North American Tour Odds

Lowlight11

CopperTom said:

Lowlight11 said:

I just went in to look at the odds and all of the shows said 99%

Reserved odds.

Ah gotcha...I guess you don't see the updated odds GA vs Reserved unless you go all the way through the steps.

Lowlight11

Never mind, I see how to check them now.

camhendy

Lowlight11 said:

Never mind, I see how to check them now.

We're counting on you

kcuf me

Can you check them without going back into your order?

Lowlight11

kcuf me said:

Can you check them without going back into your order?

If you go in like you are going to start a new order and click request on the show it shows you the odds for GA and reserved.

mattcoz

I've heard rumors that St Louis will be a real downer of a show and that the GA pit is actually behind the stage, everyone should just not pick it.

Matts3221

what dreams said:

They've said it's likely everyone who wants tickets will get tickets. If your goal is to see the show, put in best available. If you put in GA only, and there's no GA left in the lottery you're out of luck, even if there are reserved seats available. That would be an unwise move, in my opinion. I don't understand why anyone would do that.

I did this for the Quebec City show , only because it is a large trip for me , I am going GA or bust , old 10C expired years ago and signed up again in 2017? Maybe 2018 so I have a 620xxx number. If I am going to spend the funds to go to cross boarders , hotels ect ect. I don't want something far back so for this one show GA or bust (odds are still at 99% so I think I am good). Otherwise the Boston area is bound to get at least 3 shows in the fall I would suspect ( 2 DCU center , 1 Hartford XL ).  

tschav

Some good GA odds in a few spots... no venue is below 99 for reserved.

Toronto: 51/99
Ottawa: 99/99
Quebec City: 99/99
Hamilton: 67/99
Baltimore: 26/99
MSG: 17/99
Nashville:50/99
St Louis: 41/99
OKC: 99/99
Denver: 46/99
Glendale: 79/99
San Diego: 70/99
LA: 54/99; 51/99
Oak: 64/99; 83/99

Daughter5

Hi all
I have been a member for years except a couple years due to medical, which now limited to traveling. I have always been fortunate getting tickets in Boston because they are always listed usually 2 nights except this year. I have also seen shows in other cities added. My question is will they be adding more shows?

The emails with the secret codes about choosing a city and that drawing is for the end of the week, I am so confused I have been reading link after link now I’m lost LOL
Fans have always been helpful, can someone please help me 
Thank you so much 
Brenda

pjsteelerfan

Pretty sure Ticketmaster said somewhere all the reserved seating odds were going to stay at 99%, so no one would know them. Not sure if I read that in the 10c email, or when I signed up for the Verified fan sale.  

JimmyV

pjsteelerfan said:

Pretty sure Ticketmaster said somewhere all the reserved seating odds were going to stay at 99%, so no one would know them. Not sure if I read that in the 10c email, or when I signed up for the Verified fan sale.  

Really? That defeats the whole purpose. 

CopperTom

pjsteelerfan said:

Pretty sure Ticketmaster said somewhere all the reserved seating odds were going to stay at 99%, so no one would know them. Not sure if I read that in the 10c email, or when I signed up for the Verified fan sale.  

Definately not true.  Why would you even post that?

pjsteelerfan

CopperTom said:

pjsteelerfan said:

Pretty sure Ticketmaster said somewhere all the reserved seating odds were going to stay at 99%, so no one would know them. Not sure if I read that in the 10c email, or when I signed up for the Verified fan sale.  

Definately not true.  Why would you even post that?

Because I read it when I was reviewing what they said about tickets.  That is why I posted it. Or maybe it was just when picking. When I signed up this morning, every reserved seating option was at 99%. 

PJNB

CopperTom said:

pjsteelerfan said:

Pretty sure Ticketmaster said somewhere all the reserved seating odds were going to stay at 99%, so no one would know them. Not sure if I read that in the 10c email, or when I signed up for the Verified fan sale.  

Definately not true.  Why would you even post that?

Lol ya that would be ridiculous. I could see them saying they think they have enough tickets that the odds will stay at 99% for most shows but to say it would never move...

pjsteelerfan

PJNB said:

CopperTom said:

pjsteelerfan said:

Pretty sure Ticketmaster said somewhere all the reserved seating odds were going to stay at 99%, so no one would know them. Not sure if I read that in the 10c email, or when I signed up for the Verified fan sale.  

Definately not true.  Why would you even post that?

Lol ya that would be ridiculous. I could see them saying they think they have enough tickets that the odds will stay at 99% for most shows but to say it would never move...

PJNB, I have been on this board a long time,  Just posting what I thought I read. And again, when I picked this morning, every odd for every show was at 99% for reserved seats, so I thought it was correct. 

RP123663

afgpj said:

Is there a place to check the odds without going through the ticket request steps again?

This is my question as well.  Is the only way to look at this to log in thru TM and put in your code?  

pjl44

pjsteelerfan said:

PJNB said:

CopperTom said:

pjsteelerfan said:

Pretty sure Ticketmaster said somewhere all the reserved seating odds were going to stay at 99%, so no one would know them. Not sure if I read that in the 10c email, or when I signed up for the Verified fan sale.  

Definately not true.  Why would you even post that?

Lol ya that would be ridiculous. I could see them saying they think they have enough tickets that the odds will stay at 99% for most shows but to say it would never move...

PJNB, I have been on this board a long time,  Just posting what I thought I read. And again, when I picked this morning, every odd for every show was at 99% for reserved seats, so I thought it was correct. 

If you find it, post it. It would definitely be interesting if true. A move like that defies logic, but I'm not entirely ruling out TM defying logic.

PJNB

pjsteelerfan said:

PJNB said:

CopperTom said:

pjsteelerfan said:

Pretty sure Ticketmaster said somewhere all the reserved seating odds were going to stay at 99%, so no one would know them. Not sure if I read that in the 10c email, or when I signed up for the Verified fan sale.  

Definately not true.  Why would you even post that?

Lol ya that would be ridiculous. I could see them saying they think they have enough tickets that the odds will stay at 99% for most shows but to say it would never move...

PJNB, I have been on this board a long time,  Just posting what I thought I read. And again, when I picked this morning, every odd for every show was at 99% for reserved seats, so I thought it was correct. 

I know you have been here a long time but still if true that would a ridiculous and pointless system. I have no doubt you thought you read that or maybe a representative said it to you incorrectly but there is noway that can be true. That would be a broken system imo. 

benjs

Winning GA probability = (# of GA seats remaining per round draw) / (GA applicants + Best Available Applicants)
Winning Reserved probability = (# of Reserved seats remaining per round draw) / (Reserved applicants + Best Available Applicants overflow from GA if applicable)
Winning Best Available probability = greater of the two above

So, summarizing facts that I plan on using as guiding principles:

• Your best opportunity to win GA is with a first pick, and your opportunity to win GA decreases dramatically after that (unless the show's market is extremely soft for both Best Available and GA), as both Best Available and GA will default to depleting from GA.
• Your best opportunity to win a show, period, is to select Best Available, because the greater odds (between Reserved and GA) will become your odds. If not attending a Pearl Jam show is preferable to you over attending a Pearl Jam show with Reserved Seats, only select GA. Otherwise, you are doing yourself a major disservice (especially if your 10C number is reasonably good).
• If the number of GA/Reserved specific applicants in any round equal or exceed the availability within GA/Reserved specifically, that section will not be available for any subsequent rounds. Once this happens for both GA and Reserved, no one who applied with a further round number will win for that show. For example, if I think Quebec City's rounds 1 + 2 will deplete QC's inventory before Ottawa's rounds 1 + 2, I'd be wise to have QC as my round 2, and Ottawa as my round 3, unless I decided it's more important for me to be at Ottawa than QC, in which case I'd maintain Ottawa as my number 2

Lerxst1992

Does it make any sense that less than 12,000 members entered the MSG lotto for reserved seats in the first day?