2016 Democratic Presidential Candidates
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Good stuff there. Might get ugly when Hillary starts closing that lead with the black vote.dignin said:
I find this to be pretty up to date coverage. Apparently nothing in Detroit reporting yet.JC29856 said:Has Detroit reported yet? Any way to tell which precincts make up the reporting?
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/michigan-mississippi-idaho-hawaii-primaries-presidential-election-2016/0 -
Not looking good, Hillary is closing fast. Less than 2% ahead now.
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No Democrat can argue "inevitability" in a year when they lose Michigan.___________________________________________
"...I changed by not changing at all..."0 -
I know I seen most polls earlier show Hillary with 20+ point leads. Have polls ever been so wrong? Either something fishy going on or polls are useless.0
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Big polls0
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The absolute best thing that could happen is Bernie win out by whatever margin and Hillary still be the nominee.0
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I'm surprised more Democrats are not enraged by the nominee selection process and the super delegates.0
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No time for negative thinking. Bernie's on a roll. They said it's over? It ain't over!"It's a sad and beautiful world"-Roberto Benigni0
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Exactly! Get pissed whenever he wins more pledged delegates but the super delegates won't flip. Right now that sort of anger will only discourage people from hitting the booths.brianlux said:No time for negative thinking. Bernie's on a roll. They said it's over? It ain't over!
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The super delegates are such a bad look for the party. Insiders supporting the Establishment candidate in 2016 isn't something that plays well to the voters, to say the least. Democrats would be much better off without them.___________________________________________
"...I changed by not changing at all..."0 -
That is frustrating, RZ, but the momentum is building. I think this is what were going to see happen further down the line. Michigan was HUGE and people are seeing that. That win will re-energize his campaign.RiotZact said:
Exactly! Get pissed whenever he wins more pledged delegates but the super delegates won't flip. Right now that sort of anger will only discourage people from hitting the booths.brianlux said:No time for negative thinking. Bernie's on a roll. They said it's over? It ain't over!
"It's a sad and beautiful world"-Roberto Benigni0 -
If he can win Michigan he can win anywhere in the North. Ohio, Illinois, Pennsylvania...any of them could be in play. That is what last night showed.___________________________________________
"...I changed by not changing at all..."0 -
Super delegates will not vote counter to regular delegates If Bernie gets most regular delegates he will be nominee.10-18-2000 Houston, 04-06-2003 Houston, 6-25-2003 Toronto, 10-8-2004 Kissimmee, 9-4-2005 Calgary, 12-3-05 Sao Paulo, 7-2-2006 Denver, 7-22-06 Gorge, 7-23-2006 Gorge, 9-13-2006 Bern, 6-22-2008 DC, 6-24-2008 MSG, 6-25-2008 MSG0
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Truth! Winter is over America, get ready to start feeling the Bern!!!brianlux said:
That is frustrating, RZ, but the momentum is building. I think this is what were going to see happen further down the line. Michigan was HUGE and people are seeing that. That win will re-energize his campaign.RiotZact said:
Exactly! Get pissed whenever he wins more pledged delegates but the super delegates won't flip. Right now that sort of anger will only discourage people from hitting the booths.brianlux said:No time for negative thinking. Bernie's on a roll. They said it's over? It ain't over!
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RiotZact said:
Truth! Winter is over America, get ready to start feeling the Bern!!!brianlux said:
That is frustrating, RZ, but the momentum is building. I think this is what were going to see happen further down the line. Michigan was HUGE and people are seeing that. That win will re-energize his campaign.RiotZact said:
Exactly! Get pissed whenever he wins more pledged delegates but the super delegates won't flip. Right now that sort of anger will only discourage people from hitting the booths.brianlux said:No time for negative thinking. Bernie's on a roll. They said it's over? It ain't over!
"It's a sad and beautiful world"-Roberto Benigni0 -
I haven't heard the name Gary Hart in a while before last night...Bernie prob don't want to hear that name again!0
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Super delegates can and very well may flip. Refer to 8 years ago.RiotZact said:
Exactly! Get pissed whenever he wins more pledged delegates but the super delegates won't flip. Right now that sort of anger will only discourage people from hitting the booths.brianlux said:No time for negative thinking. Bernie's on a roll. They said it's over? It ain't over!
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Exactly, they will flip if we demand it with our votes.Free said:
Super delegates can and very well may flip. Refer to 8 years ago.RiotZact said:
Exactly! Get pissed whenever he wins more pledged delegates but the super delegates won't flip. Right now that sort of anger will only discourage people from hitting the booths.brianlux said:No time for negative thinking. Bernie's on a roll. They said it's over? It ain't over!
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http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/superdelegates-might-not-save-hillary-clinton/
Superdelegates Might Not Save Hillary ClintonIf you look at a Democratic delegate tracker like this one from The New York Times, you’ll find that Hillary Clinton has a massive 394-44 delegate lead over Bernie Sanders so far, despite having been walloped by Sanders in New Hampshire and only essentially having tied him in Iowa. While Sanders does have a modest 36-32 lead among elected delegates — those that are bound to the candidates based on the results of voting in primaries and caucuses — Clinton leads 362-8 among superdelegates, who are Democratic elected officials and other party insiders allowed to support whichever candidate they like.
If you’re a Sanders supporter, you might think this seems profoundly unfair. And you’d be right: It’s profoundly unfair. Superdelegates were created in part to give Democratic party elites the opportunity to put their finger on the scale and prevent nominations like those of George McGovern in 1972 or Jimmy Carter in 1976, which displeased party insiders.
Here’s the consolation, however. Unlike elected delegates, superdelegates are unbound to any candidate even on the first ballot. They can switch whenever they like, and some of them probably will switch to Sanders if he extends his winning streak into more diverse states and eventually appears to have more of a mandate than Clinton among Democratic voters.
Clinton knows this all too well; it’s exactly what happened to her in 2008 during her loss to Barack Obama. According to the website Democratic Convention Watch,1 Clinton began with a substantial advantage in superdelegates, leading Obama 154 to 50 when New Hampshire voted on Jan. 8, 2008. Obama narrowed his deficit in February and March, however, and overtook Clinton in superdelegates in mid-May. By the time Clinton ended her campaign on June 7, 2008, Obama had nearly a 2-to-1 superdelegate advantage over her.0
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