North American Tour Odds
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JB111896 said:MD190661 said:PeterED said:MD190661 said:hollyberry1 said:JB111896 said:Your odds of getting tickets to a show and being in the building are exactly the same regardless if you pick Reserved Only or Best Available. The only difference is if you choose Best Available and when it’s “your turn to be distributed tickets” if there’s still GA tickets available you will be given GA tickets instead of a reserved seat.
Think of it this way. Everyone who chooses a show as their #1 choice is randomly placed in a virtual line. Then everyone who picked that show as their #2 choice are randomly placed in line behind the first group. Then everyone who picked that show as their #3 choice are added to the end of the virtual line and so on.
The first person in this virtual line will be let into the building. If they chose GA only or Best Available as their ticket choice then they will be given GA tickets. If they chose Reserved Seats as their choice then they will be given reserved seats. Then it’s time for the next person in this virtual line to get tickets. If they chose GA only or Best Available as their ticket choice then they will be given GA tickets. If they chose Reserved Seats then they will be given reserved seats. This continues for the next person and then for the person after them and keeps continuing until there’s no more GA tickets available.
When there’s no more GA tickets available, then when they go to the next person in this line if that person chose Best Available or Reserved seats as their ticket choice then they will be let in the building with reserved seats. If that person chose GA only they would be sent home with no tickets to the show. This will continue through the line until the rest of the reserved seats are distributedBest Best Explanation!PeterED said:MD190661 said:hollyberry1 said:JB111896 said:Your odds of getting tickets to a show and being in the building are exactly the same regardless if you pick Reserved Only or Best Available. The only difference is if you choose Best Available and when it’s “your turn to be distributed tickets” if there’s still GA tickets available you will be given GA tickets instead of a reserved seat.
Think of it this way. Everyone who chooses a show as their #1 choice is randomly placed in a virtual line. Then everyone who picked that show as their #2 choice are randomly placed in line behind the first group. Then everyone who picked that show as their #3 choice are added to the end of the virtual line and so on.
The first person in this virtual line will be let into the building. If they chose GA only or Best Available as their ticket choice then they will be given GA tickets. If they chose Reserved Seats as their choice then they will be given reserved seats. Then it’s time for the next person in this virtual line to get tickets. If they chose GA only or Best Available as their ticket choice then they will be given GA tickets. If they chose Reserved Seats then they will be given reserved seats. This continues for the next person and then for the person after them and keeps continuing until there’s no more GA tickets available.
When there’s no more GA tickets available, then when they go to the next person in this line if that person chose Best Available or Reserved seats as their ticket choice then they will be let in the building with reserved seats. If that person chose GA only they would be sent home with no tickets to the show. This will continue through the line until the rest of the reserved seats are distributedBest Best Explanation!Barrie, Ontario (August 05, 1992); Toronto, Ontario (August 18, 1993); Toronto, Ontario (October 05, 2000); Buffalo, New York (May 02, 2003); Toronto, Ontario (May 09, 2006); Toronto, Ontario (May 10, 2006); Toronto, Ontario (August 21, 2009); Buffalo, New York (May 10, 2010); Toronto, Ontario (September 11, 2011); Toronto, Ontario (September 12, 2011); Toronto 1 (May 10, 2016); Toronto 2 (May 12, 2016); Ottawa (September 3, 2022); Hamilton (September 6, 2022); Toronto (September 8, 2022)0 -
Ya’ll a bunch of n00bs2003: Uniondale, MSG x2 | 2004: Reading | 2005: Gorge, Vancouver, Philly | 2006: East Rutherford x2, Gorge x2, Camden 1, Hartford | 2008: MSG x2, VA Beach | 2009: Philly x3 | 2010: MSG x2, Bristow | 2011: Alpine Valley x2 | 2012: MIA Philly | 2013: Wrigley, Charlottesville, Brooklyn 2 | 2014: Milan, Amsterdam 1 | 2016: MSG x2, Fenway x2, Wrigley 2 | 2018: Rome, Krakow, Berlin, Wrigley 2 | 2021: Sea Hear Now | 2022: San Diego, LA x2, MSG, Camden, Nashville, St. Louis, Denver | 2023: St. Paul 1, Chicago x2, Fort Worth x2, Austin 2 | 2024: Las Vegas 1, Seattle x2, Indy, MSG x2, Philly x2, Baltimore, Ohana 2 | 2025: Florida x2, Atlanta x2, Pittsburgh x20
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PeterED said:JB111896 said:MD190661 said:PeterED said:MD190661 said:hollyberry1 said:JB111896 said:Your odds of getting tickets to a show and being in the building are exactly the same regardless if you pick Reserved Only or Best Available. The only difference is if you choose Best Available and when it’s “your turn to be distributed tickets” if there’s still GA tickets available you will be given GA tickets instead of a reserved seat.
Think of it this way. Everyone who chooses a show as their #1 choice is randomly placed in a virtual line. Then everyone who picked that show as their #2 choice are randomly placed in line behind the first group. Then everyone who picked that show as their #3 choice are added to the end of the virtual line and so on.
The first person in this virtual line will be let into the building. If they chose GA only or Best Available as their ticket choice then they will be given GA tickets. If they chose Reserved Seats as their choice then they will be given reserved seats. Then it’s time for the next person in this virtual line to get tickets. If they chose GA only or Best Available as their ticket choice then they will be given GA tickets. If they chose Reserved Seats then they will be given reserved seats. This continues for the next person and then for the person after them and keeps continuing until there’s no more GA tickets available.
When there’s no more GA tickets available, then when they go to the next person in this line if that person chose Best Available or Reserved seats as their ticket choice then they will be let in the building with reserved seats. If that person chose GA only they would be sent home with no tickets to the show. This will continue through the line until the rest of the reserved seats are distributedBest Best Explanation!PeterED said:MD190661 said:hollyberry1 said:JB111896 said:Your odds of getting tickets to a show and being in the building are exactly the same regardless if you pick Reserved Only or Best Available. The only difference is if you choose Best Available and when it’s “your turn to be distributed tickets” if there’s still GA tickets available you will be given GA tickets instead of a reserved seat.
Think of it this way. Everyone who chooses a show as their #1 choice is randomly placed in a virtual line. Then everyone who picked that show as their #2 choice are randomly placed in line behind the first group. Then everyone who picked that show as their #3 choice are added to the end of the virtual line and so on.
The first person in this virtual line will be let into the building. If they chose GA only or Best Available as their ticket choice then they will be given GA tickets. If they chose Reserved Seats as their choice then they will be given reserved seats. Then it’s time for the next person in this virtual line to get tickets. If they chose GA only or Best Available as their ticket choice then they will be given GA tickets. If they chose Reserved Seats then they will be given reserved seats. This continues for the next person and then for the person after them and keeps continuing until there’s no more GA tickets available.
When there’s no more GA tickets available, then when they go to the next person in this line if that person chose Best Available or Reserved seats as their ticket choice then they will be let in the building with reserved seats. If that person chose GA only they would be sent home with no tickets to the show. This will continue through the line until the rest of the reserved seats are distributedBest Best Explanation!Show ranking - impacts odds of getting ticket.
Seniority - impacts seating assignment based on those who got tickets.0 -
About 4 hours left with these odds... really happy to see reserved holding up as well as it is.
Toronto: 33/99
Ottawa: 59/99
Quebec City: 79/99
Hamilton: 42/99
Baltimore: 15/68
NYC: 10/59
Nashville: 21/99
St Louis: 22/99
OKC: 63/99
Denver: 21/99
Glendale: 36/99
San Diego: 70/99
LA: 28/99; 26/99
Oak: 30/99; 37/99
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15/68 for Baltimore is better than I would have expected.Good luck everybody! Looking forward to starting a long wait with you all in the morning.Post edited by JimmyV on___________________________________________
"...I changed by not changing at all..."0 -
PeterED said:huntersthompson said:drando said:Folks. seniority takes precedence when it comes down to seat location for reserved seats. It has always been this way and always will. GA, get there at 3AM in the morning day of show, maybe earlier. Wait in line and than run as fast as you can to the rail. See you got front row, no seniority determined just how much pain you are willing to take sleeping on the street and how fast your legs can get you to the rail when they open the doors. Like target on Black Friday....Unless the whole floor is GA, I see no reason to make myself miserable by waiting in line for hours, just to sit on the floor in front of the barrier for hours....I am admittedly old though...0
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mcgruff10 said:huntersthompson said:mcgruff10 said:Quick question, are reserved seating locations determined by seniority? Thanks.mcgruff10 said:Quick question, are reserved seating locations determined by seniority? Thanks.1996.....Toronto
2005.....Hamilton
2011.....Toronto N1, Toronto N2, Hamilton
2013.....London, Buffalo
2014.....Detroit
2016.....Toronto N1 Toronto N2, Boston N1, Boston N2, Chicago N1
2018.....Seattle N1, Seattle N2
2022.....San Diego, Los Angeles N1, Los Angeles N2, Phoenix, Oakland N1, Oakland N2, Quebec City, Ottawa, Hamilton, Toronto
2023.....Fort Worth N1, Fort Worth N2, Austin N1, Austin N2
2024.....Las Vegas N1, Las Vegas N2, Los Angeles N1, Los Angeles N2, Boston N1, Boston N2
2025.....Raleigh N1, Raleigh N2, Pittsburgh N1, Pittsburgh N2
2026.....?????????????????????????????????????????0 -
just added Baltimore to NYC to hopefully get at least one show...0
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This wait is going to be painful.0
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MSG is at 59% nowI miss igotid880
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Sorry if this has been covered, I just got off work. I found out I have I can make a second show. If I’m selected. I ordered 1 pair and then a 2nd at a different time— how do I change the priority now? Any advice/info is appreciated!! Like all of you, I hope to catch as many as I can. For this leg it’s 2 max. Such is life with work and a toddler etc.0
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vp20 said:Sorry if this has been covered, I just got off work. I found out I have I can make a second show. If I’m selected. I ordered 1 pair and then a 2nd at a different time— how do I change the priority now? Any advice/info is appreciated!! Like all of you, I hope to catch as many as I can. For this leg it’s 2 max. Such is life with work and a toddler etc.0
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ajflicker said:This wait is going to be painful.1996.....Toronto
2005.....Hamilton
2011.....Toronto N1, Toronto N2, Hamilton
2013.....London, Buffalo
2014.....Detroit
2016.....Toronto N1 Toronto N2, Boston N1, Boston N2, Chicago N1
2018.....Seattle N1, Seattle N2
2022.....San Diego, Los Angeles N1, Los Angeles N2, Phoenix, Oakland N1, Oakland N2, Quebec City, Ottawa, Hamilton, Toronto
2023.....Fort Worth N1, Fort Worth N2, Austin N1, Austin N2
2024.....Las Vegas N1, Las Vegas N2, Los Angeles N1, Los Angeles N2, Boston N1, Boston N2
2025.....Raleigh N1, Raleigh N2, Pittsburgh N1, Pittsburgh N2
2026.....?????????????????????????????????????????0 -
If you win tickets and can’t make a show, can you resell them (at face value) on that verified fan site?0
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vp20 said:Sorry if this has been covered, I just got off work. I found out I have I can make a second show. If I’m selected. I ordered 1 pair and then a 2nd at a different time— how do I change the priority now? Any advice/info is appreciated!! Like all of you, I hope to catch as many as I can. For this leg it’s 2 max. Such is life with work and a toddler etc.0
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vedpunk said:If you win tickets and can’t make a show, can you resell them (at face value) on that verified fan site?0
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JB111896 said:Your odds of getting tickets to a show and being in the building are exactly the same regardless if you pick Reserved Only or Best Available. The only difference is if you choose Best Available and when it’s “your turn to be distributed tickets” if there’s still GA tickets available you will be given GA tickets instead of a reserved seat.
Think of it this way. Everyone who chooses a show as their #1 choice is randomly placed in a virtual line. Then everyone who picked that show as their #2 choice are randomly placed in line behind the first group. Then everyone who picked that show as their #3 choice are added to the end of the virtual line and so on.
The first person in this virtual line will be let into the building. If they chose GA only or Best Available as their ticket choice then they will be given GA tickets. If they chose Reserved Seats as their choice then they will be given reserved seats. Then it’s time for the next person in this virtual line to get tickets. If they chose GA only or Best Available as their ticket choice then they will be given GA tickets. If they chose Reserved Seats then they will be given reserved seats. This continues for the next person and then for the person after them and keeps continuing until there’s no more GA tickets available.
When there’s no more GA tickets available, then when they go to the next person in this line if that person chose Best Available or Reserved seats as their ticket choice then they will be let in the building with reserved seats. If that person chose GA only they would be sent home with no tickets to the show. This will continue through the line until the rest of the reserved seats are distributed.0 -
Thanks guys. Fortunately some of you are out there and understand. Surprisingly, info at pj got back to me really fast. I didn’t expect that, panicked, and posted on here. I guess they will be working their asses off for awhile with all that is going on. Best of luck to all of you!0
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This thread makes me laugh.0
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