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Making sense of the Lottery Ranking-Post Your results with Rankings

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    ReleaseMeReleaseMe Mississauga, Ontario Posts: 745
    Toronto GA - LOST
    Ottawa GA - LOST
    Toronto RS - LOST
    Ottawa RS - WON
    FT Lauderdale GA- LOST
    Miami GA - LOST
    FT Lauderdale RS- LOST
    Miami RS - LOST

    ...1/4... it could always be worse...
    2000 - Toronto
    2003 - Toronto
    2005 - Toronto
    2006 - Toronto I, Toronto II
    2009 - Toronto
    2011 - Hamilton
    2013 - Pittsburgh, Buffalo
    2014 - Detroit
    2016 - Fort Lauderdale, Miami, Ottawa, Toronto I, Toronto II, Wrigley I, Wrigley II
    2018 - Seattle I, Seattle II, Fenway I, Fenway II
    2020 - Toronto, Hamilton
    2022 - Las Vegas, Ottawa, Hamilton, Toronto
    2023 - St. Paul I, St. Paul II
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    1. TOR RS
    WON
    2. OTT RS
    WON
    3. QUE RS
    WON
    4. TOR GA
    LOST
    5. OTT GA
    LOST
    6. QUE GA
    LOST
    1994: ANN ARBOR
    2011: DETROIT (EV), HAMILTON
    2012: OSLO, COPENHAGEN, MEMPHIS (EV)
    2013: LONDON, CHICAGO, VANCOUVER, SEATTLE
    2014: ST. LOUIS, DETROIT
    2015: CHICAGO (EV & TOWNSHEND), NEW YORK
    2016: QUEBEC CITY, OTTAWA, TORONTO 1, BOSTON 1 & 2
    2018: LONDON 1, CHICAGO 1
    2022: HAMILTON

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    jmug23jmug23 Posts: 778

    0/18... Guess I need to rethink my strategy. I am 2/46 since the lottery started.

    0/18... Guess I need to rethink my strategy. I am 2/46 since the lottery started.

    0/18... Guess I need to rethink my strategy. I am 2/46 since the lottery started.

    After selecting GA for NY and PA, which were both extreme long shots, you would have been much better off going reserve from the 3rd pick on. In my opinion, I would only try GA for first pick, then nothing but reserve after that.
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    JJ29272JJ29272 Posts: 14
    Here's how I think it worked...
    if you saw 10%, then: if 10,000 people put in for it, the Ten Club was offering 1,000 tickets. BUT, of those 10,000 maybe only 1,200 of them put it as their first choice. SOOOOO, those 1,200 people had actually a much better chance to win it (way better than the 10% that was posted).

    I think the other posts were right - if you put the Philly 4 choices as your first 4, you had zero chance of getting your 5th choice (didn't matter what city you chose). The Ten Club probably rarely got down to the 3rd choices for anyone.
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    I don't say this offensively to anybody but it blows my mind that somebody could pick
    Ny
    Ny
    Ny
    Ny
    Phi
    Phi
    Phi
    Phi
    And actually complain when they get nothing. You had about a 1/5 chance to win, 30% at best. 4/5 times you will come up with nothing with those choices.

    If you're going to a lot of shows I think it makes much more sense to understand how the lottery works and be strategic about your choices in picking lower demand shows.
    I put
    Jax GA
    Columbia GA
    Hampton GA
    Lexington RS
    Tampa RS
    Quebec RS
    Raleigh RS
    And won 6/7, lost Hampton GA

    Maybe i got lucky but there is big time strategy involved. Just my experience.

    Worcester1 13, Worcester2 13, Hartford 13, San Diego 13, Los Angeles1 13, Los Angeles2 13
    Trieste 14, Vienna 14, Gdynia 14, Leeds 14, Milton Keynes 14, Denver 14
    Central Park 15
    Fort Lauderdale 16, Miami 16, Tampa 16, Jacksonville 16, Greenville 16, Hampton 16, Columbia 16, Lexington 16, Philly1 16, Philly2 16, NYC1 16, NYC2 16, Quebec City 16, Ottawa 16, Toronto1 16, Toronto2 16, Fenway1 16, Fenway2 16, Wrigley1 16, Wrigley2 16


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    first choice.. .Lexington GA Lost
    2nd choice....Lexington Reserve... Won
    hook or crook... I WILL be at Wrigley as well...
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    lolobugglolobugg BLUE RDGE MTNS Posts: 8,192

    I don't say this offensively to anybody but it blows my mind that somebody could pick
    Ny
    Ny
    Ny
    Ny
    Phi
    Phi
    Phi
    Phi
    And actually complain when they get nothing. You had about a 1/5 chance to win, 30% at best. 4/5 times you will come up with nothing with those choices.

    If you're going to a lot of shows I think it makes much more sense to understand how the lottery works and be strategic about your choices in picking lower demand shows.
    I put
    Jax GA
    Columbia GA
    Hampton GA
    Lexington RS
    Tampa RS
    Quebec RS
    Raleigh RS
    And won 6/7, lost Hampton GA

    Maybe i got lucky but there is big time strategy involved. Just my experience.

    you fucker!!! why on earth would you pick Hampton third???
    j/k.... you did it the right way... enjoy the shows!!!

    livefootsteps.org/user/?usr=446

    1995- New Orleans, LA  : New Orleans, LA

    1996- Charleston, SC

    1998- Atlanta, GA: Birmingham, AL: Greenville, SC: Knoxville, TN

    2000- Atlanta, GA: New Orleans, LA: Memphis, TN: Nashville, TN

    2003- Raleigh, NC: Charlotte, NC: Atlanta, GA

    2004- Asheville, NC (hometown show)

    2006- Cincinnati, OH

    2008- Columbia, SC

    2009- Chicago, IL x 2 / Ed Vedder- Atlanta, GA x 2

    2010- Bristow, VA

    2011- Alpine Valley, WI (PJ20) x 2 / Ed Vedder- Chicago, IL

    2012- Atlanta, GA

    2013- Charlotte, NC

    2014- Cincinnati, OH

    2015- New York, NY

    2016- Greenville, SC: Hampton, VA:: Columbia, SC: Raleigh, NC : Lexington, KY: Philly, PA 2: (Wrigley) Chicago, IL x 2 (holy shit): Temple of the Dog- Philly, PA

    2017- ED VED- Louisville, KY

    2018- Chicago, IL x2, Boston, MA x2

    2020- Nashville, TN 

    2022- Smashville 

    2023- Austin, TX x2

    2024- Baltimore

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    zarocatzarocat Posts: 1,901
    1. Toronto Res. - Won
    2. Ottawa Res. - Won
    3. Ottawa GA. - Lost
    1996: Toronto
    1998: Barrie
    2000: Montreal, Toronto, Auburn Hills
    2003: Cleveland, Buffalo, Toronto, Montreal
    2004: Boston X2, Grand Rapids
    2005: Kitchener, London, Hamilton, Montreal, Ottawa, Toronto
    2006: Toronto X2
    2009: Toronto
    2011: PJ20, Montreal, Toronto X2, Hamilton
    2012: Manchester X2, Amsterdam X2, Prague, Berlin X2, Philadelphia, Missoula
    2013: Pittsburg, Buffalo
    2014: Milan, Trieste, Vienna, Berlin, Stockholm, Oslo, Detroit
    2016: Ottawa, Toronto X2
    2018: Padova, Rome, Prague, Krakow, Berlin, Barcelona
    2022: Ottawa, Hamilton, Toronto
    2023: Chicago X2
    2024: New York X2
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    derbydavederbydave Columbus, OH Posts: 11,254

    I don't say this offensively to anybody but it blows my mind that somebody could pick
    Ny
    Ny
    Ny
    Ny
    Phi
    Phi
    Phi
    Phi
    And actually complain when they get nothing. You had about a 1/5 chance to win, 30% at best. 4/5 times you will come up with nothing with those choices.

    If you're going to a lot of shows I think it makes much more sense to understand how the lottery works and be strategic about your choices in picking lower demand shows.
    I put
    Jax GA
    Columbia GA
    Hampton GA
    Lexington RS
    Tampa RS
    Quebec RS
    Raleigh RS
    And won 6/7, lost Hampton GA

    Maybe i got lucky but there is big time strategy involved. Just my experience.

    I'm betting you would have got Hampton too if you went with reserved!!
    NICE JOB :plus_one:
    '96: Seattle: Key Arena
    '98: Seattle: Memorial Stadium 1 & 2
    '00: Columbus: Polaris
    '03: Columbus: Germain
    '10: Columbus: Nationwide Arena
    '11: East Troy: Alpine Valley - PJ20 1 & 2 + EV Detroit
    '12: Missoula + EV Jacksonville 1 & 2
    '13: Chicago / Pittsburgh / Buffalo / Seattle
    '14: Cincinnati / St. Louis / Tulsa / Lincoln / Memphis / Detroit / Moline
    '15: New York City - Global Citizen Festival
    '16: Greenville / Hampton / Raleigh / Columbia / Lexington / Ottawa / Toronto 1 & 2 / Wrigley 1 & 2
    '17: Brooklyn - Rock & Roll Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony
    '18: London 1 & 2 / Seattle 1 & 2 / Missoula / Wrigley 1
    '22: Nashville / St. Louis


    http://www.livefootsteps.org/user/?usr=170

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    You enjoy them as well! Thanks
    Derby!

    Worcester1 13, Worcester2 13, Hartford 13, San Diego 13, Los Angeles1 13, Los Angeles2 13
    Trieste 14, Vienna 14, Gdynia 14, Leeds 14, Milton Keynes 14, Denver 14
    Central Park 15
    Fort Lauderdale 16, Miami 16, Tampa 16, Jacksonville 16, Greenville 16, Hampton 16, Columbia 16, Lexington 16, Philly1 16, Philly2 16, NYC1 16, NYC2 16, Quebec City 16, Ottawa 16, Toronto1 16, Toronto2 16, Fenway1 16, Fenway2 16, Wrigley1 16, Wrigley2 16


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    1- Sunday, 5/1/16- NYC (MSG) GA- LOST
    2- Sunday, 5/1/16 NYC (MSG) Reserved- LOST
    3- Thursday, 4/28/16- Philly GA- LOST
    4- Thursday, 4/28/16- Philly Reserved- LOST
    5-Monday, 5/2/16- NYC (MSG) GA- LOST
    6- Monday, 5/2/16- NYC (MSG) Reserved- LOST
    7- Monday, 4/18/16- Hampton, VA. GA- LOST
    8- Monday, 4/18/16- Hampton, VA. Reserved- LOST
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    1- Sunday, 5/1/16- NYC (MSG) GA- LOST
    2- Sunday, 5/1/16 NYC (MSG) Reserved- LOST
    3- Thursday, 4/28/16- Philly GA- LOST
    4- Thursday, 4/28/16- Philly Reserved- LOST
    5-Monday, 5/2/16- NYC (MSG) GA- LOST
    6- Monday, 5/2/16- NYC (MSG) Reserved- LOST
    7- Monday, 4/18/16- Hampton, VA. GA- LOST
    8- Monday, 4/18/16- Hampton, VA. Reserved- LOST

    I probably should have put Hampton as my first choice and I would have probably gotten a ticket.
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    DeegzDeegz Posts: 64
    edited January 2016
    PJ 2016 photo image_zpsyir6ilj9.jpeg

    Im glad I gambled with GA!! If it weren't for 10C I'd probably be sitting 3000 rows away.......or kicking rocks outside the ACC :D
    Post edited by Deegz on
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    1st choice 04/08/2016 Ft Lauderdale, FL- GA Standing $159.00
    WON

    2nd choice 04/11/2016 Tampa, FL- GA Standing $159.00
    LOST

    3rd choice 04/09/2016 Miami, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
    WON

    4th choice 04/11/2016 Tampa, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
    WON

    5th choice 04/08/2016 Ft Lauderdale, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
    LOST

    6th choice 04/13/2016 Jacksonville, FL- GA Standing $159.00
    LOST

    7th choice 04/13/2016 Jacksonville, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
    WON
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    jmug23jmug23 Posts: 778

    I don't say this offensively to anybody but it blows my mind that somebody could pick
    Ny
    Ny
    Ny
    Ny
    Phi
    Phi
    Phi
    Phi
    And actually complain when they get nothing. You had about a 1/5 chance to win, 30% at best. 4/5 times you will come up with nothing with those choices.

    If you're going to a lot of shows I think it makes much more sense to understand how the lottery works and be strategic about your choices in picking lower demand shows.
    I put
    Jax GA
    Columbia GA
    Hampton GA
    Lexington RS
    Tampa RS
    Quebec RS
    Raleigh RS
    And won 6/7, lost Hampton GA

    Maybe i got lucky but there is big time strategy involved. Just my experience.

    Exactly right. It's a numbers game. You have to play the odds and putting all long shots for your first 4 picks essentially ruins your chances for al shows.
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