If you want to make it less stressful, follow my lead.
Put in for the shows you want to attend. Stay the hell away from the ticket page. Check your email next Wednesday. Either you have tickets or you don't.
It may not help w/ your planning, but it'll keep you from thinking about it.
You're right. In my younger days, I would be pretty wound up about this... so I understand people being stressed that haven't been to a ton of shows, or are a little younger. I guess my priorities have realigned. As I've approached middle-age I'm willing to take your approach!
Is anyone looking at trends for the odds? I assume that odds will go down over time but maybe some people put their choices in right away and when travel plans fall through they drop out. Can't believe Moline GA has better odds than seats. Must be because it is such a small venue and GA will take up a big part of it.
6/26/98 & 6/27/98 - Alpine Valley, 10/9/00 - Allstate Arena - Rosemont, IL 6/18/2003 - United Center, 5/16/2006 - United Center, 5/17/2006 - United Center (7th row center, caught Eddie's pick), 6/29/2006 - Summerfest with Tom Petty, 8/24/2009 - United Center, 7/19/2013 - Wrigley Field, 10/3/2014 - St Louis, 10/17/2014 - Moline (GA), 10/20/2014 - Milwaukee, 5/14/2015 - Pete Townshend/EV, 8/20/16 & 8/22/16 Wrigley Field Part 2&3, 8/18/18 & 8/20/18 Wrigley Parts 4 & 5, 9/18/2022 - St Louis
What's the deal with the Memphis show? Either the odds feature isn't working or no one is going...as of now it's the only show with both GA and Reserved at 99%. If the set list theory I saw a few threads up is correct for the popular shows, how about the least popular ones...I wonder how the band makes a set list for that show....lots of rarely played songs or something along those lines.
What's the deal with the Memphis show? Either the odds feature isn't working or no one is going...as of now it's the only show with both GA and Reserved at 99%. If the set list theory I saw a few threads up is correct for the popular shows, how about the least popular ones...I wonder how the band makes a set list for that show....lots of rarely played songs or something along those lines.
The setlist theory isn't new or accurate, IMO. The band has always had the 10C info at their disposal. It's only new to us.
Exactly right. If they care to know, they can get the information as to how many 10c tix sold for that show. Ed specifically stated at the MSG shows in 03 how many fanclub members were in attendence (during night 2).
Cincinnati, OH - GA Standing 98% Cincinnati, OH - Reserved Seating 63% St Louis, MO - GA Standing 69% St Louis, MO - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - GA Standing 99% Lincoln, NE - GA Standing 99% Lincoln, NE - Reserved Seating 99% Memphis, TN - GA Standing 99% Memphis, TN - Reserved Seating 99% Detroit, MI - Reserved Seating 99% Detroit, MI - GA Standing 32% Moline, IL - GA Standing 78% Moline, IL - Reserved Seating 65% St. Paul, MN - GA Standing 90% St. Paul, MN - Reserved Seating 99% Milwaukee, WI - GA Standing 72% Milwaukee, WI - Reserved Seating 99% Denver, CO - GA Standing 78% Denver, CO - Reserved Seating 94%
As of 7:42 AM EST 5/22/14:
Cincinnati, OH - GA Standing 88% Cincinnati, OH - Reserved Seating 58% St Louis, MO - GA Standing 60% St Louis, MO - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - GA Standing 94% Lincoln, NE - GA Standing 99% Lincoln, NE - Reserved Seating 99% Memphis, TN - GA Standing 99% Memphis, TN - Reserved Seating 99% Detroit, MI - Reserved Seating 99% Detroit, MI - GA Standing 28% Moline, IL - GA Standing 65% Moline, IL - Reserved Seating 54% St. Paul, MN - GA Standing 78% St. Paul, MN - Reserved Seating 99% Milwaukee, WI - GA Standing 61% Milwaukee, WI - Reserved Seating 86% Denver, CO - GA Standing 65% Denver, CO - Reserved Seating 79%
As of 2:43 EST 5/22/14:
Cincinnati, OH - GA Standing 76% Cincinnati, OH - Reserved Seating 50% St Louis, MO - GA Standing 50% St Louis, MO - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - GA Standing 83% Lincoln, NE - GA Standing 99% Lincoln, NE - Reserved Seating 99% Memphis, TN - GA Standing 98% Memphis, TN - Reserved Seating 99% Detroit, MI - Reserved Seating 93% Detroit, MI - GA Standing 24% Moline, IL - GA Standing 54% Moline, IL - Reserved Seating 46% St. Paul, MN - GA Standing 66% St. Paul, MN - Reserved Seating 91% Milwaukee, WI - GA Standing 51% Milwaukee, WI - Reserved Seating 72% Denver, CO - GA Standing 57% Denver, CO - Reserved Seating 68%
2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA 2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD 2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
Cincinnati, OH - GA Standing 98% Cincinnati, OH - Reserved Seating 63% St Louis, MO - GA Standing 69% St Louis, MO - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - GA Standing 99% Lincoln, NE - GA Standing 99% Lincoln, NE - Reserved Seating 99% Memphis, TN - GA Standing 99% Memphis, TN - Reserved Seating 99% Detroit, MI - Reserved Seating 99% Detroit, MI - GA Standing 32% Moline, IL - GA Standing 78% Moline, IL - Reserved Seating 65% St. Paul, MN - GA Standing 90% St. Paul, MN - Reserved Seating 99% Milwaukee, WI - GA Standing 72% Milwaukee, WI - Reserved Seating 99% Denver, CO - GA Standing 78% Denver, CO - Reserved Seating 94%
As of 7:42 AM EST 5/22/14:
Cincinnati, OH - GA Standing 88% Cincinnati, OH - Reserved Seating 58% St Louis, MO - GA Standing 60% St Louis, MO - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - GA Standing 94% Lincoln, NE - GA Standing 99% Lincoln, NE - Reserved Seating 99% Memphis, TN - GA Standing 99% Memphis, TN - Reserved Seating 99% Detroit, MI - Reserved Seating 99% Detroit, MI - GA Standing 28% Moline, IL - GA Standing 65% Moline, IL - Reserved Seating 54% St. Paul, MN - GA Standing 78% St. Paul, MN - Reserved Seating 99% Milwaukee, WI - GA Standing 61% Milwaukee, WI - Reserved Seating 86% Denver, CO - GA Standing 65% Denver, CO - Reserved Seating 79%
As of 2:43 EST 5/22/14:
Cincinnati, OH - GA Standing 76% Cincinnati, OH - Reserved Seating 50% St Louis, MO - GA Standing 50% St Louis, MO - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - GA Standing 83% Lincoln, NE - GA Standing 99% Lincoln, NE - Reserved Seating 99% Memphis, TN - GA Standing 98% Memphis, TN - Reserved Seating 99% Detroit, MI - Reserved Seating 93% Detroit, MI - GA Standing 24% Moline, IL - GA Standing 54% Moline, IL - Reserved Seating 46% St. Paul, MN - GA Standing 66% St. Paul, MN - Reserved Seating 91% Milwaukee, WI - GA Standing 51% Milwaukee, WI - Reserved Seating 72% Denver, CO - GA Standing 57% Denver, CO - Reserved Seating 68%
As of 4:26 pm EST 5/22/14:
Cincinnati, OH - GA Standing 75% Cincinnati, OH - Reserved Seating 49% St Louis, MO - GA Standing 50% St Louis, MO - Reserved Seating 97% Tulsa, OK - Reserved Seating 99% Tulsa, OK - GA Standing 81% Lincoln, NE - GA Standing 99% Lincoln, NE - Reserved Seating 99% Memphis, TN - GA Standing 96% Memphis, TN - Reserved Seating 99% Detroit, MI - Reserved Seating 92% Detroit, MI - GA Standing 24% Moline, IL - GA Standing 53% Moline, IL - Reserved Seating 45% St. Paul, MN - GA Standing 65% St. Paul, MN - Reserved Seating 90% Milwaukee, WI - GA Standing 49% Milwaukee, WI - Reserved Seating 70% Denver, CO - GA Standing 56% Denver, CO - Reserved Seating 67%
Post edited by FrankieG on
2003: 7/14 NJ ... 2006: 6/1 NJ, 6/3 NJ ... 2007: 8/5 IL ... 2008: 6/24 NY, 6/25 NY, 8/7 EV NJ ... 2009: 10/27 PA, 10/28 PA, 10/30 PA, 10/31 PA 2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD 2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
Pine Knob Music Theatre - Jul 31, 1992 Crisler Arena - Mar 20, 1994
Summerfest - Jul 09, 1995*Savage Hall - Sep 22, 1996The Palace of Auburn Hills-Aug 23, 1998 Breslin Center- Aug 18, 1998,The Palace of Auburn Hills-Oct 07, 2000 DTE Energy Theatre-Jun5,2003,DTE Energy Music Theatre - Jun 26, 2003Sports Arena - Oct 02, 2004 Van Andel Arena - May 19, 2006Palace of Auburn Hills-May 22, 2006 Quicken Loans Arena-May 09, 2010
10-16-2014 Detroit
guys, you don't need to keep copy & pasting the odds over and over... we all have access to the page
or better still PLEASE don't post or visit this thread if you don't care
IMO i'm happy they are posting and updating this thread/info
The thing is, the odds won't actually matter until you look at the odds right before the lottery closes... Any of the odds changing between now and next Wednesday is fairly irrelevant in my book, but that's just me.
just seems like a lot of wasted stress and energy myself. I figured this thread was to talk about the odds feature, not have it be constantly updated.
I actually like to see the trends of the odds over time.
6/26/98 & 6/27/98 - Alpine Valley, 10/9/00 - Allstate Arena - Rosemont, IL 6/18/2003 - United Center, 5/16/2006 - United Center, 5/17/2006 - United Center (7th row center, caught Eddie's pick), 6/29/2006 - Summerfest with Tom Petty, 8/24/2009 - United Center, 7/19/2013 - Wrigley Field, 10/3/2014 - St Louis, 10/17/2014 - Moline (GA), 10/20/2014 - Milwaukee, 5/14/2015 - Pete Townshend/EV, 8/20/16 & 8/22/16 Wrigley Field Part 2&3, 8/18/18 & 8/20/18 Wrigley Parts 4 & 5, 9/18/2022 - St Louis
it's still a lottery, everyone still has a chance of getting drawn. in theory, all the odds should go down very low if there is enough demand from the 10c club. some of the higher demand shows should go down to 5% chance. who wants put in for a show with only a 5% chance vs. 68% chance? because it's the same chance. you can spin the wheel and get a million dollars or you can spin the wheel and get $5. but you still get the spin.
if demand exceed supply in all shows then all the odds are going to go down to 1%, unless they start doing the fraction like 1:1753. we all still have a chance. they state this is just to show the demand for each show. when is the demand so high that the odd will go down to 0%? never, that number is infinite. there is always still a chance of being drawn.
Amy The Great #74594
New Orleans LA 7/4/95 reschedule 9/17/95
Chicago IL 1998, 10/9/00, 06/18/03, 05/16/06, 05/17/06
08/23/09, 08/24/09, Lolla 08/05/07
Champaign IL 4/23/03
Grand Rapids MI VFC 10/03/04
Grand Rapids MI 19May06
Noblesville IN 05/07/10 Cleveland OH 05/09/10
PJ 20 2011
Baltimore MD, Charlottesville VA, Seattle WA 2013
St. Louis MO, Milwaukee WI 2014
Tampa FL, Chicago IL, Lexington KY 2016 Missoula MT 2018
All priority choices are included in the odds. I emailed the ten club and their response. "The odds tool is are separate from priority. The odds you see do not take your personal entry priority choices into consideration. The odds listed on the site are general."
- Each ticket option odds are calculated based on the number of entrants versus the number of tickets available.
I still think there is too much missing info to really gauge this.
So, the odds factor in all entries regardless of choice preference. How are the odds the same for someone who has it as 1st choice and another who has it as 2nd choice? If the number of request exceed the number of tickets available, which they usually do, anyone that has a certain option as a 2nd choice has a 0% chance since all tickets would be distributed to the 1st choice people. But the odds chart would show differently.
Also, kind of a separate thought, the odds will change quite a bit as the certain options switch from drawing from the 1st choice pool to the 2nd choice pool of people. Of course, we can't see that because it all happens at once but it will happen.
So, basically, everyone should just put in for what they want and hope for the best. There is always the TM option on 5/30 to get in the building if we are not selected.
3/22/94 Cleveland, OH
9/21/96 Toronto, ON
8/26/98 Cleveland, OH
5/09/10 Cleveland, OH
9/03/11 East Troy, WI PJ20
9/04/11 East Troy, WI PJ20
7/19/13 Chicago, IL Wrigley Field
10/11/13 Pittsburgh, PA
10/12/13 Buffalo, NY
12/06/13 Seattle, WA
10/16/14 Detroit, MI
10/17/14 Moline, IL
8/20/16 Chicago, IL Wrigley Field
8/22/16 Chicago, IL Wrigley Field
All priority choices are included in the odds. I emailed the ten club and their response. "The odds tool is are separate from priority. The odds you see do not take your personal entry priority choices into consideration. The odds listed on the site are general."
So I take this to mean that we shouldn't actually think of the "odds" as in our actual chances of getting drawn for a particular choice. Instead, it's a way of communicating the popularity of that choice. So if they have 500 GA pairs available for the drawing and 250 people submitted for those at any choice level the "odds" drop to 50%. It just means that 50% of the available tickets are spoken for or desired. It doesn't mean that our actual chances are 50% bc that's where priority matters. I think it's safe to say that most people put GA as their top priority though.
This "odds" feature shouldn't be viewed as actual odds and they should have called it "popularity" or something similar
Post edited by shetellsherself on
5/3/92 Omaha, NE
6/19/95 Red Rocks
9/11/98 MSG
11/19/12 EV solo Tulsa
7/19/13 Wrigley 10/19/13 Brooklyn 2 10/21/13 Philly 1 10/22/13 Philly 2 10/25/13 Hartford
10/08/14 Tulsa 10/09/14 Lincoln
9/26/15 New York City
4/16/16 Greenville 4/28/16 Philly 1 4/29/16 Philly 2 5/1/16 MSG 1 5/2/16 MSG 2 8/7/16 Fenway 2 8/20/16 Wrigley 1 4/7/17 RRHOF New York City 9/02/18 Fenway 1 9/04/2018 Fenway 2 9/18/21 Asbury Park 9/11/22 New York City 9/14/22 Camden
Comments
2000: 8/15, 8/18, 10/9, 10/11, 10/12
2003: 6/18, 6/21, 6/22
2005: 9/9, 9/28
2006:5/16, 5/17, 6/26, 6/27
2007: 8/5
2009: 8/23, 8/24
2010: 5/3, 5/4, 5/21
2011: 9/3, 9/4, 9/11, 9/12
2013: 7/19, 11/16
2014: 10/3, 10/9, 10/12, 10/17
2016: 4/16, 8/20, 8/22
2018: 8/18, 8/20, 9/2
2022: 9/18
2023: 8/31, 9/2, 9/5
This is way more stressful than F5-ing! hahaha
5/17/2006 - United Center (7th row center, caught Eddie's pick), 6/29/2006 - Summerfest with Tom Petty,
8/24/2009 - United Center, 7/19/2013 - Wrigley Field, 10/3/2014 - St Louis, 10/17/2014 - Moline (GA), 10/20/2014 - Milwaukee,
5/14/2015 - Pete Townshend/EV, 8/20/16 & 8/22/16 Wrigley Field Part 2&3, 8/18/18 & 8/20/18 Wrigley Parts 4 & 5, 9/18/2022 - St Louis
Posters for Sale: http://community.pearljam.com/discussion/117469/posters-for-sale
T-Shirts for Sale: http://community.pearljam.com/discussion/149289/pj-t-shirt-trade-or-sale
Cincinnati, OH - GA Standing 76%
Cincinnati, OH - Reserved Seating 50%
St Louis, MO - GA Standing 50%
St Louis, MO - Reserved Seating 99%
Tulsa, OK - Reserved Seating 99%
Tulsa, OK - GA Standing 83%
Lincoln, NE - GA Standing 99%
Lincoln, NE - Reserved Seating 99%
Memphis, TN - GA Standing 98%
Memphis, TN - Reserved Seating 99%
Detroit, MI - Reserved Seating 93%
Detroit, MI - GA Standing 24%
Moline, IL - GA Standing 54%
Moline, IL - Reserved Seating 46%
St. Paul, MN - GA Standing 66%
St. Paul, MN - Reserved Seating 91%
Milwaukee, WI - GA Standing 51%
Milwaukee, WI - Reserved Seating 72%
Denver, CO - GA Standing 57%
Denver, CO - Reserved Seating 68%
2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
...are those who've helped us.
Right 'round the corner could be bigger than ourselves.
Those that can be trusted can change their mind.
50% is 1 ticket / 2 entrants, 33% is 1/3, 25% is 1/4, 10% is 1 ticket for 10 entrants, and 1% is 1 in 100.
If I knew where it was I would take you there.
I find myself looking at it a lot just because it's interesting info. I'm not stressing over it.
Cincinnati, OH - GA Standing 75%
Cincinnati, OH - Reserved Seating 49%
St Louis, MO - GA Standing 50%
St Louis, MO - Reserved Seating 97%
Tulsa, OK - Reserved Seating 99%
Tulsa, OK - GA Standing 81%
Lincoln, NE - GA Standing 99%
Lincoln, NE - Reserved Seating 99%
Memphis, TN - GA Standing 96%
Memphis, TN - Reserved Seating 99%
Detroit, MI - Reserved Seating 92%
Detroit, MI - GA Standing 24%
Moline, IL - GA Standing 53%
Moline, IL - Reserved Seating 45%
St. Paul, MN - GA Standing 65%
St. Paul, MN - Reserved Seating 90%
Milwaukee, WI - GA Standing 49%
Milwaukee, WI - Reserved Seating 70%
Denver, CO - GA Standing 56%
Denver, CO - Reserved Seating 67%
2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
Cincinnati, OH - GA Standing 98% 88% 76% 75%
Cincinnati, OH - Reserved Seating 63% 58% 50% 49%
St Louis, MO - GA Standing 69% 60% 50% 50%
St Louis, MO - Reserved Seating 99% 99% 99% 97%
Tulsa, OK - Reserved Seating 99% 99% 99% 99%
Tulsa, OK - GA Standing 99% 94% 83% 81%
Lincoln, NE - GA Standing 99% 99% 99% 99%
Lincoln, NE - Reserved Seating 99% 99% 99% 99%
Memphis, TN - GA Standing 99% 99% 98% 96%
Memphis, TN - Reserved Seating 99% 99% 99% 99%
Detroit, MI - Reserved Seating 99% 99% 93% 92%
Detroit, MI - GA Standing 32% 28% 24% 24%
Moline, IL - GA Standing 78% 65% 54% 53%
Moline, IL - Reserved Seating 65% 54% 46% 45%
St. Paul, MN - GA Standing 90% 78% 66% 65%
St. Paul, MN - Reserved Seating 99% 99% 91% 90%
Milwaukee, WI - GA Standing 72% 61% 51% 49%
Milwaukee, WI - Reserved Seating 99% 86% 72% 70%
Denver, CO - GA Standing 78% 65% 57% 56%
Denver, CO - Reserved Seating 94% 79% 68% 67%
2010: 5/20 NY, 5/21 NY ... 2011: 6/21 EV NY, 9/3 WI, 9/4 WI ... 2012: 9/2 PA, 9/22 GA ... 2013: 10/18 NY, 10/19 NY, 10/21 PA, 10/22 PA, 10/27 MD
2015: 9/23 NY, 9/26 NY ... 2016: 4/28 PA, 4/29 PA, 5/1 NY, 5/2 NY, 6/11 TN, 8/7 MA, 11/4 TOTD PA, 11/5 TOTD PA ... 2018: 8/10 WA ---- http://imgur.com/a/nk0s7
IMO i'm happy they are posting and updating this thread/info
Summerfest - Jul 09, 1995*Savage Hall - Sep 22, 1996The Palace of Auburn Hills-Aug 23, 1998 Breslin Center- Aug 18, 1998,The Palace of Auburn Hills-Oct 07, 2000 DTE Energy Theatre-Jun5,2003,DTE Energy Music Theatre - Jun 26, 2003Sports Arena - Oct 02, 2004 Van Andel Arena - May 19, 2006Palace of Auburn Hills-May 22, 2006 Quicken Loans Arena-May 09, 2010
10-16-2014 Detroit
just seems like a lot of wasted stress and energy myself. I figured this thread was to talk about the odds feature, not have it be constantly updated.
5/17/2006 - United Center (7th row center, caught Eddie's pick), 6/29/2006 - Summerfest with Tom Petty,
8/24/2009 - United Center, 7/19/2013 - Wrigley Field, 10/3/2014 - St Louis, 10/17/2014 - Moline (GA), 10/20/2014 - Milwaukee,
5/14/2015 - Pete Townshend/EV, 8/20/16 & 8/22/16 Wrigley Field Part 2&3, 8/18/18 & 8/20/18 Wrigley Parts 4 & 5, 9/18/2022 - St Louis
if demand exceed supply in all shows then all the odds are going to go down to 1%, unless they start doing the fraction like 1:1753. we all still have a chance. they state this is just to show the demand for each show. when is the demand so high that the odd will go down to 0%? never, that number is infinite. there is always still a chance of being drawn.
New Orleans LA 7/4/95 reschedule 9/17/95
Chicago IL 1998, 10/9/00, 06/18/03, 05/16/06, 05/17/06
08/23/09, 08/24/09, Lolla 08/05/07
Champaign IL 4/23/03
Grand Rapids MI VFC 10/03/04
Grand Rapids MI 19May06
Noblesville IN 05/07/10 Cleveland OH 05/09/10
PJ 20 2011
Baltimore MD, Charlottesville VA, Seattle WA 2013
St. Louis MO, Milwaukee WI 2014
Tampa FL, Chicago IL, Lexington KY 2016
Missoula MT 2018
"The odds tool is are separate from priority. The odds you see do not take your personal entry priority choices into consideration. The odds listed on the site are general."
Columbus-2003
Cincinnati-2006
Columbus-2010
Wrigley-2013
Cincinnati-2014
Lexington-2016
Wrigley 1 & 2-2018
I still think there is too much missing info to really gauge this.
So, the odds factor in all entries regardless of choice preference. How are the odds the same for someone who has it as 1st choice and another who has it as 2nd choice? If the number of request exceed the number of tickets available, which they usually do, anyone that has a certain option as a 2nd choice has a 0% chance since all tickets would be distributed to the 1st choice people. But the odds chart would show differently.
Also, kind of a separate thought, the odds will change quite a bit as the certain options switch from drawing from the 1st choice pool to the 2nd choice pool of people. Of course, we can't see that because it all happens at once but it will happen.
So, basically, everyone should just put in for what they want and hope for the best. There is always the TM option on 5/30 to get in the building if we are not selected.
9/21/96 Toronto, ON
8/26/98 Cleveland, OH
5/09/10 Cleveland, OH
9/03/11 East Troy, WI PJ20
9/04/11 East Troy, WI PJ20
7/19/13 Chicago, IL Wrigley Field
10/11/13 Pittsburgh, PA
10/12/13 Buffalo, NY
12/06/13 Seattle, WA
10/16/14 Detroit, MI
10/17/14 Moline, IL
8/20/16 Chicago, IL Wrigley Field
8/22/16 Chicago, IL Wrigley Field
This "odds" feature shouldn't be viewed as actual odds and they should have called it "popularity" or something similar
6/19/95 Red Rocks
9/11/98 MSG
11/19/12 EV solo Tulsa
7/19/13 Wrigley 10/19/13 Brooklyn 2 10/21/13 Philly 1 10/22/13 Philly 2 10/25/13 Hartford
10/08/14 Tulsa 10/09/14 Lincoln
9/26/15 New York City
4/16/16 Greenville 4/28/16 Philly 1 4/29/16 Philly 2 5/1/16 MSG 1 5/2/16 MSG 2 8/7/16 Fenway 2 8/20/16 Wrigley 1
4/7/17 RRHOF New York City
9/02/18 Fenway 1 9/04/2018 Fenway 2
9/18/21 Asbury Park
9/11/22 New York City
9/14/22 Camden