State of elections since 2020

brianlux

LOL, got me running to Google again.

Buzzer sound, thanks for playing.

Halifax2TheMax

brianlux said:

LOL, got me running to Google again.

Buzzer sound, thanks for playing.

Maybe this will help:

POOT-WAH-EEE

POOTWHY

POOTWH-Y

brianlux

Halifax2TheMax said:

brianlux said:

LOL, got me running to Google again.

Buzzer sound, thanks for playing.

Maybe this will help:

POOT-WAH-EEE

POOTWHY

POOTWH-Y

Is that kind of like

"Owah-Tapoo-Tyam"?

Lerxst1992

Halifax2TheMax said:

Lerxst1992 said:

josevolution said:

eddiec said:

josevolution said:

https://www.gothamgazette.com/state/11676-initial-voter-turnout-new-york-2022-general-election-hochul-zeldin

43% 

That's a needed wake up call for New Yorkers. Especially the districts in the southern portion.
It's been so consistently blue that people have become complacent. I'm from there, and I've been guilty of that in the past. Not anymore.

No doubt particularly the minorities & younger generations here on Long Island! 

Not sure a wake up call would have helped democrats, turnout was high on LI and it was +15 R. I can not recall he last time there was an R rep in my CD.

Dems have been slipping here the last couple elections. Maybe they’ll figure out a way to make NY a solid red state.

Maybe it’s more POOTWHY type folks moving to LI and not just dem policies turning folks off? What are the age and race demographics of the districts that went red versus 20 or 30 years ago? A substantial % of non-white hispanics lean repub and coupled with old(er) whites, particularly 65+, and typically blue collar, lean right, think Ronny Raygun dems, and it might explain it. No dem candidate or policy will sway them as they’re bleed red repubs regardless. My guess is that LI skews older and the younger demographics are blue collar and NYPD/FD. Just a guess though.

Yes its alot of NYPD & FDNY, but dems lost alot of support amongst traditional groups like the teachers due to the covid shutdowns. And the new bail laws hurt with the soccer mommies

Dems should stop celebrating so much and figure out what's gone wrong in NY the last 2 elections before this gop virus spreads

Seems everyone forgot all the ice cream trucks they brought into the city spring of 2020, that weren't here to sell ice cream. 

Lerxst1992

brianlux said:

Halifax2TheMax said:

brianlux said:

LOL, got me running to Google again.

Buzzer sound, thanks for playing.

Maybe this will help:

POOT-WAH-EEE

POOTWHY

POOTWH-Y

Is that kind of like

"Owah-Tapoo-Tyam"?

Bri, Previous Occupant...



Edit, has to do with trump losing. When I Googled back then the only results were to some dark web corner something about a lib rock band community or something dark like that

brianlux

Lerxst1992 said:

brianlux said:

Halifax2TheMax said:

brianlux said:

LOL, got me running to Google again.

Buzzer sound, thanks for playing.

Maybe this will help:

POOT-WAH-EEE

POOTWHY

POOTWH-Y

Is that kind of like

"Owah-Tapoo-Tyam"?

Bri, Previous Occupant...



Edit, has to do with trump losing. When I Googled back then the only results were to some dark web corner something about a lib rock band community or something dark like that

Previous occupant of the White House... yesterday?  Y'all?  Yowsa yowsa yowsa?

brianlux

Moore nailed it!

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/nov/14/us-midterms-film-maker-michael-moore-blue-tsunami

‘I never doubted it’: why film-maker Michael Moore forecast ‘blue tsunami’ in midterms

Film-maker says the salient lesson from the midterms for Democrats is to stop depressing their own vote with pessimism, fear and conventional thinking

In the lead-up to last week’s midterm elections in America, the punditocracy of commentators, pollsters and political-types were almost united: a “red wave” of Republican gains was on the cards.

But one dissenting voice stood out: that of leftist filmmaker Michael Moore. Against all the commonplace predictions, he had forecast Democrats would do well. He called it a “blue tsunami”.

That proved to be true in his home state of Michigan, where Democrats won governor, house and senate for the first time in 40 years, often by large margins. It’s been more of a blue wall across the rest of the country, where Republican gains mostly failed to materialize, with the exception of Florida. But even so, the strong Democrat performance has stunned people on both sides of the US political divide, delighting the left and sparking hand-wringing on the right.

With the Democrats retaining power in the Senate, and a chance that even the House could remain in their control, suddenly Moore is looking like a prognosticator par excellence.

“I never doubted it – there was no way the Republicans were going to have some kind of landslide,” Moore said in an interview.

But, he added: “I don’t have any special powers, I’m not related to Nostradamus or Cassandra, but I was stunned once again that nobody was willing to stick their neck out. I was just trying to say that common sense, and data – and if you’re not living in a bubble – should bring you to the same conclusion that there are more of us than them.”

“We’ve won seven of the last eight elections in the popular vote, we’ve got more registered, we have a new crop of young people every year, plus the fact that 70% of eligible voters are either women, people of color, or 18 to 25 year olds, or a combination of the three,” he said. “That’s the Democratic party’s base”.

(More at link)

mickeyrat

good news.....

https://apnews.com/article/school-boards-politics-parents-rights-2bed4680bdedd4c866e046136630a9e8

 

2022 Midterm elections Education Parental rights School boards Teaching Government and politics

'Too hyperbolic'? School board parental rights push falters

By COLLIN BINKLEY

Today

WASHINGTON (AP) — Conservative groups that sought to get hundreds of “parents’ rights” activists elected to local school boards largely fell short in last week's midterm elections, notching notable wins in some Republican strongholds but failing to gain a groundswell of support among moderate voters.

Traditionally nonpartisan, local school boards have become fiercely political amid entrenched battles over the teaching of race, history and sexuality. Candidates opposing what they see as “woke” ideology in public schools have sought to gain control of school boards across the U.S. and overturn policies deemed too liberal.

The push has been boosted by Republican groups including the 1776 Project PAC, which steered millions of dollars into local school races this year amid predictions of a red wave. But on Tuesday, just a third of its roughly 50 candidates won.

Moms for Liberty, another conservative political group, endorsed more than 250 candidates, with about half winning so far. And despite resounding victories for Republicans including Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, several gubernatorial candidates who leaned heavily on parents' rights fell short, including in Michigan, Wisconsin, Kansas and Maine.

---

EDUCATION

Appeals court ruling keeps Biden student debt plan on hold

EXPLAINER: Where does student loan forgiveness stand?

48,000 University of California academic workers on strike

District to revive student newspaper axed after LGBTQ issue

The results raise doubts about the movement's widespread political strength and pose a potential obstacle for Republican lawmakers hoping to rally behind proposed legislation on the issue. With the GOP poised to take a narrow majority in the U.S. House, Leader Kevin McCarthy has already issued plans for a “Parents Bill of Rights," though its details are vague.

Teachers unions and liberal grassroots groups also have been pushing back with money and messaging of their own, casting conservative activists as fearmongers intent on turning parents against public schools.

The parents' rights movement demands transparency around teaching but also includes a wide range of cultural stances, calling for schools to remove certain books dealing with race or sexuality, for example, and an end to history lessons that aren't “patriotic.”

In hindsight, activists this election should have had a stronger emphasis on academic issues, said Ryan Girdusky, founder of the 1776 Project PAC.

“The messaging needs to be more positive,” he said. “Sometimes you lose moderate voters because you’re too hyperbolic and you’re not speaking truth to something very local to them.”

The midterms marked a reversal from previous elections that saw parents’ rights proponents land major victories. Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin, a Republican, hammered the importance of parents’ rights in his successful campaign last year, winning crucial support from suburban voters — one year after the state voted for Democratic President Joe Biden.

Before Tuesday, the 1776 PAC had won roughly 75% of its races in the two previous years, putting dozens of school boards across the nation in control of conservative candidates.

Those victories have been attributed largely to parents' anger over schools' handling of the pandemic, including long closures and mask mandates. This year, the message pivoted to the cultural divides that have sparked battles around transgender rights, racism and sexuality.

In New Buffalo, Michigan, in the state’s purple southwest corner, four candidates supported by the 1776 PAC took on four candidates favored by a teachers union. The conservatives took out full-page ads in two local newspapers accusing their opponents of supporting a school program that promotes critical race theory, sexually inappropriate material and “anti-parent content.”

“NO Critical Race Theory," the ad read. “NO biological boys in girls sports.”

Later, local residents began to raise worries about “furries” — a baseless myth spread by some conservatives alleging that students at some U.S. schools have been allowed to use litter boxes and given other special treatment if they identify as animals.

The level of misinformation was startling to Denise Churchill, one of the candidates endorsed by the teachers union. But on Tuesday, she and her three running mates won by wide margins, with the city also voting for Democrats at the state level.

“Truth prevails, and hate loses,” said Churchill, who has two children in the district. She said the district has always invited parent involvement. “But parental rights does not mean that you get to cherrypick what’s taught in the schools."

The county that houses New Buffalo was a prized target for the 1776 group, having voted for Republican candidates for president and governor in recent elections. The group campaigned for 20 candidates across eight districts, but just four were elected. Many were defeated by union-backed candidates.

The group also fell short in its attempt to win majorities on boards in conservative Bentonville, Arkansas, and purple Round Rock, Texas. Its biggest victory was in right-leaning Carroll County, Maryland, where its candidates won three seats. All four of its candidates won in Florida, which has become a stronghold for the movement.

Despite the losses, some conservatives saw hopeful signs in DeSantis and Abbott's high-profile victories. And even picking up scattered school board seats across the country should be viewed as progress for a Republican Party that has long neglected education as a priority, said Rory Cooper, a GOP strategist and former congressional staffer.

“We’re not seeing Democratic opponents go unopposed like they used to,” he said. “I’m counting this year as a victory.”

Democrats see the losses as proof that rhetoric around critical race theory and gender issues may play well in Republican primaries, but it has limited appeal for moderate Americans.

“In general elections, voters don’t want to hear about it,” said Stephanie Cutter, a Democratic strategist and former senior adviser to President Barack Obama. “The overwhelming majority of parents support their kids’ teachers, believe in their public schools and want accurate history being taught in their classrooms.”

As conservative groups increasingly inject themselves into local school board races, Democrats have responded in kind. State teachers unions have increased spending on their candidates, and grassroots groups including Red Wine and Blue have rallied liberal suburban parents.

But in many areas, school board members facing conservative challengers have aimed to distance themselves from any political affiliation.

In Coloma, Michigan, a town near New Buffalo, four incumbents opted not to accept outside money as they ran against three challengers supported by the 1776 PAC. All four incumbents won.

“We did not speak about them. We spoke about us,” said Heidi Ishmael, president of the school board. “I am a firm believer the school board is nonpartisan. We are there to listen to and represent our entire community.”

Democratic strategists have held up that approach — de-escalating the role of politics in education — as a winning tactic. Candidates who draw attention to any perceived bias run the risk of looking like they're the ones looking for political fights, said Guy Molyneux of Hart Research, a Democratic polling firm.

“I don’t think people want either the left or the right to triumph here,” Molyneux said. “They really want politics out of their schools.”

___

The Associated Press education team receives support from the Carnegie Corporation of New York. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

mickeyrat

https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-arizona-phoenix-misinformation-9ad727502c61d4b9c7501c4271adfedb

 

2022 Midterm elections Arizona Phoenix Misinformation Bill Gates Government and politics Kari Lake

Arizona county quick to bat down election misinformation

By BOB CHRISTIE

2 hours ago

PHOENIX (AP) — When the Republican candidate for Arizona governor accused the state’s most populous county of “slow-rolling” the vote count to skew early election results, a local official fired back.

“Quite frankly, it is offensive for Kari Lake to say that these people behind me are slow-rolling this, when they’re working 14 to 18 hours” every day, said Bill Gates, the Republican chairman of the Maricopa County board of supervisors.

Gates and other Maricopa County election officials have aggressively batted down rumors and slanted and false claims as vote counting has come under intense scrutiny in the battleground state. The accusations have come in all types and at all hours from former President Donald Trump and his supporters, Republican candidates and voters.

"Sadly, there continues to be a lot of misinformation from all different sources that are out on social media right now,” Gates said. “So that’s why we have to continue to do this.”

Election officials have had two years to hone their game.

In 2020, Maricopa County landed in the national spotlight while certifying results amid false claims that the election was stolen from Trump. The following year, it underwent an “audit” pushed by Republicans in the state Senate, which ended with a report validating Biden’s win.

---

EXPLAINING THE ELECTIONS

Why the AP hasn't called the Arizona governor's race

Why the AP hasn't called control of the House yet

Why AP called Nevada Senate race for Catherine Cortez Masto

Why the AP called control of the US Senate for the Democrats

“That was just a constant flow of misinformation that we became adept at responding to," Gates said. "We began to understand the importance of responding to that misinformation.”

In May, county officials began talking publicly about what to expect in the upcoming midterm elections. They have held regular news conferences since early October, and since Election Day officials have briefings nearly every day. They also have a large public affairs team that can quickly respond to new or renewed claims of fraud or mismanagement.

One persistent claim started when Lake, who is trailing Democrat Katie Hobbs by a percentage point with less than 200,000 votes left to count, accused the county of “slow-rolling” the count.

Lake and other Republicans say the county has timed vote releases so Democratic areas of the metro Phoenix area are released first. Gates has spent days explaining how that’s not happening and is not possible. In truth, the county processes ballots using a first-in, first out system.

That means mail-in ballots that are dropped off at the polls on Election Day are processed in the order they are received at the county’s election headquarters.

“That’s how we do this,” Gates said Saturday. “We’re not picking them from certain parts of town. In fact, we can’t do that, because we have a vote center model.”

Vote centers mean any voter can walk into any polling place across the metro area to cast a ballot in-person or drop off their early ballots. And because ballots dropped off at vote centers are kept together for processing, the votes could be from anywhere. He called the allegations “irrelevant” and an “incredible distraction.”

“So let’s say we have someone who lives in Gilbert, but they work in Surprise,” Gates explained on Saturday. “They go to the vote center in Surprise on their lunch hour. Where’s that from?”

A record 290,000 of those ballots were dropped off at the county’s 223 vote centers on Election Day and are now being processed. As of Monday morning, the county had between 185,000 and 195,000 ballots to count, while nearly 1.4 million in-person and early ballots had been tabulated.

Gates said the audit taught the board and other county leaders the importance of battling misinformation quickly and accurately.

He and county Recorder Stephen Richer have taken the lead, with Democratic Sheriff Paul Penzone also taking the podium at times. Gates is a lawyer who for years represented the GOP during county elections. Penzone said the constant unfounded claims have forced Gates and Richer to spend an inordinate amount of time explaining why they are wrong.

“You know, what’s the saying, a lie travels around the world … 10,000 times before the truth even gets started?” Penzone said Saturday. “That’s what we’re seeing here. We’re seeing people empowered by saying things that make them feel good and they’re not accountable for it and they lie.”

David Becker, a former U.S. Justice Department lawyer who now runs the nonprofit Center for Election Innovation and Research, praised county election officials and Gates in particular for their rapid and consistent responses.

“They’re not doing a good job, they’re doing an outstanding job,” Becker said. “I’ll tell you, I think Bill Gates and his colleagues have been the best of American governance, not just in the last week, but over the course of the past several years while they’ve been running elections in Maricopa County.”

The Republican Party of Arizona has complained about Election Day issues and the prolonged vote count, which is normal in Arizona. Party Chair Kelli Ward complained about ballot-counting machines that could not always read the ballots. The 17,000 affected ballots were instead taken to the county's central facility. Black bags of those ballots were stacked for processing Monday.

Not every claim is a lie, but the accusations have answers that make sense. On Friday night, losing Republican U.S. Senate candidate Blake Masters accused the county of mixing up counted ballots with those that could not be tabulated by the vote center machines at least twice. He demanded that the more than 1.4 million ballots that had already been tabulated be recounted, calling it “a giant disaster.”

Megan Gilbertson, the spokeswoman for the county elections department, told The Associated Press that election workers at two vote centers did combine voted ballots with a batch that could not be read by the on-site tabulators, but that the mix-up did not lead to double-counted or uncounted ballots because the department has systems in place to deal with such occurrences.

“Because ballots are tabulated by batch, we are able to isolate the results from those specific locations and reconcile the total ballots against check-ins to ensure it matches,” she wrote less than two hours after Masters made the statement. “This is done with political party observers present and is a practice that has been in place for decades.”

___

Learn more about the issues and factors at play in the midterms at https://apnews.com/hub/explaining-the-elections

Lerxst1992

AZ called for Hobbs. Dems dodge a big bullet with Lake losing

mrussel1

Lerxst1992 said:

AZ called for Hobbs. Dems dodge a big bullet with Lake losing

Dodged a bullet?  The governorship in AZ has been red for a decade.  This was another big win.

josevolution

Yep a big win indeed! So glad another election denier has been swatted down! 

Lerxst1992

Sure big win, very glad Lake lost, but not recognizing the failure in FL into solid deep red territory is huge. It’s going to take a lot of states to offset that one state AND TX is also solidly slipping away as well into untouchable for Dems. Don’t think of PA or MI as an answer as they were part of some supposed blue wall eons ago and do not account for the FL TX failures. NC? lost senate again there. Gov is nice, but won’t do a thing about the LT SCOTUS problem among other many issues failing to get congressional majorities

the offset to FL is AZ NV WI…but…all those states are barely 50.1% dem. The electoral mathematics and 2024 senate speak for itself..well…except for Dems dancing around on tv and here of course

mickeyrat

goddamn you must be fun at parties

Gern Blansten

josevolution said:

Yep a big win indeed! So glad another election denier has been swatted down! 

Same...she didn't deserve to win

Gern Blansten

https://twitter.com/Liz_Cheney/status/1592340964982808576?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1592340964982808576%7Ctwgr%5E756b6e2097b4e752b26e383a12c5a3fb2776fffe%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thedailybeast.com%2Fliz-cheney-brutally-trolls-kari-lake-in-viral-tweet-after-arizona-election-loss

How tRumpy is that letter?

Merkin Baller

Lerxst1992 said:

Sure big win, very glad Lake lost, but not recognizing the failure in FL into solid deep red territory is huge. It’s going to take a lot of states to offset that one state AND TX is also solidly slipping away as well into untouchable for Dems. Don’t think of PA or MI as an answer as they were part of some supposed blue wall eons ago and do not account for the FL TX failures. NC? lost senate again there. Gov is nice, but won’t do a thing about the LT SCOTUS problem among other many issues failing to get congressional majorities

the offset to FL is AZ NV WI…but…all those states are barely 50.1% dem. The electoral mathematics and 2024 senate speak for itself..well…except for Dems dancing around on tv and here of course

It's November 15th, 2022. You have 24 whole months before the next election. 

Take a breath. 

Gern Blansten

https://twitter.com/MeghanMcCain/status/1592334805550927872

Remember that Lake told anyone who supported McCain to leave her rally.

https://twitter.com/tcani/status/1588801720918085636

mrussel1

Merkin Baller said:

Lerxst1992 said:

Sure big win, very glad Lake lost, but not recognizing the failure in FL into solid deep red territory is huge. It’s going to take a lot of states to offset that one state AND TX is also solidly slipping away as well into untouchable for Dems. Don’t think of PA or MI as an answer as they were part of some supposed blue wall eons ago and do not account for the FL TX failures. NC? lost senate again there. Gov is nice, but won’t do a thing about the LT SCOTUS problem among other many issues failing to get congressional majorities

the offset to FL is AZ NV WI…but…all those states are barely 50.1% dem. The electoral mathematics and 2024 senate speak for itself..well…except for Dems dancing around on tv and here of course

It's November 15th, 2022. You have 24 whole months before the next election. 

Take a breath. 

Seriously.  Every election is different.  This one was a success.  24s outcome will be based in large part on the top of the ticket.  The president selection has the longest coattails. 

mickeyrat

Gern Blansten said:

https://twitter.com/Liz_Cheney/status/1592340964982808576?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1592340964982808576%7Ctwgr%5E756b6e2097b4e752b26e383a12c5a3fb2776fffe%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thedailybeast.com%2Fliz-cheney-brutally-trolls-kari-lake-in-viral-tweet-after-arizona-election-loss

How tRumpy is that letter?

wait. she served as her own campaign manager? in theory , legally allowed to draw a salary from that role?

new and inventive ways to grift.....