The coronavirus

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  • cincybearcatcincybearcat Posts: 16,443
    hedonist said:
    jeffbr said:
    The first confirmed U.S. case was in Washington state, about 20 minutes from me. That guy is all good now. After a hospital stay (went to the hospital on Jan 19 after returning from a trip to Wuhan), and another couple of weeks at home quarantined, he has been given the all clear. The virus ran its course with him, and he is now considered fully recovered and free to go about his regular activities. 
    This is good to know, thanks for posting.

    As to the joke about showing up with the virus at a Trump rally, I can see the humor but it's a pretty fucked up thing to say.
    You aren't a fan of biological warfare? 
    hippiemom = goodness
  • hedonisthedonist Posts: 24,524
    edited February 2020
    hedonist said:
    jeffbr said:
    The first confirmed U.S. case was in Washington state, about 20 minutes from me. That guy is all good now. After a hospital stay (went to the hospital on Jan 19 after returning from a trip to Wuhan), and another couple of weeks at home quarantined, he has been given the all clear. The virus ran its course with him, and he is now considered fully recovered and free to go about his regular activities. 
    This is good to know, thanks for posting.

    As to the joke about showing up with the virus at a Trump rally, I can see the humor but it's a pretty fucked up thing to say.
    You aren't a fan of biological warfare? 
    Just of biology ;)
  • jeffbr said:
    The first confirmed U.S. case was in Washington state, about 20 minutes from me. That guy is all good now. After a hospital stay (went to the hospital on Jan 19 after returning from a trip to Wuhan), and another couple of weeks at home quarantined, he has been given the all clear. The virus ran its course with him, and he is now considered fully recovered and free to go about his regular activities. 
    Couple in Chicago we’re also treated and released. 
  • I don’t want to be here, I don’t want to be here, I don’t want to be here. I sure do wish I had a pair of Mitch’s magic underwear right about now.


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  • brianluxbrianlux Posts: 42,017
    jeffbr said:
    The first confirmed U.S. case was in Washington state, about 20 minutes from me. That guy is all good now. After a hospital stay (went to the hospital on Jan 19 after returning from a trip to Wuhan), and another couple of weeks at home quarantined, he has been given the all clear. The virus ran its course with him, and he is now considered fully recovered and free to go about his regular activities. 
    Couple in Chicago we’re also treated and released. 

    It sounds like most people survive this thing.   Is it being over-played or for real? 
    “The fear of death follows from the fear of life. A man [or woman] who lives fully is prepared to die at any time.”
    Variously credited to Mark Twain or Edward Abbey.













  • CM189191CM189191 Posts: 6,927
    brianlux said:
    jeffbr said:
    The first confirmed U.S. case was in Washington state, about 20 minutes from me. That guy is all good now. After a hospital stay (went to the hospital on Jan 19 after returning from a trip to Wuhan), and another couple of weeks at home quarantined, he has been given the all clear. The virus ran its course with him, and he is now considered fully recovered and free to go about his regular activities. 
    Couple in Chicago we’re also treated and released. 

    It sounds like most people survive this thing.   Is it being over-played or for real? 

    It's cool as long as you are not old and have cardiovascular disease or the 'betes

    AGE
    DEATH RATE*
    80+ years old
    14.8%
    70-79 years old
    8.0%
    60-69 years old
    3.6%
    50-59 years old
    1.3%
    40-49 years old
    0.4%
    30-39 years old
    0.2%
    20-29 years old
    0.2%
    10-19 years old
    0.2%
    0-9 years old
    no fatalities



    PRE-EXISTING CONDITION
    DEATH RATE*
    Cardiovascular disease
    10.5%
    Diabetes
    7.3%
    Chronic respiratory disease
    6.3%
    Hypertension
    6.0%
    Cancer
    5.6%
    no pre-existing conditions
    0.9%

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/
  • dignindignin Posts: 9,336
    Great New York Times Daily podcast about the coronavirus today. I will post it when available.
  • UtahBoltUtahBolt Posts: 188
    CM189191 said:
    brianlux said:
    jeffbr said:
    The first confirmed U.S. case was in Washington state, about 20 minutes from me. That guy is all good now. After a hospital stay (went to the hospital on Jan 19 after returning from a trip to Wuhan), and another couple of weeks at home quarantined, he has been given the all clear. The virus ran its course with him, and he is now considered fully recovered and free to go about his regular activities. 
    Couple in Chicago we’re also treated and released. 

    It sounds like most people survive this thing.   Is it being over-played or for real? 

    It's cool as long as you are not old and have cardiovascular disease or the 'betes

    AGE
    DEATH RATE*
    80+ years old
    14.8%
    70-79 years old
    8.0%
    60-69 years old
    3.6%
    50-59 years old
    1.3%
    40-49 years old
    0.4%
    30-39 years old
    0.2%
    20-29 years old
    0.2%
    10-19 years old
    0.2%
    0-9 years old
    no fatalities



    PRE-EXISTING CONDITION
    DEATH RATE*
    Cardiovascular disease
    10.5%
    Diabetes
    7.3%
    Chronic respiratory disease
    6.3%
    Hypertension
    6.0%
    Cancer
    5.6%
    no pre-existing conditions
    0.9%

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/
    Wow, thanks for that.  Offers perspective.  Fascinating...
  • dignindignin Posts: 9,336
    CM189191 said:
    brianlux said:
    jeffbr said:
    The first confirmed U.S. case was in Washington state, about 20 minutes from me. That guy is all good now. After a hospital stay (went to the hospital on Jan 19 after returning from a trip to Wuhan), and another couple of weeks at home quarantined, he has been given the all clear. The virus ran its course with him, and he is now considered fully recovered and free to go about his regular activities. 
    Couple in Chicago we’re also treated and released. 

    It sounds like most people survive this thing.   Is it being over-played or for real? 

    It's cool as long as you are not old and have cardiovascular disease or the 'betes

    AGE
    DEATH RATE*
    80+ years old
    14.8%
    70-79 years old
    8.0%
    60-69 years old
    3.6%
    50-59 years old
    1.3%
    40-49 years old
    0.4%
    30-39 years old
    0.2%
    20-29 years old
    0.2%
    10-19 years old
    0.2%
    0-9 years old
    no fatalities



    PRE-EXISTING CONDITION
    DEATH RATE*
    Cardiovascular disease
    10.5%
    Diabetes
    7.3%
    Chronic respiratory disease
    6.3%
    Hypertension
    6.0%
    Cancer
    5.6%
    no pre-existing conditions
    0.9%

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/
    Now take those rates and apply them to somewhere between 30 to 40% of the population.
  • dignindignin Posts: 9,336
    Here it is, I highly recommend giving it a listen.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/27/podcasts/the-daily/coronavirus.html
  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,668
    So how does everyone feel about closing the borders?  I mean specifically in shipping and also international travel?
  • dignindignin Posts: 9,336
    mrussel1 said:
    So how does everyone feel about closing the borders?  I mean specifically in shipping and also international travel?
    From what Ive heard it won't stop it. Maybe slow it's arrival.

    I imagine that would never happen due to logistics and the economy anyways.
  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,668
    dignin said:
    mrussel1 said:
    So how does everyone feel about closing the borders?  I mean specifically in shipping and also international travel?
    From what Ive heard it won't stop it. Maybe slow it's arrival.

    I imagine that would never happen due to logistics and the economy anyways.
    Well there's no doubt that Trump would be loathe to do this, regardless of the wisdom.  We're already standing on the edge of a recession and tipping.  Closing the borders would guarantee it.  
  • dignindignin Posts: 9,336
    mrussel1 said:
    dignin said:
    mrussel1 said:
    So how does everyone feel about closing the borders?  I mean specifically in shipping and also international travel?
    From what Ive heard it won't stop it. Maybe slow it's arrival.

    I imagine that would never happen due to logistics and the economy anyways.
    Well there's no doubt that Trump would be loathe to do this, regardless of the wisdom.  We're already standing on the edge of a recession and tipping.  Closing the borders would guarantee it.  
    Trump would have no trouble throwing the american people under the bus if he thought it would help him get re-elected. Wouldn't think twice about it or lose a wink of sleep.

    He may worry about catching it himself though. The man is the poster child for vulnerability to the virus.
  • CM189191CM189191 Posts: 6,927
    mrussel1 said:
    So how does everyone feel about closing the borders?  I mean specifically in shipping and also international travel?
    So how does everyone feel about martial law?  I mean specifically suspending elections until this whole thing has blown over?
  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,668
    CM189191 said:
    mrussel1 said:
    So how does everyone feel about closing the borders?  I mean specifically in shipping and also international travel?
    So how does everyone feel about martial law?  I mean specifically suspending elections until this whole thing has blown over?
    Are you implying that those are the same?
  • CM189191CM189191 Posts: 6,927
    mrussel1 said:
    CM189191 said:
    mrussel1 said:
    So how does everyone feel about closing the borders?  I mean specifically in shipping and also international travel?
    So how does everyone feel about martial law?  I mean specifically suspending elections until this whole thing has blown over?
    Are you implying that those are the same?
    trial balloon
    kite-flying
    slippery slope

    whatever you want to call it
  • dignin said:
    I was actually going to ask this question the other day and never got around to it. i was wondering if anyone knew the human immunity after exposure. I guess we now know. how does this affect potential vaccines? will they even work?
    new album "Cigarettes" out Spring 2025!

    www.headstonesband.com




  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,668
    CM189191 said:
    mrussel1 said:
    CM189191 said:
    mrussel1 said:
    So how does everyone feel about closing the borders?  I mean specifically in shipping and also international travel?
    So how does everyone feel about martial law?  I mean specifically suspending elections until this whole thing has blown over?
    Are you implying that those are the same?
    trial balloon
    kite-flying
    slippery slope

    whatever you want to call it
    So just so I"m clear, if the corona was ravaging the world, you would be against the US stopping international travel.  And that's true even if Obama or Sanders were president?
  • CM189191CM189191 Posts: 6,927
    mrussel1 said:
    CM189191 said:
    mrussel1 said:
    CM189191 said:
    mrussel1 said:
    So how does everyone feel about closing the borders?  I mean specifically in shipping and also international travel?
    So how does everyone feel about martial law?  I mean specifically suspending elections until this whole thing has blown over?
    Are you implying that those are the same?
    trial balloon
    kite-flying
    slippery slope

    whatever you want to call it
    So just so I"m clear, if the corona was ravaging the world, you would be against the US stopping international travel.  And that's true even if Obama or Sanders were president?

    Just so we're clear, Corona has been ravaging the world for far too long, but that's another discussion.  

    international travel : coronavirus :: border wall : immigrants

    Open borders and international cooperation.  Not isolationism or protectionism.  
  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,668
    CM189191 said:
    mrussel1 said:
    CM189191 said:
    mrussel1 said:
    CM189191 said:
    mrussel1 said:
    So how does everyone feel about closing the borders?  I mean specifically in shipping and also international travel?
    So how does everyone feel about martial law?  I mean specifically suspending elections until this whole thing has blown over?
    Are you implying that those are the same?
    trial balloon
    kite-flying
    slippery slope

    whatever you want to call it
    So just so I"m clear, if the corona was ravaging the world, you would be against the US stopping international travel.  And that's true even if Obama or Sanders were president?

    Just so we're clear, Corona has been ravaging the world for far too long, but that's another discussion.  

    international travel : coronavirus :: border wall : immigrants

    Open borders and international cooperation.  Not isolationism or protectionism.  
    So no, under no circumstances would you support the US stopping int'l travel, regardless of the president.  Correct?

    If I was cynical, I'd think you were comparing immigrants to a virus.  I can easily draw a distinction between these two unrelated topics.  
  • dignindignin Posts: 9,336
    dignin said:
    I was actually going to ask this question the other day and never got around to it. i was wondering if anyone knew the human immunity after exposure. I guess we now know. how does this affect potential vaccines? will they even work?
    I asked my wife how this was possible this morning. She is an immunologist (among other things). Her explanation made perfect sense, but I'm dumb and don't remember much of it. Something about some viruses have the ability to "hide" from the immune system and can go to levels that are virtually undetectable. Almost dormant. Then return later. It's unusual but not impossible. She referenced how malaria can do this, even though malaria is not a virus, but it's a similar scenario.

    My guess is, that a vaccine would take care of this...but that's a very uneducated guess.
  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,668
    dignin said:
    dignin said:
    I was actually going to ask this question the other day and never got around to it. i was wondering if anyone knew the human immunity after exposure. I guess we now know. how does this affect potential vaccines? will they even work?
    I asked my wife how this was possible this morning. She is an immunologist (among other things). Her explanation made perfect sense, but I'm dumb and don't remember much of it. Something about some viruses have the ability to "hide" from the immune system and can go to levels that are virtually undetectable. Almost dormant. Then return later. It's unusual but not impossible. She referenced how malaria can do this, even though malaria is not a virus, but it's a similar scenario.

    My guess is, that a vaccine would take care of this...but that's a very uneducated guess.
    That's pretty scary, and the fact that we are a ways away from the vaccine makes it more so. 
  • dignin said:
    dignin said:
    I was actually going to ask this question the other day and never got around to it. i was wondering if anyone knew the human immunity after exposure. I guess we now know. how does this affect potential vaccines? will they even work?
    I asked my wife how this was possible this morning. She is an immunologist (among other things). Her explanation made perfect sense, but I'm dumb and don't remember much of it. Something about some viruses have the ability to "hide" from the immune system and can go to levels that are virtually undetectable. Almost dormant. Then return later. It's unusual but not impossible. She referenced how malaria can do this, even though malaria is not a virus, but it's a similar scenario.

    My guess is, that a vaccine would take care of this...but that's a very uneducated guess.
    ok, but in this case it wasn't dormant, the woman got sick and recovered and then got sick again. I thought that getting sick was pretty much the same as a vaccine: it teaches your body to fight against that virus the next go-round. 

    or did your wife mean you can get sick from the virus at the same time as it is undetectable to the immune system?
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  • CM189191CM189191 Posts: 6,927
    mrussel1 said:
    CM189191 said:
    mrussel1 said:
    CM189191 said:
    mrussel1 said:
    CM189191 said:
    mrussel1 said:
    So how does everyone feel about closing the borders?  I mean specifically in shipping and also international travel?
    So how does everyone feel about martial law?  I mean specifically suspending elections until this whole thing has blown over?
    Are you implying that those are the same?
    trial balloon
    kite-flying
    slippery slope

    whatever you want to call it
    So just so I"m clear, if the corona was ravaging the world, you would be against the US stopping international travel.  And that's true even if Obama or Sanders were president?

    Just so we're clear, Corona has been ravaging the world for far too long, but that's another discussion.  

    international travel : coronavirus :: border wall : immigrants

    Open borders and international cooperation.  Not isolationism or protectionism.  
    So no, under no circumstances would you support the US stopping int'l travel, regardless of the president.  Correct?

    If I was cynical, I'd think you were comparing immigrants to a virus.  I can easily draw a distinction between these two unrelated topics.  
    It's a valid analogy.  By no means am I calling immigrants an infection.  I welcome immigrants with open arms.  Let's be clear about that.

    I'm comparing stopping int'l travel to building a border wall.  Both are useless.  Closing the barn door, if you will.  

    We can patrol the border, close all the airports, and seaports.  But the US can't stop international travel anymore than they can stop an airborne virus from spreading.  
  • brianluxbrianlux Posts: 42,017
    CM189191 said:
    brianlux said:
    jeffbr said:
    The first confirmed U.S. case was in Washington state, about 20 minutes from me. That guy is all good now. After a hospital stay (went to the hospital on Jan 19 after returning from a trip to Wuhan), and another couple of weeks at home quarantined, he has been given the all clear. The virus ran its course with him, and he is now considered fully recovered and free to go about his regular activities. 
    Couple in Chicago we’re also treated and released. 

    It sounds like most people survive this thing.   Is it being over-played or for real? 

    It's cool as long as you are not old and have cardiovascular disease or the 'betes

    AGE
    DEATH RATE*
    80+ years old
    14.8%
    70-79 years old
    8.0%
    60-69 years old
    3.6%
    50-59 years old
    1.3%
    40-49 years old
    0.4%
    30-39 years old
    0.2%
    20-29 years old
    0.2%
    10-19 years old
    0.2%
    0-9 years old
    no fatalities



    PRE-EXISTING CONDITION
    DEATH RATE*
    Cardiovascular disease
    10.5%
    Diabetes
    7.3%
    Chronic respiratory disease
    6.3%
    Hypertension
    6.0%
    Cancer
    5.6%
    no pre-existing conditions
    0.9%

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/

    Gulp.  I'm just barely hanging on to not being "old".  Maybe this thing will clear up before August, 2021.  :lol:
    “The fear of death follows from the fear of life. A man [or woman] who lives fully is prepared to die at any time.”
    Variously credited to Mark Twain or Edward Abbey.













  • So I listened to an immunologist who won a Pulitzer for her reporting on Ebola describe the issue with Team Trump Treason's response. Basically, she compared how the Chinese have dealt with it thus far and how the US would struggle, mostly quarantining and preventing freedom of movement (wouldn't happen here). She also described how the influenza pandemic had a death rate of 1.9% and that the coronavirus death rate is about 2.0%, if you are to believe the reporting out of China, where the death rate may be closer to 6%. This is where Team trump Treason's leadership, if you think he has any, fails. He should be demanding that China allow WHO and European and US medical experts in to study, learn and assist with addressing so that the world has a much better understanding of the nature of the threat and how best to address it. Its not happening (gee wonder why, burned every bridge with allies and potential allies). She also spoke to the virus, apparently it goes deep into the lungs. The issue then becomes patients needing ventilation. There's only so much capacity to treat patients who need it. What happens to those who need it and its not available? Is it even being discussed by Team Trump Treason and Pence? The previous administration's czar for this type of thing and their team, born out of the Ebola and SARS threats, were disbanded and defunded. Thanks Team Trump Treason. So the issue is going to become, containment and treatment and how to keep everything running during a quarantine. If you're not nervous, you should be. Particularly with who is at the helm. Hey, but the weather and prayers.
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  • dignindignin Posts: 9,336
    dignin said:
    dignin said:
    I was actually going to ask this question the other day and never got around to it. i was wondering if anyone knew the human immunity after exposure. I guess we now know. how does this affect potential vaccines? will they even work?
    I asked my wife how this was possible this morning. She is an immunologist (among other things). Her explanation made perfect sense, but I'm dumb and don't remember much of it. Something about some viruses have the ability to "hide" from the immune system and can go to levels that are virtually undetectable. Almost dormant. Then return later. It's unusual but not impossible. She referenced how malaria can do this, even though malaria is not a virus, but it's a similar scenario.

    My guess is, that a vaccine would take care of this...but that's a very uneducated guess.
    ok, but in this case it wasn't dormant, the woman got sick and recovered and then got sick again. I thought that getting sick was pretty much the same as a vaccine: it teaches your body to fight against that virus the next go-round. 

    or did your wife mean you can get sick from the virus at the same time as it is undetectable to the immune system?
    The virus essentially "hid" from the immune system during the first go around so the immune system couldn't totally destroy it. Therefore it went dormant. And when the woman was tested for the virus and came back negative it was assumed it ran it's course and was defeated. But maybe the immune system didn't quite get it all figured out before the virus "hid". So when it came back out of dormancy the immune system wasn't prepared? I'm not sure, I'm just speculating at this point.

    I get what you're saying about the immune system should learn to kill the virus, so if it came out again, it should kill it. 

    So, like I said, I'm dumb and can't remember her full explanation. I will ask her when she gets back from work today and try and give you a better response then.
  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,668
    So I listened to an immunologist who won a Pulitzer for her reporting on Ebola describe the issue with Team Trump Treason's response. Basically, she compared how the Chinese have dealt with it thus far and how the US would struggle, mostly quarantining and preventing freedom of movement (wouldn't happen here). She also described how the influenza pandemic had a death rate of 1.9% and that the coronavirus death rate is about 2.0%, if you are to believe the reporting out of China, where the death rate may be closer to 6%. This is where Team trump Treason's leadership, if you think he has any, fails. He should be demanding that China allow WHO and European and US medical experts in to study, learn and assist with addressing so that the world has a much better understanding of the nature of the threat and how best to address it. Its not happening (gee wonder why, burned every bridge with allies and potential allies). She also spoke to the virus, apparently it goes deep into the lungs. The issue then becomes patients needing ventilation. There's only so much capacity to treat patients who need it. What happens to those who need it and its not available? Is it even being discussed by Team Trump Treason and Pence? The previous administration's czar for this type of thing and their team, born out of the Ebola and SARS threats, were disbanded and defunded. Thanks Team Trump Treason. So the issue is going to become, containment and treatment and how to keep everything running during a quarantine. If you're not nervous, you should be. Particularly with who is at the helm. Hey, but the weather and prayers.
    Wait a minute.. when I think of the influenza pandemic, I'm thinking of the Spanish Flu of 1918.  That killed half a billion and had a mortality rate of almost 10%.  Is that the comparison?  If so, then holy shit I'm nervous.
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