Thank you PJ! (didn't win lotto but played requested Smile)

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Comments

  • DS1119DS1119 Posts: 33,497
    since everyone has an equal chance to win for every show.
    .


    This statement is only true for members who have tickets. If I am not going to the Vancouver shows I have ZERO chance of hitting lottery seats. Overall the more shows I go to the more chances I actually have to win lottery seats.
  • And this thread has officially become....

    Real fucking silly!!!!
    Take me piece by piece.....
    Till there aint nothing left worth taking away from me.....
  • Tboz51Tboz51 Posts: 2,808
    And this thread has officially become....

    Real fucking silly!!!!

    hahahaha!

    New best post!
    :clap:
    "Honesty will always be construed as negative to a dumbass"
    :-)
  • Tboz51 wrote:
    And this thread has officially become....

    Real fucking silly!!!!

    hahahaha!

    New best post!
    :clap:
    If I dont go to any shows...I have ZERO chance of winning...


    Really??
    Ya dont say???
    Take me piece by piece.....
    Till there aint nothing left worth taking away from me.....
  • DS1119DS1119 Posts: 33,497
    Tboz51 wrote:
    And this thread has officially become....

    Real fucking silly!!!!

    hahahaha!

    New best post!
    :clap:
    If I dont go to any shows...I have ZERO chance of winning...


    Really??
    Ya dont say???


    100% mathematically true. Just like if you go to more shows you have a better chance of winning.
  • QuarterToTenQuarterToTen Cincinnati, Ohio Posts: 3,648
    If I dont go to any shows...I have ZERO chance of winning...


    Really??
    Ya dont say???

    Oh my.

    :lol:
    Nice shirt.
  • Tboz51Tboz51 Posts: 2,808
    Tboz51 wrote:
    And this thread has officially become....

    Real fucking silly!!!!

    hahahaha!

    New best post!
    :clap:
    If I dont go to any shows...I have ZERO chance of winning...


    Really??
    Ya dont say???

    The ticket lottery is exactly like roulette.

    0-00 1-36 gives you a 1-38 chance every spin of winning.

    Every spin is exactly the same 38-1 shot of hitting.

    If the number 7 comes up, it still has the same 38-1 shot of coming up again.

    The number 7 coming up again is the same chance on the next spin of 38-1 chance of coming up.

    Past results do not predict future results.

    Every extra show you attend still gives you the same 40-1 odd chance of winning.

    You can have seen 870 shows and never gotten better then 40-1 chance of winning.

    Unless the venue size or odds go down or up by ticket rows being added. You still have the same 40-1 shot. You can have seen 870 shows and won the lottery ZERO times.

    (for Speedy)

    The only real 1-1 odds you can get is buying ZERO 10c tickets.

    Then you will win lottery tickets never.

    :-)
    "Honesty will always be construed as negative to a dumbass"
    :-)
  • DS1119DS1119 Posts: 33,497
    headbangeranimation.gif

    I give up. It's such a simple concept I think some posters are just trying to fuck with me. :lol:
  • Tboz51Tboz51 Posts: 2,808
    DS1119 wrote:
    headbangeranimation.gif

    I give up. It's such a simple concept I think some posters are just trying to fuck with me. :lol:

    More shows don't mean better odds cause it resets every night.

    I'm sorry, please don't harm your head.
    "Honesty will always be construed as negative to a dumbass"
    :-)
  • Tboz51 wrote:
    DS1119 wrote:
    headbangeranimation.gif

    I give up. It's such a simple concept I think some posters are just trying to fuck with me. :lol:

    More shows don't mean better odds cause it resets every night.

    I'm sorry, please don't harm your head.

    Yes it does. If you dont go its 0-0 chance.
    If you go, it's 40-1 chance, hence better odds.

    Hence, that's a funny word, did I even spell it right?
  • DS1119DS1119 Posts: 33,497
    Tboz51 wrote:
    DS1119 wrote:
    headbangeranimation.gif

    I give up. It's such a simple concept I think some posters are just trying to fuck with me. :lol:

    More shows don't mean better odds cause it resets every night.

    I'm sorry, please don't harm your head.


    Let's try it this way. Follow me here. You are going to one Pearl Jam show this year in North America...just one. I am going to every Pearl Jam show this year in North America. After all of the shows are done..who had the most opportunity to win lottery seats. Was it you with one chance at one show or me with 12 chances at 12 shows? Put your mathematical odds and stuff out of your head and just think about it. I had 12 opportunities to win...you had one. The more chances you have over time the more likely it will be to win lottery seats.
  • DS1119 wrote:
    Tboz51 wrote:
    DS1119 wrote:
    headbangeranimation.gif

    I give up. It's such a simple concept I think some posters are just trying to fuck with me. :lol:

    More shows don't mean better odds cause it resets every night.

    I'm sorry, please don't harm your head.


    Let's try it this way. Follow me here. You are going to one Pearl Jam show this year in North America...just one. I am going to every Pearl Jam show this year in North America. After all of the shows are done..who had the most opportunity to win lottery seats. Was it you with one chance at one show or me with 12 chances at 12 shows? Put your mathematical odds and stuff out of your head and just think about it. I had 12 opportunities to win...you had one. The more chances you have over time the more likely it will be to win lottery seats.

    Now that's what I call lucky, you get to go to all the shows.
  • PJ_LukinPJ_Lukin Posts: 2,055
    I don't ever expect to win so if I do, I will be very, very happy.
    ~!~ Peace ~!~ Love ~!~ Pearl Jam ~!~
  • PJ_Lukin wrote:
    I don't ever expect to win so if I do, I will be very, very happy.

    This.
    No longer overwhelmed it seems so simple now.
  • LizardLizard So Cal Posts: 12,091
    PJ_Lukin wrote:
    I don't ever expect to win so if I do, I will be very, very happy.

    This.
    Me too!!
    I just made that wish in a chain e-mail so I am set! :D:D
    So I'll just lie down and wait for the dream
    Where I'm not ugly and you're lookin' at me
  • dignindignin Posts: 9,478
    DS1119 wrote:
    since everyone has an equal chance to win for every show.
    .


    This statement is only true for members who have tickets. If I am not going to the Vancouver shows I have ZERO chance of hitting lottery seats. Overall the more shows I go to the more chances I actually have to win lottery seats.

    Ok, I shouldn't jump in on this........ but I will. Your right, you will have "more" chances at winning but you will not have a "better" chance at winning for that show the more shows you go to......I will now back away.........slowly. ;)
  • Tboz51Tboz51 Posts: 2,808
    DS1119 your odds are all the same because every show starts your odds back over.

    I wish fucking Stephen Hawkings would weigh in on this already.
    "Honesty will always be construed as negative to a dumbass"
    :-)
  • PoncierPoncier Posts: 17,683
    Tboz51 wrote:

    I wish fucking Stephen Hawkings would weigh in on this already.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B3UXKjAV ... re=related
    This weekend we rock Portland
  • Tboz51 wrote:
    DS1119 your odds are all the same because every show starts your odds back over.

    I wish fucking Stephen Hawkings would weigh in on this already.


    Dude, you cant seriously not understand what DS1119 is saying.
  • DS1119DS1119 Posts: 33,497
    Tboz51 wrote:
    DS1119 your odds are all the same because every show starts your odds back over.

    I wish fucking Stephen Hawkings would weigh in on this already.


    I know the odds for each show are the same. I have never said differently. :lol: All I keep saying is the more shows you go to the better your chances of winning lottery tickets are just simply because you have more opportunities to win. It's a very simple concept.
  • dignindignin Posts: 9,478
    DS1119 wrote:
    Tboz51 wrote:
    DS1119 your odds are all the same because every show starts your odds back over.

    I wish fucking Stephen Hawkings would weigh in on this already.


    I know the odds for each show are the same. I have never said differently. :lol: All I keep saying is the more shows you go to the better your chances of winning lottery tickets are. It's a very simple concept.

    better chances of winning? You could also say the better chances of losing also.
  • Tboz51Tboz51 Posts: 2,808
    DS1119 wrote:
    Tboz51 wrote:
    DS1119 your odds are all the same because every show starts your odds back over.

    I wish fucking Stephen Hawkings would weigh in on this already.


    I know the odds for each show are the same. I have never said differently. :lol: All I keep saying is the more shows you go to the better your chances of winning lottery tickets are just simply because you have more opportunities to win. It's a very simple concept.

    I understand what you are saying.

    I just wish Stephen Hawkings picture would show up in here now.
    "Honesty will always be construed as negative to a dumbass"
    :-)
  • PoncierPoncier Posts: 17,683
    flying-stephen-hawking.jpg
    This weekend we rock Portland
  • Tboz51Tboz51 Posts: 2,808
    Poncier wrote:
    flying-stephen-hawking.jpg

    There he is.. PLAYA'!!
    "Honesty will always be construed as negative to a dumbass"
    :-)
  • It isn't totally random..

    Jeremy


    That is not a fact.

    Goody Tissues
  • jfconnorjrjfconnorjr Posts: 518
    edited September 2011
    I have talked and seen various people who end up in Row 1 more than once. The odds don't support multiple lottery winners. Which suggests there are other criteria the 10C uses to skew the probabilities.
    When some one says "we won the lottery.... again" I have to think someone has stacked the deck.

    On the radio program Tim or Rob have mentioned that the 10C has some settings regarding tickets which make it difficult to hand over to some one like Ticketmaster. I believe that this includes certain "priorities" associated with some 10C members. I am not saying it is unfair or wrong, I am just stating that the lottery is not truly random.

    Also, your probability of winning the lottery does not increase unless the total number of 10C tickets sold decreases. If you go to 100 shows and have 1 pair of tickets to each show out of a total of 1,000 pairs available, your odds are still 1 in 1,000 each night. Your chances only increase if they sell less than the 1,000 pairs or you can buy more than 1 pair. Therefore, your probability of winning is the same as someone who goes to one show.
    Post edited by jfconnorjr on
  • DS1119DS1119 Posts: 33,497
    dignin wrote:
    DS1119 wrote:
    Tboz51 wrote:
    DS1119 your odds are all the same because every show starts your odds back over.

    I wish fucking Stephen Hawkings would weigh in on this already.


    I know the odds for each show are the same. I have never said differently. :lol: All I keep saying is the more shows you go to the better your chances of winning lottery tickets are. It's a very simple concept.

    better chances of winning? You could also say the better chances of losing also.


    I'm out.
  • 8181 Needing a ride to Forest Hills and a ounce of weed. Please inquire within. Thanks. Or not. Posts: 58,276
    :lol:


    some threads amaze me...this is one of them. :lol:

    just enjoy the show...and if you win...enjoy that moment as well.
    81 is now off the air

    Off_Air.jpg
  • congrats to Stelios that won 1st row at Toronto 2 :D
    "...Dimitri...He talks to me...'.."The Ghost of Greece..".
    "..That's One Happy Fuckin Ghost.."
    “..That came up on the Pillow Case...This is for the Greek, With Our Apologies.....”
  • CranMalReignCranMalReign Posts: 1,928
    edited September 2011
    I'm not very good at math, I think :)
    Post edited by CranMalReign on
    • 98 Pgh
    • 00 Pgh
    • 03 Pgh|Philly|PSU|Camden 1+2|Hershey
    • 04 Boston 1|Reading
    • 05 Philly
    • 06 Camden 1+2|Pgh
    • 08 Camden 1+2|Hartford|Mansfield 2
    • 09 Philly 1 [EV]|Toronto|Spectrum 1-4
    • 10 Cleveland|Buffalo
    • 11 Philly [EV]|PJ20
    • 12 Philly
    • 13 London|Pgh|Buff|Philly 1+2|Balt
    • 14 Cincy|StL
    • 16 Philly 1+2|Philly 2 [TotD]
    • 18 Boston 1+2
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