7.8%

Prince Of DorknessPrince Of Dorkness Posts: 3,763
edited October 2012 in A Moving Train
Jobs Report: U.S. Economy Adds 114,000 Jobs In September; Jobless Rate Down To 7.8 Percent.

The number of unemployed Americans is now 12.1 million, the fewest since January 2009.

applauding.gif

Is that perfect? Well, no. But it certainly does show that while Republicans have fought tooth and nail to keep the jobless rate up and the president's reelection chances down... it hasn't really worked.

And since they have done nothing to help boost this number (not a single jobs bill, although they claimed they could focus on nothing but jobs in the last election cycle), the president pretty much gets the credit for this one.

Joker-Clapping.gif
Post edited by Unknown User on
«13456789

Comments

  • ZosoZoso Posts: 6,425
    it's a good result anyway you look at it.. of course mitt will find someway of demeaning the significance of this number. Mitt has said again and again that during the Obama administration the unemployment has been over 8%. Not anymore.
    I'm just flying around the other side of the world to say I love you

    Sha la la la i'm in love with a jersey girl

    I love you forever and forever :)

    Adel 03 Melb 1 03 LA 2 06 Santa Barbara 06 Gorge 1 06 Gorge 2 06 Adel 1 06 Adel 2 06 Camden 1 08 Camden 2 08 Washington DC 08 Hartford 08
  • pandorapandora Posts: 21,855
    They started hiring for the holiday season last month in my area ...
    just saying.
  • ZosoZoso Posts: 6,425
    pandora wrote:
    They started hiring for the holiday season last month in my area ...
    just saying.

    thats the cause of the unemployment figures being lower?
    I'm just flying around the other side of the world to say I love you

    Sha la la la i'm in love with a jersey girl

    I love you forever and forever :)

    Adel 03 Melb 1 03 LA 2 06 Santa Barbara 06 Gorge 1 06 Gorge 2 06 Adel 1 06 Adel 2 06 Camden 1 08 Camden 2 08 Washington DC 08 Hartford 08
  • Zoso wrote:
    thats the cause of the unemployment figures being lower?

    Not really. Although they'll try to tell you that.

    If that were the case, the numbers would have fallen that far the last three years, too. And they didn't.

    And the real seasonal hiring never starts until November. Because the big seasonal jump in business is the day after Thanksgiving. Which is still 6 weeks away. And these are the job numbers from last month.
  • ZosoZoso Posts: 6,425
    Zoso wrote:
    thats the cause of the unemployment figures being lower?

    Not really. Although they'll try to tell you that.

    If that were the case, the numbers would have fallen that far the last three years, too. And they didn't.

    And the real seasonal hiring never starts until November. Because the big seasonal jump in business is the day after Thanksgiving. Which is still 6 weeks away. And these are the job numbers from last month.

    yeah I was being sarcastic in my response... no matter what the figures were some would find ways to discredit Obama. When the figures are good it's because of another reason (other then Obama) but when they are bad they all blame Obama.. He can't win really.
    I'm just flying around the other side of the world to say I love you

    Sha la la la i'm in love with a jersey girl

    I love you forever and forever :)

    Adel 03 Melb 1 03 LA 2 06 Santa Barbara 06 Gorge 1 06 Gorge 2 06 Adel 1 06 Adel 2 06 Camden 1 08 Camden 2 08 Washington DC 08 Hartford 08
  • cincybearcatcincybearcat Posts: 16,492
    edited October 2012
    Zoso wrote:
    pandora wrote:
    They started hiring for the holiday season last month in my area ...
    just saying.

    thats the cause of the unemployment figures being lower?

    Part time employment is up.

    7.5% to be exact up to 8.6 million.
    Post edited by cincybearcat on
    hippiemom = goodness
  • mikepegg44mikepegg44 Posts: 3,353
    I am wondering how 114,000 jobs added = .3% decrease.

    Strange, but great!

    Not to put a tin foil hat on or anything, but how did one survey claim 800000 jobs added, and one claim 114,000 jobs added? Is it that hard to measure real unemployment?

    overall, good growth, but I don't really have a whole lot of faith in the unemployment figure. Seems like too much of a decline with such a large discrepancy in the two surveys. Hopefully October's tells us the same thing and that jobs are starting to come back.

    agree with POD, I don't think seasonal hiring has anything to do with it.

    From what I read, it sounds like those claiming part time jobs are up, as well as those claiming to be self employed now.
    that’s right! Can’t we all just get together and focus on our real enemies: monogamous gays and stem cells… - Ned Flanders
    It is terrifying when you are too stupid to know who is dumb
    - Joe Rogan
  • pandorapandora Posts: 21,855
    Zoso wrote:
    Zoso wrote:
    thats the cause of the unemployment figures being lower?

    Not really. Although they'll try to tell you that.

    If that were the case, the numbers would have fallen that far the last three years, too. And they didn't.

    And the real seasonal hiring never starts until November. Because the big seasonal jump in business is the day after Thanksgiving. Which is still 6 weeks away. And these are the job numbers from last month.

    yeah I was being sarcastic in my response... no matter what the figures were some would find ways to discredit Obama. When the figures are good it's because of another reason (other then Obama) but when they are bad they all blame Obama.. He can't win really.
    Actually I have no reason to discredit my President just saying the hiring began in Sept
    you can conclude what you like ...

    funny stuff Thanksgiving :? give me a break... many are done shopping by then :fp:

    Have you been to the mall? I saw the seasonal workers have already decorated :lol:
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,303
    there are people in the right wing media claiming that this is a big conspiracy and that thousands of democrats are falsely claiming that they got new jobs.... which is a fucking joke because the companies document who they hire for tax and benefit purposes :fp:
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • cincybearcatcincybearcat Posts: 16,492
    there are people in the right wing media claiming that this is a big conspiracy and that thousands of democrats are falsely claiming that they got new jobs.... which is a fucking joke because the companies document who they hire for tax and benefit purposes :fp:

    No kidding and we all know Democrats don't work. :lol:
    hippiemom = goodness
  • ZosoZoso Posts: 6,425
    there are people in the right wing media claiming that this is a big conspiracy and that thousands of democrats are falsely claiming that they got new jobs.... which is a fucking joke because the companies document who they hire for tax and benefit purposes :fp:

    I'm not surprised.. the fact is last year at this time their wasn't an increase in employment and unemployment drop.. Obama could cure cancer and the right would say he didn't do enough.
    I'm just flying around the other side of the world to say I love you

    Sha la la la i'm in love with a jersey girl

    I love you forever and forever :)

    Adel 03 Melb 1 03 LA 2 06 Santa Barbara 06 Gorge 1 06 Gorge 2 06 Adel 1 06 Adel 2 06 Camden 1 08 Camden 2 08 Washington DC 08 Hartford 08
  • ZosoZoso Posts: 6,425
    there are people in the right wing media claiming that this is a big conspiracy and that thousands of democrats are falsely claiming that they got new jobs.... which is a fucking joke because the companies document who they hire for tax and benefit purposes :fp:

    No kidding and we all know Democrats don't work. :lol:

    dems are the lazy dependent no good no income tax paying obama supporters :lol:
    I'm just flying around the other side of the world to say I love you

    Sha la la la i'm in love with a jersey girl

    I love you forever and forever :)

    Adel 03 Melb 1 03 LA 2 06 Santa Barbara 06 Gorge 1 06 Gorge 2 06 Adel 1 06 Adel 2 06 Camden 1 08 Camden 2 08 Washington DC 08 Hartford 08
  • gimmesometruth27gimmesometruth27 St. Fuckin Louis Posts: 23,303
    Zoso wrote:
    there are people in the right wing media claiming that this is a big conspiracy and that thousands of democrats are falsely claiming that they got new jobs.... which is a fucking joke because the companies document who they hire for tax and benefit purposes :fp:

    No kidding and we all know Democrats don't work. :lol:

    dems are the lazy dependent no good no income tax paying obama supporters :lol:
    47% of 'em anyway...


    :lol:
    "You can tell the greatness of a man by what makes him angry."  - Lincoln

    "Well, you tell him that I don't talk to suckas."
  • hedonisthedonist Posts: 24,524
    Still need to do a bit of research on this, but there was a piece on the news this morning stating that the number doesn't include those who have stopped searching for work.

    Anyway, I'm all for folks getting some work wherever they can, whether full-time or those whose one- or two-day a week jobs could turn into more.

    Too bad this "good news" (12.1M is still fucked up) had to have a political dig in it; predictable, but yeah, too bad.
  • cincybearcatcincybearcat Posts: 16,492

    dems are the lazy dependent no good no income tax paying obama supporters :lol:
    47% of 'em anyway...


    :lol:[/quote]


    Nope closer to 92% of dems....but that equals about 47% of the total population.
    hippiemom = goodness
  • ZosoZoso Posts: 6,425

    dems are the lazy dependent no good no income tax paying obama supporters :lol:
    47% of 'em anyway...


    :lol:


    Nope closer to 92% of dems....but that equals about 47% of the total population.[/quote]

    that seems a high number now doesn't it? I know a lot of democrat supporters and they pay income tax and aren't lazy or dependent.
    I'm just flying around the other side of the world to say I love you

    Sha la la la i'm in love with a jersey girl

    I love you forever and forever :)

    Adel 03 Melb 1 03 LA 2 06 Santa Barbara 06 Gorge 1 06 Gorge 2 06 Adel 1 06 Adel 2 06 Camden 1 08 Camden 2 08 Washington DC 08 Hartford 08
  • cincybearcatcincybearcat Posts: 16,492
    Zoso wrote:

    that seems a high number now doesn't it? I know a lot of democrat supporters and they pay income tax and aren't lazy or dependent.


    Of course it's high, I thought we were all joking around here this Friday?
    hippiemom = goodness
  • pandora wrote:
    funny stuff Thanksgiving :? give me a break... many are done shopping by then :fp:

    Uh... have you not heard of "Black Friday" which is traditionally the "start of holiday shopping"

    Here... I guess in this odd alternate universe you live in they don't have it. Here's a few pictures from last year...
    bf07.jpg
    9080258-large.jpg
    BlackFridayStampede.png
    Have you been to the mall? I saw the seasonal workers have already decorated :lol:

    (a) I don't go to Malls.
    (b) just because the already-existing staff have already hung a few ornaments in the trees at your local shopping center doesn't mean that every store has hired all of their Christmas staff.

    (c) Where are you getting that the jobs created are only in the retail market? Because two weeks ago I had to hire a second programmer and a viral media specialist. And they will still work for me in January.
  • ZosoZoso Posts: 6,425
    pandora wrote:
    funny stuff Thanksgiving :? give me a break... many are done shopping by then :fp:

    Uh... have you not heard of "Black Friday" which is traditionally the "start of holiday shopping"

    Here... I guess in this odd alternate universe you live in they don't have it. Here's a few pictures from last year...
    bf07.jpg
    9080258-large.jpg
    BlackFridayStampede.png
    Have you been to the mall? I saw the seasonal workers have already decorated :lol:

    (a) I don't go to Malls.
    (b) just because the already-existing staff have already hung a few ornaments in the trees at your local shopping center doesn't mean that every store has hired all of their Christmas staff.

    (c) Where are you getting that the jobs created are only in the retail market? Because two weeks ago I had to hire a second programmer and a viral media specialist. And they will still work for me in January.

    was this the meet and greet at montana?
    I'm just flying around the other side of the world to say I love you

    Sha la la la i'm in love with a jersey girl

    I love you forever and forever :)

    Adel 03 Melb 1 03 LA 2 06 Santa Barbara 06 Gorge 1 06 Gorge 2 06 Adel 1 06 Adel 2 06 Camden 1 08 Camden 2 08 Washington DC 08 Hartford 08
  • hedonist wrote:
    Too bad this "good news" (12.1M is still fucked up) had to have a political dig in it; predictable, but yeah, too bad.


    Should I have added "woot" at the end?

    does that counteract political digs?
  • cincybearcatcincybearcat Posts: 16,492
    Because two weeks ago I had to hire a a viral media specialist. And they will still work for me in January.


    I totally read that the wrong way at first.
    hippiemom = goodness
  • Because two weeks ago I had to hire a a viral media specialist. And they will still work for me in January.


    I totally read that the wrong way at first.

    :lol::lol:

    Oh don't worry.. I've had all my shots.
  • pandorapandora Posts: 21,855
    How can someone stop looking for a job? How do they pay the bills?
    Maybe I don't want to know :fp:
  • pandorapandora Posts: 21,855
    Zoso wrote:
    pandora wrote:
    funny stuff Thanksgiving :? give me a break... many are done shopping by then :fp:

    Uh... have you not heard of "Black Friday" which is traditionally the "start of holiday shopping"

    Here... I guess in this odd alternate universe you live in they don't have it. Here's a few pictures from last year...
    bf07.jpg
    9080258-large.jpg
    BlackFridayStampede.png
    Have you been to the mall? I saw the seasonal workers have already decorated :lol:

    (a) I don't go to Malls.
    (b) just because the already-existing staff have already hung a few ornaments in the trees at your local shopping center doesn't mean that every store has hired all of their Christmas staff.

    (c) Where are you getting that the jobs created are only in the retail market? Because two weeks ago I had to hire a second programmer and a viral media specialist. And they will still work for me in January.

    was this the meet and greet at montana?
    :lol: good one...
    I avoid black Friday but yes I have heard of it
    but again seasonal hiring does not begin on that day ...
    that's just the busiest day with the best sales.

    Seasonal employment reflects many industries not just the retail market.

    I don't like malls either, I rarely shop at all, I was there with a friend whom was applying
    for said seasonal job as many were.
  • hedonisthedonist Posts: 24,524
    hedonist wrote:
    Too bad this "good news" (12.1M is still fucked up) had to have a political dig in it; predictable, but yeah, too bad.


    Should I have added "woot" at the end?

    does that counteract political digs?
    Seriously, deflecting with the wootness? Alrighty.
  • IndifferenceIndifference Posts: 2,724
    edited October 2012
    http://app.hedgeye.com/media

    Jobs Report: Fuzzy Math?
    Takeaway: Unemployment is likely in the 10.8-11.1% range, not 7.8%. The government needs to go back and check the math it's using.

    Today’s jobs numbers don’t add up when we take a closer look at what’s been going on during the last four years under the Obama administration. The headline today was that unemployment rate was 7.8%, a suspiciously low number that any American would second guess. Stripping away the government’s window dressing, we believe that the number is somewhere in the range of 10.8-11.1% depending on the methodology used.


    We continue to think the headline US unemployment rate is being artificially deflated through generationally-low labor force participation rates. Hedgeye Senior Analyst Darius Dale explains why the numbers that came out today don’t display the true state of America’s jobs and employment landscape:


    “If you adjust the headline figure for a 10yr average LFPR, the US unemployment rate for September would have been 10.8% in September; a decent improvement over the 11.3% rate in August, but still elevated nonetheless – particularly relative to the elevated 8.9% adjusted rate Obama inherited from President Bush.


    Interestingly, if you adjust the headline figure for the LFPR on Obama’s first day in office, the September unemployment rate would have been 11.1% – substantially elevated from the comparable 7.8% figure he inherited from Bush. What this suggests is that, over the last four years, President Obama has seen the US unemployment rate tick up 3.3% when accounting for all the disgruntled civilians who’ve completely given up looking for work since the president took over the leadership reigns of the US economy.”

    Take a look at the two charts below for a visualization of the range in which we believe the unemployment rate truly lies.

    While this is not the appropriate setting to debate whether or not this material erosion in the US labor market is A) a function of President Obama’s failed economic policies or B) a function of the failed Policies To Inflate out of Washington D.C. in general, we can be sure the dismal state of the US labor market should continue to give Mitt Romney the upper hand in any economic exchange. The next two presidential debates are October 16 and October 22; the former will be Romney’s best chance to capitalize on his momentum from Wednesday night’s big win, as it focuses on both domestic and foreign policy, rather than just the latter as the October 22 debate does.
    Post edited by Indifference on

    SHOW COUNT: (164) 1990's=3, 2000's=53, 2010/20's=108, US=118, CAN=15, Europe=20 ,New Zealand=4, Australia=5
    Mexico=1, Colombia=1 



  • unsungunsung I stopped by on March 7 2024. First time in many years, had to update payment info. Hope all is well. Politicians suck. Bye. Posts: 9,487
    Why doesn't the dept of labor count those that have given up?

    Releasing these numbers a month before the election doesn't surprise me at all, I would have thought more of you would have seen through it.

    I'm guessing the real unemployment is somewhere in the teens.



    on edit: someone just beat me to it
  • josevolutionjosevolution Posts: 30,193
    Off course this is not the news the GOP would wan't they wan't it to be at 13% till election day remeber they didn't even wan't to give Obama credit for putting Osama to the bottom of the sea ...
    jesus greets me looks just like me ....
  • whygohomewhygohome Posts: 2,305
    pandora wrote:
    funny stuff Thanksgiving :? give me a break... many are done shopping by then :fp:

    Uh... have you not heard of "Black Friday" which is traditionally the "start of holiday shopping"

    Here... I guess in this odd alternate universe you live in they don't have it. Here's a few pictures from last year...
    bf07.jpg
    9080258-large.jpg
    BlackFridayStampede.png
    Have you been to the mall? I saw the seasonal workers have already decorated :lol:

    (a) I don't go to Malls.
    (b) just because the already-existing staff have already hung a few ornaments in the trees at your local shopping center doesn't mean that every store has hired all of their Christmas staff.

    (c) Where are you getting that the jobs created are only in the retail market? Because two weeks ago I had to hire a second programmer and a viral media specialist. And they will still work for me in January.

    Animals.
  • whygohomewhygohome Posts: 2,305
    From CNBC:

    "Economists were expecting 113,000 more jobs and the rate to rise to 8.2 percent. Last month saw 142,000 new jobs as the rate dropped from 8.3 percent in July.

    However, those numbers were revised higher, with the Labor Department putting July's number at 181,000 from the previously reported 141,000 and August up from an originally reported 96,000."

    These revised numbers had a lot to do with it, as did the rise in part-time jobs.

    Everyone will see this through POLITICAL lenses; unfortunately, nobody has worn their AMERICAN lenses in quite some time.

    The response from Jack Welch, Allen West, and Rick Santelli is absurd and disgusting.
    I would like to fight them :D ............I'm not kidding :twisted:
Sign In or Register to comment.