Shut out of 99% st. Louis?

Was st. Louis actually 99%? I dont understand how a lot of us could be shut out of shows that were 99%.  There was no user error on my end, bc I scored for my first priority.  I had BA picked for st. Louis which was my 3rd priority and did not get reserved tickets.  The only thing i can think of was that the ending odds were not accurately shown at the time the lottery closed. 

Any thoughts? 
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Comments

  • Bump
  • dutz054
    dutz054 Dallas Posts: 72
    Odds given are for #1 priority shows only, anything below that are substantially less odds
  • tylermoore
    tylermoore St. Joseph, MI Posts: 1,113
    I mean. Unfortunately it wasn’t 100%, even if was 99% no one is guaranteed tickets. Especially their 3rd choice. 
  • The only explanation is that the odds dropped below 99% as people waited till the last minute to put in their requests. 

    I’m not saying that Ticketmaster is somehow withholding tickets that were 99%, but why not post the final odds so you’re not inviting the skeptics to question the lottery?

    hope you can score through the verified or public sale. If not, extras will be available here from other members. Don’t pay scalpers.  
  • carbon436
    carbon436 Posts: 352
    Probably ended lower than 99%. I’m in the same boat as you - hit on 1st and 2nd choice as BA, but got shut out of STL. 

    Hard to complain when folks are getting shut out of all their picks. 
  • drakeheuer14
    drakeheuer14 Posts: 4,623
    dutz054 said:
    Odds given are for #1 priority shows only, anything below that are substantially less odds
    Hot take. I don’t believe it though.
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  • bootlegger10
    bootlegger10 Posts: 16,263
    dutz054 said:
    Odds given are for #1 priority shows only, anything below that are substantially less odds
    Is that confirmed or assumed?
  • JBob87
    JBob87 Posts: 485
    dutz054 said:
    Odds given are for #1 priority shows only, anything below that are substantially less odds
    Is that confirmed or assumed?
    Assumed. There’s no confirmation of that. It would make some sense though.
  • dutz054 said:
    Odds given are for #1 priority shows only, anything below that are substantially less odds
    This doesnt make any sense. How are the odds only for your first priority? If the odds are 99%, theyre still 99% after everyones first and second and thereafter priorities are taken into account. 
  • Unless the odds dropped after the closed odds of 99%, Ireally think ticketmaster is withholding tickets.  
  • dutz054
    dutz054 Dallas Posts: 72
    dutz054 said:
    Odds given are for #1 priority shows only, anything below that are substantially less odds
    Is that confirmed or assumed?
    How it was in 2018, and it’s easy to connect the dots. 

    If you have to prioritize your preferences it makes more sense than thinking you have a legitimate shot at getting tickets at 99% probability in an 18k seat arena with no Chicago show in this leg.   I don’t know why this is so hard for people to believe. 
  • dutz054
    dutz054 Dallas Posts: 72
    Unless the odds dropped after the closed odds of 99%, Ireally think ticketmaster is withholding tickets.  
    Here come the conspiracy theories, Ticketmaster holding tickets to sell on the resale market that isn’t supposed to exist. Let’s all wrap ourselves in aluminum foil 
  • SHZA
    SHZA St. Louis, MO USA Posts: 4,314
    dutz054 said:
    Odds given are for #1 priority shows only, anything below that are substantially less odds
    That makes no sense. When the person has the show ranked 3rd or 4th before hitting submit and it says 99% on that screen, that's flat out misleading. 
  • Father Hubbard
    Father Hubbard Chicago Posts: 1,672
    Will be interesting to see what they have for platinum

    Official Platinum
    Starts Fri, Jan 31 @ 10:00 am CST

  • bootlegger10
    bootlegger10 Posts: 16,263
    dutz054 said:
    dutz054 said:
    Odds given are for #1 priority shows only, anything below that are substantially less odds
    Is that confirmed or assumed?
    How it was in 2018, and it’s easy to connect the dots. 

    If you have to prioritize your preferences it makes more sense than thinking you have a legitimate shot at getting tickets at 99% probability in an 18k seat arena with no Chicago show in this leg.   I don’t know why this is so hard for people to believe. 
    Well, typically people believe things that are true.  I won GA tickets in prior lotteries with not my first priority where the GA odds were less than 99%.  If you were correct, then that would have been impossible.

    I got LA2 with my third priority so somehow against all odds there were still tickets left.   
  • dutz054 said:
    dutz054 said:
    Odds given are for #1 priority shows only, anything below that are substantially less odds
    Is that confirmed or assumed?
    How it was in 2018, and it’s easy to connect the dots. 

    If you have to prioritize your preferences it makes more sense than thinking you have a legitimate shot at getting tickets at 99% probability in an 18k seat arena with no Chicago show in this leg.   I don’t know why this is so hard for people to believe. 
    Your just making stuff up now.  The odds are after everyones submissions are entered, all priorities. 
  • bbiggs
    bbiggs Posts: 6,965
    Every show I’ve put in for in the past with 99% reserved odds won. Every single time. Some of those priorities were as low as 6th priority. 99% odds were a lock in past lotteries. Not the case in this one, so there is a disconnect. 
  • drakeheuer14
    drakeheuer14 Posts: 4,623
    Will be interesting to see what they have for platinum

    Official Platinum
    Starts Fri, Jan 31 @ 10:00 am CST

    Interesting indeed
    Pittsburgh 2013
    Cincinnati 2014
    Greenville 2016
    (Raleigh 2016)
    Columbia 2016
  • dutz054 said:
    Unless the odds dropped after the closed odds of 99%, Ireally think ticketmaster is withholding tickets.  
    Here come the conspiracy theories, Ticketmaster holding tickets to sell on the resale market that isn’t supposed to exist. Let’s all wrap ourselves in aluminum foil 
    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.spin.com/2018/09/ticketmaster-scalpers-tradedesk%3famp=1

    How about this for your conspiracy theory 
  • BSully
    BSully Indiana Posts: 1,503
    I try to ignore the odds and just put in for whatever seats that I can get. I would rather be anywhere in the building instead of missing out on a tour...
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