** KAMALA HARRIS FOR PRESIDENT -PART DEUX **

1146147149151152206

Comments

  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,805
    teskeinc said:
    it's easy to shit talk when sitting behind a keyboard.
    Truth to most. Shit talk to brainwashed liberals. 
    See you literally contradict yourself.  You say the vaccine works for the immunocompromised  but then criticize the vaccine and say "truth to most".  WTF is wrong with your brain?
  • Halifax2TheMaxHalifax2TheMax Posts: 39,305
    mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

    Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.

    Brilliantati©
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,206
    mrussel1 said:
    teskeinc said:
    it's easy to shit talk when sitting behind a keyboard.
    Truth to most. Shit talk to brainwashed liberals. 
    See you literally contradict yourself.  You say the vaccine works for the immunocompromised  but then criticize the vaccine and say "truth to most".  WTF is wrong with your brain?
    Dude exposed himself to be a fraud in one post. The fat shaming was a bad look too 
  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,805
    mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    I honestly don't think polls matter.  It's all MOE.  It's about the turnout.  Who has the better ground game and can get their people to the polls

  • mrussel1mrussel1 Posts: 29,805
    In 2020, in private DMs with a Deloitte executive,  Vance criticized Trump's presidency,  in particular his economic performance.   He also predicted Trump would lose.  Yet today he says that Trump didn't lose and that he was wrong in his 2016 comments about Trump. Truth is even after 4 years in office,  Vance was highly critical.   

    Trump's own VP knows he is a liar and a failure. 

    We all know he is lying now for expediency.  

    https://thehill.com/business/4919910-deloitte-employee-trump-criticism/
  • teskeincteskeinc Posts: 1,784
    Most likely Pennsylvania decides this election. Real Clear Politics had Biden +7.1 over Trump in 2020. Today Trump and Harris are tied exactly. 

    Biden won Pennsylvania by +1.2 in 2020. By 80,000 votes out of 7.8 million cast. 

    Almost all the swing states show the same thing. Biden had 4-6 point advantage over Trump in the polls a month out in 2020. We know the results were around 1 point in the final results. Today all the swing  states show 1-2 points either way. 

    That’s why I’m confident. It’s just common sense at this point. Of course you can spin it any way you want, doesn’t change the numbers. That’s why you’re seeing Kamala change strategy abruptly and trying to get in front of the camera. It’s panic mode for Kamala as any chance has sipped away quickly.


  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,206
    I guess we’ll see 
  • brianluxbrianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 42,283
    it's easy to shit talk when sitting behind a keyboard.

    aka "keyboard warrior". 
    Well, we all get lonely, right?  Even me as a married guy because I have health issues that keep me home bound a lot of the time and my wife has a life.  So what to do?  Be friends on line or be a keyboard warrior.  I find the former hugely more satisfying than the latter.
    "Pretty cookies, heart squares all around, yeah!"
    -Eddie Vedder, "Smile"

    "Try to not spook the horse."
    -Neil Young













  • Halifax2TheMaxHalifax2TheMax Posts: 39,305
    mrussel1 said:
    mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    I honestly don't think polls matter.  It's all MOE.  It's about the turnout.  Who has the better ground game and can get their people to the polls

    In this day and age it’s about more than turnout. For the record, I don’t trust the polls one iota, either way but they should be 60/40 and they’re not. That gives me major pause.
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

    Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.

    Brilliantati©
  • mickeyratmickeyrat Posts: 39,229
    mrussel1 said:
    teskeinc said:
    it's easy to shit talk when sitting behind a keyboard.
    Truth to most. Shit talk to brainwashed liberals. 
    See you literally contradict yourself.  You say the vaccine works for the immunocompromised  but then criticize the vaccine and say "truth to most".  WTF is wrong with your brain?

    TDS?
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • Johnny AbruzzoJohnny Abruzzo Philly Posts: 11,714
    538 expected Oz to win the Senate race in 2022. These things go both ways. I know I am doing the ground work to win it for Harris. I can take some magat yelling at me to get off his property here and there. It's a turnout battle.
    Spectrum 10/27/09; New Orleans JazzFest 5/1/10; Made in America 9/2/12; Phila, PA 10/21/13; Phila, PA 10/22/13; Baltimore Arena 10/27/13;
    Phila, PA 4/28/16; Phila, PA 4/29/16; Fenway Park 8/7/16; Fenway Park 9/2/18; Asbury Park 9/18/21; Camden 9/14/22;
    Las Vegas 5/16/24; Las Vegas 5/18/24; Phila, PA 9/7/24; Phila, PA 9/9/24; Baltimore Arena 9/12/24

    Tres Mtns - TLA 3/23/11; EV - Tower Theatre 6/25/11; Temple of the Dog - Tower Theatre 11/5/16
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 20,645
    538 expected Oz to win the Senate race in 2022. These things go both ways. I know I am doing the ground work to win it for Harris. I can take some magat yelling at me to get off his property here and there. It's a turnout battle.
    definitely turnout and that seems to be in our favor but who knows....
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • mickeyratmickeyrat Posts: 39,229
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • The JugglerThe Juggler Posts: 49,032
    mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    Fair enough. There is nothing wrong with admitting she's a slight favorite and has been for a while though. Better to be in her position than Trump's. 

    Good NY Times/Sienna poll this morning too. 
    www.myspace.com
  • mickeyratmickeyrat Posts: 39,229
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • Halifax2TheMaxHalifax2TheMax Posts: 39,305
    mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    Fair enough. There is nothing wrong with admitting she's a slight favorite and has been for a while though. Better to be in her position than Trump's. 

    Good NY Times/Sienna poll this morning too. 
    I also don’t like that the polls don’t measure the intangibles, like the % the “independent” candidates will pull, the distribution of polling places and voting machines, the amount of scrubbing of voter rolls, the number of lawsuits filed challenging every aspect of the vote and the ones waiting to be filed when Kamala wins by less than a % and the final flood of shit on the days leading up to November 5th. These are not normal times and it’s going to be a shit show, regardless. Polls don’t measure all the variables.
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

    Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.

    Brilliantati©
  • The JugglerThe Juggler Posts: 49,032
    edited October 8
    mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    Fair enough. There is nothing wrong with admitting she's a slight favorite and has been for a while though. Better to be in her position than Trump's. 

    Good NY Times/Sienna poll this morning too. 
    I also don’t like that the polls don’t measure the intangibles, like the % the “independent” candidates will pull, the distribution of polling places and voting machines, the amount of scrubbing of voter rolls, the number of lawsuits filed challenging every aspect of the vote and the ones waiting to be filed when Kamala wins by less than a % and the final flood of shit on the days leading up to November 5th. These are not normal times and it’s going to be a shit show, regardless. Polls don’t measure all the variables.
    That's why we have forecast models.

    Again, Kamala is in the driver's seat at this point. But anything can happen. 


    www.myspace.com
  • Philly NJPhilly NJ Posts: 245
    Philly NJ said:

    America needs to see more of Harris. More of her reading her note cards as she addresses the media. More of her waving off media questions.  More of her pretending to read.  More of her past statements and actions.  More of her trying to get the poor to pay for the rich student loans.  More of her providing BILLIONS to illegals and offering peanuts to suffering American citizens. More of her lying about her whereabouts on J6.  More of her defending the BLM riots.  More of her allowing illegal alien sexual predators, murders, and convicted criminals to roam free in America.  More of her censoring any opposing views.  More and more common sense Americans are beginning to realize Harris is a clear and present threat to democracy and the American way of life.


    Well, some of America is seeing more of Harris this week.  That makes me happy. 
  • teskeincteskeinc Posts: 1,784
    mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    Fair enough. There is nothing wrong with admitting she's a slight favorite and has been for a while though. Better to be in her position than Trump's. 

    Good NY Times/Sienna poll this morning too. 
    I also don’t like that the polls don’t measure the intangibles, like the % the “independent” candidates will pull, the distribution of polling places and voting machines, the amount of scrubbing of voter rolls, the number of lawsuits filed challenging every aspect of the vote and the ones waiting to be filed when Kamala wins by less than a % and the final flood of shit on the days leading up to November 5th. These are not normal times and it’s going to be a shit show, regardless. Polls don’t measure all the variables.
    That's why we have forecast models.

    Again, Kamala is in the driver's seat at this point. But anything can happen. 


    😂😂😂😂😂

    I guess that’s why she’s on her comedy tour this week while another major hurricane is hitting the country and people still suffer from the last one. At least Biden canceled his international trip.

    Would be a perfect time to have briefings and look Presidential warning and helping get the word out.
    But she would rather joke with Stern, Colbert, The View etc. People are trying to call FEMA, not call Kamala Daddy. Deplorable.
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,206
    You know for a fact she's not taking briefings on the hurricane?

  • Philly NJPhilly NJ Posts: 245

    Harris is as fake as they come. Now she is a crisis actress....

    Kamala Harris told reporters that Ron DeSantis was being selfish and ‘utterly irresponsible’ for not taking her call regarding Hurricane Milton.

    Hours later, Ron DeSantis says in her 3 and a half years in office, Kamala Harris hasn’t called him once to offer assistance.

    “She has no role in this. In fact, she's been vice president for three and a half years.”

    “I've dealt with a number of storms under this administration. She has never contributed anything to any of these efforts.”

    “She's the first one who's trying to politicize the storm, and she's doing that just because of her campaign.”


  • Merkin BallerMerkin Baller Posts: 11,578
    “Obsession has a hunger
    Tunnel vision has a tell
    Fanatical behavior
    Seems to fit you well
    Fixate on what you think you know
    You're missing what you don't, though
    Crazy wouldn't notice
    Have a lonely life in your chosen hell

    Metaphors just point the way
    Towards untouchable ideas
    Fixating on the finger
    Missed the point, dull the point as well
    Dull the point, miss the point
    Dull the point, miss the point
    Dull the point as well

    Obsession has a odor
    Tunnel vision has a tell
    It's fanatical behavior
    Have a lovely life in your chosen hell”
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,303
    teskeinc said:
    mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    Fair enough. There is nothing wrong with admitting she's a slight favorite and has been for a while though. Better to be in her position than Trump's. 

    Good NY Times/Sienna poll this morning too. 
    I also don’t like that the polls don’t measure the intangibles, like the % the “independent” candidates will pull, the distribution of polling places and voting machines, the amount of scrubbing of voter rolls, the number of lawsuits filed challenging every aspect of the vote and the ones waiting to be filed when Kamala wins by less than a % and the final flood of shit on the days leading up to November 5th. These are not normal times and it’s going to be a shit show, regardless. Polls don’t measure all the variables.
    That's why we have forecast models.

    Again, Kamala is in the driver's seat at this point. But anything can happen. 


    😂😂😂😂😂

    I guess that’s why she’s on her comedy tour this week while another major hurricane is hitting the country and people still suffer from the last one. At least Biden canceled his international trip.

    Would be a perfect time to have briefings and look Presidential warning and helping get the word out.
    But she would rather joke with Stern, Colbert, The View etc. People are trying to call FEMA, not call Kamala Daddy. Deplorable.
    maybe you would respect her more if she were golfing.
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,206
    To be fair, I wouldn't want to talk to Ron Desantis. either. Its a shame she felt she had to now.
      
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,303
    To be fair, I wouldn't want to talk to Ron Desantis. either. Its a shame she felt she had to now.
      
    if i lived in a blue state i would be pissed that we are constantly propping up the red states and red state governors will not even take calls from the white house.
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • teskeincteskeinc Posts: 1,784
    To be fair, I wouldn't want to talk to Ron Desantis. either. Its a shame she felt she had to now.
      
    if i lived in a blue state i would be pissed that we are constantly propping up the red states and red state governors will not even take calls from the white house.
    Like another genius posted, their flood insurance should cover it? Right?
  • Tim SimmonsTim Simmons Posts: 8,206
    Ron DeSantis is a lifetime bitch
  • Gern BlanstenGern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 20,645
    Philly NJ said:

    Harris is as fake as they come. Now she is a crisis actress....

    Kamala Harris told reporters that Ron DeSantis was being selfish and ‘utterly irresponsible’ for not taking her call regarding Hurricane Milton.

    Hours later, Ron DeSantis says in her 3 and a half years in office, Kamala Harris hasn’t called him once to offer assistance.

    “She has no role in this. In fact, she's been vice president for three and a half years.”

    “I've dealt with a number of storms under this administration. She has never contributed anything to any of these efforts.”

    “She's the first one who's trying to politicize the storm, and she's doing that just because of her campaign.”


    It's just courtesy. If he took the call it wouldn't be news. Him being a dickhead is why we even know about it.
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
This discussion has been closed.