so what r the chances of gettn in the 1st 2 rows

13

Comments

  • Solat13
    Solat13 Posts: 6,996
    lukin137 wrote:
    well if it is truly a ten percent chance..for each show..(and that it is what i was trying to figure out in the first place) then like someone commented earlier..that is much better than my previous 0% so lets all hope 4 the best people..n i cant friggin wait to find out.i'll be like a kid on christmas mornin openin that envelope if i see the bran new bike ...... i wont be able to contain myself.......and if it is clothes..dissappointed.yes.but i'll realize soon that the clothes aint too bad either

    Without knowing seating plans for venues, I would say there's a 9-10 percent chance at arena shows and a 6-8 percent chance at amphitheatres. Amphitheaters also have more season ticket holders than arenas and as I said before less seats in the first two rows. I think at least part of if not most of Row 2 in Mansfield is season ticket holders. So I'm not even sure how that will factor into the lottery.

    Check the seating map for premium seats to see what I mean for Mansfield:

    http://www.livenation.com/venue/getVenue/venueId/479
    - Busted down the pretext
    - 8/28/98
    - 9/2/00
    - 4/28/03, 5/3/03, 7/3/03, 7/5/03, 7/6/03, 7/9/03, 7/11/03, 7/12/03, 7/14/03
    - 9/28/04, 9/29/04, 10/1/04, 10/2/04
    - 9/11/05, 9/12/05, 9/13/05, 9/30/05, 10/1/05, 10/3/05
    - 5/12/06, 5/13/06, 5/27/06, 5/28/06, 5/30/06, 6/1/06, 6/3/06, 6/23/06, 7/22/06, 7/23/06, 12/2/06, 12/9/06
    - 8/2/07, 8/5/07
    - 6/19/08, 6/20/08, 6/22/08, 6/24/08, 6/25/08, 6/27/08, 6/28/08, 6/30/08, 7/1/08
    - 8/23/09, 8/24/09, 9/21/09, 9/22/09, 10/27/09, 10/28/09, 10/30/09, 10/31/09
    - 5/15/10, 5/17/10, 5/18/10, 5/20/10, 5/21/10, 10/23/10, 10/24/10
    - 9/11/11, 9/12/11
    - 10/18/13, 10/21/13, 10/22/13, 11/30/13, 12/4/13
  • AmentsChick
    AmentsChick Posts: 6,969
    What I really want to know is...how many of you have pocket protectors?? Honestly.
    This is the greatest band in the world -- Ben Harper

  • Solat13
    Solat13 Posts: 6,996
    AmentsChick wrote:
    What I really want to know is...how many of you have pocket protectors?? Honestly.

    I think I've told you this several times before, but I'm a pretty dorky nerd and math fascinates me which is part of the reason I'm switching jobs in a few months.

    I still liked how I was co-captain of the football team in high school and captain of the mathletes at the same time. ;)
    - Busted down the pretext
    - 8/28/98
    - 9/2/00
    - 4/28/03, 5/3/03, 7/3/03, 7/5/03, 7/6/03, 7/9/03, 7/11/03, 7/12/03, 7/14/03
    - 9/28/04, 9/29/04, 10/1/04, 10/2/04
    - 9/11/05, 9/12/05, 9/13/05, 9/30/05, 10/1/05, 10/3/05
    - 5/12/06, 5/13/06, 5/27/06, 5/28/06, 5/30/06, 6/1/06, 6/3/06, 6/23/06, 7/22/06, 7/23/06, 12/2/06, 12/9/06
    - 8/2/07, 8/5/07
    - 6/19/08, 6/20/08, 6/22/08, 6/24/08, 6/25/08, 6/27/08, 6/28/08, 6/30/08, 7/1/08
    - 8/23/09, 8/24/09, 9/21/09, 9/22/09, 10/27/09, 10/28/09, 10/30/09, 10/31/09
    - 5/15/10, 5/17/10, 5/18/10, 5/20/10, 5/21/10, 10/23/10, 10/24/10
    - 9/11/11, 9/12/11
    - 10/18/13, 10/21/13, 10/22/13, 11/30/13, 12/4/13
  • AmentsChick
    AmentsChick Posts: 6,969
    Solat13 wrote:
    I think I've told you this several times before, but I'm a pretty dorky nerd and math fascinates me which is part of the reason I'm switching jobs in a few months.

    I still liked how I was co-captain of the football team in high school and captain of the mathletes at the same time. ;)

    And quite humble as well. :rolleyes:
    This is the greatest band in the world -- Ben Harper

  • Solat13
    Solat13 Posts: 6,996
    AmentsChick wrote:
    And quite humble as well. :rolleyes:

    You should ask colorsblend about that when she gets back from her Australian odyssey ... lol.

    She'll get a kick out of that question. ;)
    - Busted down the pretext
    - 8/28/98
    - 9/2/00
    - 4/28/03, 5/3/03, 7/3/03, 7/5/03, 7/6/03, 7/9/03, 7/11/03, 7/12/03, 7/14/03
    - 9/28/04, 9/29/04, 10/1/04, 10/2/04
    - 9/11/05, 9/12/05, 9/13/05, 9/30/05, 10/1/05, 10/3/05
    - 5/12/06, 5/13/06, 5/27/06, 5/28/06, 5/30/06, 6/1/06, 6/3/06, 6/23/06, 7/22/06, 7/23/06, 12/2/06, 12/9/06
    - 8/2/07, 8/5/07
    - 6/19/08, 6/20/08, 6/22/08, 6/24/08, 6/25/08, 6/27/08, 6/28/08, 6/30/08, 7/1/08
    - 8/23/09, 8/24/09, 9/21/09, 9/22/09, 10/27/09, 10/28/09, 10/30/09, 10/31/09
    - 5/15/10, 5/17/10, 5/18/10, 5/20/10, 5/21/10, 10/23/10, 10/24/10
    - 9/11/11, 9/12/11
    - 10/18/13, 10/21/13, 10/22/13, 11/30/13, 12/4/13
  • AmentsChick
    AmentsChick Posts: 6,969
    Solat13 wrote:
    You should ask colorsblend about that when she gets back from her Australian odyssey ... lol.

    She'll get a kick out of that question. ;)

    Why? Would she agree?
    This is the greatest band in the world -- Ben Harper

  • Solat13
    Solat13 Posts: 6,996
    AmentsChick wrote:
    Why? Would she agree?

    She most certainly would lol. I kind of come off that way over the internet unintentionally, but in person I'm very self deprecating. I just get very excited telling stories online and trying to be right, but in person I'm pretty shy.
    - Busted down the pretext
    - 8/28/98
    - 9/2/00
    - 4/28/03, 5/3/03, 7/3/03, 7/5/03, 7/6/03, 7/9/03, 7/11/03, 7/12/03, 7/14/03
    - 9/28/04, 9/29/04, 10/1/04, 10/2/04
    - 9/11/05, 9/12/05, 9/13/05, 9/30/05, 10/1/05, 10/3/05
    - 5/12/06, 5/13/06, 5/27/06, 5/28/06, 5/30/06, 6/1/06, 6/3/06, 6/23/06, 7/22/06, 7/23/06, 12/2/06, 12/9/06
    - 8/2/07, 8/5/07
    - 6/19/08, 6/20/08, 6/22/08, 6/24/08, 6/25/08, 6/27/08, 6/28/08, 6/30/08, 7/1/08
    - 8/23/09, 8/24/09, 9/21/09, 9/22/09, 10/27/09, 10/28/09, 10/30/09, 10/31/09
    - 5/15/10, 5/17/10, 5/18/10, 5/20/10, 5/21/10, 10/23/10, 10/24/10
    - 9/11/11, 9/12/11
    - 10/18/13, 10/21/13, 10/22/13, 11/30/13, 12/4/13
  • nfanel
    nfanel Posts: 2,558
    AmentsChick wrote:
    What I really want to know is...how many of you have pocket protectors?? Honestly.
    is that not cool or something?? :confused:
  • AmentsChick
    AmentsChick Posts: 6,969
    Solat13 wrote:
    She most certainly would lol. I kind of come off that way over the internet unintentionally, but in person I'm very self deprecating. I just get very excited telling stories online and trying to be right.

    I noticed. I'm not a fan of arrogance.
    This is the greatest band in the world -- Ben Harper

  • AmentsChick
    AmentsChick Posts: 6,969
    nfanel wrote:
    is that not cool or something?? :confused:

    On you, I'm sure they would be adorable...on anyone else...not cool at all. :cool:
    This is the greatest band in the world -- Ben Harper

  • Jammer
    Jammer Posts: 85
    PureandEasy wrote:
    You people are spending WAY too much time thinking about this. Don't get yourself so worked up thinking you might be in the first two rows, then be disappointed when you're not.

    It's all PJ, it's all good.

    Hope to see a lot of you at the Camden shows, especially my blood brother and sister

    you know who you are :D

    Not to burst anyone's bubble.The flip side of a getting better seats is getting pushed back; Someone with a higher number gets a front seat, and the person that would normally be there bumps eveyone else back. I agree with you. We are there and it's Pearl Jam. We will all find out when we get there. I do however appreciate the time "Evil Closet Monkey" took to figure this out!!
    "I know I was born, and I know that I'll die, but the in between is mine."

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  • Solat13
    Solat13 Posts: 6,996
    Evil Closet Monkey wrote:
    OK, flip that coin ten times..... what are the odds of that landing on heads all 10 times? Pretty slim.... same applies to people going to multiple shows, but I know the odds are not 50/50.... 91/9, 95/5... whatever... similar concept

    Again, there is a formula to calulate this... I have a feeling you won't let it go, so I'll look it up later.....

    ... and word "probability" should have been used over "odds"

    Here's the thing, the odds only change because of the amount of rewards (pairs in rows 1,2, 9 and 10) and number of entries into the lottery (total pairs sold.)

    The fact that you enter into a lottery more often does not change your odds.

    If I play my lucky number 013 everyday for a year. My odds of winning are still 1/1000 every single day and they do not increase because of frequency of entry.
    - Busted down the pretext
    - 8/28/98
    - 9/2/00
    - 4/28/03, 5/3/03, 7/3/03, 7/5/03, 7/6/03, 7/9/03, 7/11/03, 7/12/03, 7/14/03
    - 9/28/04, 9/29/04, 10/1/04, 10/2/04
    - 9/11/05, 9/12/05, 9/13/05, 9/30/05, 10/1/05, 10/3/05
    - 5/12/06, 5/13/06, 5/27/06, 5/28/06, 5/30/06, 6/1/06, 6/3/06, 6/23/06, 7/22/06, 7/23/06, 12/2/06, 12/9/06
    - 8/2/07, 8/5/07
    - 6/19/08, 6/20/08, 6/22/08, 6/24/08, 6/25/08, 6/27/08, 6/28/08, 6/30/08, 7/1/08
    - 8/23/09, 8/24/09, 9/21/09, 9/22/09, 10/27/09, 10/28/09, 10/30/09, 10/31/09
    - 5/15/10, 5/17/10, 5/18/10, 5/20/10, 5/21/10, 10/23/10, 10/24/10
    - 9/11/11, 9/12/11
    - 10/18/13, 10/21/13, 10/22/13, 11/30/13, 12/4/13
  • PatrickBateman
    PatrickBateman Posts: 2,243
    lukin137 wrote:
    alright were are the mathmaticians........i need odds people......the closest i got was 6th row in 2000 at tweeter( those werent even from the ten club either) still tryn to figure that out.......actually 96 in maine was general admission and i was able to force my way up pretty close. that was sweet. k back to topic..... what r my chances 1 n a thousand.hope i get lucky

    Guess what number between 1 and 1,000 that I am thinking of..........
    If a man speaks in a forest and there is no woman around to hear him, is he still wrong?
  • lukin137
    lukin137 Posts: 19
    PatrickBateman wrote:
    Guess what number between 1 and 1,000 that I am thinking of..........
    that is too friggin funny.....how many guesses do i get
  • PureandEasy
    PureandEasy Posts: 5,818
    AmentsChick wrote:
    What I really want to know is...how many of you have pocket protectors?? Honestly.


    hahaha, that is TRULY one of the funniest things I have ever read on any PJ board EVER. Awesome :):)

    I know Solat personally and he's a very cool dude. And my blood brother :)

    but CRACK ME UP :)
    Don't come closer or I'll have to go
  • chromiam
    chromiam Posts: 4,114
    I don't own a pocket protector... :)

    but I do get to work with chemicals :D
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  • PatrickBateman
    PatrickBateman Posts: 2,243
    lukin137 wrote:
    that is too friggin funny.....how many guesses do i get
    2....but i can't tell you if you are correct until june 27th
    If a man speaks in a forest and there is no woman around to hear him, is he still wrong?
  • AmentsChick
    AmentsChick Posts: 6,969
    PureandEasy wrote:
    hahaha, that is TRULY one of the funniest things I have ever read on any PJ board EVER. Awesome :):)

    I know Solat personally and he's a very cool dude. And my blood brother :)

    but CRACK ME UP :)

    Why thank you. I crack myself up sometimes, too.
    This is the greatest band in the world -- Ben Harper

  • AmentsChick
    AmentsChick Posts: 6,969
    chromiam wrote:
    I don't own a pocket protector... :)

    but I do get to work with chemicals :D

    LOL! Beakers are SUCH a turn-on. LOL :p
    This is the greatest band in the world -- Ben Harper

  • mookieblalock
    mookieblalock Posts: 3,616
    cbbjr wrote:
    I wasn't a math major, but how do you figure? If there is a 9% chance and you add .9+.9+.9 it increases. If you go to three shows, the odds that you will be in the first two rows for any given show remain the same, the odds that you will be in the first two rows for one of the shows increase, and the odds that you will be in the first two rows for all shows decrease.


    By your logic, if you go to 11 shows you have a 100% chance of sitting in rows 1-2, 9-10...

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