Capitalism, The Fed and Economic Policy
Comments
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Yeah exactly, because homeownership in general is absolutely ridiculously expensive right now. Rate are increasing (generally) like the Fed wanted, and rates and price have an inverse relationship. Yet, prices keep going up. And that's not a matter of rates & prices, that's a matter of supply & demand. Demand high + Supply low = Price high (and higher). So there's really only one thing to do: increase the supply.
Then throw in the fact that those locked into low interest rates (people like me) or those with no note on their homes (generally boomers) aren't going anywhere. At least boomers can result in a windfall of wealth and then downsize. But I'm not giving up my 4 bedroom, 3 bath, house in the city with a 3% rate for a family of four just to gain equity to put it down on a shittier house with at least twice the mortgage payment based on the rate alone.
I know what will "fix" the situation, and it will generally make my equity on my home take a hit, but I'm totally ok with that. I just don't think most people will be ok with that. It (home ownership) is genuinely a club (and also a scam and racket at the same time) that I wish more people could join more easily.Post edited by Jearlpam0925 on0 -
static111 said:tempo_n_groove said:static111 said:tempo_n_groove said:My place I rent would be DOUBLE what it is if I were to look for a new place.
Vehicle prices still remain high because the companies know people are still buying.
Housing sales have been stalling because unless you have cash or a huge down payment you can't afford one.
My grocery bills are 50% more.
My raises have not kept up with these trends.
So yeah, the economy is doing something but not for me.
They want to see a return on their investment so hiking up the pricing is the best thing to do.
It is no longer cheaper to rent than own. I am in a somewhat good place for rent so far.Not sure that’s true. It’s bad now but it was also bad back then.
in the NY region, housing prices tripled from mid 70s to late 80s0 -
Timely article in my inbox:
https://www.economist.com/international/2023/09/06/can-yimbys-ease-the-global-housing-crunch
here is the archive.org version:
https://web.archive.org/web/20230906204439/https://www.economist.com/international/2023/09/06/can-yimbys-ease-the-global-housing-crunch
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Lerxst1992 said:static111 said:tempo_n_groove said:static111 said:tempo_n_groove said:My place I rent would be DOUBLE what it is if I were to look for a new place.
Vehicle prices still remain high because the companies know people are still buying.
Housing sales have been stalling because unless you have cash or a huge down payment you can't afford one.
My grocery bills are 50% more.
My raises have not kept up with these trends.
So yeah, the economy is doing something but not for me.
They want to see a return on their investment so hiking up the pricing is the best thing to do.
It is no longer cheaper to rent than own. I am in a somewhat good place for rent so far.Not sure that’s true. It’s bad now but it was also bad back then.
in the NY region, housing prices tripled from mid 70s to late 80s
My parents could afford a house in the 80's on the combined income of 60,000 as a waitress and a construction worker, in their 20's, and bought a house for 60,000 that is worth over 350,000 today, in rural MI. My wife and I make considerably more than that, however the down payment on an average house is almost as much or more than my parents paid for their house. Though this is my anecdotal experience, I'm sure people in the late 80's in NY had a much easier time buying and affording a house than NYers today.
Scio me nihil scire
There are no kings inside the gates of eden0 -
static111 said:Lerxst1992 said:static111 said:tempo_n_groove said:static111 said:tempo_n_groove said:My place I rent would be DOUBLE what it is if I were to look for a new place.
Vehicle prices still remain high because the companies know people are still buying.
Housing sales have been stalling because unless you have cash or a huge down payment you can't afford one.
My grocery bills are 50% more.
My raises have not kept up with these trends.
So yeah, the economy is doing something but not for me.
They want to see a return on their investment so hiking up the pricing is the best thing to do.
It is no longer cheaper to rent than own. I am in a somewhat good place for rent so far.Not sure that’s true. It’s bad now but it was also bad back then.
in the NY region, housing prices tripled from mid 70s to late 80s
My parents could afford a house in the 80's on the combined income of 60,000 as a waitress and a construction worker, in their 20's, and bought a house for 60,000 that is worth over 350,000 today, in rural MI. My wife and I make considerably more than that, however the down payment on an average house is almost as much or more than my parents paid for their house. Though this is my anecdotal experience, I'm sure people in the late 80's in NY had a much easier time buying and affording a house than NYers today.
The house I grew up in cost $22,500 (interest rate hikes in late 70's early 80's, 16% nearly killed my old man) and sold for $242,500 23 years later.09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;
Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.
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_____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________
Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '140 -
mickeyrat said:
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Jearlpam0925 said:mickeyrat said:
No amount of money is enough. Insatiable.
He also has a point. The marginal workers that don't do too much are expecting the world whereas the doers should be getting those accolades.
Big business will keep raising prices if they still have to pay people0 -
tempo_n_groove said:Jearlpam0925 said:mickeyrat said:
No amount of money is enough. Insatiable.
He also has a point. The marginal workers that don't do too much are expecting the world whereas the doers should be getting those accolades.
Big business will keep raising prices if they still have to pay people09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;
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tempo_n_groove said:Jearlpam0925 said:mickeyrat said:
No amount of money is enough. Insatiable.
He also has a point. The marginal workers that don't do too much are expecting the world whereas the doers should be getting those accolades.
Big business will keep raising prices if they still have to pay people
And the bolded above is exactly what I'm talking about in my previous comment - like this idea that the majority of workers are loafers, welfare queens, etc. looking to milk the tit. Which is on its own absolutely ridiculous and no where near the truth, but yet there are people out there (like the above) that perpetuate this in the broader consciousness. It's amazing how many people do not grasp the idea of solidarity just to not lose this irrational grip on individualism.
Can't promote enough the Naomi Klein interview on WTF:
https://community.pearljam.com/discussion/248470/wtf-podcast-with-marc-maron/p16
Post edited by Jearlpam0925 on0 -
Halifax2TheMax said:tempo_n_groove said:Jearlpam0925 said:mickeyrat said:
No amount of money is enough. Insatiable.
He also has a point. The marginal workers that don't do too much are expecting the world whereas the doers should be getting those accolades.
Big business will keep raising prices if they still have to pay people
That's all you got out of that?0 -
Jearlpam0925 said:tempo_n_groove said:Jearlpam0925 said:mickeyrat said:
No amount of money is enough. Insatiable.
He also has a point. The marginal workers that don't do too much are expecting the world whereas the doers should be getting those accolades.
Big business will keep raising prices if they still have to pay people
And the bolded above is exactly what I'm talking about in my previous comment - like this idea that the majority of workers are loafers, welfare queens, etc. looking to milk the tit. Which is on its own absolutely ridiculous and no where near the truth, but yet there are people out there (like the above) that perpetuate this in the broader consciousness. It's amazing how many people do not grasp the idea of solidarity just to not lose this irrational grip on individualism.
Can't promote enough the Naomi Klein interview on WTF:
https://community.pearljam.com/discussion/248470/wtf-podcast-with-marc-maron/p16
We also have the people that do just enough to keep their jobs and don't want to make strides in their profession but still want to get paid a ton.
I'm in construction management and not sure what industry you're in but this is what I see and I should have made that clear as it might not happen where you are at.
I agree on wage increases but it is always lagging behind the prices it seems.0 -
gift article....‘One of the Most Hated People in the World’: Sam Bankman-Fried’s 250 Pages of Justifications https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/14/technology/sam-bankman-fried-ftx-twitter-thread.html?unlocked_article_code=rPMXWWeAo_FCRxW5p2IVGfBsNKmKBYabetn9c85giFr_iWqB_VKnsSZho-E1q66TZi4ly51HL3YTvHF1GFzc6BhQKdeq6qwKe0RP68TAfEwCcHrKwnbkhc3nul5o50yN3AtcvqDUm6aiDrt7Go6TI9a0IwEHqQzETPJJynoymeGYH68BJy1wxTtV8-BypfY8Mogkqn5Ry1xad8fGIoVeluB6nlRrZwdG6Eu78aBYpinJS6ttjEhA_wu023DamadOQHt3HC_lpm58ij2X4L7SVSJs-Ovppi5epq91T0N8YzdmamCDnY7f4BQCQoaB3gQ8gJ7gE5Fzzx0gmRbYi39aE8LjaWVyLUSM2d6xSS9UTwJt&smid=nytcore-android-share
David Yaffe-Bellany covers the crypto industry and has written extensively about the collapse of FTX.
Sept. 14, 2023Sign up for The Ethicist newsletter, for Times subscribers only. Advice on life’s trickiest situations and moral dilemmas from the philosopher Kwame Anthony Appiah. Get it in your inbox.
At the end of a 15,000-word Twitter thread he never posted, Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of the failed cryptocurrency exchange FTX, offered a blunt assessment of his predicament.
“I’m broke and wearing an ankle monitor and one of the most hated people in the world,” he wrote. “There will probably never be anything I can do to make my lifetime impact net positive.”
He added: “And the truth is that I did what I thought was right.”
After Mr. Bankman-Fried was arrested, charged with fraud over FTX’s collapse and placed in home detention in December, he wrote hundreds of pages of sometimes rambling self-justifications, ranging from childhood memories to mathematical calculations.
In a draft of his unsent posts, which he formatted as a series of tweets spanning roughly 70 typed pages, he criticized some of his closest colleagues, interspersing his arguments with photos from his high school years and stock images of popcorn and a garden maze. Every few pages, a key moment in the narrative is accompanied with a link to a music video by Alicia Keys, Katy Perry or Rihanna.
continues.....
_____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________
Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '140 -
mickeyrat said:gift article....‘One of the Most Hated People in the World’: Sam Bankman-Fried’s 250 Pages of Justifications https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/14/technology/sam-bankman-fried-ftx-twitter-thread.html?unlocked_article_code=rPMXWWeAo_FCRxW5p2IVGfBsNKmKBYabetn9c85giFr_iWqB_VKnsSZho-E1q66TZi4ly51HL3YTvHF1GFzc6BhQKdeq6qwKe0RP68TAfEwCcHrKwnbkhc3nul5o50yN3AtcvqDUm6aiDrt7Go6TI9a0IwEHqQzETPJJynoymeGYH68BJy1wxTtV8-BypfY8Mogkqn5Ry1xad8fGIoVeluB6nlRrZwdG6Eu78aBYpinJS6ttjEhA_wu023DamadOQHt3HC_lpm58ij2X4L7SVSJs-Ovppi5epq91T0N8YzdmamCDnY7f4BQCQoaB3gQ8gJ7gE5Fzzx0gmRbYi39aE8LjaWVyLUSM2d6xSS9UTwJt&smid=nytcore-android-share
David Yaffe-Bellany covers the crypto industry and has written extensively about the collapse of FTX.
Sept. 14, 2023Sign up for The Ethicist newsletter, for Times subscribers only. Advice on life’s trickiest situations and moral dilemmas from the philosopher Kwame Anthony Appiah. Get it in your inbox.
At the end of a 15,000-word Twitter thread he never posted, Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of the failed cryptocurrency exchange FTX, offered a blunt assessment of his predicament.
“I’m broke and wearing an ankle monitor and one of the most hated people in the world,” he wrote. “There will probably never be anything I can do to make my lifetime impact net positive.”
He added: “And the truth is that I did what I thought was right.”
After Mr. Bankman-Fried was arrested, charged with fraud over FTX’s collapse and placed in home detention in December, he wrote hundreds of pages of sometimes rambling self-justifications, ranging from childhood memories to mathematical calculations.
In a draft of his unsent posts, which he formatted as a series of tweets spanning roughly 70 typed pages, he criticized some of his closest colleagues, interspersing his arguments with photos from his high school years and stock images of popcorn and a garden maze. Every few pages, a key moment in the narrative is accompanied with a link to a music video by Alicia Keys, Katy Perry or Rihanna.
continues.....
09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;
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Census Bureau releases new poverty numbers
On Tuesday, the U.S. Census Bureau released its annual report on the state of poverty in the United States. Every year, this is the biggest moment in poverty statistics as we get a snapshot of what poverty looked like in the previous year.
While statewide information is forthcoming, with the national numbers we can come away with some important takeaways.
continues.....
_____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________
Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '140 -
Tax credit removed and child poverty raises.
That must be one important tax credit.0 -
tempo_n_groove said:Tax credit removed and child poverty raises.
That must be one important tax credit.
absolute game changer. BUT the multi-millionaire Senator from WVa didnt want his grandkids with the multi-millionaire mother/parents paying for it.
_____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________
Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '140 -
mickeyrat said:tempo_n_groove said:Tax credit removed and child poverty raises.
That must be one important tax credit.
absolute game changer. BUT the multi-millionaire Senator from WVa didnt want his grandkids with the multi-millionaire mother/parents paying for it.
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Time to pay up. From Letter From an American:
Workers accepted major concessions in 2007, when it appeared that auto manufacturers would go under. They agreed to accept a two-tier pay system in which workers hired after 2007 would have lower pay and worse benefits than those hired before 2007. But then the industry recovered, and automakers’ profits skyrocketed: Ford, for example, made more than $10 billion in profits in 2022.
Automakers’ chief executive officers’ pay has soared—GM CEO Mary Barra made almost $29 million in 2022—but workers’ wages and benefits have not. Barra, for example, makes 362 times the median GM employee’s paycheck, while autoworkers’ pay has fallen behind inflation by 19%.
The new UAW president, Shawn Fain, ran on a promise to demand a rollback of the 2007 concessions in this summer’s contract negotiations. He wants a cap on temporary workers, pay increases of more than 40% to match the salary increases of the CEOs, a 32-hour workweek, cost of living adjustments, and an elimination of the tier system.
09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;
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https://apnews.com/article/inflation-interest-rates-federal-reserve-workers-jobs-c0d687c0f650dcf14106c01db25f0053 Fed's Powell gets an earful about inflation and interest rates from small businessesFed's Powell gets an earful about inflation and interest rates from small businessesBy CHRISTOPHER RUGABERToday
YORK, Pa. (AP) — Federal Reserve officials typically gather many of their insights and observations about the economy from some of the top Ph.D. economists in Washington.
On a visit Monday to York, Pennsylvania, Chair Jerome Powell got an earful from a group with a decidedly different perspective: Small-business people who are grappling personally with inflation, high interest rates, labor shortages and other challenges of the post-pandemic economy.
Powell, along with Patrick Harker, head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, traveled to York to learn about the efforts of the long-time manufacturing hub, where York Peppermint Patties were once made, to diversify its economy.
The businesspeople they spoke with were generally optimistic but expressed a range of concerns: They are still having trouble finding all the workers they need. Higher interest rates have discouraged some of them from expanding. And higher costs and a chronic difficulty in acquiring enough supplies have persisted.
“We were a little blind-sided by inflation,” said Julie Flinchbaugh Keene, co-owner of Flinchbaugh's Orchard & Farm Market, who spoke to Powell and Harker at the Gather 256 coffee shop while the two Fed officials conducted a walking tour. Since the pandemic struck more than three years ago, she said, “predictability is just gone. It's very hard to operate a business without predictability.”
Keene noted that her parents had experienced high inflation when they ran the business back in the 1980s. But the company was much smaller then and had no employees. As a result, her father said, “I don't have any wisdom to give you.”
“We'll get inflation down," Powell said after listening to her concerns.
During his tour of downtown York, Powell also met Jennifer Heasley, owner of Sweet Mama’s Mambo Sauce, who makes a barbecue-style sauce and owns a food stall in the York Central Market.
When asked before his visit what she would most want to tell Powell, Heasley said, “Lower interest rates."
Heasley said she is paying a much higher rate now on her credit cards, which she sometimes uses to fund her business.
Powell's visit occurred as the Fed is monitoring the economy for signs that its streak of rate increases are having their desired effect and that inflation is continuing to cool. At their most recent meeting two weeks ago, Fed officials signaled confidence about a so-called “soft landing," in which inflation would fall back to their 2% target without a deep recession. The policymakers predicted that inflation would fall to about 2.6% by the end of 2024, with only a small rise in the unemployment rate.
But given its confidence in the economy's resilience, the Fed also signaled that it expects to keep its benchmark rate higher for longer, potentially raising it once more this year and keeping it above 5% well into 2024.
Inflation has dwindled from a four-decade high of 9.1% in June 2022 to 3.7% in August. In the meantime, the unemployment rate has defied predictions by remaining low while the economy has continued to expand.
Before the walking tour, Powell and Harker conducted a roundtable discussion with several business owners and executives, nonprofit leaders and educators.
Kevin Schreiber, CEO of the York County Economic Alliance, a business development group, told reporters that the local economy is growing at a healthy pace. At the same time, Schreiber said, many business people are worried about the next 12 to 18 months and the prospect that interest rates will stay high and inflation won't be fully conquered.
A lack of child care is another top problem for many businesses in the area, Schreiber said, because it keeps many parents out of the workforce.
Schreiber said there were 219 child care centers in the area before the pandemic. Now, there are only 170. Many of the remaining centers are operating at less than full capacity because of staffing shortages.
Tom Palisin, executive director of The Manufacturer’s Association, who took part in the roundtable, said later that higher interest rates have led many local companies to pull back on acquisitions and investments in new technology.
“Companies want to invest," he said, “but they’ve hit the pause button.”
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Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '140
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