State of elections since 2020

Lerxst1992

mrussel1 said:

Democrat wins secretary of state in AZ as well, beating a vehement election denier.  

What have we learned this cycle?  The electorate wants "normal".  People running too far on either side got shellacked.  This is particularly true in state wide elections, rather than congressional districts.  But even Boebert's weakness shows that you can only be so crazy. 

Well except where I live, and it looks like the House will be 219-216 R and the return of the freedom caucus to the front pages, and they’re saying mccarthy isn’t crazy enough to be speaker. Usually 60%+ seats are blue here, now they are all red, and none of the house races were that close here 

Been going to the office twice a week lately (many have transitioned to 100% WFH). In office they’ve been yammering about this bail reform crap for months, and never provide any proof that’s the reason crime is supposedly up. Knowing my coworkers bought into the GOP BS is brutal. I am on an island here, not sure I see this why Dems are ignoring the reason why they lost the house. Without Long Island and the crime issue, the Dems would have won the house. 

GOP lies still work, and there is a solid blueprint for them to take presidency and congress in 2024


edit, rereconsidering your comment, it looks like bail reform, not locking up poor nonviolent  kids for two years awaiting trial,  who can’t afford bail, is too extreme a position to take for Dems. If they don’t learn that lesson fast, the Rs can sweep DC next time

Lerxst1992

Nevada and senate looking promising per NYT, hopefully their analysis is right-

Democrats appeared on the cusp of securing control of the Senate over the weekend, as the counting of mail ballots in Nevada brought Senator Catherine Cortez Masto, a Democratic incumbent, within 1,000 votes of overtaking her Republican opponent, Adam Laxalt, for the final seat the party needs to maintain its 50-50 Senate majority.

All eyes will be on Clark County, home to Las Vegas, which is a Democratic stronghold. Ms. Cortez Masto has led mail ballots tabulated after Election Day there by nearly two to one, a margin that would be more than enough to overtake Mr. Laxalt if the trend continues among the approximately 25,000 mail ballots that remain to be counted.

The bulk of the remaining mail ballots in Clark County are expected to be reported on Saturday (though the deadline to have all ballots counted is not until Tuesday). That could be enough to allow news organizations to project a winner, depending on the number of ballots counted and the size of Ms. Cortez Masto’s lead.

Most news organizations, including The Associated Press, are reluctant to call races when the leading candidate is ahead by less than half a percentage point, or about 5,000 votes in this case.

Even so, Ms. Cortez Masto would build a lead of more than 5,000 votes if she fares as well in the final Clark mail ballots as she has in those counted so far. She is also expected to have an advantage in the remaining mail ballots from Washoe County, as well as the more than 10,000 mail ballots that voters can “cure” after being initially rejected for a bad signature match.

Only a few thousand mail votes remain from the state’s rural, Republican counties.

brianlux

Lerxst1992 said:

Nevada and senate looking promising per NYT, hopefully their analysis is right-

Democrats appeared on the cusp of securing control of the Senate over the weekend, as the counting of mail ballots in Nevada brought Senator Catherine Cortez Masto, a Democratic incumbent, within 1,000 votes of overtaking her Republican opponent, Adam Laxalt, for the final seat the party needs to maintain its 50-50 Senate majority.

All eyes will be on Clark County, home to Las Vegas, which is a Democratic stronghold. Ms. Cortez Masto has led mail ballots tabulated after Election Day there by nearly two to one, a margin that would be more than enough to overtake Mr. Laxalt if the trend continues among the approximately 25,000 mail ballots that remain to be counted.

The bulk of the remaining mail ballots in Clark County are expected to be reported on Saturday (though the deadline to have all ballots counted is not until Tuesday). That could be enough to allow news organizations to project a winner, depending on the number of ballots counted and the size of Ms. Cortez Masto’s lead.

Most news organizations, including The Associated Press, are reluctant to call races when the leading candidate is ahead by less than half a percentage point, or about 5,000 votes in this case.

Even so, Ms. Cortez Masto would build a lead of more than 5,000 votes if she fares as well in the final Clark mail ballots as she has in those counted so far. She is also expected to have an advantage in the remaining mail ballots from Washoe County, as well as the more than 10,000 mail ballots that voters can “cure” after being initially rejected for a bad signature match.

Only a few thousand mail votes remain from the state’s rural, Republican counties.

Fingers crossed!

brianlux

50!  Yes!

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/nov/13/democrats-win-senate-control-midterm-elections-2022

Halifax2TheMax

Over/under on Manchurian Joe switching parties?

Lerxst1992

Halifax2TheMax said:

Over/under on Manchurian Joe switching parties?

Party pooper.

brianlux

Hoping for 51 in December.

Keepin' it positive here, folks!

Halifax2TheMax

Lerxst1992 said:

Halifax2TheMax said:

Over/under on Manchurian Joe switching parties?

Party pooper.

3D chess and so much winning!

josevolution

Halifax2TheMax said:

Over/under on Manchurian Joe switching parties?

60/40 he’s not someone I’d trust same with Sinema they have been bought before they can be bought again! 

mickeyrat

https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-voting-rights-georgia-race-and-ethnicity-d4c2eaec9cbf69791c0ca8daf8b71188

  

2022 Midterm elections Voting rights Texas Georgia Race and ethnicity Congress Government and politics

Election Day saw few major problems, despite new voting laws

By CHRISTINA A. CASSIDY and GARY FIELDS

46 mins ago

WASHINGTON (AP) — Heading into this year’s midterms, voting rights groups were concerned that restrictions in Republican-leaning states triggered by false claims surrounding the 2020 election might jeopardize access to the ballot box for scores of voters.

Those worries did not appear to come true. There have been no widespread reports of voters being turned away at the polls, and turnout, while down from the last midterm cycle four years ago, appeared robust in Georgia, a state with hotly competitive contests for governor and U.S. Senate.

The lack of broad disenfranchisement isn't necessarily a sign that everyone who wanted to vote could; there's no good way to tell why certain voters didn't cast a ballot.

Voter advocacy groups promoted voter education campaigns and modified voting strategies as a way to reduce confusion and get as many voters to cast a ballot as possible.

“We in the voting rights community in Texas were fearing the worst,” said Anthony Gutierrez, director of Common Cause Texas, on Wednesday. “For the most part, it didn’t happen.”

False claims that the 2020 election was stolen from former President Donald Trump undermined public confidence in elections and prompted Republican officials to pass new voting laws. The restrictions included tougher ID requirements for mail voting, shortening the period for applying for and returning a mailed ballot, and limiting early voting days and access to ballot drop boxes.

---

VOTING RIGHTS

More than a dozen arrested as protesters demand vote count

Long wait for Hawaii vote spurs call for more voter centers

FACT FOCUS: Did late night Michigan voting lines show fraud?

Justices cheered at conservative group's anniversary dinner

There is no evidence there was widespread fraud or other wrongdoing in the 2020 election.

An estimated 33 restrictive voting laws in 20 states were in effect for this year’s midterms, according to the Brennan Center for Justice. The most high-profile and sweeping laws were passed in Georgia, Florida, Iowa and Texas. Arizona also passed new voting rules, but those were largely put on hold this year or will take effect later.

Of the four states with major voting law changes in effect, a preliminary analysis shows a decline in turnout among registered voters in Florida, Iowa and Texas, while Georgia turnout declined slightly. Several factors can affect turnout, including voter enthusiasm and bad weather.

In Texas, the bumbling rollout of new voting restrictions in the state’s March primary resulted in officials throwing out nearly 23,000 mailed ballots as confused voters struggled to navigate new ID requirements.

But preliminary reports after Tuesday’s election showed rejection rates reverting to closer to more normal levels, which election officials attributed to outreach and mail voters figuring out the new rules. In San Antonio, county officials put the preliminary rejection rate at less than 2% — a sharp reversal from the 23% of mailed ballots they threw out in March.

Groups such as the Texas Civil Rights Project, working through churches and other organizations, focused on ensuring voters knew how to properly complete their mail ballots under the law known as Senate Bill 1.

“As a Texas community we’ve worked very hard to prepare for SB1,” said Emily Eby, the group’s senior election protection attorney.

Florida last year added a host of new rules around mail and early voting. They included new ID requirements, changes to how many ballots a person can turn in on behalf of someone else and limiting after-hours access to drop boxes. This year, lawmakers created a controversial new office dedicated to investigating fraud and other election crimes.

Still, voting appeared to be relatively smooth this year, before and on Election Day. Election officials reported no major problems.

Mark Earley, president of the Florida Supervisors of Elections, said the new laws did not greatly affect voter turnout or access this year, but said the rules, taken together, posed a challenge.

“When you put all of these together — the cumulative effect — it becomes confusing, difficult to communicate and educate the public about, difficult for the public to understand,” said Earley, who oversees elections in Tallahassee’s Leon County. “It becomes a big logistical and educational burden, and more hurdles for people to be able to jump over before they can get their ballots together.”

Iowa’s new law shortened the period for voters to return their mailed ballots, reduced polling place hours and early voting days, and prohibited anyone but close relatives, a household member or caregiver from dropping off someone else’s ballot.

More than 1.2 million voters cast ballots in the Nov. 8 election. State officials said it was the second highest in state history for a midterm, but voting groups expressed concern that Latino participation may have declined due to the changes.

“We historically have had a fair amount of Latino voters who did the absentee ballot, which allowed LULAC volunteers to pick up those early ballots and return them to the county election offices,” said Joe Henry, a board member of the Iowa chapter of the League of United Latin American Citizens.

In Georgia, more votes were cast in this general election than in any prior midterm election — although with more voters on the rolls than four years ago, the actual turnout rate was lower.

Gabriel Sterling, interim deputy secretary of state, noted that most of the changes in the election law, known as Senate Bill 202, affected pre-Election Day voting — "and they blew away every record in that.”

He said more votes were cast early — both in person and by mail — than in any previous midterm election in the state. It was Election Day turnout that was lower than expected.

After Democrats won the 2020 presidential contest and two U.S. Senate runoff elections, the Republican-controlled Georgia Legislature passed a sweeping overhaul of the state’s election laws in 2021.

The law shortened the time period to request an absentee ballot and required voters to sign absentee ballot applications by hand, meaning they needed access to a printer. It also reduced the number of ballot drop boxes in the state’s most populous counties and limited the hours they were accessible.

Critics said the changes made it more difficult to cast mail ballots. Democrats urged people to vote early and in-person this year instead. Kendra Cotton, CEO of the New Georgia Project Action Fund, said she believes the election law did have a negative effect in a state where key races have been decided by narrow margins in recent elections.

“The narrative that’s out there is that SB202 was trying to depress the vote writ large, and we submit that that was not, in fact, the case,” she said. “It was trying to stop just enough people from voting that the electoral outcome here in Georgia would shift.”

This year, Republicans swept the statewide constitutional offices, and a Dec. 6 runoff will be held to decide the winner in the U.S. Senate race.

While she acknowledged there weren’t many problems on Election Day, Cotton said the law created a lot of “noise” that drained energy and resources from organizations such as hers.

“We’re having to go out and help voters fight to remain on the rolls,” Cotton said.

Voter advocacy groups already are mobilizing to support Georgia voters heading into the Dec. 6 Senate runoff. Previously, runoffs were held nine weeks after an election. The new law shortened that to just four weeks, a period that also leaves too little time for new voter registrations.

“These types of tactics aim to suppress votes," Andrea Hailey, CEO of Vote.org, said in a statement. “But Georgians have shown that they are ready and willing to navigate tough voting environments in order to make their voices heard.”

___

Associated Press data journalist Aaron Kessler in Washington, D.C., and writers Kate Brumback in Atlanta; Anthony Izaguirre in Tallahassee, Florida; Geoff Mulvihill in Cherry Hill, New Jersey; David Pitt in Des Moines, Iowa; and Paul J. Weber in Austin, Texas, contributed to this report.

mickeyrat

50% participation among registered voters in Ohio.

what have you all gotten?

josevolution

https://www.gothamgazette.com/state/11676-initial-voter-turnout-new-york-2022-general-election-hochul-zeldin

43% 

eddiec

josevolution said:

https://www.gothamgazette.com/state/11676-initial-voter-turnout-new-york-2022-general-election-hochul-zeldin

43% 

That's a needed wake up call for New Yorkers. Especially the districts in the southern portion.
It's been so consistently blue that people have become complacent. I'm from there, and I've been guilty of that in the past. Not anymore.

josevolution

eddiec said:

josevolution said:

https://www.gothamgazette.com/state/11676-initial-voter-turnout-new-york-2022-general-election-hochul-zeldin

43% 

That's a needed wake up call for New Yorkers. Especially the districts in the southern portion.
It's been so consistently blue that people have become complacent. I'm from there, and I've been guilty of that in the past. Not anymore.

No doubt particularly the minorities & younger generations here on Long Island! 

cutz

https://youtu.be/rEg2eXO4-kg

Halifax2TheMax

cutz said:

https://youtu.be/rEg2eXO4-kg

“You have no idea.”

brianlux

cutz said:

https://youtu.be/rEg2eXO4-kg

The brilliance of the far right summed up right there, lol.

Lerxst1992

josevolution said:

eddiec said:

josevolution said:

https://www.gothamgazette.com/state/11676-initial-voter-turnout-new-york-2022-general-election-hochul-zeldin

43% 

That's a needed wake up call for New Yorkers. Especially the districts in the southern portion.
It's been so consistently blue that people have become complacent. I'm from there, and I've been guilty of that in the past. Not anymore.

No doubt particularly the minorities & younger generations here on Long Island! 

Not sure a wake up call would have helped democrats, turnout was high on LI and it was +15 R. I can not recall he last time there was an R rep in my CD.

Dems have been slipping here the last couple elections. Maybe they’ll figure out a way to make NY a solid red state.

josevolution

Lerxst1992 said:

josevolution said:

eddiec said:

josevolution said:

https://www.gothamgazette.com/state/11676-initial-voter-turnout-new-york-2022-general-election-hochul-zeldin

43% 

That's a needed wake up call for New Yorkers. Especially the districts in the southern portion.
It's been so consistently blue that people have become complacent. I'm from there, and I've been guilty of that in the past. Not anymore.

No doubt particularly the minorities & younger generations here on Long Island! 

Not sure a wake up call would have helped democrats, turnout was high on LI and it was +15 R. I can not recall he last time there was an R rep in my CD.

Dems have been slipping here the last couple elections. Maybe they’ll figure out a way to make NY a solid red state.

Agreed!

Halifax2TheMax

Lerxst1992 said:

josevolution said:

eddiec said:

josevolution said:

https://www.gothamgazette.com/state/11676-initial-voter-turnout-new-york-2022-general-election-hochul-zeldin

43% 

That's a needed wake up call for New Yorkers. Especially the districts in the southern portion.
It's been so consistently blue that people have become complacent. I'm from there, and I've been guilty of that in the past. Not anymore.

No doubt particularly the minorities & younger generations here on Long Island! 

Not sure a wake up call would have helped democrats, turnout was high on LI and it was +15 R. I can not recall he last time there was an R rep in my CD.

Dems have been slipping here the last couple elections. Maybe they’ll figure out a way to make NY a solid red state.

Maybe it’s more POOTWHY type folks moving to LI and not just dem policies turning folks off? What are the age and race demographics of the districts that went red versus 20 or 30 years ago? A substantial % of non-white hispanics lean repub and coupled with old(er) whites, particularly 65+, and typically blue collar, lean right, think Ronny Raygun dems, and it might explain it. No dem candidate or policy will sway them as they’re bleed red repubs regardless. My guess is that LI skews older and the younger demographics are blue collar and NYPD/FD. Just a guess though.