Not sure when these were updated (how are you all seeing update time?), but here are current odds for the Canadian shows to maybe save someone bit of time scrolling:
TOR 40/99 OTT 75/99 QC 99/99 (!!!) HAM 51/99
Changed by picks 4 times....I'm done now.....the waiting begins.... :
These didn't change this morning. Last I checked , the US odds hadn't changed either
MSG at 13/74. Do you think NYC Reserved as a 2nd choice will strike me out?
what's your first choice?
Buddy and I are thinking Baltimore GA as 1st choice. It’s the only show we have in common. It’s at 19% atm... I’m just concerned I’ll strike out in both if I go Baltimore GA as option 1 and NYC Reserved option 2.
You do cities as priorities not sections for those cities.
So I'm sorry if I'm being slow. I guess I'm getting old. In the "old" system", I would have done 1- Baltimore GA 2- NYC Reserved 3- Baltimore Reserved
In this new system, if I were to put best available for both shows, it would look something like this: 1- Baltimore GA 2- Baltimore Reserved 3- NYC GA 4- NYC Reserved
My concern is that if I put best available for Baltimore and don't get GA, I would get my "second choice" (by default) which is Baltimore Reserved. Let's say that someone has Quebec GA as option 1 and NYC Reserved option 2. Would he/she/they have better odds than me to get NYC reserved?
I'm sorry if I'm making it more complicated than it is. Thank you.
No, it would be 1. Baltimore Best Available 2. NYC Best Available
If you are selected, they will check to see if there are GA tickets left, if so you get them, otherwise you get Reserved
Has there been clarity around when we'll get results? I know it said by Sunday night. But is it possible people start finding out tomorrow? Or is just Sunday?
Has there been clarity around when we'll get results? I know it said by Sunday night. But is it possible people start finding out tomorrow? Or is just Sunday?
Of course there are reasonably priced hotel rooms in Quebec, too. I just don't know if chancing the weather is worth it.
I don't get the worry about the weather....could be bad, but can deal with it (and could be bad anywhere!). QC is beautiful in the winter and early spring.
Has there been clarity around when we'll get results? I know it said by Sunday night. But is it possible people start finding out tomorrow? Or is just Sunday?
Throughout the 4 days they said.
My best guess is they will do it show-by-show, in order.
Of course there are reasonably priced hotel rooms in Quebec, too. I just don't know if chancing the weather is worth it.
I don't get the worry about the weather....could be bad, but can deal with it (and could be bad anywhere!). QC is beautiful in the winter and early spring.
It would be a long drive from Boston through snow.
Has there been clarity around when we'll get results? I know it said by Sunday night. But is it possible people start finding out tomorrow? Or is just Sunday?
Throughout the 4 days they said.
My best guess is they will do it show-by-show, in order.
That's my guess as well, and if that's right and they're evenly distributed, it will go:
Thursday: Canadian shows Friday: Northeast shows, Nashville & St. Louis Saturday: OKC, Denver, Phoenix, SD Sunday: Remaining CA shows
Of course there are reasonably priced hotel rooms in Quebec, too. I just don't know if chancing the weather is worth it.
I don't get the worry about the weather....could be bad, but can deal with it (and could be bad anywhere!). QC is beautiful in the winter and early spring.
This!
Quebec City gets an average of 18 inches of snow in March. That is nothing! And if by some chance there is a snowstorm slowdown and you will be ok.
MSG at 13/74. Do you think NYC Reserved as a 2nd choice will strike me out?
what's your first choice?
Buddy and I are thinking Baltimore GA as 1st choice. It’s the only show we have in common. It’s at 19% atm... I’m just concerned I’ll strike out in both if I go Baltimore GA as option 1 and NYC Reserved option 2.
You do cities as priorities not sections for those cities.
So I'm sorry if I'm being slow. I guess I'm getting old. In the "old" system", I would have done 1- Baltimore GA 2- NYC Reserved 3- Baltimore Reserved
In this new system, if I were to put best available for both shows, it would look something like this: 1- Baltimore GA 2- Baltimore Reserved 3- NYC GA 4- NYC Reserved
My concern is that if I put best available for Baltimore and don't get GA, I would get my "second choice" (by default) which is Baltimore Reserved. Let's say that someone has Quebec GA as option 1 and NYC Reserved option 2. Would he/she/they have better odds than me to get NYC reserved?
I'm sorry if I'm making it more complicated than it is. Thank you.
No, it would be 1. Baltimore Best Available 2. NYC Best Available
If you are selected, they will check to see if there are GA tickets left, if so you get them, otherwise you get Reserved
MSG at 13/74. Do you think NYC Reserved as a 2nd choice will strike me out?
what's your first choice?
Buddy and I are thinking Baltimore GA as 1st choice. It’s the only show we have in common. It’s at 19% atm... I’m just concerned I’ll strike out in both if I go Baltimore GA as option 1 and NYC Reserved option 2.
You do cities as priorities not sections for those cities.
So I'm sorry if I'm being slow. I guess I'm getting old. In the "old" system", I would have done 1- Baltimore GA 2- NYC Reserved 3- Baltimore Reserved
In this new system, if I were to put best available for both shows, it would look something like this: 1- Baltimore GA 2- Baltimore Reserved 3- NYC GA 4- NYC Reserved
My concern is that if I put best available for Baltimore and don't get GA, I would get my "second choice" (by default) which is Baltimore Reserved. Let's say that someone has Quebec GA as option 1 and NYC Reserved option 2. Would he/she/they have better odds than me to get NYC reserved?
I'm sorry if I'm making it more complicated than it is. Thank you.
No, it would be 1. Baltimore Best Available 2. NYC Best Available
If you are selected, they will check to see if there are GA tickets left, if so you get them, otherwise you get Reserved
I feel like you're both saying the same thing
No, he is implying NYC would be a priority 3, which is not the case. This is important for priority processing.
MSG at 13/74. Do you think NYC Reserved as a 2nd choice will strike me out?
what's your first choice?
Buddy and I are thinking Baltimore GA as 1st choice. It’s the only show we have in common. It’s at 19% atm... I’m just concerned I’ll strike out in both if I go Baltimore GA as option 1 and NYC Reserved option 2.
You do cities as priorities not sections for those cities.
So I'm sorry if I'm being slow. I guess I'm getting old. In the "old" system", I would have done 1- Baltimore GA 2- NYC Reserved 3- Baltimore Reserved
In this new system, if I were to put best available for both shows, it would look something like this: 1- Baltimore GA 2- Baltimore Reserved 3- NYC GA 4- NYC Reserved
My concern is that if I put best available for Baltimore and don't get GA, I would get my "second choice" (by default) which is Baltimore Reserved. Let's say that someone has Quebec GA as option 1 and NYC Reserved option 2. Would he/she/they have better odds than me to get NYC reserved?
I'm sorry if I'm making it more complicated than it is. Thank you.
No, it would be 1. Baltimore Best Available 2. NYC Best Available
If you are selected, they will check to see if there are GA tickets left, if so you get them, otherwise you get Reserved
Has there been clarity around when we'll get results? I know it said by Sunday night. But is it possible people start finding out tomorrow? Or is just Sunday?
Throughout the 4 days they said.
My best guess is they will do it show-by-show, in order.
“Email confirmations will be sent out on a show-by-show basis over the course of 4 days, beginning Thursday, January 16th.”
Has there been clarity around when we'll get results? I know it said by Sunday night. But is it possible people start finding out tomorrow? Or is just Sunday?
Throughout the 4 days they said.
My best guess is they will do it show-by-show, in order.
That's my guess as well, and if that's right and they're evenly distributed, it will go:
Thursday: Canadian shows Friday: Northeast shows, Nashville & St. Louis Saturday: OKC, Denver, Phoenix, SD Sunday: Remaining CA shows
I read in one of the FAQs that confirms the drawing is going show-by-show, so it's logical to think they'd do that in chronological order of the tour dates and then notify everyone once all the entries for that show have been considered. The waiting is going to suck unless the odds remain at or near 99%.
I put GA only.....the odds are dropping. So, should I go back and change it to best avail? Help!!!
Only time you should put GA only imo is if you in no way want to win reserved since your number is so high and would rather fight it out in the public sale for seats. Putting best available does not hurt your GA odds.
Has there been clarity around when we'll get results? I know it said by Sunday night. But is it possible people start finding out tomorrow? Or is just Sunday?
Throughout the 4 days they said.
My best guess is they will do it show-by-show, in order.
That's my guess as well, and if that's right and they're evenly distributed, it will go:
Thursday: Canadian shows Friday: Northeast shows, Nashville & St. Louis Saturday: OKC, Denver, Phoenix, SD Sunday: Remaining CA shows
I read in one of the FAQs that confirms the drawing is going show-by-show, so it's logical to think they'd do that in chronological order of the tour dates and then notify everyone once all the entries for that show have been considered. The waiting is going to suck unless the odds remain at or near 99%.
Yes - we know they're drawing "show by show" (not sure what other way you would do it), but we're only guessing that (1) they'll be drawn in chrono order rather than some other order and (2) the drawings will be evenly distributed over the four days (maybe there will be more done Thursday and Friday than over the weekend, maybe they feel like they can do 5 per day so everything other than the last show will be done by Saturday, etc.).
And I can tell you from experience that the waiting sucks even when the odds are at or near 99%.
I have reserved for Baltimore and NYC. I put Baltimore as first because my wife can make that show and not NYC since it is a Monday. Should I switch NYC to number 1 because of the odds?
My wife also has a Ten Club membership. Should I put in for NYC in her membership as well? I got stuck with 2 sets of tickets for Boston last tour when I did this. While I eventually was able to sell the extra set, it was concerning for a while, so I don't want to be stuck with 4 tickets. But it is NYC, so I should have an easier time selling the 2 extra on fan to fan if I get 4.
Do you think I should switch to NYC as my first choice and also put in the extra membership request for NYC? Or should I be fine with just one request (we want reserved, not GA - my wife likes having seats )
Has there been clarity around when we'll get results? I know it said by Sunday night. But is it possible people start finding out tomorrow? Or is just Sunday?
Throughout the 4 days they said.
My best guess is they will do it show-by-show, in order.
That's my guess as well, and if that's right and they're evenly distributed, it will go:
Thursday: Canadian shows Friday: Northeast shows, Nashville & St. Louis Saturday: OKC, Denver, Phoenix, SD Sunday: Remaining CA shows
I read in one of the FAQs that confirms the drawing is going show-by-show, so it's logical to think they'd do that in chronological order of the tour dates and then notify everyone once all the entries for that show have been considered. The waiting is going to suck unless the odds remain at or near 99%.
Yes - we know they're drawing "show by show" (not sure what other way you would do it), but we're only guessing that (1) they'll be drawn in chrono order rather than some other order and (2) the drawings will be evenly distributed over the four days (maybe there will be more done Thursday and Friday than over the weekend, maybe they feel like they can do 5 per day so everything other than the last show will be done by Saturday, etc.).
And I can tell you from experience that the waiting sucks even when the odds are at or near 99%.
"Not sure what other way you would do it".... I don't know how they're going to do it, but person-by-person would be more of a genuine lottery.
Has there been clarity around when we'll get results? I know it said by Sunday night. But is it possible people start finding out tomorrow? Or is just Sunday?
Throughout the 4 days they said.
My best guess is they will do it show-by-show, in order.
“Email confirmations will be sent out on a show-by-show basis over the course of 4 days, beginning Thursday, January 16th.”
If I am reading this correctly, it would mean that you could possibly be notified before Sunday the 19th. I thought I had read somewhere that we would receive the notifications on Sunday.
Is this right? 'GA only' requests are filled before 'best available' requests? So they fill all of "GA only" requests, and then give remaining GA tickets, if available, to the "best available" folks...
I wish I was a sacrifice, but somehow still lived on....
Has there been clarity around when we'll get results? I know it said by Sunday night. But is it possible people start finding out tomorrow? Or is just Sunday?
Throughout the 4 days they said.
My best guess is they will do it show-by-show, in order.
That's my guess as well, and if that's right and they're evenly distributed, it will go:
Thursday: Canadian shows Friday: Northeast shows, Nashville & St. Louis Saturday: OKC, Denver, Phoenix, SD Sunday: Remaining CA shows
I read in one of the FAQs that confirms the drawing is going show-by-show, so it's logical to think they'd do that in chronological order of the tour dates and then notify everyone once all the entries for that show have been considered. The waiting is going to suck unless the odds remain at or near 99%.
Yes - we know they're drawing "show by show" (not sure what other way you would do it), but we're only guessing that (1) they'll be drawn in chrono order rather than some other order and (2) the drawings will be evenly distributed over the four days (maybe there will be more done Thursday and Friday than over the weekend, maybe they feel like they can do 5 per day so everything other than the last show will be done by Saturday, etc.).
And I can tell you from experience that the waiting sucks even when the odds are at or near 99%.
"Not sure what other way you would do it".... I don't know how they're going to do it, but person-by-person would be more of a genuine lottery.
So they'd randomly select a person, give them everything they requested, then move on to the next person until the tickets are gone? Not sure how the "rank your show choices" system would work if you're NOT drawing show by show.
I have reserved for Baltimore and NYC. I put Baltimore as first because my wife can make that show and not NYC since it is a Monday. Should I switch NYC to number 1 because of the odds?
My wife also has a Ten Club membership. Should I put in for NYC in her membership as well? I got stuck with 2 sets of tickets for Boston last tour when I did this. While I eventually was able to sell the extra set, it was concerning for a while, so I don't want to be stuck with 4 tickets. But it is NYC, so I should have an easier time selling the 2 extra on fan to fan if I get 4.
Do you think I should switch to NYC as my first choice and also put in the extra membership request for NYC? Or should I be fine with just one request (we want reserved, not GA - my wife likes having seats )
If you have 2 members and are after the 2 most desired shows WHY NOT use her membership and both put in NY first for one and Balt first for the other person?? This Fan to Fan sale would EASILY let you sell your pair of extras
Has there been clarity around when we'll get results? I know it said by Sunday night. But is it possible people start finding out tomorrow? Or is just Sunday?
Throughout the 4 days they said.
My best guess is they will do it show-by-show, in order.
That's my guess as well, and if that's right and they're evenly distributed, it will go:
Thursday: Canadian shows Friday: Northeast shows, Nashville & St. Louis Saturday: OKC, Denver, Phoenix, SD Sunday: Remaining CA shows
I read in one of the FAQs that confirms the drawing is going show-by-show, so it's logical to think they'd do that in chronological order of the tour dates and then notify everyone once all the entries for that show have been considered. The waiting is going to suck unless the odds remain at or near 99%.
Yes - we know they're drawing "show by show" (not sure what other way you would do it), but we're only guessing that (1) they'll be drawn in chrono order rather than some other order and (2) the drawings will be evenly distributed over the four days (maybe there will be more done Thursday and Friday than over the weekend, maybe they feel like they can do 5 per day so everything other than the last show will be done by Saturday, etc.).
And I can tell you from experience that the waiting sucks even when the odds are at or near 99%.
"Not sure what other way you would do it".... I don't know how they're going to do it, but person-by-person would be more of a genuine lottery.
So they'd randomly select a person, give them everything they requested, then move on to the next person until the tickets are gone? Not sure how the "rank your show choices" system would work if you're NOT drawing show by show.
No, they'd randomly select a person and give them whatever their top priority still available is. They're then kicked to the back of the line until everyone has received one set of tickets. Maybe I'm missing something, but this seems the simplest algorithm. It's basically drawing all the numbers, putting them on a list, then going through the list top to bottom (repeatedly) until all the tickets are exhausted or all the orders are filled.
Comments
"...I changed by not changing at all..."
Toronto - '96, '00, '03, '05, '06, '16, '20, '22
Ottawa - '16, '20, '22
Hamilton - '20, '22
"...I changed by not changing at all..."
Thursday: Canadian shows
Friday: Northeast shows, Nashville & St. Louis
Saturday: OKC, Denver, Phoenix, SD
Sunday: Remaining CA shows
Quebec City gets an average of 18 inches of snow in March. That is nothing! And if by some chance there is a snowstorm slowdown and you will be ok.
“Email confirmations will be sent out on a show-by-show basis over the course of 4 days, beginning Thursday, January 16th.”
And I can tell you from experience that the waiting sucks even when the odds are at or near 99%.
My wife also has a Ten Club membership. Should I put in for NYC in her membership as well? I got stuck with 2 sets of tickets for Boston last tour when I did this. While I eventually was able to sell the extra set, it was concerning for a while, so I don't want to be stuck with 4 tickets. But it is NYC, so I should have an easier time selling the 2 extra on fan to fan if I get 4.
Do you think I should switch to NYC as my first choice and also put in the extra membership request for NYC? Or should I be fine with just one request (we want reserved, not GA - my wife likes having seats
I don't know how they're going to do it, but person-by-person would be more of a genuine lottery.
Cleveland 03'
Cincinnati 03' (Flooded)
Cincinnati 06'
Cincinnati 14'
Chicago N2 23'
Indy 23' (Cancelled)
Vegas N2 24'
___________________
2024 - Seattle N1, Indy, Chicago N2, Boston N1
This Fan to Fan sale would EASILY let you sell your pair of extras
Maybe I'm missing something, but this seems the simplest algorithm. It's basically drawing all the numbers, putting them on a list, then going through the list top to bottom (repeatedly) until all the tickets are exhausted or all the orders are filled.