** KAMALA HARRIS FOR PRESIDENT -PART DEUX **

1220221223225226308

Comments

  • mrussel1
    mrussel1 Posts: 30,879
    teskeinc said:
    it's easy to shit talk when sitting behind a keyboard.
    Truth to most. Shit talk to brainwashed liberals. 
    See you literally contradict yourself.  You say the vaccine works for the immunocompromised  but then criticize the vaccine and say "truth to most".  WTF is wrong with your brain?
  • mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

    Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.

    Brilliantati©
  • Tim Simmons
    Tim Simmons Posts: 9,530
    mrussel1 said:
    teskeinc said:
    it's easy to shit talk when sitting behind a keyboard.
    Truth to most. Shit talk to brainwashed liberals. 
    See you literally contradict yourself.  You say the vaccine works for the immunocompromised  but then criticize the vaccine and say "truth to most".  WTF is wrong with your brain?
    Dude exposed himself to be a fraud in one post. The fat shaming was a bad look too 
  • mrussel1
    mrussel1 Posts: 30,879
    mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    I honestly don't think polls matter.  It's all MOE.  It's about the turnout.  Who has the better ground game and can get their people to the polls

  • mrussel1
    mrussel1 Posts: 30,879
    In 2020, in private DMs with a Deloitte executive,  Vance criticized Trump's presidency,  in particular his economic performance.   He also predicted Trump would lose.  Yet today he says that Trump didn't lose and that he was wrong in his 2016 comments about Trump. Truth is even after 4 years in office,  Vance was highly critical.   

    Trump's own VP knows he is a liar and a failure. 

    We all know he is lying now for expediency.  

    https://thehill.com/business/4919910-deloitte-employee-trump-criticism/
  • teskeinc
    teskeinc Posts: 1,784
    Most likely Pennsylvania decides this election. Real Clear Politics had Biden +7.1 over Trump in 2020. Today Trump and Harris are tied exactly. 

    Biden won Pennsylvania by +1.2 in 2020. By 80,000 votes out of 7.8 million cast. 

    Almost all the swing states show the same thing. Biden had 4-6 point advantage over Trump in the polls a month out in 2020. We know the results were around 1 point in the final results. Today all the swing  states show 1-2 points either way. 

    That’s why I’m confident. It’s just common sense at this point. Of course you can spin it any way you want, doesn’t change the numbers. That’s why you’re seeing Kamala change strategy abruptly and trying to get in front of the camera. It’s panic mode for Kamala as any chance has sipped away quickly.


  • Tim Simmons
    Tim Simmons Posts: 9,530
    I guess we’ll see 
  • brianlux
    brianlux Moving through All Kinds of Terrain. Posts: 43,662
    it's easy to shit talk when sitting behind a keyboard.

    aka "keyboard warrior". 
    Well, we all get lonely, right?  Even me as a married guy because I have health issues that keep me home bound a lot of the time and my wife has a life.  So what to do?  Be friends on line or be a keyboard warrior.  I find the former hugely more satisfying than the latter.
    "It's a sad and beautiful world"
    -Roberto Benigni

  • mrussel1 said:
    mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    I honestly don't think polls matter.  It's all MOE.  It's about the turnout.  Who has the better ground game and can get their people to the polls

    In this day and age it’s about more than turnout. For the record, I don’t trust the polls one iota, either way but they should be 60/40 and they’re not. That gives me major pause.
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

    Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.

    Brilliantati©
  • mickeyrat
    mickeyrat Posts: 44,360
    mrussel1 said:
    teskeinc said:
    it's easy to shit talk when sitting behind a keyboard.
    Truth to most. Shit talk to brainwashed liberals. 
    See you literally contradict yourself.  You say the vaccine works for the immunocompromised  but then criticize the vaccine and say "truth to most".  WTF is wrong with your brain?

    TDS?
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • Johnny Abruzzo
    Johnny Abruzzo Philly Posts: 12,357
    538 expected Oz to win the Senate race in 2022. These things go both ways. I know I am doing the ground work to win it for Harris. I can take some magat yelling at me to get off his property here and there. It's a turnout battle.
    Spectrum 10/27/09; New Orleans JazzFest 5/1/10; Made in America 9/2/12; Phila, PA 10/21/13; Phila,  PA 10/22/13; Baltimore Arena 10/27/13; Phila, PA 4/28/16; Phila, PA 4/29/16; Fenway Park 8/7/16; Fenway Park 9/2/18; Asbury Park 9/18/21; Camden 9/14/22; Las Vegas 5/16/24; Las Vegas 5/18/24; Phila, PA 9/7/24; Phila, PA 9/9/24; Baltimore Arena 9/12/24; Pittsburgh 5/16/25; Pittsburgh 5/18/25

    Tres Mtns - TLA 3/23/11; EV - Tower Theatre 6/25/11; Temple of the Dog - Tower Theatre 11/5/16
  • Gern Blansten
    Gern Blansten Mar-A-Lago Posts: 22,172
    538 expected Oz to win the Senate race in 2022. These things go both ways. I know I am doing the ground work to win it for Harris. I can take some magat yelling at me to get off his property here and there. It's a turnout battle.
    definitely turnout and that seems to be in our favor but who knows....
    Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
    The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)

    1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
    2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
    2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
    2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
    2020: Oakland, Oakland:  2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
    2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
    2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt2
  • mickeyrat
    mickeyrat Posts: 44,360
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • The Juggler
    The Juggler Posts: 49,590
    mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    Fair enough. There is nothing wrong with admitting she's a slight favorite and has been for a while though. Better to be in her position than Trump's. 

    Good NY Times/Sienna poll this morning too. 
    www.myspace.com
  • mickeyrat
    mickeyrat Posts: 44,360
    _____________________________________SIGNATURE________________________________________________

    Not today Sir, Probably not tomorrow.............................................. bayfront arena st. pete '94
    you're finally here and I'm a mess................................................... nationwide arena columbus '10
    memories like fingerprints are slowly raising.................................... first niagara center buffalo '13
    another man ..... moved by sleight of hand...................................... joe louis arena detroit '14
  • mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    Fair enough. There is nothing wrong with admitting she's a slight favorite and has been for a while though. Better to be in her position than Trump's. 

    Good NY Times/Sienna poll this morning too. 
    I also don’t like that the polls don’t measure the intangibles, like the % the “independent” candidates will pull, the distribution of polling places and voting machines, the amount of scrubbing of voter rolls, the number of lawsuits filed challenging every aspect of the vote and the ones waiting to be filed when Kamala wins by less than a % and the final flood of shit on the days leading up to November 5th. These are not normal times and it’s going to be a shit show, regardless. Polls don’t measure all the variables.
    09/15/1998 & 09/16/1998, Mansfield, MA; 08/29/00 08/30/00, Mansfield, MA; 07/02/03, 07/03/03, Mansfield, MA; 09/28/04, 09/29/04, Boston, MA; 09/22/05, Halifax, NS; 05/24/06, 05/25/06, Boston, MA; 07/22/06, 07/23/06, Gorge, WA; 06/27/2008, Hartford; 06/28/08, 06/30/08, Mansfield; 08/18/2009, O2, London, UK; 10/30/09, 10/31/09, Philadelphia, PA; 05/15/10, Hartford, CT; 05/17/10, Boston, MA; 05/20/10, 05/21/10, NY, NY; 06/22/10, Dublin, IRE; 06/23/10, Northern Ireland; 09/03/11, 09/04/11, Alpine Valley, WI; 09/11/11, 09/12/11, Toronto, Ont; 09/14/11, Ottawa, Ont; 09/15/11, Hamilton, Ont; 07/02/2012, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/04/2012 & 07/05/2012, Berlin, Germany; 07/07/2012, Stockholm, Sweden; 09/30/2012, Missoula, MT; 07/16/2013, London, Ont; 07/19/2013, Chicago, IL; 10/15/2013 & 10/16/2013, Worcester, MA; 10/21/2013 & 10/22/2013, Philadelphia, PA; 10/25/2013, Hartford, CT; 11/29/2013, Portland, OR; 11/30/2013, Spokane, WA; 12/04/2013, Vancouver, BC; 12/06/2013, Seattle, WA; 10/03/2014, St. Louis. MO; 10/22/2014, Denver, CO; 10/26/2015, New York, NY; 04/23/2016, New Orleans, LA; 04/28/2016 & 04/29/2016, Philadelphia, PA; 05/01/2016 & 05/02/2016, New York, NY; 05/08/2016, Ottawa, Ont.; 05/10/2016 & 05/12/2016, Toronto, Ont.; 08/05/2016 & 08/07/2016, Boston, MA; 08/20/2016 & 08/22/2016, Chicago, IL; 07/01/2018, Prague, Czech Republic; 07/03/2018, Krakow, Poland; 07/05/2018, Berlin, Germany; 09/02/2018 & 09/04/2018, Boston, MA; 09/08/2022, Toronto, Ont; 09/11/2022, New York, NY; 09/14/2022, Camden, NJ; 09/02/2023, St. Paul, MN; 05/04/2024 & 05/06/2024, Vancouver, BC; 05/10/2024, Portland, OR;

    Libtardaplorable©. And proud of it.

    Brilliantati©
  • The Juggler
    The Juggler Posts: 49,590
    edited October 2024
    mickeyrat said:
    Race has remained remarkably consistent with a slight Harris lead 





    This guy seems way more optimistic than he should be lol
    The PBS/Newshour poll is most concerning to me as the sample size is much larger at 5000 responses and is consistently showing POOTWH leading. Don’t know their MOE but the sample size and results give me pause.
    They had Kamala up 2% in last week's poll
    Well within the MOE of what I think is +\- 3.3 plus Kamala has lost ground to POOTWH with Latinos and Indies like our resident friend. Not boding well.
    Everything is within the MOE. You said that poll had Trump leading, which is incorrect.


    The one I saw did have POOTWH leading but maybe it was dated? I can’t find the most recent one. Regardless, leading within the MOE, to me, is not something I’d put money on and don’t feel comfortable with. And that poll in particular because of the sample size. Come to think of it, maybe it was the PEW Research poll? Now, I’ve got to go back and look.
    Who do you think is putting money on this and who feels comfortable? It is a toss up election and has always been.

    Kamala has held a slight lead for quite a while now, but of course anything can happen. 

    The only person who seems to be comfortable here is the maga.


    Again, IMHO, a “slight lead” within the MOE is not a lead at all,
    So then why did you say Trump was leading earlier? lol

    A lead is a lead. MOE or not. 
    Because I’m diagnosed glass half empty. And I don’t like the way the wind is blowing.
    Fair enough. There is nothing wrong with admitting she's a slight favorite and has been for a while though. Better to be in her position than Trump's. 

    Good NY Times/Sienna poll this morning too. 
    I also don’t like that the polls don’t measure the intangibles, like the % the “independent” candidates will pull, the distribution of polling places and voting machines, the amount of scrubbing of voter rolls, the number of lawsuits filed challenging every aspect of the vote and the ones waiting to be filed when Kamala wins by less than a % and the final flood of shit on the days leading up to November 5th. These are not normal times and it’s going to be a shit show, regardless. Polls don’t measure all the variables.
    That's why we have forecast models.

    Again, Kamala is in the driver's seat at this point. But anything can happen. 


    www.myspace.com
  • Philly NJ
    Philly NJ Posts: 245
    Philly NJ said:

    America needs to see more of Harris. More of her reading her note cards as she addresses the media. More of her waving off media questions.  More of her pretending to read.  More of her past statements and actions.  More of her trying to get the poor to pay for the rich student loans.  More of her providing BILLIONS to illegals and offering peanuts to suffering American citizens. More of her lying about her whereabouts on J6.  More of her defending the BLM riots.  More of her allowing illegal alien sexual predators, murders, and convicted criminals to roam free in America.  More of her censoring any opposing views.  More and more common sense Americans are beginning to realize Harris is a clear and present threat to democracy and the American way of life.


    Well, some of America is seeing more of Harris this week.  That makes me happy. 
This discussion has been closed.