The Official 2025 Tour Rumor Thread

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  • HailHailVitalogy
    HailHailVitalogy Posts: 6,016
    PJNB said:
    Roughly 23000 entries put in it looks like 

    That includes cancelations too. 

    Crazy for such a small tour. 
    And Hollywood is probably on all entries
    2003: Uniondale, MSG x2 | 2004: Reading | 2005: Gorge, Vancouver, Philly | 2006: East Rutherford x2, Gorge x2, Camden 1, Hartford | 2008: MSG x2, VA Beach | 2009: Philly x3 | 2010: MSG x2, Bristow | 2011: Alpine Valley x2 | 2012: MIA Philly | 2013: Wrigley, Charlottesville, Brooklyn 2 | 2014: Milan, Amsterdam 1 | 2016: MSG x2, Fenway x2, Wrigley 2 | 2018: Rome, Krakow, Berlin, Wrigley 2 | 2021: Sea Hear Now | 2022: San Diego, LA x2, MSG, Camden, Nashville, St. Louis, Denver | 2023: St. Paul 1, Chicago x2, Fort Worth x2, Austin 2 | 2024: Las Vegas 1, Seattle x2, Indy, MSG x2, Philly x2, Baltimore, Ohana 2 | 2025: Florida x2, Atlanta x2, Pittsburgh x2
  • ComeToTX
    ComeToTX Austin Posts: 8,068
    PJNB said:
    Roughly 23000 entries put in it looks like 

    That includes cancelations too. 

    Crazy for such a small tour. 
    How do you know?
    This show, another show, a show here and a show there.
  • JojoRice
    JojoRice Kennesaw, GA Posts: 4,554
    PJNB said:
    Roughly 23000 entries put in it looks like 

    That includes cancelations too. 

    Crazy for such a small tour. 
    Where do you see the numbers of entries at?  
    "I got memories, I got shit"
  • PJNB
    PJNB Posts: 13,890
    ComeToTX said:
    PJNB said:
    Roughly 23000 entries put in it looks like 

    That includes cancelations too. 

    Crazy for such a small tour. 
    How do you know?
    Ticket request numbers. I just changed mine and the difference between the two was that many. I first put in right when the lotto opened. 

    I assume it’s only 10C  entries adding to that number 
  • setlist41
    setlist41 Posts: 589
    PJNB said:
    Roughly 23000 entries put in it looks like 

    That includes cancelations too. 

    Crazy for such a small tour. 
    Wow!
  • JojoRice
    JojoRice Kennesaw, GA Posts: 4,554
    PJNB said:
    ComeToTX said:
    PJNB said:
    Roughly 23000 entries put in it looks like 

    That includes cancelations too. 

    Crazy for such a small tour. 
    How do you know?
    Ticket request numbers. I just changed mine and the difference between the two was that many. I first put in right when the lotto opened. 

    I assume it’s only 10C  entries adding to that number 
    Gotcha.  Makes sense. That would make it 2300 entries per show on average.  
    "I got memories, I got shit"
  • pjl44
    pjl44 Posts: 10,543
    PJNB said:
    ComeToTX said:
    PJNB said:
    Roughly 23000 entries put in it looks like 

    That includes cancelations too. 

    Crazy for such a small tour. 
    How do you know?
    Ticket request numbers. I just changed mine and the difference between the two was that many. I first put in right when the lotto opened. 

    I assume it’s only 10C  entries adding to that number 
    I guess you'd also have to back out any changes as that will pad the number
  • logan5ive
    logan5ive Dallas, TX Posts: 519
    JojoRice said:
    PJNB said:
    ComeToTX said:
    PJNB said:
    Roughly 23000 entries put in it looks like 

    That includes cancelations too. 

    Crazy for such a small tour. 
    How do you know?
    Ticket request numbers. I just changed mine and the difference between the two was that many. I first put in right when the lotto opened. 

    I assume it’s only 10C  entries adding to that number 
    Gotcha.  Makes sense. That would make it 2300 entries per show on average.  

    1993 - Dallas ~~~ 1995 - Red Rocks I & II | Austin ~~~ 1998 - St Louis | Kansas City | Dallas | Raleigh | Atlanta | Birmingham | Greenville | Knoxville | Virginia Beach ~~~ 2000 - New Orleans | Memphis | Nashville | Noblesville | Cincinnati | Columbus | Houston I & II | Dallas | Las Vegas | LA | San Diego | San Bernardino | Sacramento | San Francisco ~~~ 2003 - OKC | San Antonio | Houston | Dallas | Little Rock | Camden I & II | MSG I & II ~~~ 2004 - Boston I & II | St Louis ~~~ 2005 - Gorge | Vancouver | Kitchener | London | Hamilton ~~~ 2006 - Las Vegas | Gorge I & II | Honolulu ~~~ 2008 - MSG I & II ~~~ 2009 - Seattle I & II | Vancouver | Portland | ACL | Philly I-IV ~~~ 2010 - Kansas City | St Louis ~~~ 2011 - PJ20 I & II ~~~ 2013 - Wrigley | Dallas | OKC ~~~ 2014 - ACL I | Tulsa | Moline | St Paul | Milwaukee | Denver ~~~ 2022 - OKC ~~~ 2023 - FW I & II | Austin I & II ~~~ 2024 - Seattle I & II
    [80]
  • FBech
    FBech Sevilla Posts: 55
    is there a chance of european dates in 2025?
  • CopperTom
    CopperTom Posts: 3,149
    JojoRice said:
    PJNB said:
    ComeToTX said:
    PJNB said:
    Roughly 23000 entries put in it looks like 

    That includes cancelations too. 

    Crazy for such a small tour. 
    How do you know?
    Ticket request numbers. I just changed mine and the difference between the two was that many. I first put in right when the lotto opened. 

    I assume it’s only 10C  entries adding to that number 
    Gotcha.  Makes sense. That would make it 2300 entries per show on average.  
    No, since a single entry can include all 10 shows.
    http://www.livefootsteps.org/user/?usr=28
  • Reissy
    Reissy St. Louis Posts: 446
    I'd be curious to know the average number of selected shows per entry. My guess is three or four. 
    2014: St. Louis
    2024: Wrigley II, Fenway II
    2025: Hollywood II, Nashville I & II, Pittsburgh I & II
  • JeBurkhardt
    JeBurkhardt Posts: 5,331
    Reissy said:
    I'd be curious to know the average number of selected shows per entry. My guess is three or four. 
    Three for me, both Nashville shows and the first Pittsburgh show.
  • JojoRice
    JojoRice Kennesaw, GA Posts: 4,554
    I put in for 4. 
    "I got memories, I got shit"
  • BV84003
    BV84003 Holt, MI Posts: 478
    Just one entry for 2nd Nashville show for me.  I could have certainly swung for either Pittsburgh show though. Guess I have an hour to change my mind lol
    2003 Clarkston MI #2 | 2004 Grand Rapids MI | 2013 London ON | 2014 Detroit MI | 2016 Toronto ON #1 | 2025 Nashville TN #2
  • RatherStarved
    RatherStarved Posts: 5,780
    A little math.

    Assume 23K entries as has been estimated.

    Assume 10c got half the FL venue.  That’s 3500 tickets per show or 1750 pairs/show.

    Assume 50% of the entries try for FL and go for pairs.  That‘s 11500 entries.

    1750 pairs available/11500 pair entries = 15% fulfillment.

    So if all these assumptions hold true those are the Florida odds.  

    You can adjust up or down based on assumptions but it’s probably not a materially better chance than that and may well be worse.  
    PJ: 2013: London (ON); Buffalo; 2014: Cincinnati; 2016: Sunrise, Miami, Toronto 1-2, Wrigley 2; 2018: London (UK) 1, Milan, Padova, Sea 2, Wrigley 1-2, Fenway 1-2; 2021: SHN, Ohana, Ohana Encore 1-2; 2022: LA 1-2, Phx, Oak 1-2, Fresno, Copenhagen, Hyde Park 1-2; Quebec, Ottawa, Hamilton, Toronto; MSG, Camden, Nashville, Louisville, St. Louis, OKC; 2023: St. Paul 1-2, Chicago 1-2; Fort Worth 2; Austin 1-2; 2024:  Vancouver 1-2, LV 1-2, LA 1-2, Napa, Barcelona 1-2; Indy; Chicago 1-2; MSG 1-2; Philly 2; Boston 2; Ohana 1-2; 2025: FL 1-2, ATL 1-2, Nash 1-2, Pit 1-2.
     
    EV Solo: 2017 Louisville and Franklin, 2018 Ohana, 2019 Innings Fest, Berlin, Düsseldorf, Dublin and Ohana; 2021 Ohana Friday (from beach) and Saturday; 2022 Earthlings Newark; 2023 Innings Fest and Benoraya 1-2.

    Gutted:  London 2 2018, Sacramento 2022, Noblesville 2023
  • TenJams
    TenJams Posts: 64
    What time will the lotto winner emails go
    out?
  • setlist41
    setlist41 Posts: 589
    TenJams said:
    What time will the lotto winner emails go
    out?
    Tomorrow,  they start
  • TenJams
    TenJams Posts: 64
    edited December 2024
    RatherStarved said:
    A little math.

    Assume 23K entries as has been estimated.

    Assume 10c got half the FL venue.  That’s 3500 tickets per show or 1750 pairs/show.

    Assume 50% of the entries try for FL and go for pairs.  That‘s 11500 entries.

    1750 pairs available/11500 pair entries = 15% fulfillment.

    So if all these assumptions hold true those are the Florida odds.  

    You can adjust up or down based on assumptions but it’s probably not a materially better chance than that and may well be worse.  
     There’s a great Allan Cross podcast on ticket distribution.  Usually only 50% or less of all tickets will go to general public. 

    edit I misread your original post
    Post edited by TenJams on
  • Go Animal
    Go Animal Posts: 7,354
    Fingers crossed for Hollywood (and my credit card)
    PJ - 09/23/98: West Palm Beach II, 08/12/00: Tampa, 04/12/03: Orlando, 04/13/03: Tampa, 06/12/08: Tampa, 06/27/08: Hartford, 09/22/09: Seattle II, 04/11/16: Tampa, 05/01 & 05/02/16: MSG I & II, 09/18/21: Sea Hear Now, 10/01 & 10/02/21: Ohana Encore I & II, 05/06 & 05/07/22: Los Angeles (Inglewood) I & II, 09/11/22: MSG, 09/16/22: Nashville, 09/02/23: St. Paul II, 09/07/23: Chicago II, 09/18 & 09/19/23: Austin I & II, 05/16 & 05/18/24: Las Vegas I & II, 08/29 & 08/31/24: Wrigley Field I & II, 09/03 & 09/04/24: MSG I & II, 09/27 & 09/29/24: Ohana Festival I & II

    EV - 08/04 & 08/05/08: (Eddie solo, w/Liam Finn) NYC I & II, 11/27 & 11/28/12: (Eddie solo, w/Glen Hansard) Orlando I & II, 02/09 & 02/10/22: (Eddie & the Earthlings) Chicago I & II, 09/30/23: (Eddie & the Earthlings) Ohana Festival

    Song Wishlist: Alone, Let Me Sleep, Brother, full W.M.A., Hold On, Bugs/all of Vitalogy, Mankind, Around The Bend (full band), The Long Road, Don't Gimme No Lip, Pilate, Push Me Pull Me, All Those Yesterdays, Rival, Parting Ways, Ghost, Bu$hleaguer, WWS, Parachutes, Army Reserve, low octave Driftin', Strangest Tribe, Other Side, Undone, Fatal, Hitchhiker, Education, Black Red Yellow, Of the Earth, Love Reign O'er Me, Gonna See My Friend, Santa Cruz, Infallible, Yellow Moon, Alright, Comes Then Goes, and the Mamasan Trilogy.

    Wanted Posters: WPB '98, Tampa/WPB '00, Tampa '03, EV Batmobile '08        ISO: any picks, or setlists from any of my shows!
  • darwinstheory
    darwinstheory LaPorte, IN Posts: 7,375
    setlist41 said:
    TenJams said:
    What time will the lotto winner emails go
    out?
    Tomorrow,  they start
    When is it too soon for the slew proverbial "the waiting drove me mad" posts on here?
    "A smart monkey doesn't monkey around with another monkey's monkey" - Darwin's Theory

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