Official 2024 Ticket Lottery Results Thread

RatherStarved

Processing complete.  2 confirmed.  3 unfulfilled.  

BloodMeridian80

Indifference said:

craigraether said:

SO I FGURED OUT WHAT TM DID...  They randomly Selected a starting confirmation number... and used it for all the ticket confirmations .. Example, say there are 100,000 entries total.. ... TM randomly decided to start the assignments at  50,000 ( Example for ref) then 50001 and 50002 and so on were assigned with flag Show ID, then seat choice GA.. it would run for all entries with those parameters until tickets were exhausted... Then the same run would be done for P1 seats, then P2... I believe they started ALL shows with the same confirmation number and for a select few who were close to that number ( within 500) per show would hit GA. The only time they miss is if they were near that 500 order theashold for the first GA and second GA was a little more popular and that pushed them out of the allocation. For people who hit 9 plus GA they order number had to be very close to that starting number... for people who where shut out their number was just on the other side of that starting number ( Like 49999) .... Thoughts? 

I like this theory for the same (2) shows for the same city but not the whole tour based on data I've seen.

Yep, could be reason for the high percentage of same results for 2 show cities.

Jibiti

This is the first time since they started the lottery process I haven’t gotten tickets I submitted for (Shut out for both Wrigleys). 😔

dignin

Recieved a "confirmed" Ticketbasterd email for Missoula GA.

Apparently I got lucky. Only show I went for and it was GA or bust. $175 US per ticket is pretty pricey for me, might make it my last show. I'm getting old (like the band) and cheap, and I can see some great hungry bands for a lot less money. 

I'm sure most of you who missed out will still get to a show through the fan to fan market. This community almost always comes through, if you're willing to put in the effort and be patient. Especially if your lucky enough to live in a city they're playing.

I wish everyone the best of luck going further.

GlowGirl

Ledbetterman10 said:

GlowGirl said:

Ledbetterman10 said:

GlowGirl said:

Ledbetterman10 said:

Well, my ticket request was unfulfilled. What’s my next move?

Alcohol?

Well I mean how do I get tickets now? The whole process is confusing. 

I know. I was just kidding. If you get a Verified Fan code you can try for a ticket at the public sale on Friday. Or you can wait for F2F to open and spend every waking minute of your day refreshing like a lunatic like many of us did last year.

How do I get a verified fan code? And what is F2F? Thanks for your help. I’ve been kinda out of the loop since putting in for tenclub tix last week. 

You had to have signed up for verified fan with Ticketmaster last week. There was a link to do that on the same page as when you signed up for the Ten Club presale. It is too late now to sign up if you haven't already. If you signed up you would have gotten a confirmation email from Ticketmaster letting you know you registered. If you didn't do that, F2F is fan to fan. At some point TM will open it and people who can't go to their shows can list their tickets for resale. Just be careful not to buy a premium ticket because they are all mixed in together. When F2F opens there will likely be a thread started here to let people know.

Kwieneke

I saw so few confirmations for wrigley 2

Ledbetterman10

NewfieintheUSA said:

Ledbetterman10 said:

GlowGirl said:

Ledbetterman10 said:

GlowGirl said:

Ledbetterman10 said:

Well, my ticket request was unfulfilled. What’s my next move?

Alcohol?

Well I mean how do I get tickets now? The whole process is confusing. 

I know. I was just kidding. If you get a Verified Fan code you can try for a ticket at the public sale on Friday. Or you can wait for F2F to open and spend every waking minute of your day refreshing like a lunatic like many of us did last year.

How do I get a verified fan code? And what is F2F? Thanks for your help. I’ve been kinda out of the loop since putting in for tenclub tix last week. 

You can't if you didn't register for it last week

I see. So we were expected to put in a request for tenclub tickets AND this other sale? Was there a chance you could “win” both? Or was the Friday sale just a “just in case” sort of thing? Like if you didn’t get tenclub tickets, then you’re eligible for the Friday sale, but if you did get tenclub tickets, you just wouldn’t partake in the Friday sale?

I’m shit out of luck either way. Just curious as to how awful this system is versus how much blame I deserve myself for not looking deeply enough into this. 

scootiep7

Jibiti said:

This is the first time since they started the lottery process I haven’t gotten tickets I submitted for (Shut out for both Wrigleys). 😔

Same. I always wondered why people complained about the lottery since I've never had a problem.  

Ledbetterman10

GlowGirl said:

Ledbetterman10 said:

GlowGirl said:

Ledbetterman10 said:

GlowGirl said:

Ledbetterman10 said:

Well, my ticket request was unfulfilled. What’s my next move?

Alcohol?

Well I mean how do I get tickets now? The whole process is confusing. 

I know. I was just kidding. If you get a Verified Fan code you can try for a ticket at the public sale on Friday. Or you can wait for F2F to open and spend every waking minute of your day refreshing like a lunatic like many of us did last year.

How do I get a verified fan code? And what is F2F? Thanks for your help. I’ve been kinda out of the loop since putting in for tenclub tix last week. 

You had to have signed up for verified fan with Ticketmaster last week. There was a link to do that on the same page as when you signed up for the Ten Club presale. It is too late now to sign up if you haven't already. If you signed up you would have gotten a confirmation email from Ticketmaster letting you know you registered. If you didn't do that, F2F is fan to fan. At some point TM will open it and people who can't go to their shows can list their tickets for resale. Just be careful not to buy a premium ticket because they are all mixed in together. When F2F opens there will likely be a thread started here to let people know.

Thanks for the info. Welp, looks like I’m going to be sitting this one out. Oh well. 

craigraether

Indifference said:

craigraether said:

Indifference said:

craigraether said:

SO I FGURED OUT WHAT TM DID...  They randomly Selected a starting confirmation number... and used it for all the ticket confirmations .. Example, say there are 100,000 entries total.. ... TM randomly decided to start the assignments at  50,000 ( Example for ref) then 50001 and 50002 and so on were assigned with flag Show ID, then seat choice GA.. it would run for all entries with those parameters until tickets were exhausted... Then the same run would be done for P1 seats, then P2... I believe they started ALL shows with the same confirmation number and for a select few who were close to that number ( within 500) per show would hit GA. The only time they miss is if they were near that 500 order theashold for the first GA and second GA was a little more popular and that pushed them out of the allocation. For people who hit 9 plus GA they order number had to be very close to that starting number... for people who where shut out their number was just on the other side of that starting number ( Like 49999) .... Thoughts? 

I like this theory for the same shows for the same city but not the whole tour based on data I've seen.

Since each show would have different demand, the range of entries that got the same result would be wider ( lower demand) and more narrow ( higher demand) could skew the results of the data you have. For some to hit so up to 9 shows in the GA, the start point would have to be consistent... I would say we need to compare results against confirmation IDs.. 

I see your point, but I know people who got GA both nights to high demand shows like Wrigley/Fenway but shut out for other shows. Hence, my city specific speculation to your point about how it was done.

Wrigley and Fenway could have been done separately and the parameters changed, ( larger GA pit than the arenas ) weren't those done last? 

kaw753

RE4790 said:

NewfieintheUSA said:

RE4790 said:

NewfieintheUSA said:

SHZA said:

BF25394 said:

SHZA said:

Another perfect 10 

How do you know that this person only put in for these ten shows?

Not relevant. They went 10 for 10 on these 10 shows. Since each draw is independent of other draws, it makes no difference if they put in for other shows or what their results were. For this group of shows, this person went 10-10. Would love to know the odds of that occurring 

Really fn low. Let's assume odds to get selected for each individual show was 50% (which we know it isn't that high), the odds to get all 10 of these shows would be less than 0.1%. If you took it down to 40% odds per show you'd be at 0.01%.

What are the odds of losing all 10 of those shows at a 50% win rate?

Exactly the same as winning all

So if the folks winning all their pics was greater than 0.1% of the fan club, like more than 500 people did that, isnt the simplest answer that it wasnt actually 50% for most of the shows they selected but much higher?

I put in for GA/P1 only. Removed the second MSG because I wasn't eligible, although it would have actually made it worse if they had drawn that first. I actually think my estimates are high here of my expected result.

Show	Odds
LV1	25.00%
LV2	25.00%
LA1	25.00%
LA2	25.00%
Missoula	75.00%
MSG2	10.00%
PHL1 - Lost	90.00%
PHL2	10.00%
Baltimore	15.00%
Total	0.00039551%

Kevinman

So still no email…..not even a rejection.

Ledbetterman10

Kevinman said:

So still no email…..not even a rejection.

At least there’s still hope. When I got the email, I didn’t even wanna open it.  I knew what it was gonna say. 

Ledbetterdays

craigraether said:

SO I FGURED OUT WHAT TM DID...  They randomly Selected a starting confirmation number... and used it for all the ticket confirmations .. Example, say there are 100,000 entries total.. ... TM randomly decided to start the assignments at  50,000 ( Example for ref) then 50001 and 50002 and so on were assigned with flag Show ID, then seat choice GA.. it would run for all entries with those parameters until tickets were exhausted... Then the same run would be done for P1 seats, then P2... I believe they started ALL shows with the same confirmation number and for a select few who were close to that number ( within 500) per show would hit GA. The only time they miss is if they were near that 500 order theashold for the first GA and second GA was a little more popular and that pushed them out of the allocation. For people who hit 9 plus GA they order number had to be very close to that starting number... for people who where shut out their number was just on the other side of that starting number ( Like 49999) .... Thoughts? 

I am also trying to piece together if similarly the more shows you selected the higher up you were on the list. It seems like a lot of people got shutout who requested only a few shows, so maybe they were sorted to the bottom and tickets ran out. Who knows.

mcgruff10

Just checked the ticketmaster page and I can now see the official news: unfulfilled for both philly shows.  gutted

GlowGirl

Ledbetterman10 said:

NewfieintheUSA said:

Ledbetterman10 said:

GlowGirl said:

Ledbetterman10 said:

GlowGirl said:

Ledbetterman10 said:

Well, my ticket request was unfulfilled. What’s my next move?

Alcohol?

Well I mean how do I get tickets now? The whole process is confusing. 

I know. I was just kidding. If you get a Verified Fan code you can try for a ticket at the public sale on Friday. Or you can wait for F2F to open and spend every waking minute of your day refreshing like a lunatic like many of us did last year.

How do I get a verified fan code? And what is F2F? Thanks for your help. I’ve been kinda out of the loop since putting in for tenclub tix last week. 

You can't if you didn't register for it last week

I see. So we were expected to put in a request for tenclub tickets AND this other sale? Was there a chance you could “win” both? Or was the Friday sale just a “just in case” sort of thing? Like if you didn’t get tenclub tickets, then you’re eligible for the Friday sale, but if you did get tenclub tickets, you just wouldn’t partake in the Friday sale?

I’m shit out of luck either way. Just curious as to how awful this system is versus how much blame I deserve myself for not looking deeply enough into this. 

People put in for both just in case. Even if you get ten club tickets, you can still "win" a code and get more tickets in the public sale. It is a nightmare dealing with the public sale. F2F is less stressful in my opinion. Many people who signed up for VF and got tickets through Ten Club are less likely to participate in the public sale anyway. But they can if they want - if they got a code.

RE4790

SHZA said:

RE4790 said:

NewfieintheUSA said:

RE4790 said:

NewfieintheUSA said:

SHZA said:

BF25394 said:

SHZA said:

Another perfect 10 

How do you know that this person only put in for these ten shows?

Not relevant. They went 10 for 10 on these 10 shows. Since each draw is independent of other draws, it makes no difference if they put in for other shows or what their results were. For this group of shows, this person went 10-10. Would love to know the odds of that occurring 

Really fn low. Let's assume odds to get selected for each individual show was 50% (which we know it isn't that high), the odds to get all 10 of these shows would be less than 0.1%. If you took it down to 40% odds per show you'd be at 0.01%.

What are the odds of losing all 10 of those shows at a 50% win rate?

Exactly the same as winning all

So if the folks winning all their pics was greater than 0.1% of the fan club, like more than 500 people did that, isnt the simplest answer that it wasnt actually 50% for most of the shows they selected but much higher?

No, because there's zero chance odds for MSG and Philly were much higher than 50%. The simplest answer is TM botched something as they've done in the past 

Or maybe people didn't pick all tickets types like the instructions clearly stated to do.  Or maybe their card declined and they dont realize it.  Or they only picked TM presale and not 10c presale and wont admit it hoping if they scream loud enough the 10c is forced to rerun the lotto like last year's debacle.  Or maybe some folks just had bad luck this round and wont accept that life happens and we are all just blessed that our band somehow survived this long.

ML3125

Like many of you, I've been in TC for a long time (almost 30 years) and NEVER didn't get tix through the lottery. Might not have always been the best seats or my first choice of shows, but always got something. This time, I put in only for tix for Los Angeles night 1 because I couldn't afford to put in for multiple nights and risk having to buy them all. And I got denied. Is this how PJ rewards their liong-time fans? Funny how PJ went from "fans > Ticketmaster" to "Ticketmaster > fans" :-|

presenttensephotography

Just got updated email from ticketmaster/10C stating show confirmations I missed and got tickets for.

CarryTheZero

Would just like to have my rejection email. Nothing at all on my Ticketmaster page. I got my initial email that I entered the lottery, but nothing about rejection and of course no tickets.