I think what’s yet to be seen is are these new voters or just people voting early/differently? All these breathless - more people already voted than voted for either candidate in 2016 may not actually mean anything other than lines will be much shorter on Election Day.
Im not saying turnout won’t be higher. But, extrapolating early voting to the ultimate number is foolish. There’s no precedent or model that would help anyone accurately predict that.
It’s great people are voting. And it sounds like despite concerns, covid really hasn’t created a problem in person. So, that’s good too.
Sorry. The world doesn't work the way you tell it to.
I think what’s yet to be seen is are these new voters or just people voting early/differently? All these breathless - more people already voted than voted for either candidate in 2016 may not actually mean anything other than lines will be much shorter on Election Day.
Im not saying turnout won’t be higher. But, extrapolating early voting to the ultimate number is foolish. There’s no precedent or model that would help anyone accurately predict that.
It’s great people are voting. And it sounds like despite concerns, covid really hasn’t created a problem in person. So, that’s good too.
i've been wondering this too. there's absolutely no way to tell if this means voting will smash records after all is tallied up. it could just mean people are expecting longer lines on nov 3 and are choosing to vote early.
"Oh Canada...you're beautiful when you're drunk" -EV 8/14/93
Early voting isn't new though...so if current tallies exceed prior figures that would suggest an increase in turnout.
i'm sure there's an increase....just saying the way it's being framed is out of context with the pandemic and potential voter intimidation as mitigating factors.
"Oh Canada...you're beautiful when you're drunk" -EV 8/14/93
I think what’s yet to be seen is are these new voters or just people voting early/differently? All these breathless - more people already voted than voted for either candidate in 2016 may not actually mean anything other than lines will be much shorter on Election Day.
Im not saying turnout won’t be higher. But, extrapolating early voting to the ultimate number is foolish. There’s no precedent or model that would help anyone accurately predict that.
It’s great people are voting. And it sounds like despite concerns, covid really hasn’t created a problem in person. So, that’s good too.
i've been wondering this too. there's absolutely no way to tell if this means voting will smash records after all is tallied up. it could just mean people are expecting longer lines on nov 3 and are choosing to vote early.
Predicted record voter turnout is based on polling of enthusiasm. Can't find the article about it, but I think I posted a 538 link in the 538 thread.
I think what’s yet to be seen is are these new voters or just people voting early/differently? All these breathless - more people already voted than voted for either candidate in 2016 may not actually mean anything other than lines will be much shorter on Election Day.
Im not saying turnout won’t be higher. But, extrapolating early voting to the ultimate number is foolish. There’s no precedent or model that would help anyone accurately predict that.
It’s great people are voting. And it sounds like despite concerns, covid really hasn’t created a problem in person. So, that’s good too.
i've been wondering this too. there's absolutely no way to tell if this means voting will smash records after all is tallied up. it could just mean people are expecting longer lines on nov 3 and are choosing to vote early.
Shorter lines on Election Day can increase turn out a lot, especially in cities that spend less on election resources and have fewer polling places with long lines in the past (Detroit, Milwaukee, Philly, etc). Workers in years past leaving their jobs hungry at 5pm drive by the polling place and see very long lines drive straight home and do not vote.
Also working from home could help increase turnout, less time commuting = more time to vote.
I think what’s yet to be seen is are these new voters or just people voting early/differently? All these breathless - more people already voted than voted for either candidate in 2016 may not actually mean anything other than lines will be much shorter on Election Day.
Im not saying turnout won’t be higher. But, extrapolating early voting to the ultimate number is foolish. There’s no precedent or model that would help anyone accurately predict that.
It’s great people are voting. And it sounds like despite concerns, covid really hasn’t created a problem in person. So, that’s good too.
i've been wondering this too. there's absolutely no way to tell if this means voting will smash records after all is tallied up. it could just mean people are expecting longer lines on nov 3 and are choosing to vote early.
Shorter lines on Election Day can increase turn out a lot, especially in cities that spend less on election resources and have fewer polling places with long lines in the past (Detroit, Milwaukee, Philly, etc). Workers in years past leaving their jobs hungry at 5pm drive by the polling place and see very long lines drive straight home and do not vote.
Also working from home could help increase turnout, less time commuting = more time to vote.
Interesting points. I believe COVID is the sole reason for the huge rise in early voting, but if semi-likely voters become aware of minimal crowds, maybe that gets som extras out.
1995 Milwaukee 1998 Alpine, Alpine 2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston 2004 Boston, Boston 2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty) 2011 Alpine, Alpine 2013 Wrigley 2014 St. Paul 2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley 2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley 2021 Asbury Park 2022 St Louis 2023 Austin, Austin
Of course. They told us they were going to do this and they did it right out in the open. Full transparency. We’ve become a banana republic. We’d be better run by Borat.
Good news in Texas, Dallas Morning news Poll shows Biden leading Texas 48 to 45...let’s hope this lasts up to Election Day.
I can’t believe that. Texas?!?! Wow
There is one caveat and that is that the poll was taken the day before Biden said something about transitioning from fossil fuels. I am not as worried as some people about the fossil fuels comment. I think most people, even those in the energy sector realize that global warming and pollution are actual issues that need solving.
Good news in Texas, Dallas Morning news Poll shows Biden leading Texas 48 to 45...let’s hope this lasts up to Election Day.
I can’t believe that. Texas?!?! Wow
There is one caveat and that is that the poll was taken the day before Biden said something about transitioning from fossil fuels. I am not as worried as some people about the fossil fuels comment. I think most people, even those in the energy sector realize that global warming and pollution are actual issues that need solving.
As I’ve said before - I know Biden is going to win.
but you really think a 45-50 yo who’s only experience is working in the oil industry and his/her family care what our energy looks like in 20 years? Lol.
Sorry. The world doesn't work the way you tell it to.
Good news in Texas, Dallas Morning news Poll shows Biden leading Texas 48 to 45...let’s hope this lasts up to Election Day.
I can’t believe that. Texas?!?! Wow
There is one caveat and that is that the poll was taken the day before Biden said something about transitioning from fossil fuels. I am not as worried as some people about the fossil fuels comment. I think most people, even those in the energy sector realize that global warming and pollution are actual issues that need solving.
It’s also within the MOE and the poll asked about gun ownership and amongst those, sleepy Woke joe basement Biden was down bigly, like 56% to 37%. Doesn’t everyone in Tejas own 3 guns?
Good news in Texas, Dallas Morning news Poll shows Biden leading Texas 48 to 45...let’s hope this lasts up to Election Day.
I can’t believe that. Texas?!?! Wow
There is one caveat and that is that the poll was taken the day before Biden said something about transitioning from fossil fuels. I am not as worried as some people about the fossil fuels comment. I think most people, even those in the energy sector realize that global warming and pollution are actual issues that need solving.
It’s also within the MOE and the poll asked about gun ownership and amongst those, sleepy Woke joe basement Biden was down bigly, like 56% to 37%. Doesn’t everyone in Tejas own 3 guns?
Good news in Texas, Dallas Morning news Poll shows Biden leading Texas 48 to 45...let’s hope this lasts up to Election Day.
I can’t believe that. Texas?!?! Wow
There is one caveat and that is that the poll was taken the day before Biden said something about transitioning from fossil fuels. I am not as worried as some people about the fossil fuels comment. I think most people, even those in the energy sector realize that global warming and pollution are actual issues that need solving.
As I’ve said before - I know Biden is going to win.
but you really think a 45-50 yo who’s only experience is working in the oil industry and his/her family care what our energy looks like in 20 years? Lol.
To be fair, are those the people whose hearts are broken and they need to throw out their Biden apparel because of that comment?
Good news in Texas, Dallas Morning news Poll shows Biden leading Texas 48 to 45...let’s hope this lasts up to Election Day.
I can’t believe that. Texas?!?! Wow
There is one caveat and that is that the poll was taken the day before Biden said something about transitioning from fossil fuels. I am not as worried as some people about the fossil fuels comment. I think most people, even those in the energy sector realize that global warming and pollution are actual issues that need solving.
It’s also within the MOE and the poll asked about gun ownership and amongst those, sleepy Woke joe basement Biden was down bigly, like 56% to 37%. Doesn’t everyone in Tejas own 3 guns?
0 in our apartment
I’m sure your neighbors have more than made up for it.
Good news in Texas, Dallas Morning news Poll shows Biden leading Texas 48 to 45...let’s hope this lasts up to Election Day.
I can’t believe that. Texas?!?! Wow
There is one caveat and that is that the poll was taken the day before Biden said something about transitioning from fossil fuels. I am not as worried as some people about the fossil fuels comment. I think most people, even those in the energy sector realize that global warming and pollution are actual issues that need solving.
As I’ve said before - I know Biden is going to win.
but you really think a 45-50 yo who’s only experience is working in the oil industry and his/her family care what our energy looks like in 20 years? Lol.
To be fair, are those the people whose hearts are broken and they need to throw out their Biden apparel because of that comment?
No but their flower shop, local cafe owners and such might have needed a reminder.
Sorry. The world doesn't work the way you tell it to.
Comments
Im not saying turnout won’t be higher. But, extrapolating early voting to the ultimate number is foolish. There’s no precedent or model that would help anyone accurately predict that.
-EV 8/14/93
The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana
-EV 8/14/93
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/25/deep-down-terrified-little-boy-bob-woodward-mary-trump-john-bolton-anthony-scaramucci-on-donald-trump
Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.
Brilliantati©
Also working from home could help increase turnout, less time commuting = more time to vote.
2013 Wrigley 2014 St. Paul 2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley 2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley 2021 Asbury Park 2022 St Louis 2023 Austin, Austin
"...I changed by not changing at all..."
There are no kings inside the gates of eden
Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.
Brilliantati©
There are no kings inside the gates of eden
but you really think a 45-50 yo who’s only experience is working in the oil industry and his/her family care what our energy looks like in 20 years? Lol.
Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.
Brilliantati©
There are no kings inside the gates of eden
Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.
Brilliantati©
Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.
Brilliantati©
Also, Joe will set the record for largest ears by a President should he win.
His answers were mostly good. I liked his energy.
60 minutes to Kamala: "will that be a SOCIALIST or progressive perspective".
Lol. Weird journalism.