** KAMALA HARRIS FOR PRESIDENT -PART DEUX **
Comments
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EdsonNascimento said:mrussel1 said:EdsonNascimento said:Halifax2TheMax said:EdsonNascimento said:The Juggler said:pjl44 said:EdsonNascimento said:Gern Blansten said:
53/47 Harris...I can live with that
So, you really shouldn't be happy with 2.3. Trump wins easily if that's the actual polling at this time.
Next he will tell you Silver was wrong in 2016...even though he was much closer than most.
So, Nate Silver does have his own projection that's not longer called 538. That's right - a corporation paid him 10s of millions of dollars for a projection that was only good the moment he gave it to them. From there, you need the right person to adjust it.
And I'm sure he'll say it's close to 50/50 also. But, in the end, none of that is relevant. I'm just trying to guid you to the most important number in the quote - the 2.3 point polling advantage. That's most likely not enough for Harris to win as the real election will skew against that number and Dems always need more votes to win b/c of the cities producing votes that don't effect the electoral college.
So, keep arguing. I'm not saying who's gonna win. I'm just trying to point out that those probabilities (especially a basically 50/50 for an incumbent should not let you sleep well at night). But, you keep doing you.
And separately - why is Harris talking about fixing the economy and the Wars that happened while she was Vice President? Shouldn't they have already fixed all that? Dems have had the Executive offices for 12 of the last 16 years, including the last 3.5. How is everything Trump's fault?
Please, policy only.
1. The argument for states rights on abortion is an absolute sham. It doesn't pass the thinnest of intellectual reasoning. If you want me to expound on that, happy to.
2. I would never vote for a president who not support Ukraine's war with Russia. First off, it's global strategy lunacy not to arm the enemy of your enemy. The Soviets did it in Vietnam and it worked. We did it in Afghanistan and it worked. It works. And China wants no part of a weak Russia.
3. Trump didn't end gay marriage but he put in justices that killed Roe. So what will the next set of justices do? We don't know. That's enough for me not to vote for him.
1. You can agree/disagree with abortion being a State issue as you have. But, he (and the Supreme Court) didn't end abortion
2. There were literally no wars when Trump left office. So, maybe old war ways (GOP is probably more responsible historically, though kind of funny it's the Dems that are the war hawks now) aren't the best either. Maybe, there's another way - friends close, enemies closer... Whatever Trump was doing worked. Abraham Accords. Look 'em up. Ending funding to Iran. Yes, talking to Putin, China and N. Korea. I don't know. I think Ukraine would rather our President talk to Putin than getting bombed on a daily basis.
3. Basically the same as issue 1 - you're worried about the Supreme Court make up. Fair. However, Judges aren't supposed to make law as the liberals on the court try to do. They are just there to interpret it. Nothing stops laws being made that judges can't interpret the way you don't want them to. Make them. Your problem is with the Legislature not the Supreme Court. They don't make law. They just interpret them. There's no Federal Law for or against abortion and there's no Constitutional right to one. The Supreme Court properly adjudicated this case according to the law of the land and the Constitution (for the record - I'm pro-choice. I do think there should be limits in timing, but other than that, while morally I'm torn, none of my business. That being said, legally, this was the correct decision).
But none of this portends end of days (I know you weren't the commenter). Funny folks think they do. As opposed to funding Iran to run a proxy war on the only Democracy in the Middle East.
2. Forgetting the Afghan war? The last two wars with American boots on the ground were started by GOP presidents. Trump promised to end the afghan war, but when it became too complicated to deliver, he reneged on his promise. Ignoring Putins aggressions will only lead to more problems. Just ask his neighbors.
3. there is absolutely a constitutional right - how is forcing a rape victim, or a woman carrying a potentially deadly unviable pregnancy, how are these women receiving equal protection under the law?0 -
teskeinc said:Tim Simmons said:teskeinc said:Tim Simmons said:Just because get credit for one thing doesn’t mean you get credit for all the things. That was a massive success. Doesn’t mean everything else went well.Only the KN95s did anything. People still wearing masks now 🤦♂️.
Majority of people that died had underlying factors. Friends of mine that died were overweight, diabetic etc. Maybe a more focused approach on them in hindsight. Forcing vaccines and mask mandates, lockdowns were wrong.I don’t blame Trump or Biden on anything they mishandled. What does that solve? It’s something that is a once in a lifetime (hopefully) and I wouldn’t wish that on any President to have to deal with.0 -
This could be interesting
https://x.com/tbonier/status/1827100342179524692?s=46&t=BwQTy3yXW5taY_dbOY9RPQ
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njhaley1 said:mrussel1 said:pjl44 said:mrussel1 said:pjl44 said:mrussel1 said:pjl44 said:mrussel1 said:EdsonNascimento said:mrussel1 said:EdsonNascimento said:Halifax2TheMax said:EdsonNascimento said:The Juggler said:pjl44 said:EdsonNascimento said:Gern Blansten said:
53/47 Harris...I can live with that
So, you really shouldn't be happy with 2.3. Trump wins easily if that's the actual polling at this time.
Next he will tell you Silver was wrong in 2016...even though he was much closer than most.
So, Nate Silver does have his own projection that's not longer called 538. That's right - a corporation paid him 10s of millions of dollars for a projection that was only good the moment he gave it to them. From there, you need the right person to adjust it.
And I'm sure he'll say it's close to 50/50 also. But, in the end, none of that is relevant. I'm just trying to guid you to the most important number in the quote - the 2.3 point polling advantage. That's most likely not enough for Harris to win as the real election will skew against that number and Dems always need more votes to win b/c of the cities producing votes that don't effect the electoral college.
So, keep arguing. I'm not saying who's gonna win. I'm just trying to point out that those probabilities (especially a basically 50/50 for an incumbent should not let you sleep well at night). But, you keep doing you.
And separately - why is Harris talking about fixing the economy and the Wars that happened while she was Vice President? Shouldn't they have already fixed all that? Dems have had the Executive offices for 12 of the last 16 years, including the last 3.5. How is everything Trump's fault?
Please, policy only.
1. The argument for states rights on abortion is an absolute sham. It doesn't pass the thinnest of intellectual reasoning. If you want me to expound on that, happy to.
2. I would never vote for a president who not support Ukraine's war with Russia. First off, it's global strategy lunacy not to arm the enemy of your enemy. The Soviets did it in Vietnam and it worked. We did it in Afghanistan and it worked. It works. And China wants no part of a weak Russia.
3. Trump didn't end gay marriage but he put in justices that killed Roe. So what will the next set of justices do? We don't know. That's enough for me not to vote for him.
1. You can agree/disagree with abortion being a State issue as you have. But, he (and the Supreme Court) didn't end abortion
2. There were literally no wars when Trump left office. So, maybe old war ways (GOP is probably more responsible historically, though kind of funny it's the Dems that are the war hawks now) aren't the best either. Maybe, there's another way - friends close, enemies closer... Whatever Trump was doing worked. Abraham Accords. Look 'em up. Ending funding to Iran. Yes, talking to Putin, China and N. Korea. I don't know. I think Ukraine would rather our President talk to Putin than getting bombed on a daily basis.
3. Basically the same as issue 1 - you're worried about the Supreme Court make up. Fair. However, Judges aren't supposed to make law as the liberals on the court try to do. They are just there to interpret it. Nothing stops laws being made that judges can't interpret the way you don't want them to. Make them. Your problem is with the Legislature not the Supreme Court. They don't make law. They just interpret them. There's no Federal Law for or against abortion and there's no Constitutional right to one. The Supreme Court properly adjudicated this case according to the law of the land and the Constitution (for the record - I'm pro-choice. I do think there should be limits in timing, but other than that, while morally I'm torn, none of my business. That being said, legally, this was the correct decision).
But none of this portends end of days (I know you weren't the commenter). Funny folks think they do. As opposed to funding Iran to run a proxy war on the only Democracy in the Middle East.
2. Abraham Accords were all well and good, but they tackled the easy issues. He NEVER touched Palestine and made zero progress on that front.
3. While I agree that using the 14th to establish Roe was tortured logic, the fact is it was stare decisis. And all three new justices agreed it was stare decisis. So what's next? Brown? Maybe. Obergefell is certainly not old enough to be considered as such. You say it was legally correct, maybe in 1972 but not in 2022 when every justice claims to honor precedent, not just being textualist.
There are moderate/independents who still need reaching, and for some like @pjl44 that requires a real thorough discussion of policy. Can't fault them for that and I agree, despite being sold on Harris by a long shot.0 -
David Plouffe is working for the Harris campaign. He was Obama's guy. He was really big on new registration.Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt20 -
fucking brandons inflation...._____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________
Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '140 -
Gern Blansten said:David Plouffe is working for the Harris campaign. He was Obama's guy. He was really big on new registration.One reason I have hope Harris can outperform the state polls. Plouffe maybe the best campaign mind of modern times. Bidens win 2020 gets an * due to the unusual and overwhelming nature of mail in ballots, and the 2016 Hilary team was a dumpster fire.0
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EdsonNascimento said:Halifax2TheMax said:Merkin Baller said:huh....
White House lawyers who advised Reagan, Bush endorse Harris over Trump in 2024 showdown | Fox NewsWhite House lawyers who advised Reagan, Bush endorse Harris over Trump in 2024 showdown
Trump 'remains unfit, dangerous and detached from reality,' say the former GOP White House lawyers
FIRST ON FOX: A dozen Republican White House lawyers who served in the administrations of then-Presidents Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush are endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris in her race against GOP nominee former President Donald Trump.
"We endorse Kamala Harris and support her election as President because we believe that returning former President Trump to office would threaten American democracy and undermine the rule of law in our country," the lawyers wrote in a letter that the signatories shared first with Fox News Digital....
The letter notes, "Donald Trump’s own Vice President and multiple members of his Administration and White House Staff at the most senior levels – as well as former Republican nominees for President and Vice President – have already declined to endorse his reelection."
Those signing the letter pointed to what they called "the profound risks presented by his [Trump's] potential return to public office. Indeed, Trump’s own Attorney General and National Security Adviser have said unequivocally that Donald Trump is unfit for office, dangerous, and detached from reality."...
continues
All the old guard on both sides hate Trump. Why??????By The Time They Figure Out What Went Wrong, We'll Be Sitting On A Beach, Earning Twenty Percent.0 -
_____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________
Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '140 -
I wonder how they track interent viewers also?_____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________
Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '140 -
teskeinc said:Tim Simmons said:teskeinc said:Tim Simmons said:Just because get credit for one thing doesn’t mean you get credit for all the things. That was a massive success. Doesn’t mean everything else went well.Only the KN95s did anything. People still wearing masks now 🤦♂️.
Majority of people that died had underlying factors. Friends of mine that died were overweight, diabetic etc. Maybe a more focused approach on them in hindsight. Forcing vaccines and mask mandates, lockdowns were wrong.I don’t blame Trump or Biden on anything they mishandled. What does that solve? It’s something that is a once in a lifetime (hopefully) and I wouldn’t wish that on any President to have to deal with.
many, many people without underlying factors died. that's well documented. another right wing talking point with no basis in fact. just anecdotes.
trump absolutely should get credit for warp speed. Unfortunately, he later decided to bow to his low IQ supporters because they rejected it, and he went into full idiot mode with regards to minimizing transmission.
covid is still around, but, if you have been paying any attention the last 4 years, it mutates to a point where it will ALWAYS be around (i.e: no longer killing its host). that's what happened with the flu in the early 1900's. that's what happened now, and what they suspected, even from the early days of the pandemic.
lockdowns did help (the data showed lower transmission and deaths during lockdown phases), but obviously that couldn't be a permanent measure. they had no choice to do that until there was more data and/or a vaccine.
the 6 foot rule was, to any person with a brain, was obviously a guideline to stop people from congregating in close groups. At the time, they didn't think it was airborne, so the 6 foot rule made sense based on how far water droplets projected into the air and how long they hung there.
the fact that, 4 years in, you still don't understand any of this, is just absurd.By The Time They Figure Out What Went Wrong, We'll Be Sitting On A Beach, Earning Twenty Percent.0 -
HughFreakingDillon said:teskeinc said:Tim Simmons said:teskeinc said:Tim Simmons said:Just because get credit for one thing doesn’t mean you get credit for all the things. That was a massive success. Doesn’t mean everything else went well.Only the KN95s did anything. People still wearing masks now 🤦♂️.
Majority of people that died had underlying factors. Friends of mine that died were overweight, diabetic etc. Maybe a more focused approach on them in hindsight. Forcing vaccines and mask mandates, lockdowns were wrong.I don’t blame Trump or Biden on anything they mishandled. What does that solve? It’s something that is a once in a lifetime (hopefully) and I wouldn’t wish that on any President to have to deal with.
many, many people without underlying factors died. that's well documented. another right wing talking point with no basis in fact. just anecdotes.
trump absolutely should get credit for warp speed. Unfortunately, he later decided to bow to his low IQ supporters because they rejected it, and he went into full idiot mode with regards to minimizing transmission.
covid is still around, but, if you have been paying any attention the last 4 years, it mutates to a point where it will ALWAYS be around (i.e: no longer killing its host). that's what happened with the flu in the early 1900's. that's what happened now, and what they suspected, even from the early days of the pandemic.
lockdowns did help (the data showed lower transmission and deaths during lockdown phases), but obviously that couldn't be a permanent measure. they had no choice to do that until there was more data and/or a vaccine.
the 6 foot rule was, to any person with a brain, was obviously a guideline to stop people from congregating in close groups. At the time, they didn't think it was airborne, so the 6 foot rule made sense based on how far water droplets projected into the air and how long they hung there.
the fact that, 4 years in, you still don't understand any of this, is just absurd.0 -
HughFreakingDillon said:teskeinc said:Tim Simmons said:teskeinc said:Tim Simmons said:Just because get credit for one thing doesn’t mean you get credit for all the things. That was a massive success. Doesn’t mean everything else went well.Only the KN95s did anything. People still wearing masks now 🤦♂️.
Majority of people that died had underlying factors. Friends of mine that died were overweight, diabetic etc. Maybe a more focused approach on them in hindsight. Forcing vaccines and mask mandates, lockdowns were wrong.I don’t blame Trump or Biden on anything they mishandled. What does that solve? It’s something that is a once in a lifetime (hopefully) and I wouldn’t wish that on any President to have to deal with.
many, many people without underlying factors died. that's well documented. another right wing talking point with no basis in fact. just anecdotes.
trump absolutely should get credit for warp speed. Unfortunately, he later decided to bow to his low IQ supporters because they rejected it, and he went into full idiot mode with regards to minimizing transmission.
covid is still around, but, if you have been paying any attention the last 4 years, it mutates to a point where it will ALWAYS be around (i.e: no longer killing its host). that's what happened with the flu in the early 1900's. that's what happened now, and what they suspected, even from the early days of the pandemic.
lockdowns did help (the data showed lower transmission and deaths during lockdown phases), but obviously that couldn't be a permanent measure. they had no choice to do that until there was more data and/or a vaccine.
the 6 foot rule was, to any person with a brain, was obviously a guideline to stop people from congregating in close groups. At the time, they didn't think it was airborne, so the 6 foot rule made sense based on how far water droplets projected into the air and how long they hung there.
the fact that, 4 years in, you still don't understand any of this, is just absurd.
Darwin will sort this all out.Post edited by njhaley1 on0 -
Please don't feed the trolls. Thank you.Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt20 -
HughFreakingDillon said:EdsonNascimento said:Halifax2TheMax said:Merkin Baller said:huh....
White House lawyers who advised Reagan, Bush endorse Harris over Trump in 2024 showdown | Fox NewsWhite House lawyers who advised Reagan, Bush endorse Harris over Trump in 2024 showdown
Trump 'remains unfit, dangerous and detached from reality,' say the former GOP White House lawyers
FIRST ON FOX: A dozen Republican White House lawyers who served in the administrations of then-Presidents Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush are endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris in her race against GOP nominee former President Donald Trump.
"We endorse Kamala Harris and support her election as President because we believe that returning former President Trump to office would threaten American democracy and undermine the rule of law in our country," the lawyers wrote in a letter that the signatories shared first with Fox News Digital....
The letter notes, "Donald Trump’s own Vice President and multiple members of his Administration and White House Staff at the most senior levels – as well as former Republican nominees for President and Vice President – have already declined to endorse his reelection."
Those signing the letter pointed to what they called "the profound risks presented by his [Trump's] potential return to public office. Indeed, Trump’s own Attorney General and National Security Adviser have said unequivocally that Donald Trump is unfit for office, dangerous, and detached from reality."...
continues
All the old guard on both sides hate Trump. Why??????jesus greets me looks just like me ....0 -
Huge bounce for Trump after the RFK Jr endorsement. Some are saying 5%. Is it too late to replace Kamala if polls show she can’t win?0
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Nate Silver says it’s about half a point.0
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Tim Simmons said:Nate Silver says it’s about half a point.09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;
Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.
Brilliantati©0 -
teskeinc said:Huge bounce for Trump after the RFK Jr endorsement. Some are saying 5%. Is it too late to replace Kamala if polls show she can’t win?0
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Genius move by Republicans though. The DNC convention was out of the news cycle before any attendees boarded a plane Friday.Do those 6% of voters just not vote? Do they go with who their candidate endorsed? Hoping RFK plays a role in a Trump cabinet? Do Democrats think they will come back to vote Kamala after she blew him off and was shit on by the party?Some of those swing states were decided by razor thin margins in 2020. If Trump wins close, this potentially was the deciding factor.Massive mistake by Dems to not reach out to RFK Jr.0
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