North American Tour Odds

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  • lfitzpatrick9
    lfitzpatrick9 NJ Posts: 396
    tdawe said:
    Saltzy23 said:
    Starting to think winning NYC and Baltimore might be a tall order.
    With two shows for the entire northeast it was always going to be that way. It’s looking much better than I expected.
    What were the odds for reserved in 2016 when they were at MSG and does anyone remember the odds for Fenway a couple years ago for reserved not GA. Just curious. Cause as of right now it looks like ten club was able to obtain more tickets this go around. Which I tip my hat off to them. Hope we all get at least one of the shows we put in for.  
  • Lerxst1992
    Lerxst1992 Posts: 8,552
    Mozzy said:
    Just updated again

    Baltimore: 19/85
    MSG: 13/74
    Nashville: 28/99
    STL: 28/99
    OKC: 92/99
    Denver: 32/99
    PHX: 51/99
    SD: 49/99
    LA1: 37/99
    LA2: 39/99
    OAK1: 43/99
    OAK2: 55/99





    “Hey dude, let’s practice our guitars a lot so we can make it big. We’ll start this incredible fan club so we’ll know where our fans are and then play everywhere but.” Lamenting, yes.

    thinking NY and Baltimore are dropping and dropping and  dropping tomorrow.
  • 1ThoughtKnown
    1ThoughtKnown Posts: 6,155
    edited January 2020
    Minor surprise Denver such a  tough GA ticket. Hopefully making it my #1 choice pays off
    EDIT - St Lou and Nashvegas are tougher 
    Post edited by 1ThoughtKnown on
  • CO278952
    CO278952 Orlando, FL Posts: 1,451
    estarr31 said:
    tschav said:

    It will be interesting how much of each blue section is used for 10c... full sections or an allotment of the first ___ rows of each area?
    Really seems like it's the entire section. Only one show, not many on east coast. They probably have enough demand to fill. And even if they dont, then the rest are released in public sale. It's a win-win. I don't think they're misleading anyone here by shading in the entire area yet only having access to some of the seats. 
    Agree with this common sense assessment!  See you at MSG!
    4.17.94 Paramount 9.28.96 Randall's Island 8.25.00 Jones Beach 4.28.03 Spectrum 7.5.03 Camden 7.6.03 Camden 07.08.03 MSG 07.09.03 MSG 7.12.03 Hershey 7.14.03 Holmdel 6.12.08 Tampa 10.19.13 Brooklyn 4.11.16 Tampa 5.1.16 MSG 5.2.16 MSG 8.7.16 Fenway 9.2.18 Fenway 9.4.18 Fenway 9.11.22 MSG 9.16.22 Nashville 9.18.23 Austin 9.19.23 Austin 9.3.24 MSG 9.4.24 MSG Fenway 9.15.24 Fenway 9.17.24 Hollywood 4.24.25 Nashville 5.6.25 Nashville 5.8.25
  • demetrios
    demetrios Posts: 98,322
    PJNB said:
    I do not have access to those Canadian odds but those are the same as this morning aren't they? I take it they have not updated yet?

    Last night's odds were different then early yesterday mornings.
  • NewfieintheUSA
    NewfieintheUSA Posts: 2,416
    gotthebottle said:
    PJNB said:
    gotthebottle said:
    mace1229 said:
    gotthebottle said:
    I asked ticketmaster email but haven't heard back yet...if original purchaser of a pair can't go I assume they have to throw the pair into the FAn to Fan exchange since the tix are non-transferable and the other person who CAN go is SOL?

    Did it ever say you have to sell fan to fan as a pair?
    I would assume you could sell one to the friend via fan to fan and the other to some rando fan to fan. It doesn’t say fan to fan has to be a 10c member either, just that it goes through TM.
    If you read it also says that 10C will be monitoring the Fan to Fan Exchange so yeah, it is for us....I have a feeling TM will use their typical resale methodolgy for the regular tickets
    I read it as all tickets are non-transferable and need to be put on the face to face ticket exchange for sale. Except for Denver and NY. 
    That is only to us in the pre-sale....You don't know what it will say for the general sale

    VF notice has the same note about the fan to fan exchange, so pretty sure it is all of them
  • Falling Down
    Falling Down Posts: 845
    PJNB said:
    MUZIK said:
    verceman said:
    awilkins said:
    pearljamnewf said:
    So if going to the 4 canadian shows. how the heck do you order them, assuming you desire GA for them all. Quebec City would be in 4th priority as every GA request in there now will be granted. But the other three does it matter much?
    Do you really think every Quebec GA will be granted or it's just 99% best available granted?
    wow, I just looked and indeed GA is 99% odds. Wow, what the heck Quebec????
    Quebec City is 3.5 from Montreal.

    i mean that’s what they get for not doing a show in Montreal that would most likely sell out. 
    Quebec City is going to sell out though. GA was down to 44% in 2016. Those odds are from this morning and they will be down on the next update I bet. 
    It sold out in 30 minutes in 2016 during the public sale. Very special music fans in Quebec City. Festival d'été de Quebec often gets over 150k fans per concert. In 2015, Metallica closed the old Colisée Pepsi, and then opened the Videotron Centre the next day. 

    Montreal 98, 00, 03, 05, 11
    Toronto 03, 06, 11
    Ottawa 05, 11
    Quebec 05; Saratoga 00; Boston 04; Toledo 04
    Albany 06; Honolulu 06; Hartford 08
    Costa Rica 11
    London (Ont.), Hartford 13
    Quebec, Fenway 1 + 2 16; London 18
    EV Montreal (2), Berkeley II, Albany, Boston, London (UK)

  • jmbethony
    jmbethony Posts: 56
    Quebec City odds are now 75/99
  • PJNB
    PJNB Posts: 13,890
    jmbethony said:
    Quebec City odds are now 75/99
    Mine still shows 99% for QBC


  • jmbethony
    jmbethony Posts: 56
    PJNB said:
    jmbethony said:
    Quebec City odds are now 75/99
    Mine still shows 99% for QBC


    You’re right. I was looking at Ottawa. It’s still early. 
  • PJNB
    PJNB Posts: 13,890
    The only difference I see for the last 24 hours for the CAN shows is Ottawa is down 2% from 77% to 75%. 

    Something is not right there. 

    Yesterday morning

    TO 40 / 99 OTT 77 / 99 QBC 99 / 99 HAM 51 / 99

    Today

    TO 40 / 99 OTT 75 / 99 QBC 99 / 99 HAM 51 / 99
  • CantKeepmedown
    CantKeepmedown Portland, Maine Posts: 3,129
    Lerxst1992 said:
    Mozzy said:
    Just updated again

    Baltimore: 19/85
    MSG: 13/74
    Nashville: 28/99
    STL: 28/99
    OKC: 92/99
    Denver: 32/99
    PHX: 51/99
    SD: 49/99
    LA1: 37/99
    LA2: 39/99
    OAK1: 43/99
    OAK2: 55/99





    “Hey dude, let’s practice our guitars a lot so we can make it big. We’ll start this incredible fan club so we’ll know where our fans are and then play everywhere but.” Lamenting, yes.

    thinking NY and Baltimore are dropping and dropping and  dropping tomorrow.
    They'll be back in the fall. It'll be OK, I promise.

    That's what I keep telling myself, at least.  I have zero expectations for the lottery.  Since I had to pivot from Quebec, I knew it would be a longshot getting to see a show (NY).  If it happens, great.  If not, I'll have more chances later this year.  
  • Renfield
    Renfield NYC NY Posts: 1,054
    lfitzpatrick9 said:
    tdawe 
    What were the odds for reserved in 2016 when they were at MSG and does anyone remember the odds for Fenway a couple years ago for reserved not GA. Just curious. Cause as of right now it looks like ten club was able to obtain more tickets this go around. Which I tip my hat off to them. Hope we all get at least one of the shows we put in for.  
    @lfitzpatrick9  MSG odds 2016....not sure if it’s a good benchmark now that PJ has an unprecedented amount of 10C seats

  • JimmyV
    JimmyV Boston's MetroWest Posts: 19,620
    Given how much confusion there has been about the process (tl,dr) I'm betting many of my fellow Americans missed that they needed to click to a separate page to select Canadian shows.
    ___________________________________________

    "...I changed by not changing at all..."
  • PJNB
    PJNB Posts: 13,890
    JimmyV said:
    Given how much confusion there has been about the process (tl,dr) I'm betting many of my fellow Americans missed that they needed to click to a separate page to select Canadian shows.
    I am sure that has happened but Toronto should be the second worse odds for GA even so. No way it goes 24hours without moving 1%. 
  • Renfield
    Renfield NYC NY Posts: 1,054
    JimmyV said:
    Given how much confusion there has been about the process (tl,dr) I'm betting many of my fellow Americans missed that they needed to click to a separate page to select Canadian shows.
    I missed it at first because I only cared about MSG. It’s on the first page when you go step by step 
    Step 1. Go to https://ticketmaster.com/tenclub 
  • JimmyV
    JimmyV Boston's MetroWest Posts: 19,620
    CantKeepmedown said:
    Lerxst1992 said:
    Mozzy said:
    Just updated again

    Baltimore: 19/85
    MSG: 13/74
    Nashville: 28/99
    STL: 28/99
    OKC: 92/99
    Denver: 32/99
    PHX: 51/99
    SD: 49/99
    LA1: 37/99
    LA2: 39/99
    OAK1: 43/99
    OAK2: 55/99





    “Hey dude, let’s practice our guitars a lot so we can make it big. We’ll start this incredible fan club so we’ll know where our fans are and then play everywhere but.” Lamenting, yes.

    thinking NY and Baltimore are dropping and dropping and  dropping tomorrow.
    They'll be back in the fall. It'll be OK, I promise.

    That's what I keep telling myself, at least.  I have zero expectations for the lottery.  Since I had to pivot from Quebec, I knew it would be a longshot getting to see a show (NY).  If it happens, great.  If not, I'll have more chances later this year.  
    They'll be back in the fall. Backspacer and Lightning Bolt both dropped in the fall with a first leg then and a second leg the following spring. Only difference now is that Gigaton is dropping in the spring. Have faith in leg 2.
    ___________________________________________

    "...I changed by not changing at all..."
  • NewfieintheUSA
    NewfieintheUSA Posts: 2,416
    PJNB said:
    JimmyV said:
    Given how much confusion there has been about the process (tl,dr) I'm betting many of my fellow Americans missed that they needed to click to a separate page to select Canadian shows.
    I am sure that has happened but Toronto should be the second worse odds for GA even so. No way it goes 24hours without moving 1%. 
    Agreed, something feels off about this. But I'm hoping the odds are correct.
  • hihobibo
    hihobibo Tampa, FL Posts: 1,149
    Who has yet to put in, and if not, then why the hold out? Or is anyone adding to your itinerary based on the odds? I would think everyone who wants to go already put in their requests, so odds wouldn't change too much today, but I know that there are also superstitious people who think they have a better chance the closer to the deadline they submit. .
  • gotthebottle
    gotthebottle San Diego Posts: 3,884
    hihobibo said:
    Who has yet to put in, and if not, then why the hold out? Or is anyone adding to your itinerary based on the odds? I would think everyone who wants to go already put in their requests, so odds wouldn't change too much today, but I know that there are also superstitious people who think they have a better chance the closer to the deadline they submit. .
    I haven't submitted my picks yet. Since this is probably all California will get (and southwest) I'm trying to figure out how many shows I can see. It is likely in the fall shows stay MOSTLY east of Mississippi (except northwest and maybe Texas). In the fall I'd have to travel (as usual)

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