SURVEY MONKEY RESULTS - LEG 1

mrussel1
mrussel1 Posts: 30,922
edited August 2013 in The Porch
All,

Here are the survey results from Leg 1. 476 people responded to Leg 1 which is statistically significant, so these %'s should hold basically true. Couple of interesting points:

1. Brooklyn was popular (duh)
2. C'Ville was the least popular which also stands to reason. There is no major market in the area. DC is closer to Baltimore. This was great for those of us in Richmond, VA Beach etc.
3. Philly was far less chosen than expected. Perhaps because people were scared away from 4 show sellout in 09. It was 7 for me and I won reserved. Shocked.
4. 76% of us won our first selection. Not that bad...

Raw data including Leg 2 here: http://www.surveymonkey.com/sr.aspx?sm= ... JxzfvIM_3d

Sorry the images are hard to see, but 10C limits don't work great with excel. First graph shows % who won first choice, moving left to right. Second graph stacks choices 1-3 to get a look at where most requests were. In case you can't see it, the shows are in date order from left to right with GA first.

Leg1Graph1.jpg

Leg1Graph2.jpg
Post edited by Unknown User on
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Comments

  • mookieblalock
    mookieblalock Posts: 3,590
    Seriously - a HUGE thank you!

    Great information! And really helps to explain what happened with Philly.
  • mcriecken
    mcriecken Indiana Posts: 265
    Awesome! Thanks for taking the reigns on this, mrussel1. Glad you were able to get these stats out for everyone to see! :)
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  • jimc3
    jimc3 Posts: 230
    why the bizarre spike with successful #9 choices? smells like there was a technical flaw
  • CJMST3K
    CJMST3K Posts: 9,722
    Thanks for doing this! I figured Cville would be the lowest draw which is why I put it first priority, to have a safety net. Glad I did, that was the only out of 6 priorities. (are you in rva?)

    Still digesting your research.
    ADD 5,200 to the post count you see, thank you. :)
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  • mookieblalock
    mookieblalock Posts: 3,590
    jimc3 wrote:
    why the bizarre spike with successful #9 choices? smells like there was a technical flaw


    My guess is those are all Philly shows and people likely went something like:

    1. Brooklyn 1 GA
    2. Brooklyn 1 RES
    3. Hartford GA
    4. Hartford RES
    5. PItt GA
    6. Pitt RES
    7. Buffalo GA
    8. Buffalo RES
    9 [Insert any Philly show]


    FWIW Philly is the only show Ive seen people post they got with the 9th priority and Ive seen it a couple times.
  • mrussel1
    mrussel1 Posts: 30,922
    jimc3 wrote:
    why the bizarre spike with successful #9 choices? smells like there was a technical flaw

    Could be.. could also be the low overall demand for Philly (in a big arena) gave some people a chance. Only 3% had Philly 2 Reserve as their first choice.

    Or, more likely, is that we only had 24 responses for #9, and 20% got that show. Could just be a data anomaly from the low sample rate at that particular segment.
  • mrussel1
    mrussel1 Posts: 30,922
    CJMST3K wrote:
    Thanks for doing this! I figured Cville would be the lowest draw which is why I put it first priority, to have a safety net. Glad I did, that was the only out of 6 priorities. (are you in rva?)

    Still digesting your research.

    Yes, I'm in Richmond. I was thrilled to see JPJ on the docket and I got GA. Also got #7 Philly and #10 CLT Reserve.

    Once I post the Leg 2, I think there is one key lesson out of this...
  • jlaustin
    jlaustin Ann Arbor, MI Posts: 2,355
    Thanks for doing this! I love graphs! :lol:
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  • Leezestarr313
    Leezestarr313 Temple of the cat Posts: 14,451
    :thumbup: Thanks for posting the results!
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  • ldent42
    ldent42 NYC Posts: 7,859
    Thanks for this - this is helping my brain understand a few things. Also, if everyone clicks on the photo, then clicks on the zoom when it redirects to the photobucket website, then clicks on the zoom again in the popup window, it will reload the image 'actual size' making it much easier to read.

    Now I understand how I got my 1st choice (Bklyn 1 GA) - it was because everyone went for the saturday show! WOOHOO me! I'm hoping this means it'll be easier to get tickets for the Sat show through TM 8-)


    I think the 9th choice = philly win theory makes a lot of sense. Both philly shows are on weeknights, and not a lot of us can take off Mondays and Tuesdays. At least in my experience it's easier to get off Fridays from work than Mondays.

    I have to admit, 76% win for 1st choice isn't that bad at all. I'd be curious to see what the stats are for people who lost their 1st choice but won their 2nd.

    Thanks again for doing this!
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  • LD_and happy
    LD_and happy Portland, OR Posts: 107
    Hey thanks for the great results! Are you going to show for Leg 2? I responded and did a survey for that - very curious as well ;)
  • LD_and happy
    LD_and happy Portland, OR Posts: 107
    LD_and happy wrote:
    Hey thanks for the great results! Are you going to show for Leg 2? I responded and did a survey for that - very curious as well ;)

    Never mind - saw it! thanks very much for your effort. My husband and I are also stat geeks, so we really appreciate the numbers. Only wish more people had participated in Leg2.
    Have a great trip at/to the shows :D
  • mrussel1
    mrussel1 Posts: 30,922
    Bump for more views.
  • 2-feign-reluctance
    2-feign-reluctance TigerTown, USA Posts: 23,462
    edited July 2013
    76% of those that responded to the poll won their first choice? More than statistically significant. It's been 10 years since graduate school, how does this sample apply to the general 10c population? I see it's stat sig for the sample you took, but generalizing to all ticket buying folks?
    Post edited by 2-feign-reluctance on
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  • CO278952
    CO278952 Orlando, FL Posts: 1,451
    mrussel1 wrote:
    All,

    Here are the survey results from Leg 1. 476 people responded to Leg 1 which is statistically significant, so these %'s should hold basically true. Couple of interesting points:

    1. Brooklyn was popular (duh)
    2. C'Ville was the least popular which also stands to reason. There is no major market in the area. DC is closer to Baltimore. This was great for those of us in Richmond, VA Beach etc.
    3. Philly was far less chosen than expected. Perhaps because people were scared away from 4 show sellout in 09. It was 7 for me and I won reserved. Shocked.
    4. 76% of us won our first selection. Not that bad...

    Raw data including Leg 2 here: http://www.surveymonkey.com/sr.aspx?sm= ... JxzfvIM_3d

    Sorry the images are hard to see, but 10C limits don't work great with excel. First graph shows % who won first choice, moving left to right. Second graph stacks choices 1-3 to get a look at where most requests were. In case you can't see it, the shows are in date order from left to right with GA first.

    Leg1Graph1.jpg

    Leg1Graph2.jpg


    Something is either wrong with the lottery system or your data if people choosing GA for Brooklyn 2 as their 2nd choice got tickets because I lost it as my first choice and was locked out of all other picks.
    4.17.94 Paramount 9.28.96 Randall's Island 8.25.00 Jones Beach 4.28.03 Spectrum 7.5.03 Camden 7.6.03 Camden 07.08.03 MSG 07.09.03 MSG 7.12.03 Hershey 7.14.03 Holmdel 6.12.08 Tampa 10.19.13 Brooklyn 4.11.16 Tampa 5.1.16 MSG 5.2.16 MSG 8.7.16 Fenway 9.2.18 Fenway 9.4.18 Fenway 9.11.22 MSG 9.16.22 Nashville 9.18.23 Austin 9.19.23 Austin 9.3.24 MSG 9.4.24 MSG Fenway 9.15.24 Fenway 9.17.24 Hollywood 4.24.25 Nashville 5.6.25 Nashville 5.8.25
  • mrussel1
    mrussel1 Posts: 30,922
    2-feign-reluctance wrote:
    76% won their first choice? More than statistically significant.

    That's right. I think much of the backlash has been coming from certain shows: NYC, Dallas, OKC and Seattle. Those appear to have been heavy volume. Those that went 'All or None' on one of these shows were most likely to be disappointed.
  • know1
    know1 Posts: 6,801
    CO278952 wrote:
    Something is either wrong with the lottery system or your data if people choosing GA for Brooklyn 2 as their 2nd choice got tickets because I lost it as my first choice and was locked out of all other picks.

    Did you win ANY Brooklyn ticket - Brooklyn 1 GA or Reserved?
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  • pjsteelerfan
    pjsteelerfan Maryland Posts: 9,905
    Very Interesting results. I think with both legs of people getting their #1 over 70% of the time is good.
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  • CO278952
    CO278952 Orlando, FL Posts: 1,451
    know1 wrote:
    CO278952 wrote:
    Something is either wrong with the lottery system or your data if people choosing GA for Brooklyn 2 as their 2nd choice got tickets because I lost it as my first choice and was locked out of all other picks.

    Did you win ANY Brooklyn ticket - Brooklyn 1 GA or Reserved?


    No my picks were as follows since I am flying up from Orlando and would prefer to attend 10/19 (which i will now through ticketmaster) but would also like the best possible spot so would "settle" for friday. Sucks to lose all picks. I don't understand how it is possible for anyone who got GA for Brooklyn 2 if it was not their 1st priority pick based on the 10c lottery rules.

    Brooklyn 2 GA
    Brooklyn 1 GA
    Brooklyn 2 Res
    Brooklyn 1 Res
    4.17.94 Paramount 9.28.96 Randall's Island 8.25.00 Jones Beach 4.28.03 Spectrum 7.5.03 Camden 7.6.03 Camden 07.08.03 MSG 07.09.03 MSG 7.12.03 Hershey 7.14.03 Holmdel 6.12.08 Tampa 10.19.13 Brooklyn 4.11.16 Tampa 5.1.16 MSG 5.2.16 MSG 8.7.16 Fenway 9.2.18 Fenway 9.4.18 Fenway 9.11.22 MSG 9.16.22 Nashville 9.18.23 Austin 9.19.23 Austin 9.3.24 MSG 9.4.24 MSG Fenway 9.15.24 Fenway 9.17.24 Hollywood 4.24.25 Nashville 5.6.25 Nashville 5.8.25
  • mrussel1
    mrussel1 Posts: 30,922
    know1 wrote:
    CO278952 wrote:
    Something is either wrong with the lottery system or your data if people choosing GA for Brooklyn 2 as their 2nd choice got tickets because I lost it as my first choice and was locked out of all other picks.

    Did you win ANY Brooklyn ticket - Brooklyn 1 GA or Reserved?


    The data isn't actually saying that. I didn't crosstab specific requests vs. wins. I am only showing where the volume of requests for choice 1-3 exist, and where people won choice 1-10. Those data elements aren't correlating. Hope I'm being clear.

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