new to the lottery, but i assumed the odds calculation was only for your first choice. It would be impossible to calculate a single odds percentage in advance for additional choices. you would have to run separate calculations based off live info on how many others selected the show as second choice, third, etc. if they had 6k tix for 10c, and 6k requests, then the odds would be 99% for first choice, but 0% for second and higher. 10c only publishes one odds %, in this case 99%.
All the other times they’ve provided percentages it was for all total entries. You’re right in that doesn’t give you true odds but does give you an idea on which shows are most popular.
19 Pearl Jam shows and still searching for Deep! 1998 (2) - East Lansing & Auburn Hills; 2000 (2) - Tampa & Noblesville; 2003 (2) - Lexington & Noblesville; 2006 (1) - Cincinnati; 2007 (1) - Chicago (Lollapalooza); 2008 (Ed in Milwaukee); 2009 (1) - Chicago; 2010 (1) - Noblesville; 2013 (3) - San Diego & Los Angeles I & II; 2016 (Temple of the Dog in Los Angeles); 2017 (Ed at Ohana in Dana Point); 2021 (3) - Dana Point I, II & III; 2022 (3) - San Diego & Los Angeles I & II; 2025 - Southern U.S. Tour Please!
Just got GA for SD!! My only choice so I feel very lucky.
San Diego, CA - 10/25/00, San Diego, CA - 7/7/06, Los Angeles, CA - 7/9/06, San Diego, CA - 4/15/08 (EV), San Diego, CA - 10/9/09, San Diego, CA - 7/5/11 (EV), San Diego, CA - 11/21/13
Just want to be clear about something...did anyone get any email saying they DID NOT get one of their picks? Or do you only hear something if you did get it?
310xxx Put in for Denver Reserved got'em Put in for MSG Reserved got'em Membership in the late 90s that lapsed, rejoined in July 2003. Have never been shut out...even for Fenway 2 shows in 2018, Brooklyn, Philly... One day I will try and figure out my # of shows attended. Loose count is 25+ now 2 more shows to enjoy. Best advice if I can't attend either of my shows(both are in states where transfer of tix cannot be restricted) or can't find someone willing to travel to Denver....anyone...advice?
I got a separate email for all 4 confirmed shows. Still waiting on the last 2 and will get 2 emails, win or lose. I only had one email to confirm my choices when I entered them. I'm not good at IT stuff. The original is a combined 2 emails.
What does this mean? Did you change your submission at some point?
No. The original post is 2 emails combined, poorly.
But that's the confusing part. Why would it be in 2 emails if you only submitted once?
Order Details
Apr 16
Thu • 8:00PM
Pearl Jam
The Forum
Tickets
$103.00
Service Fees
$23.70
Delivery
Free
Total Charge:
$126.70
This is the 2nd email portion, confirming charge for LA 2. Above that is the original order email. Somebody wanted proof that a 5th priority won LA2. Another poster said they got LA 1 or 2 with 7th priority.
OK that makes more sense So perhaps this is just a case of the single ticket request...and perhaps causing more confusion. TC mentioned "a pair of tickets may be split front-to-back on an aisle instead of side-by-side." Key word being "may" of course. If there are only singles left in the building and none of them are in adjacent rows then a person requesting 2 will not "win" and they will move on to the next name.
I think the odds tool worked. If anything it might have only shown round 1 odds and not overall odds, which would be a change. But given that for most shows except Bal and MSG rounds 3 and 4 were winners it probably was correct. I know anyone who didn’t get tickets doesn’t want to hear this, but the most likely reason is user error. I say this based on the amounts of comments you can read about people not knowing they had to prioritize at the end and not as they go, and especially the fact that all new entries deletes all previous ones, that has been a big one.
It sucks and I feel bad for anyone who missed out, but just reading comments that seems like the simplest explanation.
The odds tool certainly did not work. Any basic understanding of math shows that. It either needs to be junked or refined for future sales. And if it was reflective of first choice only odds then you don’t think it needed to say that? Especially in light of the language in the email that most, if not all, orders would be filled.
I'm still a touch skeptical of this claim. There could be other issues than the odds at play. In other words, do we have any instance in which we *know* that a person was denied only because they ran out of tickets (for a show that was listed at 99%)? Honestly, I'm not even sure it's possible to have that information (at this point or, probably, ever).
Someone this morning posted they got LA1 or 2 with their 5th pick. I think a lot of people are claiming that EVERYONE who didn’t get one of those shows in their first few picks had user error. That just can’t be correct
Everyone? I've only heard/seen one. Yes LA 1 priority 4 and LA 2 priority 5.
I Had LA1 & LA2 both BA and only got 1 of them.
So how did people get these same shows with a priority of 3 or higher. This needs to be explained.
So stop the crap about user error, There was no user error at least on my part.
Which did you list as priority 1 and priority 2? Which one did you get?
I listed LA2 as priority 1 (which I got) and LA1 as priority 2 which I have not heard back from either way if I got it or not.
Sucks dude. Sorry it worked out this way for you. Hope you make it into the show.
OK that makes more sense So perhaps this is just a case of the single ticket request...and perhaps causing more confusion. TC mentioned "a pair of tickets may be split front-to-back on an aisle instead of side-by-side." Key word being "may" of course. If there are only singles left in the building and none of them are in adjacent rows then a person requesting 2 will not "win" and they will move on to the next name.
Thanks @BennyLaRue. Weird. Got the confirmation that I won LA2 (my first choice) but never heard anything on LA1 (2nd choice) and haven’t heard anything for SD (3rd).
2 for 4. Got LA1 and LA2 (3rd & 4th priority). Got shut out with Baltimore (1st priority) and NY (2nd Priority). Bummed but hopefully can at least get into Baltimore and have a friend that should be able to score NY tickets. Not sure how the odds or priority work since the LA shows were drawn first and those were my lowest priority.
TC #105xxx. Only requested reserved seats for one show -- MSG. Didn't get them. Have only been completely shut out once before - Santa Barbara Bowl back in 2006. This is beyond disappointing. The only reason I keep my membership is for tickets, and I didn't even get them, but people who had MSG and their second choice still got tickets. I really miss the days when you could choose one show per leg for TC tix
Comments
1998 (2) - East Lansing & Auburn Hills; 2000 (2) - Tampa & Noblesville; 2003 (2) - Lexington & Noblesville; 2006 (1) - Cincinnati; 2007 (1) - Chicago (Lollapalooza); 2008 (Ed in Milwaukee); 2009 (1) - Chicago; 2010 (1) - Noblesville; 2013 (3) - San Diego & Los Angeles I & II; 2016 (Temple of the Dog in Los Angeles); 2017 (Ed at Ohana in Dana Point);
2021 (3) - Dana Point I, II & III; 2022 (3) - San Diego & Los Angeles I & II; 2025 - Southern U.S. Tour Please!
Put in for Denver Reserved got'em
Put in for MSG Reserved got'em
Membership in the late 90s that lapsed, rejoined in July 2003.
Have never been shut out...even for Fenway 2 shows in 2018, Brooklyn, Philly...
One day I will try and figure out my # of shows attended. Loose count is 25+ now 2 more shows to enjoy.
Best advice if I can't attend either of my shows(both are in states where transfer of tix cannot be restricted) or can't find someone willing to travel to Denver....anyone...advice?
OK that makes more sense
"...I changed by not changing at all..."
Posters for Sale: http://community.pearljam.com/discussion/117469/posters-for-sale
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Got Phoenix BA with 2nd priority.
OAK2 - BA - Won
PHX - BA - Won
LA2 - BA - Won
OAK1 - Res - Lost (damn, these are the tickets I wanted the most too). Got greedy thinking I could try for GA and still get my reserved Oakland 1.
1. LA1 BA Won
2. LA2 Res Won
3. PHX Res Won
4. OKC Res Won
2. LA1 Best Available - Won
3. San Diego Reserved - TBD