Hillary won more votes for President

rssesq

nate silver?

PJ_Soul

rssesq said:

nate silver?

Google it.

Boxes&Books

Kat said:

Gern Blansten said:

Seriously.
And thanks for that brain image above. That's just sad...but funny too.
Have a great week, everyone.

Why Don't we talk about how the DNC helped rig the primaries? And as soon as the DWS resigned HRC hired her on. Why don't we talk about how Clinton received debate questions in advance of the debate?

Awwwwww

Go Beavers

Nate Silver's only been referenced 400 times in the last 4 weeks in here.

Cliffy6745

Gern Blansten said:

So at this point Nate Silver has Clinton solidly over the 270 electoral votes.

This is WITHOUT:
1. North Carolina.......Clinton currently with a 60% chance of winning
2. Nevada..................Clinton currently with a 59% chance of winning
3. Florida....................Clinton currently with a 55% chance of winning
4. Ohio........................Trump favored to win with 57% chance

So over 270 without all 4 of these? Read a pretty promising article this morning about how Nevada is already in the bag based on early voting

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog

Edit. Yeah, so no Nevada, FL, NC, Ohio or IA and she carries everything else, she is at 273.

I don't see how she loses. Nate Silver's chance at winning seems very pessimistic.

PJ_Soul

Go Beavers said:

Nate Silver's only been referenced 400 times in the last 4 weeks in here.

lol, right?

pjhawks

PJ_Soul said:

Jason P said:

PJ_Soul said:

Jason P said:

How does someone amass 650,000 emails? That doesn't seem possible.

It seems completely possible to me. Even I have probably sent and received that many emails within the past 10 years, and I just have a regular office job.

That is a lot of emailing!

Yeah, well it includes all of my personal email and spam and stuff too, but I do send and receive a LOT of email for my job. It's by far the most used form of communication between people at work. I think I've read, received, and sent at least 25 emails just this morning, only 2 hours into the work day, not counting all the non-work related stuff (i.e. alerts about vinyl sales, lol), and it's super slow because it's Halloween. Calling someone to talk about something is almost unheard of at this point (but I still do it - it is actually way more efficient sometimes). The thing about email is that it is indeed a record of conversations. That has turned out to be a negative for Clinton, lol, but for most people, it is a massive benefit to have everything discussed and decided upon and sent and received recorded electronically. If someone comes to me and asks me about some minor contract that was signed or even just mentioned 6 years ago, or about an invoice that someone was asking about in 2014, I can simply do a search for it and boom, within seconds I've got all the information that everyone forgot about years ago on my screen. Some complain about email, but I definitely see the real benefit to making it your primary mode of work communication (and the benefit of never deleting them!! I would never delete an email... unless, of course, it was incriminating! ).

i said in another thread i have almost 20,000 for this year alone on my work computer and i am a million times less important than the Hillary or the Weiners so I think over a period of years it is totally plausible.

PJ_Soul

pjhawks said:

PJ_Soul said:

Jason P said:

PJ_Soul said:

Jason P said:

How does someone amass 650,000 emails? That doesn't seem possible.

It seems completely possible to me. Even I have probably sent and received that many emails within the past 10 years, and I just have a regular office job.

That is a lot of emailing!

Yeah, well it includes all of my personal email and spam and stuff too, but I do send and receive a LOT of email for my job. It's by far the most used form of communication between people at work. I think I've read, received, and sent at least 25 emails just this morning, only 2 hours into the work day, not counting all the non-work related stuff (i.e. alerts about vinyl sales, lol), and it's super slow because it's Halloween. Calling someone to talk about something is almost unheard of at this point (but I still do it - it is actually way more efficient sometimes). The thing about email is that it is indeed a record of conversations. That has turned out to be a negative for Clinton, lol, but for most people, it is a massive benefit to have everything discussed and decided upon and sent and received recorded electronically. If someone comes to me and asks me about some minor contract that was signed or even just mentioned 6 years ago, or about an invoice that someone was asking about in 2014, I can simply do a search for it and boom, within seconds I've got all the information that everyone forgot about years ago on my screen. Some complain about email, but I definitely see the real benefit to making it your primary mode of work communication (and the benefit of never deleting them!! I would never delete an email... unless, of course, it was incriminating! ).

i said in another thread i have almost 20,000 for this year alone on my work computer and i am a million times less important than the Secretary of State. Make the emails over 4 years and I can totally see 650k for someone in that position and who was then running for President.

For sure. I mean, Bush and friends made 22,000,000 emails disappear and nobody batted an eyelash, so I'm not sure why 650,000 would surprise anyone.

Gern Blansten

rssesq said:

nate silver?

Seriously?

Gern Blansten

Cliffy6745 said:

Gern Blansten said:

So at this point Nate Silver has Clinton solidly over the 270 electoral votes.

This is WITHOUT:
1. North Carolina.......Clinton currently with a 60% chance of winning
2. Nevada..................Clinton currently with a 59% chance of winning
3. Florida....................Clinton currently with a 55% chance of winning
4. Ohio........................Trump favored to win with 57% chance

So over 270 without all 4 of these? Read a pretty promising article this morning about how Nevada is already in the bag based on early voting

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog

Edit. Yeah, so no Nevada, FL, NC, Ohio or IA and she carries everything else, she is at 273.

I don't see how she loses. Nate Silver's chance at winning seems very pessimistic.

Yes....and Colorado is the Alamo for Clinton (according to Silver today {can change daily}) with Clinton currently 78% likely to win CO.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now&stateorder

eddiec

rssesq said:

Salman is a Clinton supporter? I betcha he and Billy have much in common.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/12185145/Padma-Lakshmi-lifts-the-lid-on-her-marriage-to-Salman-Rushdie.html

She's a total gold digger. You read the article? She probably didn't get the divorce settlement she wanted.

rssesq

nate silver or jack ruby

ledvedderman

tonifig8 said:

Kat said:

Gern Blansten said:

Seriously.
And thanks for that brain image above. That's just sad...but funny too.
Have a great week, everyone.

Why Don't we talk about how the DNC helped rig the primaries? And as soon as the DWS resigned HRC hired her on. Why don't we talk about how Clinton received debate questions in advance of the debate?

Awwwwww

#BernieLost

No votes were rigged in the primaries. Hiring DWS was dumb but not illegal.

Cliffy6745

Gern Blansten said:

Cliffy6745 said:

Gern Blansten said:

So at this point Nate Silver has Clinton solidly over the 270 electoral votes.

This is WITHOUT:
1. North Carolina.......Clinton currently with a 60% chance of winning
2. Nevada..................Clinton currently with a 59% chance of winning
3. Florida....................Clinton currently with a 55% chance of winning
4. Ohio........................Trump favored to win with 57% chance

So over 270 without all 4 of these? Read a pretty promising article this morning about how Nevada is already in the bag based on early voting

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog

Edit. Yeah, so no Nevada, FL, NC, Ohio or IA and she carries everything else, she is at 273.

I don't see how she loses. Nate Silver's chance at winning seems very pessimistic.

Yes....and Colorado is the Alamo for Clinton (according to Silver today {can change daily}) with Clinton currently 78% likely to win CO.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now&stateorder

Scroll down about midway to "The Winding Path...". It's a real nice way to see what is going on.

I have been finding more and more on 538 that interests me each day as I panic and dig deeper to feel better about this. I have not messed with the winding path chart yet though

Yeah, she hasn't trailed in any poll in CO since mind September....that makes me feel better. I am also fairly confident in NC

This is fun too

http://www.270towin.com/

Gern Blansten

Cliffy6745 said:

Gern Blansten said:

Cliffy6745 said:

Gern Blansten said:

So at this point Nate Silver has Clinton solidly over the 270 electoral votes.

This is WITHOUT:
1. North Carolina.......Clinton currently with a 60% chance of winning
2. Nevada..................Clinton currently with a 59% chance of winning
3. Florida....................Clinton currently with a 55% chance of winning
4. Ohio........................Trump favored to win with 57% chance

So over 270 without all 4 of these? Read a pretty promising article this morning about how Nevada is already in the bag based on early voting

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog

Edit. Yeah, so no Nevada, FL, NC, Ohio or IA and she carries everything else, she is at 273.

I don't see how she loses. Nate Silver's chance at winning seems very pessimistic.

Yes....and Colorado is the Alamo for Clinton (according to Silver today {can change daily}) with Clinton currently 78% likely to win CO.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now&stateorder

Scroll down about midway to "The Winding Path...". It's a real nice way to see what is going on.

I have been finding more and more on 538 that interests me each day as I panic and dig deeper to feel better about this. I have not messed with the winding path chart yet though

Yeah, she hasn't trailed in any poll in CO since mind September....that makes me feel better. I am also fairly confident in NC

This is fun too

http://www.270towin.com/

This will be an interesting election for his formula. No reason not to trust it (again) but it's such an unusual dynamic out there now.

His book "The Signal and the Noise" might describe this election perfectly. The noise makes you worry and distracts you but the signal is going our way big time. As of today at least.

rssesq

ledvedderman said:

tonifig8 said:

Kat said:

Gern Blansten said:

Seriously.
And thanks for that brain image above. That's just sad...but funny too.
Have a great week, everyone.

Why Don't we talk about how the DNC helped rig the primaries? And as soon as the DWS resigned HRC hired her on. Why don't we talk about how Clinton received debate questions in advance of the debate?

Awwwwww

#BernieLost

No votes were rigged in the primaries. Hiring DWS was dumb but not illegal.

Don't say the D word. she may be Chelsie's long lost sister

Cliffy6745

Gern Blansten said:

Cliffy6745 said:

Gern Blansten said:

Cliffy6745 said:

Gern Blansten said:

So at this point Nate Silver has Clinton solidly over the 270 electoral votes.

This is WITHOUT:
1. North Carolina.......Clinton currently with a 60% chance of winning
2. Nevada..................Clinton currently with a 59% chance of winning
3. Florida....................Clinton currently with a 55% chance of winning
4. Ohio........................Trump favored to win with 57% chance

So over 270 without all 4 of these? Read a pretty promising article this morning about how Nevada is already in the bag based on early voting

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/the-nevada-early-voting-blog

Edit. Yeah, so no Nevada, FL, NC, Ohio or IA and she carries everything else, she is at 273.

I don't see how she loses. Nate Silver's chance at winning seems very pessimistic.

Yes....and Colorado is the Alamo for Clinton (according to Silver today {can change daily}) with Clinton currently 78% likely to win CO.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now&stateorder

Scroll down about midway to "The Winding Path...". It's a real nice way to see what is going on.

I have been finding more and more on 538 that interests me each day as I panic and dig deeper to feel better about this. I have not messed with the winding path chart yet though

Yeah, she hasn't trailed in any poll in CO since mind September....that makes me feel better. I am also fairly confident in NC

This is fun too

http://www.270towin.com/

This will be an interesting election for his formula. No reason not to trust it (again) but it's such an unusual dynamic out there now.

His book "The Signal and the Noise" might describe this election perfectly. The noise makes you worry and distracts you but the signal is going our way big time. As of today at least.

His model is much less sure of Hillary than all the others...I don't understand how the right can expect to win a presidential election moving forward if the Dems don't need any of the 4 states you listed.

I hope so..

mrussel1

Gern Blansten said:

So at this point Nate Silver has Clinton solidly over the 270 electoral votes.

This is WITHOUT:
1. North Carolina.......Clinton currently with a 60% chance of winning
2. Nevada..................Clinton currently with a 59% chance of winning
3. Florida....................Clinton currently with a 55% chance of winning
4. Ohio........................Trump favored to win with 57% chance

Perhaps only Nevada matters:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/nevada-early-vote_us_581652efe4b0990edc31d16b

Free

tonifig8 said:

Kat said:

Gern Blansten said:

Seriously.
And thanks for that brain image above. That's just sad...but funny too.
Have a great week, everyone.

Why Don't we talk about how the DNC helped rig the primaries? And as soon as the DWS resigned HRC hired her on. Why don't we talk about how Clinton received debate questions in advance of the debate?

Awwwwww

Why talk about things that are unpleasant to her supporters?

BS44325

https://youtu.be/wQ6PvrsUzcg

Supporters of the Clintons are bailing. They recognize that this isn't healthy for the country.