North American Tour Odds

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  • Posts: 7,784
    ecdanc said:
    The population is quite dense. ;)

    I certainly am
  • Posts: 7,784
    tdawe said:
    Hey, for comparison purposes does anyone remember the odds for TotD at MSG in 2016?

    I remember sitting at work a few hours before that show saying wtf is wrong with you Stub hub for lower side stage around $150. Get off your a$$ and go now. Glad I did. 6 mos later :bawling:
  • Any reason to be concerned if I haven't seen the $1 charge on my CC yet? I did receive the email confirming my request for tickets.
  • Earth Posts: 3,249
    bbiggs said:
    Exactly. Hence my initial post. There could be some, but itโ€™s unlikely that GA gets won with second picks. 
    We shall certainly see by this weekend, but I've seen where people have put Best Available for three, four, even five shows....

    For example St. Louis Best Available at someone's 4th pick and Denver Best Available at someone's 5th pick affects the OVERALL GA %'s.  We have no real way of knowing how many were available and how many requests came in and in what order. 

    I also think there will be lots of people that will get GA with their BA selection when they really would have just preferred to get good seats, and maybe this will make more than normal amounts of GA tickets available on this fan-to-fan exchange that is coming.  This may be something else to constantly check and watch for updated tickets being offered by members.....F5 F5 F5 F5
    Indy - 08.17.98
    Indy - 08.18.00
    Indy - 06.22.03
    Indy - 05.07.10
    EV StL - 07.01.11
    Alpine Valley - 09.03.11, 09.04.11 (PJ20)
    ATL - 09.22.12 (Music Midtown Festival)
    EV Jax - 11.24.12
    Chicago - 07.19.13
    Pittsburgh - 10.11.13
    Moline - 10.17.14 (The No Code Show)
    Milwaukee - 10.20.14 (The Yield Show)
    FtL - 04.08.16
    Miami - 04.09.16
    Tampa - 04.11.16
    Lexington - 04.26.16
    Chicago - 08.20.16, 08.22.16
    Chicago - 08.18.18, 08.20.18
    Boston - 09.02.18, 09.04.18
  • Posts: 7,784
    99% for ALL shows except Baltimore and NYC = reserved tickets if you requested them.....no denials.


    If Baltimore total odds are 65% any guesses what the first pick odds are for best available?
  • ecdanc said:
    The population is quite dense. ;)
    ๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚
  • clpdot133 said:
    Any reason to be concerned if I haven't seen the $1 charge on my CC yet? I did receive the email confirming my request for tickets.
    Not all CC's will put a hold for $1

    Cuyahoga Falls 92', Cuyahoga Falls 98', Cleveland 03', Cincinnati 03' (Flooded), Cincinnati 06', Cincinnati 14', Chicago N2 23', Indy 23' (Cancelled), Vegas N2 24', Seattle N1 24', Indy 24', Chicago N2 24', Boston N1 24'
    __________

  • clpdot133 said:
    Any reason to be concerned if I haven't seen the $1 charge on my CC yet? I did receive the email confirming my request for tickets.
    clpdot133 said:
    Any reason to be concerned if I haven't seen the $1 charge on my CC yet? I did receive the email confirming my request for tickets.
    I would say probably not. I had $0 charges on my credit card, but they disappeared within a day. It's just a means for Ticketstoday to verify that it's a valid card. Unless you check your statement within an hour or two of the charge, then there's a strong possibility you won't see it.
  • Posts: 13,890
    edited January 2020


    If Baltimore total odds are 65% any guesses what the first pick odds are for best available?
    With NY in the mix and a lot of people putting that as their first I would say true odds have to be above 80% for BAL as a first selection. Just a guess of course but I bet most people get BAL as first.
  • St.john's Newfoundland Posts: 895
    clpdot133 said:
    Any reason to be concerned if I haven't seen the $1 charge on my CC yet? I did receive the email confirming my request for tickets.
    Same thing happened too me 
    St.John's 9/24/2005
    St.John's 9/25/2005
    Toronto 9/11/2011
    Toronto 9/12/2011
    Quebec City 5/5/2016
    Ottawa 5/8/2016
  • Earth Posts: 3,249


    If Baltimore total odds are 65% any guesses what the first pick odds are for best available?
    With 1st priority.....pretty decent.
    Indy - 08.17.98
    Indy - 08.18.00
    Indy - 06.22.03
    Indy - 05.07.10
    EV StL - 07.01.11
    Alpine Valley - 09.03.11, 09.04.11 (PJ20)
    ATL - 09.22.12 (Music Midtown Festival)
    EV Jax - 11.24.12
    Chicago - 07.19.13
    Pittsburgh - 10.11.13
    Moline - 10.17.14 (The No Code Show)
    Milwaukee - 10.20.14 (The Yield Show)
    FtL - 04.08.16
    Miami - 04.09.16
    Tampa - 04.11.16
    Lexington - 04.26.16
    Chicago - 08.20.16, 08.22.16
    Chicago - 08.18.18, 08.20.18
    Boston - 09.02.18, 09.04.18
  • AZ Posts: 1,471
    For any of the people concerned about the lack of a $1 auth... I have worked in financial crimes for a long time and merchants can run these checks to make sure the card is open active and not compromised. The auth will give them a response and let them know your card is good and it never shows up on your end. Ticketmaster is probably synced up to this way of testing cards compared to true $1 holds that go on your account. I don't think you have anything to worry about.


  • If Baltimore total odds are 65% any guesses what the first pick odds are for best available?

    My guess is alot of people are doing MSG and Baltimore, and majority put MSG first. I would assume about 60-70% of people put Baltimore first choice. Assuming 70% first choice, the odds would be around 92% for first choice people
  • Same thing happened too me 
    As long as you received the email...you're good.  I have alway's used American Express and they never show a $1 hold

    Cuyahoga Falls 92', Cuyahoga Falls 98', Cleveland 03', Cincinnati 03' (Flooded), Cincinnati 06', Cincinnati 14', Chicago N2 23', Indy 23' (Cancelled), Vegas N2 24', Seattle N1 24', Indy 24', Chicago N2 24', Boston N1 24'
    __________

  • For any of the people concerned about the lack of a $1 auth... I have worked in financial crimes for a long time and merchants can run these checks to make sure the card is open active and not compromised. The auth will give them a response and let them know your card is good and it never shows up on your end. Ticketmaster is probably synced up to this way of testing cards compared to true $1 holds that go on your account. I don't think you have anything to worry about.

    Thanks. It made me so paranoid that I even went back in and submitted my request again last night to ensure that I had the numbers entered correctly ha.
  • Posts: 7,784
    edited January 2020
    Question for the veterans of 10c:

    Doesnt having a separate draw for each show significantly complicate the process and have a 
     multiple amount of more draws:

    [Number of shows x number of rounds]

    Whereas if they did one draw for everyone's first pick they would need only one draw per round for all shows?  Isnt that much simpler?
  • Canada Posts: 166
    clpdot133 said:
    Any reason to be concerned if I haven't seen the $1 charge on my CC yet? I did receive the email confirming my request for tickets.
    I didn't get it either. No worry
  • New Jersey Posts: 29,111
    Question for the veterans of 10c:

    Doesnt having a separate draw for each show significantly complicate the process and have a 
     multiple amount of more draws:

    [Number of shows x number of rounds]

    Whereas if they did one draw for everyone's first pick they would need only one draw per round for all shows?  Isnt that much simpler?
    no mr. red hook.  
    I'll ride the wave where it takes me......
  • Posts: 7,784

    My guess is alot of people are doing MSG and Baltimore, and majority put MSG first. I would assume about 60-70% of people put Baltimore first choice. Assuming 70% first choice, the odds would be around 92% for first choice people


    Thanks. My guess is very similar. I estimated a 30% better chance for having Baltimore as  first pick so about 85%. Not too bad considering very few Atlantic shows.



    Have to give a ton of credit to the club. I did alot of whining about obstructed Fenway seats with no warning. This time they showed us the club sections per arena in advance and allowed us to pick best available.

    Even with a higher # I have a chance to get a fairly decent seat in a smallish venue. Thanks 10c!
  • San Diego Posts: 3,730
    Question for the veterans of 10c:

    Doesnt having a separate draw for each show significantly complicate the process and have a 
     multiple amount of more draws:

    [Number of shows x number of rounds]

    Whereas if they did one draw for everyone's first pick they would need only one draw per round for all shows?  Isnt that much simpler?
    they've done this lottery draw before and it works, that's why they aren't changing it up...just sit back and relax, nothing you can do now...

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