North American Tour Odds

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Comments

  • Saltzy23
    Saltzy23 Posts: 1,350
    Starting to think winning NYC and Baltimore might be a tall order.
    'I know I was born and I know that I'll die, the in between is mine.'
  • gotthebottle
    gotthebottle San Diego Posts: 3,868
    Saltzy23 said:
    Starting to think winning NYC and Baltimore might be a tall order.
    IT always was going to be....but someone has to get the tickets so don't sweat it. 
  • tdawe
    tdawe Posts: 2,091
    Saltzy23 said:
    Starting to think winning NYC and Baltimore might be a tall order.
    With two shows for the entire northeast it was always going to be that way. It’s looking much better than I expected.
    Camden 2 2006, Newark 2010, Barclays 2 2013, Central Park 2015, MSG 2 2016, Wrigley 1 2016, Rome 2018, Prague 2018, Asbury Park 2021, EV & Earthlings NYC 1 2022, MSG 2022, Louisville 2022, Dublin 2024, MSG 1 2024, MSG 2 2024
  • RatherStarved
    RatherStarved Posts: 5,833
    tdawe said:
    verceman said:
    Baltimore is right now 85% reserved. What do you think my chances are at 2nd priority?
    Somewhere between 85 and 99 percent. 
    Disagree.  It depends where people have prioritized it.  If half the Bal people have it first and half have it second, at 85% all the firsts would get it and 70% of the seconds.  That’s a slightly unrealistic example just to illustrate the point.  I don’t think it’s likely that the probability could actually be higher than 85% if it’s the second pick.  This would require an assumption of many people ranking it third or lower.  Does not add up for me.
    PJ: 2013: London (ON); Buffalo; 2014: Cincinnati; 2016: Sunrise, Miami, Toronto 1-2, Wrigley 2; 2018: London (UK) 1, Milan, Padova, Sea 2, Wrigley 1-2, Fenway 1-2; 2021: SHN, Ohana, Ohana Encore 1-2; 2022: LA 1-2, Phx, Oak 1-2, Fresno, Copenhagen, Hyde Park 1-2; Quebec, Ottawa, Hamilton, Toronto; MSG, Camden, Nashville, Louisville, St. Louis, OKC; 2023: St. Paul 1-2, Chicago 1-2; Fort Worth 2; Austin 1-2; 2024:  Vancouver 1-2, LV 1-2, LA 1-2, Napa, Barcelona 1-2; Indy; Chicago 1-2; MSG 1-2; Philly 2; Boston 2; Ohana 1-2; 2025: FL 1-2, ATL 1-2, Nash 1-2, Pit 1-2.
     
    EV Solo: 2017 Louisville and Franklin, 2018 Ohana, 2019 Innings Fest, Berlin, Düsseldorf, Dublin and Ohana; 2021 Ohana Friday (from beach) and Saturday; 2022 Earthlings Newark; 2023 Innings Fest and Benoraya 1-2.

    Gutted:  London 2 2018, Sacramento 2022, Noblesville 2023
  • 1ThoughtKnown
    1ThoughtKnown Posts: 6,155
    edited January 2020
    Canadian winters are awesome. Was -32 below here in Calgary today. Probably be colder tomorrow 😂.  These winters build character! Why do you think we are so “nice”? Never know when you end up fucked on a cold day or a blizzard and need the help of some kind stranger to save your ass. 

    PJ put on a helluva show during the Calgary blizzard in ‘13.  Downtown was SHUT DOWN. I think the boys were genuinely surprised Calgarians filled the barn. If QC has a blizzard, you are getting a great show.  If eastern Canada was during Easter long weekend I’d be heading to those shows.  Need to save some vacation for the fall leg 🤙
  • chukdotcom
    chukdotcom Posts: 757
    So, does anyone think that ANY GA's will make it to the 2nd round?  What % do you think the minimum odds need to be to last 2 rounds?  65%?
  • buck502000
    buck502000 Birthplace of GIBSON guitar Posts: 8,951
    I hate everyone 
  • jdizzle8291
    jdizzle8291 Erie, PA Posts: 456
    buck502000 said:
    I hate everyone 
    Everyone sucks
    2016: Toronto I, Chicago I + II
    2018: Seattle I + II, Chicago I + II
    2020: Toronto, Ottawa, Quebec, Hamilton, Nashville, St. Louis, Krakow, Budapest, Zurich
  • mace1229
    mace1229 Posts: 10,034
    edited January 2020
    gotthebottle said:
    I asked ticketmaster email but haven't heard back yet...if original purchaser of a pair can't go I assume they have to throw the pair into the FAn to Fan exchange since the tix are non-transferable and the other person who CAN go is SOL?

    Did it ever say you have to sell fan to fan as a pair?
    I would assume you could sell one to the friend via fan to fan and the other to some rando fan to fan. It doesn’t say fan to fan has to be a 10c member either, just that it goes through TM.
  • RoleModelsinBlood31
    RoleModelsinBlood31 Austin TX Posts: 6,249
    buck502000 said:
    I hate everyone 
    Equally or some more than others? We should get to the bottom of this before the lottery closes tomorrow and shit hits the fan.  I don’t want you fucking up my frustration come Sunday.
    I'm like an opening band for your mom.
  • gotthebottle
    gotthebottle San Diego Posts: 3,868
    mace1229 said:
    gotthebottle said:
    I asked ticketmaster email but haven't heard back yet...if original purchaser of a pair can't go I assume they have to throw the pair into the FAn to Fan exchange since the tix are non-transferable and the other person who CAN go is SOL?

    Did it ever say you have to sell fan to fan as a pair?
    I would assume you could sell one to the friend via fan to fan and the other to some rando fan to fan. It doesn’t say fan to fan has to be a 10c member either, just that it goes through TM.
    TM told me that if you put a ticket up for sale Fan to Fan Exchange you CAN'T CHOOSE who you sell it to
  • Lostpawn
    Lostpawn Posts: 414
    mace1229 said:
    gotthebottle said:
    I asked ticketmaster email but haven't heard back yet...if original purchaser of a pair can't go I assume they have to throw the pair into the FAn to Fan exchange since the tix are non-transferable and the other person who CAN go is SOL?

    Did it ever say you have to sell fan to fan as a pair?
    I would assume you could sell one to the friend via fan to fan and the other to some rando fan to fan. It doesn’t say fan to fan has to be a 10c member either, just that it goes through TM.
    I saw in another thread that someone asked TM this question.  You can't sell directly fan to fan.  You put it back in the pool, and have no control over who buys it.  You CAN sell only one of your two tickets this way, though.  HTH.
  • Abe Froman
    Abe Froman Posts: 5,392
    edited January 2020
    I have to say this late in the 10c presale it seems the 10c did an awesome job at securing a lot of tickets for fan club members!  Odds are great for at least getting reserved for most members. Thank you Pearl Jam and 10c!!!
    @Santos L. Halper
    Post edited by Abe Froman on
  • gotthebottle
    gotthebottle San Diego Posts: 3,868
    mace1229 said:
    gotthebottle said:
    I asked ticketmaster email but haven't heard back yet...if original purchaser of a pair can't go I assume they have to throw the pair into the FAn to Fan exchange since the tix are non-transferable and the other person who CAN go is SOL?

    Did it ever say you have to sell fan to fan as a pair?
    I would assume you could sell one to the friend via fan to fan and the other to some rando fan to fan. It doesn’t say fan to fan has to be a 10c member either, just that it goes through TM.
    If you read it also says that 10C will be monitoring the Fan to Fan Exchange so yeah, it is for us....I have a feeling TM will use their typical resale methodolgy for the regular tickets
  • given2fly23
    given2fly23 Evanston, IL Posts: 6,042
    gotthebottle said:
    mace1229 said:
    gotthebottle said:
    I asked ticketmaster email but haven't heard back yet...if original purchaser of a pair can't go I assume they have to throw the pair into the FAn to Fan exchange since the tix are non-transferable and the other person who CAN go is SOL?

    Did it ever say you have to sell fan to fan as a pair?
    I would assume you could sell one to the friend via fan to fan and the other to some rando fan to fan. It doesn’t say fan to fan has to be a 10c member either, just that it goes through TM.
    TM told me that if you put a ticket up for sale Fan to Fan Exchange you CAN'T CHOOSE who you sell it to
    FANTASTIC NEWS!  Thanks for posting.

    Found: Soundgarden Hyde Park DVD (Thank you for the gift!)
    Posters for Sale: http://community.pearljam.com/discussion/117469/posters-for-sale
    T-Shirts for Sale: http://community.pearljam.com/discussion/149289/pj-t-shirt-trade-or-sale
  • PJNB
    PJNB Posts: 13,890
    gotthebottle said:
    mace1229 said:
    gotthebottle said:
    I asked ticketmaster email but haven't heard back yet...if original purchaser of a pair can't go I assume they have to throw the pair into the FAn to Fan exchange since the tix are non-transferable and the other person who CAN go is SOL?

    Did it ever say you have to sell fan to fan as a pair?
    I would assume you could sell one to the friend via fan to fan and the other to some rando fan to fan. It doesn’t say fan to fan has to be a 10c member either, just that it goes through TM.
    If you read it also says that 10C will be monitoring the Fan to Fan Exchange so yeah, it is for us....I have a feeling TM will use their typical resale methodolgy for the regular tickets
    I read it as all tickets are non-transferable and need to be put on the face to face ticket exchange for sale. Except for Denver and NY. 
  • Lerxst1992
    Lerxst1992 Posts: 8,403
    malphurs72 said:
    MD190661 said:
    yanknuck said:
    albysly said:
    Does anyone have any idea how many 10C members there are?  There's a thread on here, but its from years ago (2013, I think) 
    You beat me to it. I was going to ask the same question. After all, isn't that what really matters?
    My buddy joined Saturday so he could get tickets and he's at 704xxx. I joined over 15 years ago and have 410xxx. Of course I don't know how many current paid members there are.
    Wow, I joined near the end of 2014 and my number is 530xxx. So only roughly 120k new members in the 11 years between you and I joining and 170k+ new in around half that time since


    Since that time,

    They have assumed control of the ticket distribution. 

    Plus cumulative effect of lapsed members rejoining
  • foodboy
    foodboy Posts: 988
    the ga pit in quebec was fairly big last time . the place was full but its a fairly vacuous building. the upper levels are pretty up there. i think there are 35 rows in the lower bowl. it was a long walk up. hope you are all in shape.
  • jdizzle8291
    jdizzle8291 Erie, PA Posts: 456
    foodboy said:
    the ga pit in quebec was fairly big last time . the place was full but its a fairly vacuous building. the upper levels are pretty up there. i think there are 35 rows in the lower bowl. it was a long walk up. hope you are all in shape.
    I’m in a shape, that’s for sure
    2016: Toronto I, Chicago I + II
    2018: Seattle I + II, Chicago I + II
    2020: Toronto, Ottawa, Quebec, Hamilton, Nashville, St. Louis, Krakow, Budapest, Zurich
  • gotthebottle
    gotthebottle San Diego Posts: 3,868
    PJNB said:
    gotthebottle said:
    mace1229 said:
    gotthebottle said:
    I asked ticketmaster email but haven't heard back yet...if original purchaser of a pair can't go I assume they have to throw the pair into the FAn to Fan exchange since the tix are non-transferable and the other person who CAN go is SOL?

    Did it ever say you have to sell fan to fan as a pair?
    I would assume you could sell one to the friend via fan to fan and the other to some rando fan to fan. It doesn’t say fan to fan has to be a 10c member either, just that it goes through TM.
    If you read it also says that 10C will be monitoring the Fan to Fan Exchange so yeah, it is for us....I have a feeling TM will use their typical resale methodolgy for the regular tickets
    I read it as all tickets are non-transferable and need to be put on the face to face ticket exchange for sale. Except for Denver and NY. 
    That is only to us in the pre-sale....You don't know what it will say for the general sale

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