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Making sense of the Lottery Ranking-Post Your results with Rankings

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    lolobugglolobugg BLUE RDGE MTNS Posts: 8,191
    ckravitz said:

    lolobugg said:

    ckravitz said:

    1. MSG1 Reserved - Won
    2. Philly2 Reserved - Won
    3. Philly1 Reserved - Lost

    you are about the luckiest guy/girl I have seen on here yet.
    good choice of selections.
    Haha thanks. Trust me I know I was damn fortunate and am beside myself with appreciation of it.

    (Guy btw).
    enjoy the show, man!!!
    I don't assume sex/gender on here anymore... :lol: I learned my lesson about that.

    livefootsteps.org/user/?usr=446

    1995- New Orleans, LA  : New Orleans, LA

    1996- Charleston, SC

    1998- Atlanta, GA: Birmingham, AL: Greenville, SC: Knoxville, TN

    2000- Atlanta, GA: New Orleans, LA: Memphis, TN: Nashville, TN

    2003- Raleigh, NC: Charlotte, NC: Atlanta, GA

    2004- Asheville, NC (hometown show)

    2006- Cincinnati, OH

    2008- Columbia, SC

    2009- Chicago, IL x 2 / Ed Vedder- Atlanta, GA x 2

    2010- Bristow, VA

    2011- Alpine Valley, WI (PJ20) x 2 / Ed Vedder- Chicago, IL

    2012- Atlanta, GA

    2013- Charlotte, NC

    2014- Cincinnati, OH

    2015- New York, NY

    2016- Greenville, SC: Hampton, VA:: Columbia, SC: Raleigh, NC : Lexington, KY: Philly, PA 2: (Wrigley) Chicago, IL x 2 (holy shit): Temple of the Dog- Philly, PA

    2017- ED VED- Louisville, KY

    2018- Chicago, IL x2, Boston, MA x2

    2020- Nashville, TN 

    2022- Smashville 

    2023- Austin, TX x2

    2024- Baltimore

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    mcgruff10mcgruff10 New Jersey Posts: 27,914
    derbydave said:

    mcgruff10 said:

    Did anyone get msg reserved night one as your second choice?

    I would highly doubt it Mike...
    Final odds for MSG reserved were 17% for Night 1 and 19% for Night 2.
    With these odds many people that had it as their first choice didn't get tickets,
    so there wouldn't have been any tickets left for those selecting these shows as a #2 choice.
    Dave, one if my best friends won night 2 reserved as their second choice! So odd.
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
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    derbydavederbydave Columbus, OH Posts: 11,254
    edited January 2016
    Interesting...
    I wonder if the "one-show" lock-out contributed to this??
    What was his first choice??
    Did he win that one too??
    Post edited by derbydave on
    '96: Seattle: Key Arena
    '98: Seattle: Memorial Stadium 1 & 2
    '00: Columbus: Polaris
    '03: Columbus: Germain
    '10: Columbus: Nationwide Arena
    '11: East Troy: Alpine Valley - PJ20 1 & 2 + EV Detroit
    '12: Missoula + EV Jacksonville 1 & 2
    '13: Chicago / Pittsburgh / Buffalo / Seattle
    '14: Cincinnati / St. Louis / Tulsa / Lincoln / Memphis / Detroit / Moline
    '15: New York City - Global Citizen Festival
    '16: Greenville / Hampton / Raleigh / Columbia / Lexington / Ottawa / Toronto 1 & 2 / Wrigley 1 & 2
    '17: Brooklyn - Rock & Roll Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony
    '18: London 1 & 2 / Seattle 1 & 2 / Missoula / Wrigley 1
    '22: Nashville / St. Louis


    http://www.livefootsteps.org/user/?usr=170

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    1st choice 05/01/2016 New York, NY- GA Standing $188.00
    LOST

    2nd choice 04/29/2016 Philadelphia, PA- GA Standing $172.00
    LOST

    3rd choice 04/08/2016 Ft Lauderdale, FL- GA Standing $159.00
    LOST

    4th choice 04/11/2016 Tampa, FL- GA Standing $159.00
    LOST

    5th choice 04/09/2016 Miami, FL- GA Standing $159.00
    LOST

    6th choice 04/13/2016 Jacksonville, FL- GA Standing $159.00
    LOST

    7th choice 04/16/2016 Greenville, SC- GA Standing $159.00
    LOST

    8th choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- GA Standing $188.00
    LOST

    9th choice 04/08/2016 Ft Lauderdale, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
    LOST

    10th choice 04/09/2016 Miami, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
    LOST

    11th choice 04/11/2016 Tampa, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
    LOST

    12th choice 04/13/2016 Jacksonville, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
    LOST

    13th choice 04/16/2016 Greenville, SC- Reserved Seating $159.00
    LOST

    14th choice 04/28/2016 Philadelphia, PA- GA Standing $172.00
    LOST

    15th choice 04/28/2016 Philadelphia, PA- Reserved Seating $172.00
    LOST

    16th choice 04/29/2016 Philadelphia, PA- Reserved Seating $172.00
    LOST

    17th choice 05/01/2016 New York, NY- Reserved Seating $188.00
    LOST

    18th choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- Reserved Seating $188.00
    LOST
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    0/18... Guess I need to rethink my strategy. I am 2/46 since the lottery started.
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    1st choice 05/01/2016 New York, NY- GA Standing $188.00
    LOST

    2nd choice 04/29/2016 Philadelphia, PA- GA Standing $172.00
    LOST

    3rd choice 04/08/2016 Ft Lauderdale, FL- GA Standing $159.00
    LOST

    4th choice 04/11/2016 Tampa, FL- GA Standing $159.00
    LOST

    5th choice 04/09/2016 Miami, FL- GA Standing $159.00
    LOST

    6th choice 04/13/2016 Jacksonville, FL- GA Standing $159.00
    LOST

    7th choice 04/16/2016 Greenville, SC- GA Standing $159.00
    LOST

    8th choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- GA Standing $188.00
    LOST

    9th choice 04/08/2016 Ft Lauderdale, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
    LOST

    10th choice 04/09/2016 Miami, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
    LOST

    11th choice 04/11/2016 Tampa, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
    LOST

    12th choice 04/13/2016 Jacksonville, FL- Reserved Seating $159.00
    LOST

    13th choice 04/16/2016 Greenville, SC- Reserved Seating $159.00
    LOST

    14th choice 04/28/2016 Philadelphia, PA- GA Standing $172.00
    LOST

    15th choice 04/28/2016 Philadelphia, PA- Reserved Seating $172.00
    LOST

    16th choice 04/29/2016 Philadelphia, PA- Reserved Seating $172.00
    LOST

    17th choice 05/01/2016 New York, NY- Reserved Seating $188.00
    LOST

    18th choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- Reserved Seating $188.00
    LOST

    You might want to rethink chosing GA...
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    Yeah maybe. I don't know how this lottery matrix works, and if I did then maybe I would rethink my strategy. Kind of shitty that I put in for 9 shows and got zilch.. that's a problem that should be addressed. Would be nice if we could at least have the opportunity to attend one show with 10C seats.

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    mcgruff10mcgruff10 New Jersey Posts: 27,914
    derbydave said:

    Interesting...
    I wonder if the "one-show" lock-out contributed to this??
    What was his first choice??
    Did he win that one too??

    Lost ga as his first choice for the same date.
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
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    cutzcutz Posts: 11,456

    cutz said:

    1. Philly-1-reserved>Won
    2.Hampton-reserved>Won
    3. Raleigh-reserved>Won
    4. Columbia-reserved>Won

    I thought about adding Philly-2 with my 2nd choice, at the last minute, and pushing the 3 South shows down 1 spot, but didn't want to lose out on Hampton. I've got no complaints as i'll try for that Philly-2 show(Basically my hometown show) on Friday.

    There you go stat geek>LOL

    Wow, look at you go! Good for you - enjoy the shows! Good luck(do you really need any?) on the Philly 2 show.

    As for me I only tried for Toronto reserved and scored.
    Thanks

    Well, i missed the last 2 tours(2013 & 2014) for personal reasons, when i had tickets for 10 shows too. I want to try and see as many shows this tour that i can.

    Yes, i'm only trying for a single ticket for Philly-2, on Friday. Just want to be in the building

    KOOL>that you scored Toronto. I wanted to go to Toronto, but only if ther was 2 shows(which the rumors were). I didn't want to fly up ther for only one show. Enjoy the show TWTM(i know you will)
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    EddieshometownEddieshometown Evanston, IL Posts: 974
    mcgruff10 said:

    derbydave said:

    mcgruff10 said:

    Did anyone get msg reserved night one as your second choice?

    I would highly doubt it Mike...
    Final odds for MSG reserved were 17% for Night 1 and 19% for Night 2.
    With these odds many people that had it as their first choice didn't get tickets,
    so there wouldn't have been any tickets left for those selecting these shows as a #2 choice.
    Dave, one if my best friends won night 2 reserved as their second choice! So odd.
    Did your friend have have their first choice as NY night 2-GA? I saw someone on Facebook post that had:
    1) NY #2 GA - LOSt
    2) NY #2 Res - Won

    Below is a link before he got the results

    https://facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10153911405646639&set=p.10153911405646639&type=3&theater
    6/26/98 & 6/27/98 - Alpine Valley, 10/9/00 - Allstate Arena - Rosemont, IL 6/18/2003 - United Center, 5/16/2006 - United Center,
    5/17/2006 - United Center (7th row center, caught Eddie's pick), 6/29/2006 - Summerfest with Tom Petty,
    8/24/2009 - United Center, 7/19/2013 - Wrigley Field, 10/3/2014 - St Louis, 10/17/2014 - Moline (GA), 10/20/2014 - Milwaukee,
    5/14/2015 - Pete Townshend/EV, 8/20/16 & 8/22/16 Wrigley Field Part 2&3, 8/18/18 & 8/20/18 Wrigley Parts 4 & 5, 9/18/2022 - St Louis
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    cutzcutz Posts: 11,456
    kosteva2 said:

    Really curious why philly was in such demand this time around?

    It's always in demand there. For people in most of eastern PA, Delaware, Maryland, Southern NJ it's the closest show (2013 had Baltimore).
    Yes, they are always in demand.

    Plus, with no shows in the DC area, Baltimore, Hartford, & Boston, during this tour, i think it made it even harder to score tickets. In my very unprofessional opinion>LOL
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    cutzcutz Posts: 11,456
    derbydave said:

    image

    Very wise in the way you chose the shows(don't know how to do the emoji thing so-CLAP-CLAP to you)
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    mcgruff10mcgruff10 New Jersey Posts: 27,914

    mcgruff10 said:

    derbydave said:

    mcgruff10 said:

    Did anyone get msg reserved night one as your second choice?

    I would highly doubt it Mike...
    Final odds for MSG reserved were 17% for Night 1 and 19% for Night 2.
    With these odds many people that had it as their first choice didn't get tickets,
    so there wouldn't have been any tickets left for those selecting these shows as a #2 choice.
    Dave, one if my best friends won night 2 reserved as their second choice! So odd.
    Did your friend have have their first choice as NY night 2-GA? I saw someone on Facebook post that had:
    1) NY #2 GA - LOSt
    2) NY #2 Res - Won

    Below is a link before he got the results

    https://facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10153911405646639&set=p.10153911405646639&type=3&theater
    Not the same person but that s what he did. Ga first then reserved.
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
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    j1kotwicj1kotwic Posts: 168
    #1 Fort Lauderdale reserved - WON
    #2 Miami reserved - WON
    #3 Fort Lauderdale GA - Lost
    #4 Miami GA - Lost
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    derbydavederbydave Columbus, OH Posts: 11,254
    mcgruff10 said:

    derbydave said:

    Interesting...
    I wonder if the "one-show" lock-out contributed to this??
    What was his first choice??
    Did he win that one too??

    Lost ga as his first choice for the same date.
    I'm thinking this has to have something to do with the new "one-show" rule.
    They must draw the winners for both shows one after the other...
    probably beginning with night 1 GA.
    When night 1 GA tickets are gone,
    they remove all of those winners from the pool for the remaining MSG shows.
    Then they draw night one reserved and remove these winners from the rest of the entries.
    Night 2 GA would be next...
    so by the time they got to Night 2 Reserved a lot of selections were taken out of play,
    making the Night 2 Reserved pool smaller...
    and maybe a little easier to win.
    Just a guess really...
    this is the first lottery with the "one-show" rule and I'm not sure how this skews the odds!! :i_dunno:
    '96: Seattle: Key Arena
    '98: Seattle: Memorial Stadium 1 & 2
    '00: Columbus: Polaris
    '03: Columbus: Germain
    '10: Columbus: Nationwide Arena
    '11: East Troy: Alpine Valley - PJ20 1 & 2 + EV Detroit
    '12: Missoula + EV Jacksonville 1 & 2
    '13: Chicago / Pittsburgh / Buffalo / Seattle
    '14: Cincinnati / St. Louis / Tulsa / Lincoln / Memphis / Detroit / Moline
    '15: New York City - Global Citizen Festival
    '16: Greenville / Hampton / Raleigh / Columbia / Lexington / Ottawa / Toronto 1 & 2 / Wrigley 1 & 2
    '17: Brooklyn - Rock & Roll Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony
    '18: London 1 & 2 / Seattle 1 & 2 / Missoula / Wrigley 1
    '22: Nashville / St. Louis


    http://www.livefootsteps.org/user/?usr=170

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    gndcd402gndcd402 Posts: 2,558
    1st choice: Hampton GA - Won
    2nd choice: Raleigh GA - Won
    3rd choice: Columbia GA - Lost
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    my2handsmy2hands Posts: 17,117
    there was a 1 show per city rule in 2013 philly & brooklyn
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    JF241710JF241710 Atlanta Posts: 92
    1st: Columbia GA - Won
    2nd: Greenville GA - Won
    3rd: Jacksonville GA - Won
    4th: Raleigh GA - Lost
    5th Columbia Res - Lost
    6th Greenville Res - Lost
    7th Jacksonville Res - Lost
    8th Raleigh Res - Won

    i got lucky...
    liveon4legs.com
    co-host, Live on 4 Legs Podcast
    9/1/98 Atlanta, 9/22/12 Atlanta, 10/30/13 Charlotte, 10/14/14 Memphis, 4/13/16 Jax, 4/16/16 Greenville, 4/21/16 Columbia, 8/20-22/16 Wrigley, Nashville/Louisville/St. Louis 2022
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    JH83022JH83022 Fl Posts: 6
    1st Jax res won
    2nd Tampa res won.
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    chainchain Montreal Posts: 336
    #1 Quebec GA WON
    #2 Ottawa GA LOST
    #3 Ottawa RSV WON
    #4 Quebec RSV LOST
    Toronto 96-09-21 / Montreal 98-08-20
    Barrie 98-08-22 / Montreal 00-10-04 / Montreal 03-06-29
    Montreal 05-09-15 / Quebec 05-09-20 / Montreal 11-09-07
    Worcester 13-10-15 / Denver 14-10-22 / Quebec 16-05-05
    Ottawa 16-05-08 / Ottawa 20-03-20 / Quebec 20-03-22
  • Options
    1st choice 04/18/2016 Hampton, VA- GA Standing
    WON
    2nd choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- Reserved Seating
    WON
    3rd choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- GA Standing
    LOST
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    derbydave said:

    mcgruff10 said:

    derbydave said:

    Interesting...
    I wonder if the "one-show" lock-out contributed to this??
    What was his first choice??
    Did he win that one too??

    Lost ga as his first choice for the same date.
    I'm thinking this has to have something to do with the new "one-show" rule.
    They must draw the winners for both shows one after the other...
    probably beginning with night 1 GA.
    When night 1 GA tickets are gone,
    they remove all of those winners from the pool for the remaining MSG shows.
    Then they draw night one reserved and remove these winners from the rest of the entries.
    Night 2 GA would be next...
    so by the time they got to Night 2 Reserved a lot of selections were taken out of play,
    making the Night 2 Reserved pool smaller...
    and maybe a little easier to win.
    Just a guess really...
    this is the first lottery with the "one-show" rule and I'm not sure how this skews the odds!! :i_dunno:
    I don't recall reading this "one show rule"?!? Where was this in the rules?
  • Options
    derbydavederbydave Columbus, OH Posts: 11,254
    edited January 2016

    derbydave said:

    mcgruff10 said:

    derbydave said:

    Interesting...
    I wonder if the "one-show" lock-out contributed to this??
    What was his first choice??
    Did he win that one too??

    Lost ga as his first choice for the same date.
    I'm thinking this has to have something to do with the new "one-show" rule.
    They must draw the winners for both shows one after the other...
    probably beginning with night 1 GA.
    When night 1 GA tickets are gone,
    they remove all of those winners from the pool for the remaining MSG shows.
    Then they draw night one reserved and remove these winners from the rest of the entries.
    Night 2 GA would be next...
    so by the time they got to Night 2 Reserved a lot of selections were taken out of play,
    making the Night 2 Reserved pool smaller...
    and maybe a little easier to win.
    Just a guess really...
    this is the first lottery with the "one-show" rule and I'm not sure how this skews the odds!! :i_dunno:
    I don't recall reading this "one show rule"?!? Where was this in the rules?
    How's it going Chris...Hope you're doing well my friend!!
    This was mentioned in the 10 Club e-mail announcing the tour dates:

    By entering the drawing for any show, you are committing to purchase the tickets should your name be drawn. For example, if you enter for 10 shows, it is possible your name can be drawn for all 10 shows. *Exception applies to cities with two dates (New York and Philly).
    *Members can enter for New York and Philly shows, but can only possibly be drawn for one of the two shows in each city. We have a lot of members in those cities and we want to spread the love. For example, you can enter for both ticket options GA and Reserved for both Philly shows resulting in 4 total entries, but you can only possibly be drawn for 1 of those 4 entries.
    Post edited by derbydave on
    '96: Seattle: Key Arena
    '98: Seattle: Memorial Stadium 1 & 2
    '00: Columbus: Polaris
    '03: Columbus: Germain
    '10: Columbus: Nationwide Arena
    '11: East Troy: Alpine Valley - PJ20 1 & 2 + EV Detroit
    '12: Missoula + EV Jacksonville 1 & 2
    '13: Chicago / Pittsburgh / Buffalo / Seattle
    '14: Cincinnati / St. Louis / Tulsa / Lincoln / Memphis / Detroit / Moline
    '15: New York City - Global Citizen Festival
    '16: Greenville / Hampton / Raleigh / Columbia / Lexington / Ottawa / Toronto 1 & 2 / Wrigley 1 & 2
    '17: Brooklyn - Rock & Roll Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony
    '18: London 1 & 2 / Seattle 1 & 2 / Missoula / Wrigley 1
    '22: Nashville / St. Louis


    http://www.livefootsteps.org/user/?usr=170

  • Options
    cutzcutz Posts: 11,456
    lktommyk said:

    1st choice 04/18/2016 Hampton, VA- GA Standing
    WON
    2nd choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- Reserved Seating
    WON
    3rd choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- GA Standing
    LOST

    I'm surprised you won MSG with the 2nd choice. GREAT for you>Enjoy the show!
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    cwjacwja Posts: 132
    14/16 shows, everything except for NYC1 and Toronto, everyone with seats as their #1 priority got tickets.
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    cutz said:

    lktommyk said:

    1st choice 04/18/2016 Hampton, VA- GA Standing
    WON
    2nd choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- Reserved Seating
    WON
    3rd choice 05/02/2016 New York, NY- GA Standing
    LOST

    I'm surprised you won MSG with the 2nd choice. GREAT for you>Enjoy the show!
    Ya i know, I was thinking I had a better shot at night 2 once they pulled for the 1st night.
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    jlbuschjlbusch Posts: 54
    It seems to me this is not that useful without knowing people's club number as that also plays a role in their priorty. Seems like people would have been better off choosing only one each of the msg and Philly shows to maximize chances of winning and probably avoiding GA unless you absolutely must have it and try to get GA at a less popular location instead. ...
    Interesting info but would be more useful to see win/loss in lotto w their 10 club #....
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    ten474ten474 Los Angeles Posts: 147
    NYC 1 GA - LOST
    NYC 1 Reserved - LOST
    Philly 1 GA - LOST
    Philly 1 Reserved - LOST
    NYC 2 GA - LOST
    NYC 2 Reserved - LOST
    Philly 2 GA - LOST
    Philly 2 Reserved - LOST

    My fiance did this:
    NYC 2 GA - LOST
    NYC 2 Reserved - LOST
    Philly 2 GA - LOST
    Philly 2 Reserved - LOST
    NYC 1 GA - LOST
    NYC 1 Reserved - LOST
    Philly 1 GA - LOST
    Philly 1 Reserved - LOST
    Ft. Lauderdale GA - LOST
    Miami GA - LOST
    Ft LAuderdale Resevred - LOST
    Miami Reserved - LOST

    WE DIDN'T WIN ONE GODDAMN PAIR OF TICKETS!!!
    2000: Los Angeles, San Bernardino
    2003: Irvine, Las Vegas, Santa Barbara
    2006: Los Angeles N1 & N2
    2011: Mexico City
    2013: Wrigley Field, Los Angeles N1 & N2
    2014: Austin City Limits Weekend 1
    2015: Mexico City
    2016: Fenway N1 & N2
    2018: Seattle N1 & N2, Missoula, Boston N1 & N2
    2021: Ohana I, Ohana II
    2022: San Diego, LA N1 & N2, Oakland N1 & N2, Fresno
    2023: St. Paul N1 & N2








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    Go BeaversGo Beavers Posts: 8,664
    10c # is only a factor in reserved seating assignment. It's not a factor in the lotto picks.
  • Options
    1. MSG 5/2/16 Reserved seating- WON
    2. MSG 5/2/16 GA Standing- LOST

    Brother did the same for night 1 and won his first choice.

    My number is 418,xxx
    2008 - MSG 6/24-6/25
    2010 - Newark 5/18 MSG 5/21
    2011 - PJ20 9/3-9/4
    2012 - MIA Festival 9/2
    2013 - Wrigley Field 7/19 Brooklyn 10/18-10/19 Philly 10/22
    2015 - Colbert show - 9/23 Global Citizens Festival 9/26
    2016 - Philly 4/28-4/29 MSG 5/1-5/2



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