Wyoming Results Coming in...

MasterFramerMasterFramer Posts: 2,268
edited March 2008 in A Moving Train
10.31.93 / 10.1.94 / 6.24.95 / 11.4.95 / 10.19-20.96 / 7.16.98 / 7.21.98 / 10.31.00 /8.4.01 Nader Rally/ 10.21.01 / 12.8-9.02 / 6.01.03 / 9.1.05 / 7.15-16,18.06 / 7.20.06 / 7.22-23.06 / Lolla 07
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  • MasterFramerMasterFramer Posts: 2,268
    *Update - Obama Projected Winner, 59% vs 40%
    10.31.93 / 10.1.94 / 6.24.95 / 11.4.95 / 10.19-20.96 / 7.16.98 / 7.21.98 / 10.31.00 /8.4.01 Nader Rally/ 10.21.01 / 12.8-9.02 / 6.01.03 / 9.1.05 / 7.15-16,18.06 / 7.20.06 / 7.22-23.06 / Lolla 07
  • DixieNDixieN Posts: 351
    Is anyone surprised? I am interested in Mississippi. I hear weirdly conflicting stories about it...

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/03/06/mississippi-primary-late_n_90260.html

    Either Clinton's semi-competitive or highly not competitive. Go figure. :) Personally, I would put money on highly not. The state's demographics aren't a profile of Hillaryland.
  • NevermindNevermind Posts: 1,006
    Too bad Obama cant win the nomination. Its going to be up to the super-delegates. Not the people.
  • KDH12KDH12 Posts: 2,096
    Anyone else find it strange that a black man wins in Wyoming?

    This shows the power of Obama to possibly win Republican states or swing states......

    it has changed my opinion of Wyoming to say the least :)
    **CUBS GO ALL THE WAY IN......never **
  • MasterFramerMasterFramer Posts: 2,268
    KDH12 wrote:
    Anyone else find it strange that a black man wins in Wyoming?

    This shows the power of Obama to possibly win Republican states or swing states......

    it has changed my opinion of Wyoming to say the least :)

    By 20 points too!
    10.31.93 / 10.1.94 / 6.24.95 / 11.4.95 / 10.19-20.96 / 7.16.98 / 7.21.98 / 10.31.00 /8.4.01 Nader Rally/ 10.21.01 / 12.8-9.02 / 6.01.03 / 9.1.05 / 7.15-16,18.06 / 7.20.06 / 7.22-23.06 / Lolla 07
  • Nevermind wrote:
    Too bad Obama cant win the nomination. Its going to be up to the super-delegates. Not the people.

    i HOPE that happens. I want to see if anyone has the balls to do something about it.
  • MasterFramerMasterFramer Posts: 2,268
    Final numbers in... 23 points!
    10.31.93 / 10.1.94 / 6.24.95 / 11.4.95 / 10.19-20.96 / 7.16.98 / 7.21.98 / 10.31.00 /8.4.01 Nader Rally/ 10.21.01 / 12.8-9.02 / 6.01.03 / 9.1.05 / 7.15-16,18.06 / 7.20.06 / 7.22-23.06 / Lolla 07
  • cincybearcatcincybearcat Posts: 16,497
    KDH12 wrote:
    Anyone else find it strange that a black man wins in Wyoming?

    This shows the power of Obama to possibly win Republican states or swing states......

    it has changed my opinion of Wyoming to say the least :)


    What were you basing your opinions of Wyoming on before?
    hippiemom = goodness
  • DixieN wrote:
    Is anyone surprised? I am interested in Mississippi. I hear weirdly conflicting stories about it...

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/03/06/mississippi-primary-late_n_90260.html

    Either Clinton's semi-competitive or highly not competitive. Go figure. :) Personally, I would put money on highly not. The state's demographics aren't a profile of Hillaryland.


    i would be suprised if Obama didnt win. i doubt enough republicans would try to vote Clinton to make a difference.
  • MasterFramerMasterFramer Posts: 2,268
    MrSmith wrote:
    i would be suprised if Obama didnt win. i doubt enough republicans would try to vote Clinton to make a difference.

    Could be close but I doubt it

    http://www.pollster.com/08-MS-Dem-Pres-Primary.php
    10.31.93 / 10.1.94 / 6.24.95 / 11.4.95 / 10.19-20.96 / 7.16.98 / 7.21.98 / 10.31.00 /8.4.01 Nader Rally/ 10.21.01 / 12.8-9.02 / 6.01.03 / 9.1.05 / 7.15-16,18.06 / 7.20.06 / 7.22-23.06 / Lolla 07
  • Maybe they can get Obama to lay down at some point, and run a miniature version of the flag up his erect penis....

    that would clinch it...
    Progress is not made by everyone joining some new fad,
    and reveling in it's loyalty. It's made by forming coalitions
    over specific principles, goals, and policies.

    http://i36.tinypic.com/66j31x.jpg

    (\__/)
    ( o.O)
    (")_(")
  • ledveddermanledvedderman Posts: 7,761
    Maybe they can get Obama to lay down at some point, and run a miniature version of the flag up his erect penis....

    that would clinch it...

    I have read some dumb shit on here (and I mean a lot), but this one takes the cake.
  • I have read some dumb shit on here (and I mean a lot), but this one takes the cake.

    Run it up the flagpole and salute the Obamarection
    Progress is not made by everyone joining some new fad,
    and reveling in it's loyalty. It's made by forming coalitions
    over specific principles, goals, and policies.

    http://i36.tinypic.com/66j31x.jpg

    (\__/)
    ( o.O)
    (")_(")
  • when is Mississippi?
  • MasterFramerMasterFramer Posts: 2,268
    when is Mississippi?

    Tuesday, Obama has to win in Penn to move some superdelegates to his side.
    10.31.93 / 10.1.94 / 6.24.95 / 11.4.95 / 10.19-20.96 / 7.16.98 / 7.21.98 / 10.31.00 /8.4.01 Nader Rally/ 10.21.01 / 12.8-9.02 / 6.01.03 / 9.1.05 / 7.15-16,18.06 / 7.20.06 / 7.22-23.06 / Lolla 07
  • KDH12KDH12 Posts: 2,096
    What were you basing your opinions of Wyoming on before?


    I am basing it on my limited knowledge of Wyoming.....

    I know that Dick Cheney is from Wyoming....

    I know that Wyoming is more rural than anything else....

    I know that Clinton usually beats Obama in rural districts and he wins in urban districts (look at Texas for a prime example).....

    I know that Wyoming is probably 95% white...

    I know that a couple of dudes dragged a gay guy behind their truck and killed him in Wyoming (and I assume that those dudes would do it a black guy if they had access to one).....


    All that considered I would not expect a black guy with Obama's name and background could win by so much in Wyoming...
    **CUBS GO ALL THE WAY IN......never **
  • KDH12 wrote:
    I am basing it on my limited knowledge of Wyoming.....

    I know that Dick Cheney is from Wyoming....

    I know that Wyoming is more rural than anything else....

    I know that Clinton usually beats Obama in rural districts and he wins in urban districts (look at Texas for a prime example).....

    I know that Wyoming is probably 95% white...

    I know that a couple of dudes dragged a gay guy behind their truck and killed him in Wyoming (and I assume that those dudes would do it a black guy if they had access to one).....




    All that considered I would not expect a black guy with Obama's name and background could win by so much in Wyoming...

    I think the dragging guys were in Texas, where a few whites dragged a black guy tied to their truck, for a mile or so. Wyoming, I believe, is where a couple guys beat killed a gay man, and left him tied to a fence, or something appalling like that.
  • jeffbrjeffbr Seattle Posts: 7,177
    KDH12 wrote:
    This shows the power of Obama to possibly win Republican states or swing states......

    I don't understand. This was a Democrat caucus result, so the voters were Democrats. How does that translate to Obama winning a general election in Wyoming? He may very well do so, but I don't see how today's results say anything about that.
    "I'll use the magic word - let's just shut the fuck up, please." EV, 04/13/08
  • KDH12KDH12 Posts: 2,096
    jeffbr wrote:
    I don't understand. This was a Democrat caucus result, so the voters were Democrats. How does that translate to Obama winning a general election in Wyoming? He may very well do so, but I don't see how today's results say anything about that.


    Overall Obama is getting record turn out of voters in primaries in republican and swing states

    in Wyoming there were around 7500 votes cast today compared about 675 in 2004 i would say that is significant...

    the reason why Dems have done bad in the past in certain states or regions is because they can not turn out the vote.... this year, with Obama running people are voting in record numbers....

    is it cuz of him? we will see
    **CUBS GO ALL THE WAY IN......never **
  • jeffbr wrote:
    I don't understand. This was a Democrat caucus result, so the voters were Democrats. How does that translate to Obama winning a general election in Wyoming? He may very well do so, but I don't see how today's results say anything about that.

    I agree about Wyoming. But I think he has a shot to win a few states that tend to go republican. Maybe not Wyoming, but I think he's a game changer in some of the deep south states, states that have a large % of African Americans.
  • KDH12 wrote:
    Overall Obama is getting record turn out of voters in primaries in republican and swing states

    in Wyoming there were around 7500 votes cast today compared about 675 in 2004 i would say that is significant...

    the reason why Dems have done bad in the past in certain states or regions is because they can not turn out the vote.... this year, with Obama running people are voting in record numbers....

    is it cuz of him? we will see

    I was gonna a sk a question along those lines. How many people voted for Bush/Cheney in 00 and 04, and how many voted Obama today? Even if Obama had more votes in todays caucus than Bush /Cheney did in 2000 and 2004, that alone still wouldn't guarantee a November victory, but it would eman something. esp. considering Wyoming is Cheney's home state. All that said, what do they have, 3 electoral votes?


    ETA: I just looked it up. Bush/Cheney received @148,000 votes in 2000, and @167,000 in 2004. Gore and Kerry received @ 60,000 and 71,000 respectively. How many did Obama receive today? I have no idea how to translate caucus numbers into votes....
  • jeffbrjeffbr Seattle Posts: 7,177
    ETA: I just looked it up. Bush/Cheney received @148,000 votes in 2000, and @167,000 in 2004. Gore and Kerry received @ 60,000 and 71,000 respectively. How many did Obama receive today? I have no idea how to translate caucus numbers into votes....

    That's the problem with some of this projecting. It is really tricky to translate a caucus result (where arguably the most active partisans turn out) to a general election where many can't motivate themselves to get their asses off the couch and go vote.

    I still think if Obama gets the nod, he wins the presidency and will take swing states. But not because he is reaching across the isle, and motivating Republicans to vote for him, but rather because Republicans will just stay home. If Hillary is the nominee, those same Republicans will come out to vote against her and give McCain the win.
    "I'll use the magic word - let's just shut the fuck up, please." EV, 04/13/08
  • HollyweirdHollyweird Posts: 197
    *Update - Obama Projected Winner, 59% vs 40%
    How many delegates? 2 Brokeback Cowboys?
  • HollyweirdHollyweird Posts: 197
    *Update - Obama Projected Winner, 59% vs 40%
    How many delegates? 2 Brokeback Cowboys?
  • 12 delegates. Not sure if it's an 8-4 or 7-5 split
  • HollyweirdHollyweird Posts: 197
    jeffbr wrote:
    I don't understand. This was a Democrat caucus result, so the voters were Democrats. How does that translate to Obama winning a general election in Wyoming? He may very well do so, but I don't see how today's results say anything about that.
    If Obama wins the nomination he will win very few of the States that he carried in these Red states giving him delegates mostly through caucas and not winner takes all election. Just look at a map. The great Democratic coalition of um....Wyoming, Mississippi, Texas, Alabama, Iowa, South Carolina, etc etc. I mean cmon. Obama is running scared of having to face voters in Florida, a state the Democrats have to win in November.
  • ledveddermanledvedderman Posts: 7,761
    Hollyweird wrote:
    If Obama wins the nomination he will win very few of the States that he carried in these Red states giving him delegates mostly through caucas and not winner takes all election. Just look at a map. The great Democratic coalition of um....Wyoming, Mississippi, Texas, Alabama, Iowa, South Carolina, etc etc. I mean cmon. Obama is running scared of having to face voters in Florida, a state the Democrats have to win in November.

    Yeah, forget Missouri, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Nevada. Those aren't swing states at all that a Democrat wouldn't need to win.
  • Given to...Given to... Wyoming Posts: 4,997
    KDH12 wrote:
    Anyone else find it strange that a black man wins in Wyoming?

    This shows the power of Obama to possibly win Republican states or swing states......

    it has changed my opinion of Wyoming to say the least :)

    I live in Wyoming, and have for all of my 38 years. Wyoming is very hard to read...

    Ever heard of Barbara Cubin? 8 times she has been elected to represent us, as our sole Representative. She has the worse voting/attendance record, possibly of all time. Last year her record was even worse that a deceased Rep from another state! I'm not making this up. If I had a few more minutes I would dig up a link, but forgive and believe me. So we are "ok" with some women, but I have never seen people in my area so bitter when it comes to Hillary. They spit her name out like she was the devil incarnate. Is Wyoming tollerant of Barack because of his color...? I would say that Wyomingites are much more tollerant in the polls than they are when they are on stools at the bar, at which times, I would not want to be any minority, whether it be black, hispanic, gay, oil field trash, BYU co-ed,....the list goes on. Please understand that I am only including these as examples, not that I am using them to describe my beliefs in any way.

    Peace
    "...would you like some forks?" EV 12-02-06
  • MasterFramerMasterFramer Posts: 2,268
    Hollyweird wrote:
    How many delegates? 2 Brokeback Cowboys?

    Look out!... homophobe!
    10.31.93 / 10.1.94 / 6.24.95 / 11.4.95 / 10.19-20.96 / 7.16.98 / 7.21.98 / 10.31.00 /8.4.01 Nader Rally/ 10.21.01 / 12.8-9.02 / 6.01.03 / 9.1.05 / 7.15-16,18.06 / 7.20.06 / 7.22-23.06 / Lolla 07
  • HollyweirdHollyweird Posts: 197
    Look out!... homophobe!
    Hell no! I think your just fine the way you are...even in chaps!
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