in those entries to GA or Reserved odds until the picks are completed. 
    Winning only 1 out of 4 GA entries between 4 friends in no ways says anything about odds being inaccurate. Which shows are you referring to?
    Based on these odds, historically speaking, GA as a Priority 1 has a high probablity of winning. Yes, I understand it's not a guarantee, but trends show truth.

    Shows were LA1 28%, LA2 26%, Oak1 23%, Oak 2 30%

    You can certainly debate this claim, because the 10c/TM doesnt give us enough info (odds are mostly meaningless unless broken down by priority). One thing that is not debateable, Best Avail for 99% should not be getting this many ppl denied.

    Clearly something is amiss...

    How do you look at those numbers and conclude that GA as a priority 1 has a high probability of winning? 
    My brain hurts reading this forum sometimes 
    I feel like I’m taking crazy pills!
    5/28/06 - Camden, NJ
    5/30/06 - Washington, DC
    6/22/08 - Washington, DC
    10/31/09 - Philadelphia, PA
    8/5/16 - Fenway Park
    Temple of the Dog - 11/5/2016 - Philadelphia, PA
    7/1/2018 - Prague
    7/3/2018 - Kraków
    7/5/2018 - Berlin
  • Chuckhaint
    Chuckhaint Posts: 81
    Only Choice was Denver GA.  Didn't get it.  So....anyone trying to get rid of 2 GA Tix to Denver??
    Pit 10/11/13
    Philly 10/22/13
    Missoula 8/22/24
  • jefft
    jefft Posts: 678
    Chuckhaint said:
    Only Choice was Denver GA.  Didn't get it.  So....anyone trying to get rid of 2 GA Tix to Denver??
    Does not work like that this time, were at the mercy of tm.
  • CJ206326
    CJ206326 Posts: 42
    jefft said:
    Chuckhaint said:
    Only Choice was Denver GA.  Didn't get it.  So....anyone trying to get rid of 2 GA Tix to Denver??
    Does not work like that this time, were at the mercy of tm.
    I thought there was gonna be a fan to fan sale?
  • jefft
    jefft Posts: 678
    CJ206326 said:
    jefft said:
    Chuckhaint said:
    Only Choice was Denver GA.  Didn't get it.  So....anyone trying to get rid of 2 GA Tix to Denver??
    Does not work like that this time, were at the mercy of tm.
    I thought there was gonna be a fan to fan sale?
    Yes there is a fan sale, the way its posted is as if hes looking for 2 tics from someone on here.
  • Sarava
    Sarava Naperville, IL Posts: 2,061
    jefft said:
    Still waiting on la 2.  Have a feeling I'll be doing fan to fan.  
    Curious...did you check if your credit card was hit for LA2? I got an email saying I scored on LA1. Never got anything for LA2. But my credit card has 2 charges of $253.40.
  • lexicondevil
    lexicondevil Posts: 2,248
    I did BA for Oakland both nights and got them. I really don't understand the algorithm they used, but I got lucky. Really sucks for those who got shut out. I hope people are able to get hooked up in the fan to fan or verified sale.
    1991- Hollywood Palladium, California with Temple of the Dog, Soundgarden, and Alice in Chains -RIP Magazine Show Oct. 6th
    1992- Lollapalooza, Irvine, California
    Nothing since then. I suck.
    2016- Fenway Park, Boston - Both glorious nights
    2022- Oakland Night 2
    2024 Sacramento, CA
  • jefft
    jefft Posts: 678
    I checked at about 630 nothing yet and I phoned and they had no attempts for another purchase.  The commemorative ticket went through as well.
  • radial21
    radial21 Posts: 232
    cannotstaylong said:
    Alpine Bound said:
    NewfieintheUSA said:
    Alpine Bound said:
    Between some friends and I, we won only 1 GA of 4 entries. All #1 priority.... 

    The odds were completely inaccurate thanks to "Best Available". There's no way for 10c to factor in those entries to GA or Reserved odds until the picks are completed. 
    Winning only 1 out of 4 GA entries between 4 friends in no ways says anything about odds being inaccurate. Which shows are you referring to?
    Based on these odds, historically speaking, GA as a Priority 1 has a high probablity of winning. Yes, I understand it's not a guarantee, but trends show truth.

    Shows were LA1 28%, LA2 26%, Oak1 23%, Oak 2 30%

    You can certainly debate this claim, because the 10c/TM doesnt give us enough info (odds are mostly meaningless unless broken down by priority). One thing that is not debateable, Best Avail for 99% should not be getting this many ppl denied.

    Clearly something is amiss...

    How do you look at those numbers and conclude that GA as a priority 1 has a high probability of winning? 
    Lol right?  I’d say winning 1/4 entries is exactly what should be expected considering the odds 
  • Chuckhaint
    Chuckhaint Posts: 81
    So let me get this straight.  Announcement comes out that PJ is back on tour.  I'm in Ten Club so I register for the 10 club lottery.  Then I get an email saying that I didn't get tix, so I go to Ticketmaster to register for the verified fan sale... only to see that registration for that is already closed.  So now I have to wait for the open to the public sale to try to get tickets??  Seriously, I would like to go to this concert.
    Pit 10/11/13
    Philly 10/22/13
    Missoula 8/22/24
  • cincybearcat
    cincybearcat Posts: 16,836
    Where is the site that shows what cities they are pulling the lottery for each day?
    hippiemom = goodness
  • MickeyMouse
    MickeyMouse Posts: 1,057
    Chuckhaint said:
    So let me get this straight.  Announcement comes out that PJ is back on tour.  I'm in Ten Club so I register for the 10 club lottery.  Then I get an email saying that I didn't get tix, so I go to Ticketmaster to register for the verified fan sale... only to see that registration for that is already closed.  So now I have to wait for the open to the public sale to try to get tickets??  Seriously, I would like to go to this concert.
    I mean nothing was preventing you from registering for VF within the stated time period. 
    Uniondale, NY 04/30/03 - Camden, NJ 07/05/03 - MSG 07/08/03 - Reading, PA 10/01/04 - Philly 10/03/05 - Ed Sullivan Theatre 05/04/06 - MSG 06/25/08 - MSG 05/21/10 - NYC (EV solo) 06/21/11 - Montreal 09/07/11 - Brooklyn 10/18/13 - Central Park 09/26/15 - Philly 04/29/16 - MSG 05/01/16 - MSG 05/02/16 - Fenway 08/05/16 - Fenway 09/02/18 - Fenway 09/04/18 
  • JH81185
    JH81185 Posts: 17
    Massey77 said:
    First time poster here. Pearl jam late bloomer. Have been obsessed ever since haphazardly picking up a bootleg (Katowice 00) about a year ago. Started eating up live shows, rediscovering a band which was always kind of there for me, but I never took the time to invest in. What a mistake . . . anyway, after realizing what I had been missing, I have listened non-stop, joined the fan club last year, and have been praying for a chance to see them live. It came . . . and I blew it. I live in LA so I put in for both LA shows, GA, and got rejected. Any ideas for how to score a ticket to either LA1 or 2, preferably GA? Or maybe even San Diego? Phoenix? I am desperate to make it to my first show!
    Thanks much.
    Dejectedly, 
    LA Pearl Jam fan Chris
    If you put the EFFORT in, you will GET IN. Verified sale or then just pound the fan to fan resale. In the old days (not necessarily really 10c but in general for concerts)  it was all about $$$ and/or effort. This new system seems to be about effort. A great thing. Good luck. .....i also have the Katowice 00!!!!!!!
    10/28/00 - San Bernardino - PJ
    10/28/03 - SB BOWL - PJ
    7/13/06 - SB BOWL - PJ
    4/10/08 - SB ARLINGTON - EV
    7/9/11 - SB BOWL - EV
    10/31/12 - LAS VEGAS - EV
    11/1/12 - LAS VEGAS - EV
    11/24/13 - LA SPORTS ARENA - PJ
    8/18/18 - WRIGLEY - PJ
    8/20/18 - WRIGLEY - PJ

  • RP112579
    RP112579 Tinley Park, IL Posts: 3,388
    cincybearcat said:
    Where is the site that shows what cities they are pulling the lottery for each day?
    https://pearljam.com/ten-club/event/pearl-jam-2020-north-america-tour-presale-timeline 
    6/29/98 Chicago-United Center
    6/18/03 Chicago-United Center
    5/17/06 Chicago-United Center
    7/19/13 Chicago-Wrigley Field
    10/11/13 Pittsburgh-Consol Energy Center
    10/17/14 Moline-IWireless Center (No Code)
    10/20/14 Milwaukee-Bradley center (Yield)
    4/26/16 Lexington-Rupp Arena
    8/20/16 Chicago-Wrigley Field
    8/22/16 Chicago-Wrigley Field
    8/18/18 Chicago-Wrigley Field
    8/20/18 Chicago-Wrigley Field
    9/5/23 Chicago-United Center
    9/7/23 Chicago-United Center
    8/29/23 Chicago-Wrigley Field
    8/31/23 Chicago-Wrigley Field
  • Alpine Bound
    Alpine Bound Posts: 1,809
    cannotstaylong said:
    Alpine Bound said:
    NewfieintheUSA said:
    Alpine Bound said:
    Between some friends and I, we won only 1 GA of 4 entries. All #1 priority.... 

    The odds were completely inaccurate thanks to "Best Available". There's no way for 10c to factor in those entries to GA or Reserved odds until the picks are completed. 
    Winning only 1 out of 4 GA entries between 4 friends in no ways says anything about odds being inaccurate. Which shows are you referring to?
    Based on these odds, historically speaking, GA as a Priority 1 has a high probablity of winning. Yes, I understand it's not a guarantee, but trends show truth.

    Shows were LA1 28%, LA2 26%, Oak1 23%, Oak 2 30%

    You can certainly debate this claim, because the 10c/TM doesnt give us enough info (odds are mostly meaningless unless broken down by priority). One thing that is not debateable, Best Avail for 99% should not be getting this many ppl denied.

    Clearly something is amiss...

    How do you look at those numbers and conclude that GA as a priority 1 has a high probability of winning? 
    "historically speaking"

    Those are the odds for ALL priorities. 
  • BF25394
    BF25394 Posts: 4,940
    I got Oakland 1 Reserved (2nd choice) and Oakland 2 Reserved (3rd choice).  I like my chances for Phoenix Reserved (1st choice).
    I gather speed from you fucking with me.
  • Massey77
    Massey77 Posts: 7
    Hey, thanks so much for the advice and encouragement everyone. Will definitely put in the effort and look forward to trying the fan-to-fan exchange too.
  • JC29866
    JC29866 Chicago Posts: 85
    PettyHead said:
    I can’t wait to book the rest of my Denver trip! PJ is just the icing on the cake. I am ready to explore a new city for a few days! Let me know if anyone has recommendations for record stores & breweries.
    Just don't let them Shaffer boys lead you astray in Denver.
    Maybe PJ will play the Erie Civic Center on the 2nd Leg!  YOU OTTER BE THERE

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