Knowing What You Know Now, Would You Still Support Trump for President?

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  • PJ_Soul
    PJ_Soul Vancouver, BC Posts: 50,668
    OnWis97 said:
    OnWis97 said:
    So, who here would? Don't be afraid. If you voted for Team Trump Treason and the election were held tomorrow, would you vote for him, regardless of the opposing candidate(s)?

    Lurking somewhere for sure, but don't hold your breath: the Trump supporters that have modern technology and know how to use modern technology are not going to expose themselves publically as a tool. Doing so would be tantamount to coming on here and passionately asserting Nickelback is way better than Pearl Jam.
    And this is why I didn't buy the polling data that had Hillary as the surefire winner. I felt there were a lot of Trump supporters that didn't want to admit it. 
    It depended on who was interpreting the polling data as to who declared her a sure fire winner. 
    Well take something like fivethirtyeight.com, which was literally created to predict the outcomes of elections by using various polling data. They said it was a shoo-in for Hillary. And now they have no credibility. 
    I’m not sure where you’re getting that fivethirtyeight said it was a shoo-in for Clinton. What I’ve seen there is that they gave trump a 28% chance of winning. They also pretty much just nailed the recent election. 
    Ok shoo-in might not be the best wording there. I guess I meant to say they didn't give him as good a chance as I thought he had. 
    But what does that even mean, “didn’t give him as good a chance as I thought he had”? They gave him an almost 30% chance of winning, based on a complex analysis of polling data. Maybe you gave him a 50% chance of winning, based on your gut. It’s irrelevant, though; the end result is binary, whether the chance was 28% or 50% or 90%. 

     
    I based it on the fact that, for work, I have to drive all over Pennsylvania. Everywhere I went there were Trump signs except for Philly and Pittsburgh. And I thought well, it seems like rural Pennsylvania is all about Trump. And that being the case, why wouldn't rural Ohio be for Trump? And hell, why not all other rural places? So that's what I based it on: everything between Philly and Pittsburgh being Trump country and having a feeling that this could be the case all over the country. 
    It probably is...my last trip through Wisconsin did not tell me who was running against Scott Walker because his were the only gubernatorial signs I saw.  I also saw way more signs for incumbent Tammy Baldwin's (D) opponent (R; forgot name) than Baldwin.  Walker lost and Baldwin won easily.  When driving through the sticks, most signs are for GOP but these are very few people.  Once you get to even small towns, you'll see that even out some.
    I'm in red meat Indiana so signs don't tell me much.  My parents are GOP yet they hated tRump.  My mom actually wrote in "Mitch Daniels" for president when she voted.

    I was more surprised at the lefties that didn't vote for Clinton.  I'll never understand that.  I think they assumed Clinton would win so they voted for Johnson or Stein to make themselves feel better.  Then they couldn't believe tRump won.
    I actually even thought Johnson and Stein were subpar for their respective parties, which (particularly for Stein) should have been good for Hillary.

    Regarding lefties not voting for Clinton, one of the many, many pieces of the perfect shitstorm that got Trump elected (and one of the most preventable) was the party's lack of understanding of just how hated she has been for so long.  I think there were just enough people that value "my vote" over "who wins."  I understand that philosophy but with Trump on the otherside, lament it.  The party really was out of touch with the American People.  There probably is some of that "I'll vote third because this thing's over, anyway."  But I really think the dems simply nominated a dog of a candidate.  
    My parents drove all the way across America in the weeks leading up to the 2016 election, and when they came home, just a few days before election day, they said they were now 100% convinced that Trump would win the election simply because they saw SO much support for Trump across the country in the form of signs and posters, etc etc. None of that was about being anti-Clinton. That was all full on support for Trump that they saw as they made their way across the nation.
    With all its sham, drudgery, and broken dreams, it is still a beautiful world. Be careful. Strive to be happy. ~ Desiderata
  • MayDay10
    MayDay10 Posts: 11,853
    Im in a liberal state

    Tbh, i wouldnt dare put up any signs, stickers, etc in fear of badgering, harassment, or vandalism 
  • PJ_Soul
    PJ_Soul Vancouver, BC Posts: 50,668
    MayDay10 said:
    Im in a liberal state

    Tbh, i wouldnt dare put up any signs, stickers, etc in fear of badgering, harassment, or vandalism 
    Apparently there are a LOT of places where it's hunky dory, lol. Of course they drove through practically every small town from Washington state to the Atlantic Ocean... and didn't even get close to the southern states. I don't think they went farther south than southern Illinois/Indiana on that trip.
    With all its sham, drudgery, and broken dreams, it is still a beautiful world. Be careful. Strive to be happy. ~ Desiderata
  • jeffbr
    jeffbr Seattle Posts: 7,177
    PJ_Soul said:
    MayDay10 said:
    Im in a liberal state

    Tbh, i wouldnt dare put up any signs, stickers, etc in fear of badgering, harassment, or vandalism 
    Apparently there are a LOT of places where it's hunky dory, lol. Of course they drove through practically every small town from Washington state to the Atlantic Ocean... and didn't even get close to the southern states. I don't think they went farther south than southern Illinois/Indiana on that trip.
    You mention Washington State. Sure, many small, rural towns visibly and vocally supported Trump, but he didn't have a prayer here. The last time Washington State's votes went to a Republican was 1984 for Ronald Reagan. Hillary destroyed Trump here in 2016, 54.3% to 38.1%. So while there were plenty of Trump signs out, there wasn't any critical mass of support for him, despite the prevalence of yard signs. Obviously places like Idaho, the Dakotas, and the Rust Belt may have been Trump country, but those signs aren't always indicative of his level of support.
    "I'll use the magic word - let's just shut the fuck up, please." EV, 04/13/08
  • PJ_Soul
    PJ_Soul Vancouver, BC Posts: 50,668
    jeffbr said:
    PJ_Soul said:
    MayDay10 said:
    Im in a liberal state

    Tbh, i wouldnt dare put up any signs, stickers, etc in fear of badgering, harassment, or vandalism 
    Apparently there are a LOT of places where it's hunky dory, lol. Of course they drove through practically every small town from Washington state to the Atlantic Ocean... and didn't even get close to the southern states. I don't think they went farther south than southern Illinois/Indiana on that trip.
    You mention Washington State. Sure, many small, rural towns visibly and vocally supported Trump, but he didn't have a prayer here. The last time Washington State's votes went to a Republican was 1984 for Ronald Reagan. Hillary destroyed Trump here in 2016, 54.3% to 38.1%. So while there were plenty of Trump signs out, there wasn't any critical mass of support for him, despite the prevalence of yard signs. Obviously places like Idaho, the Dakotas, and the Rust Belt may have been Trump country, but those signs aren't always indicative of his level of support.
    Yeah, I know how Washington votes better than any other state - I know WA as well as I know BC. All I was saying is that my parents went across America right before the election, and when they left they thought that Trump didn't have a hope in hell of winning, and when they returned they would have bet money on him winning, all just because they observed so much specific Trump support on their journey - way, way more than they expected to see - and they didn't even visit the states that REALLY like him. My point is that specific support for Trump across the nation (as opposed to people simply being ridiculously (and illogically, IMO) anti-Clinton) was higher than some like to believe.
    With all its sham, drudgery, and broken dreams, it is still a beautiful world. Be careful. Strive to be happy. ~ Desiderata
  • my2hands
    my2hands Posts: 17,117
    29% is a massive underdog folks

    I love you guys :)
  • jeffbr
    jeffbr Seattle Posts: 7,177
    PJ_Soul said:
    jeffbr said:
    PJ_Soul said:
    MayDay10 said:
    Im in a liberal state

    Tbh, i wouldnt dare put up any signs, stickers, etc in fear of badgering, harassment, or vandalism 
    Apparently there are a LOT of places where it's hunky dory, lol. Of course they drove through practically every small town from Washington state to the Atlantic Ocean... and didn't even get close to the southern states. I don't think they went farther south than southern Illinois/Indiana on that trip.
    You mention Washington State. Sure, many small, rural towns visibly and vocally supported Trump, but he didn't have a prayer here. The last time Washington State's votes went to a Republican was 1984 for Ronald Reagan. Hillary destroyed Trump here in 2016, 54.3% to 38.1%. So while there were plenty of Trump signs out, there wasn't any critical mass of support for him, despite the prevalence of yard signs. Obviously places like Idaho, the Dakotas, and the Rust Belt may have been Trump country, but those signs aren't always indicative of his level of support.
    Yeah, I know how Washington votes better than any other state - I know WA as well as I know BC. All I was saying is that my parents went across America right before the election, and when they left they thought that Trump didn't have a hope in hell of winning, and when they returned they would have bet money on him winning, all just because they observed so much specific Trump support on their journey - way, way more than they expected to see - and they didn't even visit the states that REALLY like him. My point is that specific support for Trump across the nation (as opposed to people simply being ridiculously (and illogically, IMO) anti-Clinton) was higher than some like to believe.
    I agree with that. There were definitely very vocal and visible pockets of Trump supporters, even in very red states, who were motivated and engaged. I don't personally know any of them, and can't imagine the cognitive dissonance required by so-called Republicans to go all in for Trump. Protectionist economic policies, massive deficit spending, porn stars and prostitutes, and love affairs with ruthless dictators and sworn enemies of our country, yet those yokels continue to support him. God, guns & Trump! Praise the lord.
    "I'll use the magic word - let's just shut the fuck up, please." EV, 04/13/08
  • Go Beavers
    Go Beavers Posts: 9,552
    my2hands said:
    29% is a massive underdog folks

    I love you guys :)
    I want these people with this interesting take on probability ncaa tourney pool. Nice choice with Canisius in the final four! 
  • my2hands
    my2hands Posts: 17,117
     you weren't shocked that night?

    Now we are saying this wasnt a massive, shocking, wtf just happened type of upset? C'mon

    In the weeks leading up she was an even bigger chalk
  • Go Beavers
    Go Beavers Posts: 9,552
    my2hands said:
     you weren't shocked that night?

    Now we are saying this wasnt a massive, shocking, wtf just happened type of upset? C'mon

    In the weeks leading up she was an even bigger chalk
    I was totally shocked that night and for quite awhile after. I hadn’t fully internalized the 28.6% likelihood! 

    My beef if that since then, people have flat out denied every single poll saying they’re innacurate. 
  • OnWis97
    OnWis97 St. Paul, MN Posts: 5,610
    I was not shocked.  I actually bought into the notion that supporters didn’t admit to it.  I also saw that several states she was supposed win were shaky.  Neither result was going to shock me.
    1995 Milwaukee     1998 Alpine, Alpine     2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston     2004 Boston, Boston     2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty)     2011 Alpine, Alpine     
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  • my2hands said:
    29% is a massive underdog folks

    I love you guys :)

    But 29% allows for a win that is not completely out of the realm of possibilities. If it was 100% and the results weren't realized... then this would be an issue.
    "My brain's a good brain!"
  • HughFreakingDillon
    HughFreakingDillon Winnipeg Posts: 39,473
    I could have sworn that when i was watching CNN on election night their projection was that clinton had like a 92% chance or something ridiculous like that. But I could be recalling it incorrectly. 
    By The Time They Figure Out What Went Wrong, We'll Be Sitting On A Beach, Earning Twenty Percent.




  • OnWis97
    OnWis97 St. Paul, MN Posts: 5,610
    Nate Silver / 538, at like 29% for Trump was one of the closest...many, many others had her close to 90%.
    1995 Milwaukee     1998 Alpine, Alpine     2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston     2004 Boston, Boston     2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty)     2011 Alpine, Alpine     
    2013 Wrigley     2014 St. Paul     2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley     2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley     2021 Asbury Park     2022 St Louis     2023 Austin, Austin
    2024 Napa, Wrigley, Wrigley
  • PJ_Soul
    PJ_Soul Vancouver, BC Posts: 50,668
    edited November 2018
    my2hands said:
     you weren't shocked that night?

    Now we are saying this wasnt a massive, shocking, wtf just happened type of upset? C'mon

    In the weeks leading up she was an even bigger chalk
    I was scared before the election, but held hope (and cursed Comey the whole time too, lol) ... and then I kind of had an anxiety attack when the results became clear. And then I felt fucking mad about all the stupidity and grossness.
    With all its sham, drudgery, and broken dreams, it is still a beautiful world. Be careful. Strive to be happy. ~ Desiderata
  • PJPOWER
    PJPOWER Posts: 6,499
    edited November 2018
    If Hillary is the other option again, then yes, I will absolutely vote for Trump.
  • PJPOWER said:
    If Hillary is the other option again, then yes, I will absolutely vote for Trump.
    I'm no Hillary fan but I'll never understand this notion that she was a worse option than Trump. Why? Trump has proven throughout his business career to be way more "crooked" than Hillary even had the ability to be. Don't get me wrong, she's no angel. I understand why and how anyone wouldn't want her as the President. But a crooked casino-owner turned reality TV star that has had several business endeavors go bankrupt? He was the better option?
    2000: Camden 1, 2003: Philly, State College, Camden 1, MSG 2, Hershey, 2004: Reading, 2005: Philly, 2006: Camden 1, 2, East Rutherford 1, 2007: Lollapalooza, 2008: Camden 1, Washington D.C., MSG 1, 2, 2009: Philly 1, 2, 3, 4, 2010: Bristol, MSG 2, 2011: PJ20 1, 2, 2012: Made In America, 2013: Brooklyn 2, Philly 2, 2014: Denver, 2015: Global Citizen Festival, 2016: Philly 2, Fenway 1, 2018: Fenway 1, 2, 2021: Sea. Hear. Now. 2022: Camden, 2024Philly 2, 2025: Pittsburgh 1

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  • Would it be fair to suggest the majority (or core) of his base is comprised of uneducated, white males?
    "My brain's a good brain!"
  • Would it be fair to suggest the majority (or core) of his base is comprised of uneducated, white males?
    Call 'em whatever ya want. I think some of them thumb their nose at logic (the logic that Trump is horrible) as a "fuck you" to the people calling them uneducated, racist, etc. 
    2000: Camden 1, 2003: Philly, State College, Camden 1, MSG 2, Hershey, 2004: Reading, 2005: Philly, 2006: Camden 1, 2, East Rutherford 1, 2007: Lollapalooza, 2008: Camden 1, Washington D.C., MSG 1, 2, 2009: Philly 1, 2, 3, 4, 2010: Bristol, MSG 2, 2011: PJ20 1, 2, 2012: Made In America, 2013: Brooklyn 2, Philly 2, 2014: Denver, 2015: Global Citizen Festival, 2016: Philly 2, Fenway 1, 2018: Fenway 1, 2, 2021: Sea. Hear. Now. 2022: Camden, 2024Philly 2, 2025: Pittsburgh 1

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  • Would it be fair to suggest the majority (or core) of his base is comprised of uneducated, white males?
    Call 'em whatever ya want. I think some of them thumb their nose at logic (the logic that Trump is horrible) as a "fuck you" to the people calling them uneducated, racist, etc. 

    So you think some of 'em have their feelings hurt and would vote against McDonald if smart people were nicer to them or accepted their views on race?
    "My brain's a good brain!"