Who will be the Democratic nominee?
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Joe BidenOne thing polling isn’t likely to accurately capture is young, first time voters who overwhelmingly favor Kamala over Darth Trump. A large wave of those could easily swing the election.0
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Josh ShapiroIt's one poll but also just in general if you need to count on young voters you're doomed0
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Joe BidenPolls, LOL. Or as Trump would say, "Pole".
"It's a sad and beautiful world"-Roberto Benigni0 -
Joe BidenIt’s gonna be a tough fight no matter which way KH approaches the next 100 days! She’s the underdog!jesus greets me looks just like me ....0
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Joe Bidenjosevolution said:It’s gonna be a tough fight no matter which way KH approaches the next 100 days! She’s the underdog!Tough fight, yes. But she's a tough lady.And as history has proven, when people fight for freedom, they rise above. Never forget, friend, we are fighting for freedom."It's a sad and beautiful world"-Roberto Benigni0
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No polls should be taken seriously until they cover a time period where she is actually running for president (now)0
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Kamala Harrispjl44 said:ZoSoTim said:One thing polling isn’t likely to accurately capture is young, first time voters who overwhelmingly favor Kamala over Darth Trump. A large wave of those could easily swing the election.
Second, QP doesn't provide the cross tabs. So we know nothing about the size and distribution of the 18-34. Drawing conclusions from this is a waste.
https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3901
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Kamala HarrisThat's a total joke. No way in hell Trump gets 59% of 18-34 vote. Polls are not elections folks.Spectrum 10/27/09; New Orleans JazzFest 5/1/10; Made in America 9/2/12; Phila, PA 10/21/13; Phila, PA 10/22/13; Baltimore Arena 10/27/13; Phila, PA 4/28/16; Phila, PA 4/29/16; Fenway Park 8/7/16; Fenway Park 9/2/18; Asbury Park 9/18/21; Camden 9/14/22; Las Vegas 5/16/24; Las Vegas 5/18/24; Phila, PA 9/7/24; Phila, PA 9/9/24; Baltimore Arena 9/12/24; Pittsburgh 5/16/25; Pittsburgh 5/18/25
Tres Mtns - TLA 3/23/11; EV - Tower Theatre 6/25/11; Temple of the Dog - Tower Theatre 11/5/160 -
Josh ShapiroYes, I agree with all of this. My point was don't just automatically assume it's locked down.0
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Joe Bidenpjl44 said:Yes, I agree with all of this. My point was don't just automatically assume it's locked down.
The Harris nomination most assuredly takes away Trump's gains with younger voters, as well as minorities (although Trump was not necessarily gaining those voters--Joe was losing them mostly due to the age factor)...it also sures up the dem base moreso than before.
If I had to bet, I'd say Harris would have a 3-4 point national lead heading into Labor Day weekend. Of course, the swing states will decide it, but the odds of Trump losing, I think, are significantly higher than they were the moment his convention ended.
Post edited by The Juggler onwww.myspace.com0 -
pjl44 said:Yes, I agree with all of this. My point was don't just automatically assume it's locked down.
Poll Question:
"4. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. running as an independent candidate, Cornel West running as an independent candidate, Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, and Chase Oliver the Libertarian Party candidate, for whom would you vote?"
I mean... what an awful polling question!
Probably more relevant, from the same poll. People have heard enough about tRump to know he's a terrible person & candidate.
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Kamala HarrisThe Juggler said:pjl44 said:Yes, I agree with all of this. My point was don't just automatically assume it's locked down.
The Harris nomination most assuredly takes away Trump's gains with younger voters, as well as minorities (although Trump was not necessarily gaining those voters--Joe was losing them mostly due to the age factor)...it also sures up the dem base moreso than before.
If I had to bet, I'd say Harris would have a 3-4 point national lead heading into Labor Day weekend. Of course, the swing states will decide it, but the odds of Trump losing, I think, are significantly higher than they were the moment his convention ended.
And once Vance's remarks about abortion, divorce and abuse in a marriage become well known, well he will become more of a liability than the upside of juicing the base. Then we can talk about this stupid-ass quote:
The Democrats are talking about giving the vote to 16-year-olds,” Vance noted. “Let’s do this instead. Let’s give votes to all children in this country, but let’s give control over those votes to the parents of the children.” He continued, asking, “Doesn’t this mean that nonparents don’t have as much of a voice as parents? Doesn’t this mean that parents get a bigger say in how democracy functions?” He answered with a simple “yes” after saying “the Atlantic and the Washington Post and all the usual suspects” would criticize him.
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Yeah abortion and Project 25. They need to hang that around tRump/Vance's necks until the election.Remember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt20 -
Kamala HarrisGern Blansten said:Yeah abortion and Project 25. They need to hang that around tRump/Vance's necks until the election.0
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Kamala Harrismrussel1 said:Gern Blansten said:Yeah abortion and Project 25. They need to hang that around tRump/Vance's necks until the election.Spectrum 10/27/09; New Orleans JazzFest 5/1/10; Made in America 9/2/12; Phila, PA 10/21/13; Phila, PA 10/22/13; Baltimore Arena 10/27/13; Phila, PA 4/28/16; Phila, PA 4/29/16; Fenway Park 8/7/16; Fenway Park 9/2/18; Asbury Park 9/18/21; Camden 9/14/22; Las Vegas 5/16/24; Las Vegas 5/18/24; Phila, PA 9/7/24; Phila, PA 9/9/24; Baltimore Arena 9/12/24; Pittsburgh 5/16/25; Pittsburgh 5/18/25
Tres Mtns - TLA 3/23/11; EV - Tower Theatre 6/25/11; Temple of the Dog - Tower Theatre 11/5/160 -
And it also addresses abortion and reproductive rights.
AND..tRump has been running from it. All the more reason to make him own it. If he pushes too far away from it the religious psychos will sourRemember the Thomas Nine !! (10/02/2018)
The Golden Age is 2 months away. And guess what….. you’re gonna love it! (teskeinc 11.19.24)
1998: Noblesville; 2003: Noblesville; 2009: EV Nashville, Chicago, Chicago
2010: St Louis, Columbus, Noblesville; 2011: EV Chicago, East Troy, East Troy
2013: London ON, Wrigley; 2014: Cincy, St Louis, Moline (NO CODE)
2016: Lexington, Wrigley #1; 2018: Wrigley, Wrigley, Boston, Boston
2020: Oakland, Oakland: 2021: EV Ohana, Ohana, Ohana, Ohana
2022: Oakland, Oakland, Nashville, Louisville; 2023: Chicago, Chicago, Noblesville
2024: Noblesville, Wrigley, Wrigley, Ohana, Ohana; 2025: Pitt1, Pitt20 -
Kamala HarrisHe's just going to disavow it. He already has.0
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Joe Bidenmrussel1 said:Gern Blansten said:Yeah abortion and Project 25. They need to hang that around tRump/Vance's necks until the election.1995 Milwaukee 1998 Alpine, Alpine 2003 Albany, Boston, Boston, Boston 2004 Boston, Boston 2006 Hartford, St. Paul (Petty), St. Paul (Petty) 2011 Alpine, Alpine
2013 Wrigley 2014 St. Paul 2016 Fenway, Fenway, Wrigley, Wrigley 2018 Missoula, Wrigley, Wrigley 2021 Asbury Park 2022 St Louis 2023 Austin, Austin
2024 Napa, Wrigley, Wrigley0
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