The National Football League

Poncier · January 27

Johnny Abruzzo said:

Obviously pulling for the Seahawks, Seattle being a "loser" city like Cleveland, Buffalo and my hometown. Also, it's been an obscenely easy road to the Super Bowl for the Patriots. Even the 2022 Eagles had to injure the Conference Championship opposing QB themselves. But hey, you can only beat the teams you play.

Yes, beating in order the #5, #1 and #2 defenses in the league is obscenely easy. Teams do it routinely.

pearldavidson · January 27

Poncier said:

tempo_n_groove said:

Poncier said:

TahoeJeff said:

I’ve got my fingers crossed!

Time for a hedge.
Solid bet on Pats +4 and you could possibly middle the game.
Or just throw a couple hundred on Pats money line to ensure you come out ahead.

He bet $20 dude... All he has to do is bet 20 on the pats pretty much and break even.

Breaking even is not the point of hedging in his position.
As he is a Seahawks fan obviously, he will be thinking with his heart and rooting for them to win so hedging is a tough choice.
But he can guarantee himself up to $700 with a hedge or let it ride and guarantee nothing. Plus, with SEA as a 4-point favorite he has a unique opportunity using the spread. Example: Put $700 on the Pats +4 and if Seattle wins by 1, 2 or 3 and he gets 2,100. If they win by 4 he gets 1,400. Any other outcome he gets 700. And can do a lesser amount just to guarantee some payout.

Do nothing and Seahawks win he gets 1400, Pats win he gets nothing.

Is it really worth to hedge a bet when the original ticket is a $20 gamble?

Poncier · January 27

pearldavidson said:

Poncier said:

tempo_n_groove said:

Poncier said:

TahoeJeff said:

I’ve got my fingers crossed!

Time for a hedge.
Solid bet on Pats +4 and you could possibly middle the game.
Or just throw a couple hundred on Pats money line to ensure you come out ahead.

He bet $20 dude... All he has to do is bet 20 on the pats pretty much and break even.

Breaking even is not the point of hedging in his position.
As he is a Seahawks fan obviously, he will be thinking with his heart and rooting for them to win so hedging is a tough choice.
But he can guarantee himself up to $700 with a hedge or let it ride and guarantee nothing. Plus, with SEA as a 4-point favorite he has a unique opportunity using the spread. Example: Put $700 on the Pats +4 and if Seattle wins by 1, 2 or 3 and he gets 2,100. If they win by 4 he gets 1,400. Any other outcome he gets 700. And can do a lesser amount just to guarantee some payout.

Do nothing and Seahawks win he gets 1400, Pats win he gets nothing.

Is it really worth to hedge a bet when the original ticket is a $20 gamble?

Depends on what you want to get, I laid it out, it's an opportunity to guarantee money vs letting the bet ride and watching MacDonald opt to not hand off to Walker at the 1 and have Darnold throw it to Marcus Jones.
Personal choice.

F Me In The Brain · January 27

pearldavidson said:

Poncier said:

tempo_n_groove said:

Poncier said:

TahoeJeff said:

I’ve got my fingers crossed!

Time for a hedge.
Solid bet on Pats +4 and you could possibly middle the game.
Or just throw a couple hundred on Pats money line to ensure you come out ahead.

He bet $20 dude... All he has to do is bet 20 on the pats pretty much and break even.

Breaking even is not the point of hedging in his position.
As he is a Seahawks fan obviously, he will be thinking with his heart and rooting for them to win so hedging is a tough choice.
But he can guarantee himself up to $700 with a hedge or let it ride and guarantee nothing. Plus, with SEA as a 4-point favorite he has a unique opportunity using the spread. Example: Put $700 on the Pats +4 and if Seattle wins by 1, 2 or 3 and he gets 2,100. If they win by 4 he gets 1,400. Any other outcome he gets 700. And can do a lesser amount just to guarantee some payout.

Do nothing and Seahawks win he gets 1400, Pats win he gets nothing.

Is it really worth to hedge a bet when the original ticket is a $20 gamble?

Max out to the best of your ability.
The math there shows locking in a net of at least $680 on a $20 bet.

pearldavidson · January 27

Poncier said:

pearldavidson said:

Poncier said:

tempo_n_groove said:

Poncier said:

TahoeJeff said:

I’ve got my fingers crossed!

Time for a hedge.
Solid bet on Pats +4 and you could possibly middle the game.
Or just throw a couple hundred on Pats money line to ensure you come out ahead.

He bet $20 dude... All he has to do is bet 20 on the pats pretty much and break even.

Breaking even is not the point of hedging in his position.
As he is a Seahawks fan obviously, he will be thinking with his heart and rooting for them to win so hedging is a tough choice.
But he can guarantee himself up to $700 with a hedge or let it ride and guarantee nothing. Plus, with SEA as a 4-point favorite he has a unique opportunity using the spread. Example: Put $700 on the Pats +4 and if Seattle wins by 1, 2 or 3 and he gets 2,100. If they win by 4 he gets 1,400. Any other outcome he gets 700. And can do a lesser amount just to guarantee some payout.

Do nothing and Seahawks win he gets 1400, Pats win he gets nothing.

Is it really worth to hedge a bet when the original ticket is a $20 gamble?

Depends on what you want to get, I laid it out, it's an opportunity to guarantee money vs letting the bet ride and watching MacDonald opt to not hand off to Walker at the 1 and have Darnold throw it to Marcus Jones.
Personal choice.

SB 49 vibes.

Poncier · January 27

F Me In The Brain said:

pearldavidson said:

Poncier said:

tempo_n_groove said:

Poncier said:

TahoeJeff said:

I’ve got my fingers crossed!

Time for a hedge.
Solid bet on Pats +4 and you could possibly middle the game.
Or just throw a couple hundred on Pats money line to ensure you come out ahead.

He bet $20 dude... All he has to do is bet 20 on the pats pretty much and break even.

Breaking even is not the point of hedging in his position.
As he is a Seahawks fan obviously, he will be thinking with his heart and rooting for them to win so hedging is a tough choice.
But he can guarantee himself up to $700 with a hedge or let it ride and guarantee nothing. Plus, with SEA as a 4-point favorite he has a unique opportunity using the spread. Example: Put $700 on the Pats +4 and if Seattle wins by 1, 2 or 3 and he gets 2,100. If they win by 4 he gets 1,400. Any other outcome he gets 700. And can do a lesser amount just to guarantee some payout.

Do nothing and Seahawks win he gets 1400, Pats win he gets nothing.

Is it really worth to hedge a bet when the original ticket is a $20 gamble?

Max out to the best of your ability.
The math there shows locking in a net of at least $680 on a $20 bet.

Exactly.
And you can actually guarantee more. Pats are +198 on money line currently. So, let's just call it +200.
You lay 500 on the Pats and you win $1,000 for a net win of 980 or if Seahawks win you net win is 900 (you could do exact math and guarantee a win of about 950 no matter what happens in the game).

And like I said before the middle option is intriguing (line is up to 4.5).

SPEEDY MCCREADY · January 27

Poncier said:

F Me In The Brain said:

pearldavidson said:

Poncier said:

tempo_n_groove said:

Poncier said:

TahoeJeff said:

I’ve got my fingers crossed!

Time for a hedge.
Solid bet on Pats +4 and you could possibly middle the game.
Or just throw a couple hundred on Pats money line to ensure you come out ahead.

He bet $20 dude... All he has to do is bet 20 on the pats pretty much and break even.

Breaking even is not the point of hedging in his position.
As he is a Seahawks fan obviously, he will be thinking with his heart and rooting for them to win so hedging is a tough choice.
But he can guarantee himself up to $700 with a hedge or let it ride and guarantee nothing. Plus, with SEA as a 4-point favorite he has a unique opportunity using the spread. Example: Put $700 on the Pats +4 and if Seattle wins by 1, 2 or 3 and he gets 2,100. If they win by 4 he gets 1,400. Any other outcome he gets 700. And can do a lesser amount just to guarantee some payout.

Do nothing and Seahawks win he gets 1400, Pats win he gets nothing.

Is it really worth to hedge a bet when the original ticket is a $20 gamble?

Max out to the best of your ability.
The math there shows locking in a net of at least $680 on a $20 bet.

Exactly.
And you can actually guarantee more. Pats are +198 on money line currently. So, let's just call it +200.
You lay 500 on the Pats and you win $1,000 for a net win of 980 or if Seahawks win you net win is 900 (you could do exact math and guarantee a win of about 950 no matter what happens in the game).

And like I said before the middle option is intriguing (line is up to 4.5).

Hedge
Guarantee yourself $950 or so, to me it would be the correct move. But thats me.

The Chef may be saying, "No fucking way am I going to put down any bet against my beloved Seahawks!!"

And I completely understand that.

eeriepadave · January 27

Johnny Abruzzo said:

Also wanted to chime on the stupid passing up of FGs, which is an epidemic at this point. Was there not snow in the forecast for the 2nd half? You have a backup QB - get the damn points!

Also, why bother having anyone try to catch a punt at the 10-yard line? Then he called a TO without challenging that play - WTF. Crazy how the Rams screwed up this season. You hate to see it.

Just terrible coaching this weekend.

I want to go to NFL officials' houses and pelt them with expensive eggs when they call Taunting. Gimme a fucking break. I saw plenty of guys taunting this year that never got called. Hey ref, go to hell!

yeah that was just a stupid coaching decision.

Go "other" birds.

Wobbie · January 27

I suspect the chef is a fan; not a degenerate gambler.

Poncier · January 27

SPEEDY MCCREADY said:

Poncier said:

F Me In The Brain said:

pearldavidson said:

Poncier said:

tempo_n_groove said:

Poncier said:

TahoeJeff said:

I’ve got my fingers crossed!

Time for a hedge.
Solid bet on Pats +4 and you could possibly middle the game.
Or just throw a couple hundred on Pats money line to ensure you come out ahead.

He bet $20 dude... All he has to do is bet 20 on the pats pretty much and break even.

Breaking even is not the point of hedging in his position.
As he is a Seahawks fan obviously, he will be thinking with his heart and rooting for them to win so hedging is a tough choice.
But he can guarantee himself up to $700 with a hedge or let it ride and guarantee nothing. Plus, with SEA as a 4-point favorite he has a unique opportunity using the spread. Example: Put $700 on the Pats +4 and if Seattle wins by 1, 2 or 3 and he gets 2,100. If they win by 4 he gets 1,400. Any other outcome he gets 700. And can do a lesser amount just to guarantee some payout.

Do nothing and Seahawks win he gets 1400, Pats win he gets nothing.

Is it really worth to hedge a bet when the original ticket is a $20 gamble?

Max out to the best of your ability.
The math there shows locking in a net of at least $680 on a $20 bet.

Exactly.
And you can actually guarantee more. Pats are +198 on money line currently. So, let's just call it +200.
You lay 500 on the Pats and you win $1,000 for a net win of 980 or if Seahawks win you net win is 900 (you could do exact math and guarantee a win of about 950 no matter what happens in the game).

And like I said before the middle option is intriguing (line is up to 4.5).

Hedge
Guarantee yourself $950 or so, to me it would be the correct move. But thats me.

The Chef may be saying, "No fucking way am I going to put down any bet against my beloved Seahawks!!"

And I completely understand that.

Yep. Which is why I said it's a personal choice and understand Jeff is a Seahawks fan.
Just pointing out that he's dealing from a position of strength as his team is the favorite, so he has options if he wants to guarantee he makes money on the game.

tempo_n_groove · January 27

Poncier said:

tempo_n_groove said:

Poncier said:

TahoeJeff said:

I’ve got my fingers crossed!

Time for a hedge.
Solid bet on Pats +4 and you could possibly middle the game.
Or just throw a couple hundred on Pats money line to ensure you come out ahead.

He bet $20 dude... All he has to do is bet 20 on the pats pretty much and break even.

Breaking even is not the point of hedging in his position.
As he is a Seahawks fan obviously, he will be thinking with his heart and rooting for them to win so hedging is a tough choice.
But he can guarantee himself up to $700 with a hedge or let it ride and guarantee nothing. Plus, with SEA as a 4-point favorite he has a unique opportunity using the spread. Example: Put $700 on the Pats +4 and if Seattle wins by 1, 2 or 3 and he gets 2,100. If they win by 4 he gets 1,400. Any other outcome he gets 700. And can do a lesser amount just to guarantee some payout.

Do nothing and Seahawks win he gets 1400, Pats win he gets nothing.

Ahhh got it. You want to make sure you win coin. My bad.

I'm not a sports gambler, I only do SB pools...

TahoeJeff · January 27

OH man. I'm going to have to take another trip up to the casino to place a bet, aren't I? LOL

I'm a very casual gambler.

SPEEDY MCCREADY · January 27

TahoeJeff said:

OH man. I'm going to have to take another trip up to the casino to place a bet, aren't I? LOL

I'm a very casual gambler.

Yes you are!!!
And contact Poncier if you need some direction. Haha

Get your minimum $900 profit, and none of your family or friends need to know you bet against your beloved Seahawks.

Ill be contacting you next week for some Super Bowl appetizer ideas. Haha

SPEEDY MCCREADY · January 27

Actually you should just have Poncier place the bet! Haha

I may just have him place all my future wagers.
Obviously he knows what he's talking about! Haha
The degenerate.
Haha

SPEEDY MCCREADY · January 27

I thought Jimmy the Greek joined our community when I read what Poncier had to say.

SPEEDY MCCREADY · January 27

TahoeJeff said:

OH man. I'm going to have to take another trip up to the casino to place a bet, aren't I? LOL

I'm a very casual gambler.

Obviously Poncier is not a casual gambler.

You can stream him live every Monday, Wednesday, and Fridays to get all his picks and the latest updates.

Hahaha

pearldavidson · January 27

The Bills promote from within. OC Joe Brady is now the HC.

tempo_n_groove · January 27

SPEEDY MCCREADY said:

I thought Jimmy the Greek joined our community when I read what Poncier had to say.

OMG showing your age! Jimmy the Greek, I forgot about that guy!

He must be rolling over right now with how much gambling is legal and in your face today.

Get_Right · January 27

tempo_n_groove said:

SPEEDY MCCREADY said:

I thought Jimmy the Greek joined our community when I read what Poncier had to say.

OMG showing your age! Jimmy the Greek, I forgot about that guy!

He must be rolling over right now with how much gambling is legal and in your face today.

I still miss Jayne Kennedy. And why did Brent Musburger go away?

SPEEDY MCCREADY · January 27

Get_Right said:

tempo_n_groove said:

SPEEDY MCCREADY said:

I thought Jimmy the Greek joined our community when I read what Poncier had to say.

OMG showing your age! Jimmy the Greek, I forgot about that guy!

He must be rolling over right now with how much gambling is legal and in your face today.

I still miss Jayne Kennedy. And why did Brent Musburger go away?

50 years later, that pre-game lineup could still be the best.

The National Football League

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